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As of September 11, 2026, First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) trades at $31.95. RSI at 54 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $29.32.

First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)

First Trust Natural Gas ETF NYSE

$31.95 0.0800 (0.25%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
70 / 100
First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) provides targeted exposure to U.S. natural gas companies, focusing on exploration, production, and midstream transportation. The fund's strategy centers on a portfolio of equities, depositary receipts, and MLP units, resulting in a highly concentrated allocation to the Energy sector, which represents 99.29% of its assets. As a thematic ETF, FCG serves investors seeking a dedicated vehicle for the natural gas industry. The ETF's recent performance shows a year-to-date return of 34.47%, slightly outperforming its category average of 33.40%.

FCG Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$32.20
Day Range
$31.40 to $32.27
Prev Close
$31.87
Volume
839.3K
52-Week Range
$21.76 to $33.03

FCG Fund Facts

First Trust Natural Gas ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. natural gas companies. The fund seeks to track an index of listed energy businesses involved in the exploration, production, and midstream transportation of natural gas, using a portfolio of equities, depositary receipts, and MLP units. Its holdings are concentrated in the energy sector and typically include companies across natural gas extraction, processing, and pipeline-related activities.

Issuer
First Trust
Category
Equity Energy
Inception
May 8, 2007
Expense ratio
0.59%
Net assets
$676.02M
NAV
$31.73
Distribution yield
2.04%
YTD return
34.47%
Turnover
31.00%

Sector weights

Energy 99.3%
Technology 0.7%

Trailing returns vs category

Period FCG Category
YTD 34.47% 33.40%
1 month 6.06% 2.32%
3 months 9.80% 18.69%
1 year 32.57% 64.81%
3 years 8.38% 17.73%
5 years 20.83% 20.41%
10 years 4.67% 6.80%

Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

FCG Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Buy
FCG is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $29.32 and its 200-day SMA of $27.91, indicating an overall uptrend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $31.04, also below the current price, reinforcing the bullish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.29, which falls into the neutral category, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Stochastic levels are high at 85.04, indicating strong momentum but potentially nearing overbought territory.
ProTips
  • Monitor natural gas price trends closely as they are the primary driver of FCG's performance.
  • Be aware of the high concentration risk; consider diversifying if FCG represents a large portion of your portfolio.
  • Evaluate the broader energy sector outlook and any upcoming regulatory changes that could impact natural gas production or consumption.
Market Outlook
The outlook for FCG is cautiously optimistic, driven by its current uptrend and neutral RSI. The fund's performance is intrinsically linked to the natural gas market, which is subject to significant volatility. A sustained increase in natural gas prices, driven by factors such as increased industrial demand or supply disruptions, could further propel FCG's price. Conversely, any downturn in energy prices or negative regulatory shifts could lead to a reversal. The fund's strong performance relative to its category year-to-date suggests resilience, but its long-term returns have lagged its category over 10 years.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.36
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.28
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) -0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

Key Statistics

Yield 1.99%
Day High $32.27
Day Low $31.40
52 Week High 33.03
52 Week Low 21.76
The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) holds 99.29% of its assets in the Energy sector, with a minor 0.71% in Technology. Its expense ratio is 0.59%, costing investors $5.90 per $10,000 invested annually. The fund's net assets stand at $676.02 million. The underlying sector's health is tied to the volatile natural gas market, which can be influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, weather patterns, and geopolitical events. The fund's asset allocation is almost entirely in stocks (99.96%).

Earnings & Growth Analysis

FCG's underlying holdings, which are natural gas companies, recently reported earnings. The latest earnings release on February 27, 2026, showed an earnings per share (EPS) surprise of 16.67% (actual $0.21 vs. estimate $0.18). This positive surprise was accompanied by a 2.58% price change in the fund, reflecting market reaction to the earnings results of its constituents.

Key Risks

The primary risk for FCG is its extreme concentration in the Energy sector, specifically natural gas, making it highly susceptible to fluctuations in commodity prices. Geopolitical events impacting global energy supply and demand, as well as regulatory changes affecting the fossil fuel industry, pose significant risks. Additionally, the high stochastic reading suggests potential for short-term pullbacks.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 54.29
MACD 0.70
SMA 50 29.32
SMA 200 27.91
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($29.32) above the 200-day SMA ($27.91), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

FCG Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)

CONSERVATIVE
$31.31
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$31.95
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$30.02
MAX LOSS
-4.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.3) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$32.88
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$34.44
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$36.01
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ℹ️ ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of FCG is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in FCG in September 2016 would be worth about $12,007 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FCG today could grow to about $15,155 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,435 and a bear case around $3,171. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

FCG ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $37.73 for FCG by 2030 in the base case, from $31.95 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $14.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FCG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

FCG simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $20.31 $33.31 $54.62
2028 $17.25 $34.72 $69.89
2029 $15.36 $36.19 $85.26
2030 $14.03 $37.73 $101
2031 $13.01 $39.33 $119
2032 $12.21 $41.00 $138
2033 $11.55 $42.74 $158
2034 $11.00 $44.56 $181
2035 $10.53 $46.45 $205
2036 $10.13 $48.42 $231

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FCG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?
The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means it costs $5.90 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) hold?
FCG is heavily concentrated in the Energy sector, holding 99.29% of its assets there, with a small allocation of 0.71% in Technology.
What is the distribution yield for the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?
The First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has a distribution yield of 2.04%.
How has the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) performed against its category over the past year?
Over the past year, FCG returned 32.57%, while its category returned 64.81%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers.
What is the price prediction for FCG ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for FCG ETF in 2030 is $37.73, with a downside price of $14.03 and an upside price of $101.48. These are statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What are the biggest risks associated with the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)?
The main risks include extreme concentration in the natural gas sector, vulnerability to commodity price swings, geopolitical impacts on energy markets, and potential regulatory changes affecting fossil fuels.
How does the First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) compare to its benchmark index?
FCG's benchmark is not explicitly provided, but its sector focus is Energy. Its year-to-date return of 34.47% slightly outperforms its category average of 33.40%.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for FCG are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 11, 2026.