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Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)

Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF CBOE

$27.09 -0.5000 (-1.81%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
70 / 100
The Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) is a spot Bitcoin ETF designed to offer direct exposure to bitcoin within a regulated framework. It aims to track the performance of bitcoin using the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, managing expenses and liabilities. Managed jointly by ARK Investment Management and 21Shares, ARKB provides investors with access to bitcoin through traditional brokerage accounts, eliminating the need for direct custody of the digital asset. The fund's primary role is to connect conventional financial markets with digital assets via a transparent, passively managed investment vehicle. Its recent performance shows a 42.78% gain over the past three months, though it has seen a -4.26% year-to-date return.

ARKB at a glance

Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB): Buy, 70/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($25.59 and $24.49).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.21%, $2.9B in net assets, -26.8% total return over 1 year.

As of October 14, 2026, Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) trades at $27.09. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 51, in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $25.59.

Figures as of October 14, 2026.

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Figures we compute ourselves from ARKB's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

ARKB Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$27.36
Day Range
$27.00 to $27.50
Prev Close
$27.59
Volume
70.3K
52-Week Range
$19.24 to $38.58

ARKB Fund Facts

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF is a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct exposure to bitcoin through a regulated fund structure. It seeks to track bitcoin’s performance using the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, New York Variant, while accounting for fund expenses and liabilities. Managed by ARK Investment Management and 21Shares, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF gives investors access to bitcoin in a traditional brokerage account without requiring direct ownership or self-custody of the digital asset.

Issuer
21Shares US LLC
Category
Digital Assets
Inception
Jan 10, 2024
Expense ratio
0.21%
Net assets
$2.90B
Distribution yield
0.00%
YTD return
-4.26%
Turnover
0.00%

Trailing total returns

Period ARKB
YTD -4.26%
1 month 5.88%
3 months 42.78%
1 year -26.77%

As of Oct 14, 2026, ARKB has an expense ratio of 0.21%, $2.90B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.00%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 14, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

ARKB Analysis

AI Analyst Consensus Score Buy
ARKB is currently trading above its 50-day simple moving average of $25.58 and its 200-day simple moving average of $24.49, suggesting an upward trend. The 20-day exponential moving average is at $27.29, with the current price of $27.09 trading below it, indicating some short-term weakness. The 14-day RSI is at 51.1, which is considered neutral momentum. The Stochastic indicator is at 20.61, suggesting it is in a healthy range territory. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at -108.48, indicating bearish momentum.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) is cautiously optimistic, driven by its position above key long-term moving averages. The price trading below the 20-day EMA and the bearish CCI indicate potential short-term headwinds. The broader digital asset sector is subject to significant volatility influenced by regulatory news and institutional adoption trends. A sustained move above the 20-day EMA would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below the 50-day SMA could signal a trend reversal.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.46
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.94
Strong correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.24
Weak correlation

As of October 14, 2026, ARKB's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.44 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.46 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.94 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.24 with gold (XAU).

Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with ARKB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets 2.90B
Expense Ratio 0.2100%
Yield 0.00%
Day High $27.50
Day Low $27.00
52 Week High 38.58
52 Week Low 19.24
As a digital asset ETF, ARKB's fundamental analysis centers on the underlying asset, bitcoin, and the broader cryptocurrency market. The fund's expense ratio is 0.21%, costing $21.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets of $2,895,059,968, it represents a significant player in the digital asset ETF space. The fund holds 100.00% in 'others,' reflecting its direct investment in bitcoin. The sector is characterized by high volatility and is driven by macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and adoption trends.

Fund Performance Analysis

Its performance is directly tied to the price movements of Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency market, which ARKB tracks, is influenced by factors such as institutional adoption, regulatory news, and macroeconomic conditions, rather than corporate earnings reports.

Key Risks

The primary risk for ARKB is the inherent volatility of Bitcoin. As a spot Bitcoin ETF, its value is directly correlated with Bitcoin's price swings. Concentration risk is also significant, as the fund's performance is dependent on a single asset. Regulatory changes within the cryptocurrency space could also materially impact the fund's value and accessibility.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14-day) 51.10
MACD (12, 26) 0.466
SMA (50-day) 25.59
SMA (200-day) 24.49
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($25.59) above the 200-day SMA ($24.49), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

As of October 14, 2026, with ARKB at $27.09, its 14-day RSI is 51.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $25.59 and its 200-day is $24.49.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

ARKB Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$26.55
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$27.09
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$25.59
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (51.1) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$27.88
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$29.20
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$30.53
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from ARKB's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in ARKB in January 2024 would be worth about $17,701 today, compared with about $16,333 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

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ARKB Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 3 years
-51.0%
October 2025 to June 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 33.0% below the October 2025 peak
From the 3-year high
-35.0%
highest close, October 2025

As of October 14, 2026, ARKB's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years was -51.0% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 33.0% below that peak.

From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ARKB today could grow to about $24,846 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $177,610 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,476. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ARKB 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $38.99 for ARKB by 2030 in the base case, from $27.09 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $11.24. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ARKB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

ARKB simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile
2027 $15.93 $29.67 $55.27
2028 $13.48 $32.50 $78.32
2029 $12.12 $35.59 $105
2030 $11.24 $38.99 $135
2031 $10.63 $42.70 $172

Method: a lognormal simulation of ARKB's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) has an expense ratio of 0.21%. This translates to a cost of $21.00 for every $10,000 invested in the fund.
What assets does the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) hold and what sectors is it concentrated in?
The Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) holds Bitcoin as its underlying asset, aiming to provide direct exposure. Its asset allocation is 100.00% in 'others,' indicating a concentration solely in Bitcoin.
What are the key technical indicators for the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)?
ARKB's 14-day RSI is 51.1 (neutral), its Stochastic is 20.61 (approaching oversold), and its CCI is -108.48 (bearish momentum).
What is ARKB's biggest drop in the last 3 years?
Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years was -51.0%, from October 2025 to June 2026. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 33.0% below it.
How closely does ARKB move with the stock market?
Over the past year ARKB's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.44). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.46; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.94; Gold (XAU): +0.24. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for ARKB in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from ARKB's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $38.99, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $11.24 and $135.26. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
How volatile is ARKB?
ARKB's daily price moves average 2.40% (30-day standard deviation of daily returns). Over the past 52 weeks it traded between $19.24 and $38.58.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for ARKB are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 15, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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