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As of September 27, 2026, Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) trades at $27.86. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $23.95.

Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)

Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF CBOE

$27.86 -0.1300 (-0.46%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
70 / 100
The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) offers direct exposure to Bitcoin through a regulated exchange-traded fund structure. Managed by ARK Investment Management and 21Shares, it aims to track Bitcoin's performance without requiring investors to self-custody the digital asset. The fund's strategy is to provide a simple, exchange-traded method for incorporating cryptocurrency exposure into traditional portfolios. As a spot Bitcoin ETF, its primary role is to bridge conventional financial markets with digital assets via a transparent, passively managed vehicle.

ARKB Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$27.88
Day Range
$27.56 to $27.95
Prev Close
$27.99
Volume
1.18M
52-Week Range
$19.24 to $41.99

ARKB Fund Facts

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF is a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct exposure to bitcoin through a regulated fund structure. It seeks to track bitcoin’s performance using the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, New York Variant, while accounting for fund expenses and liabilities. Managed by ARK Investment Management and 21Shares, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF gives investors access to bitcoin in a traditional brokerage account without requiring direct ownership or self-custody of the digital asset.

Issuer
21Shares US LLC
Category
Digital Assets
Inception
Jan 10, 2024
Expense ratio
0.21%
Net assets
$2.68B
NAV
$25.99
Distribution yield
0.00%
YTD return
-9.58%
Turnover
0.00%

Trailing returns vs category

Period ARKB Category
YTD -9.58% -19.21%
1 month 25.54% 5.85%
3 months 7.66% -14.71%
1 year -27.26% -8.45%
3 years N/A 11.96%
5 years N/A -27.53%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

ARKB Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Buy
As of September 27, 2026, ARKB is trading above its 20-day EMA at $26.45, its 50-day SMA at $23.95, and its 200-day SMA at $24.60. The RSI is at a bullish 60.15, and the Stochastic indicator is in overbought territory at 76.10, suggesting strong upward momentum. The MACD is positive at 1.10, further supporting a bullish trend. The current price of $27.86 indicates that the nearest support is the 50-day SMA, while resistance levels are yet to be clearly defined by recent price action but are likely above the current trading range.
ProTips
  • Monitor Bitcoin's price action closely, as ARKB's performance is directly correlated.
  • Consider the expense ratio of 0.21% when evaluating long-term returns.
  • Stay informed about regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrencies, as they can significantly impact the ETF's value.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) is cautiously optimistic, driven by its current bullish technical momentum and the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin. The ETF is trading above key moving averages, with a strong RSI indicating positive sentiment. Over the next 6-12 months, ARKB could see further upside if Bitcoin maintains its upward trajectory and regulatory clarity improves. However, the inherent volatility of Bitcoin remains a significant factor that could lead to sharp corrections.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.45
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.46
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.93
Strong correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.23
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with ARKB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Yield 0.00%
Day High $27.95
Day Low $27.56
52 Week High 41.99
52 Week Low 19.24
The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF operates within the digital assets sector, with its underlying asset being Bitcoin. The fund's expense ratio is 0.21%, costing $21.00 per $10,000 invested. Its net assets stand at $2.68 billion. The fund holds Bitcoin as its sole underlying asset, meaning its performance is directly tied to the price movements of the cryptocurrency. The sector's health is intrinsically linked to broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, regulatory developments, and institutional adoption trends.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Its performance is dictated by the price fluctuations of Bitcoin. The underlying asset's value is influenced by factors such as market sentiment, adoption rates, regulatory news, and macroeconomic conditions. Investors should monitor the performance of Bitcoin itself and any significant developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Key Risks

The primary risk for ARKB is the inherent volatility of Bitcoin. As a spot Bitcoin ETF, its value directly mirrors Bitcoin's price swings, which can be substantial. Concentration risk is also a factor, as the fund holds only one asset. Also, regulatory changes affecting cryptocurrencies could significantly impact the fund's performance and accessibility.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 60.15
MACD 1.10
SMA 50 23.95
SMA 200 24.60
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $23.95, 200-day: $24.60), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

ARKB Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$27.30
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$27.86
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$26.09
MAX LOSS
-4.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (60.2) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$28.67
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$30.03
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$31.40
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of ARKB is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in ARKB in January 2024 would be worth about $17,874 today, compared with about $16,193 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ARKB today could grow to about $29,863 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $216,612 and a bear case around $4,117. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ARKB ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $43.16 for ARKB by 2030 in the base case, from $27.86 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $12.32. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ARKB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

ARKB simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $16.61 $31.08 $58.16
2028 $14.29 $34.67 $84.11
2029 $13.07 $38.68 $115
2030 $12.32 $43.16 $151
2031 $11.86 $48.14 $195
2032 $11.57 $53.71 $249
2033 $11.42 $59.92 $314
2034 $11.36 $66.85 $393
2035 $11.38 $74.58 $489
2036 $11.47 $83.20 $603

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ARKB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. ARKB is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF?
The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF has an expense ratio of 0.21%, which translates to $21.00 per $10,000 invested annually. This fee covers the fund's operating costs.
What assets does the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF hold?
The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF holds Bitcoin as its underlying asset. It is designed to provide investors with direct exposure to Bitcoin's price movements without the need for direct custody.
How has the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF performed against its category?
Year-to-date, ARKB has returned -9.58%, while its category returned -19.21%. Over the past year, ARKB returned -27.26% compared to the category's -8.45%. In the last 3 months, ARKB returned 7.66% versus the category's -14.71%.
What are the key technical levels for ARKB?
ARKB is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $23.95 and its 200-day SMA of $24.60, indicating a bullish trend. The 20-day EMA is at $26.45, also below the current price.
What is the price prediction for ARKB ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for ARKB in 2030 is $43.16. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $12.32 and an upside price of $151.11. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What is the net asset value and total assets under management for ARKB?
The net asset value (NAV) per share for ARKB is $25.99. The total net assets of the fund are $2.68 billion.
What is the primary risk associated with investing in ARKB?
The primary risk is the inherent volatility of Bitcoin, which ARKB tracks directly. Significant price swings in Bitcoin can lead to substantial losses for the ETF. Regulatory changes in the cryptocurrency space also pose a risk.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for ARKB are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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