As of September 27, 2026, Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) trades at $27.86. RSI at 60 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $23.95.
Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB)
Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF CBOE
ARKB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
ARKB Fund Facts
ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF is a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund designed to provide direct exposure to bitcoin through a regulated fund structure. It seeks to track bitcoin’s performance using the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, New York Variant, while accounting for fund expenses and liabilities. Managed by ARK Investment Management and 21Shares, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF gives investors access to bitcoin in a traditional brokerage account without requiring direct ownership or self-custody of the digital asset.
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | ARKB | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | -9.58% | -19.21% |
| 1 month | 25.54% | 5.85% |
| 3 months | 7.66% | -14.71% |
| 1 year | -27.26% | -8.45% |
| 3 years | N/A | 11.96% |
| 5 years | N/A | -27.53% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
ARKB Analysis
- Monitor Bitcoin's price action closely, as ARKB's performance is directly correlated.
- Consider the expense ratio of 0.21% when evaluating long-term returns.
- Stay informed about regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrencies, as they can significantly impact the ETF's value.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with ARKB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Yield | 0.00% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $27.95 |
| Day Low | $27.56 |
| 52 Week High | 41.99 |
| 52 Week Low | 19.24 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 60.15 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.10 |
| SMA 50 | 23.95 |
| SMA 200 | 24.60 |
ARKB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ARKB in January 2024 would be worth about $17,874 today, compared with about $16,193 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ARKB today could grow to about $29,863 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $216,612 and a bear case around $4,117. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ARKB ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $43.16 for ARKB by 2030 in the base case, from $27.86 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $12.32. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ARKB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $16.61 | $31.08 | $58.16 |
| 2028 | $14.29 | $34.67 | $84.11 |
| 2029 | $13.07 | $38.68 | $115 |
| 2030 | $12.32 | $43.16 | $151 |
| 2031 | $11.86 | $48.14 | $195 |
| 2032 | $11.57 | $53.71 | $249 |
| 2033 | $11.42 | $59.92 | $314 |
| 2034 | $11.36 | $66.85 | $393 |
| 2035 | $11.38 | $74.58 | $489 |
| 2036 | $11.47 | $83.20 | $603 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ARKB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. ARKB is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
