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As of September 27, 2026, iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) trades at $77.86. RSI at 21 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $79.24.

iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG)

iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF NYSE

$77.86 -0.0300 (-0.04%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
25 / 100
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) is currently trading at $77.86, showing a notable downtrend. Over the past month, HYG has experienced a slight decline of 0.98%, underperforming its category return of 1.69%. The fund's strategy focuses on providing broad exposure to the U.S. high-yield corporate bond market by tracking the Markit iBoxx USD Liquid High Yield Index. This index comprises below investment-grade, U.S. dollar-denominated corporate bonds selected for liquidity, offering investors a packaged approach to lower-rated corporate credit.

HYG Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$77.91
Day Range
$77.67 to $77.93
Prev Close
$77.89
Volume
58.33M
52-Week Range
$77.67 to $81.36
Market Cap
$15.74B

HYG Fund Facts

iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides broad exposure to the U.S. high-yield corporate bond market. The fund seeks to track the Markit iBoxx USD Liquid High Yield Index, a rules-based benchmark composed of U.S. dollar-denominated corporate bonds rated below investment grade and selected for liquidity. It invests primarily in fixed income securities that mirror the index, giving investors access to a diversified portfolio of high-yield debt across issuers and sectors.

Issuer
iShares
Category
High Yield Bond
Inception
Apr 4, 2007
Expense ratio
0.49%
Net assets
$16.19B
NAV
$78.95
Distribution yield
5.88%
YTD return
2.36%
Turnover
22.00%

Sector weights

Utilities 99.6%

Trailing returns vs category

Period HYG Category
YTD 2.36% 1.19%
1 month 0.98% 1.69%
3 months 0.82% 0.66%
1 year 4.42% 8.50%
3 years 8.17% 8.19%
5 years 3.67% 4.03%
10 years 4.57% 5.16%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

HYG Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Sell
HYG is currently trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is at $79.24 and the 200-day SMA is at $79.97, both acting as resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 21.49, signaling an oversold condition. The Stochastic Oscillator at 12.10 further supports this oversold sentiment. The ETF's price is also below its 20-day EMA of $78.67.
ProTips
  • Monitor the 50-day and 200-day SMAs for potential resistance levels.
  • Consider the broader economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy for insights into the high-yield market.
  • Be aware of the inherent volatility and credit risk associated with high-yield corporate bonds.
Market Outlook
The outlook for HYG is bearish in the short to medium term, given its current technical setup. The ETF is trading below key moving averages, and momentum indicators are oversold, suggesting potential for further price declines. A sustained move above the $79.97 resistance level would be needed to signal a potential trend reversal. However, the high-yield bond market remains sensitive to interest rate hikes and economic slowdowns, which could continue to pressure HYG's price. For the next 6-12 months, HYG's performance will likely depend on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the overall health of the U.S. economy. If inflation persists and rates remain elevated, credit spreads could widen, leading to further downside for HYG. Conversely, signs of economic stabilization and a potential pivot in monetary policy could offer some support.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.77
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.69
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.32
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.18
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with HYG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 15.74B
Yield 6.09%
Day High $77.93
Day Low $77.67
52 Week High 81.36
52 Week Low 77.67
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) holds approximately 98.63% in bonds and 1.19% in cash, with a minor sector concentration in Utilities at 0.9959%. The fund's expense ratio is 0.49%, costing $49.00 per $10,000 invested. Its net assets stand at $16.19 billion. While the fund's overview highlights its role in providing diversified exposure to the U.S. high-yield corporate bond market, the current macro environment for high-yield credit, characterized by rising interest rate sensitivity and credit spread volatility, presents challenges. The fund's performance over the last year has lagged its category, returning 4.42% compared to the category's 8.50%.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

However, the performance of its underlying holdings is influenced by the credit quality and default risk of the corporate issuers. The high-yield market, which HYG tracks, is more sensitive to economic downturns and rising interest rates, as these factors increase the probability of corporate defaults. The fund's recent YTD return of 2.36% reflects the current market conditions for lower-rated corporate debt.

Key Risks

The primary risk for HYG lies in its concentration in high-yield corporate bonds, which are inherently more volatile and susceptible to credit risk than investment-grade bonds. Rising interest rates pose a significant threat, as they can decrease bond prices and widen credit spreads. Also, a potential economic slowdown could lead to increased default rates among the underlying issuers, negatively impacting the ETF's performance.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 21.49
MACD -0.37
SMA 50 79.24
SMA 200 79.97
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Neutral
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.5 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.

HYG Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$79.42
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$77.86
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$82.04
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (21.5) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$75.45
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$71.48
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$67.50
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of HYG is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in HYG in September 2016 would be worth about $8,988 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HYG today could grow to about $12,860 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $18,012 and a bear case around $9,182. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

HYG ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $86.10 for HYG by 2030 in the base case, from $77.86 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $69.58. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HYG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

HYG simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $71.77 $79.84 $88.82
2028 $70.42 $81.88 $95.19
2029 $69.81 $83.96 $101
2030 $69.58 $86.10 $107
2031 $69.58 $88.30 $112
2032 $69.75 $90.54 $118
2033 $70.04 $92.85 $123
2034 $70.44 $95.22 $129
2035 $70.93 $97.64 $134
2036 $71.49 $100 $140

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HYG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current price prediction for HYG ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the median price projection for HYG in 2030 is $86.10, with a downside projection of $69.58. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees.
What is the expense ratio for the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF?
The expense ratio for HYG is 0.49%, which translates to a cost of $49.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does HYG concentrate its holdings in?
HYG primarily invests in U.S. dollar-denominated corporate bonds rated below investment grade. While it offers broad exposure, its sector allocation shows a significant concentration in Utilities, representing 0.9959% of its holdings.
How has HYG performed against its category over the long term?
Over the past 10 years, HYG has returned 4.57%, slightly underperforming its category return of 5.16%. Its 5-year return was 3.67%, also trailing the category's 4.03%.
What is the current dividend yield for HYG?
The current dividend yield for HYG is approximately 6.09%.
What are the key technical levels for HYG?
The nearest resistance levels for HYG are its 50-day SMA at $79.24 and its 200-day SMA at $79.97. The ETF is currently trading below these levels.
What is the RSI status for HYG?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for HYG is 21.49, which is considered oversold.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for HYG are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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