ETF·NYSE
First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG)
- Net assets
- $637.60M
- Expense ratio
- 0.59%
- Yield
- 2.31%
- 52-week range
- $21.95 $33.03
FCG ETF forecast today
Where FCG stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
FCG at a glance
First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG): Strong Buy, 88/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($30.73 and $29.00).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.59%, $637.6M in net assets, price up 43.3% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) Strong Buy, with a model score of 88/100.
The trend lifts the score most: the price is 11.44% above its 200-day average and 5.17% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 5.97% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $30.73 and the 200-day at $29.00. Over the past year the price rose 43.33%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from FCG's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
FCG ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $32.32 is 5.2% above the 50-day simple moving average of $30.73.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 11.4% above the 200-day simple moving average of $29.00.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($30.73) is 6.0% above the 200-day average ($29.00), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 94% of its 52-week range, between $21.95 and $33.03.
FCG share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far FCG has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where FCG sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
FCG fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
2/5Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.59% a year, $59.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $637.6M.No sector above 35% of the fund ›
The largest sector, Energy, makes up 98.0% of the fund.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 2.31%.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 43.33% over the past year.
FCG Fund Facts
First Trust Natural Gas ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides targeted exposure to U.S. natural gas companies. The fund seeks to track an index of listed energy businesses involved in the exploration, production, and midstream transportation of natural gas, using a portfolio of equities, depositary receipts, and MLP units. Its holdings are concentrated in the energy sector and typically include companies across natural gas extraction, processing, and pipeline-related activities.
Sector weights
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | FCG |
|---|---|
| YTD | 23.92% |
| 1 month | -7.85% |
| 3 months | 7.87% |
| 1 year | 24.46% |
| 3 years | 5.98% |
| 5 years | 14.41% |
| 10 years | 3.44% |
As of Oct 27, 2026, FCG has an expense ratio of 0.59%, $637.60M in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.31%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for FCG.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of FCG's holdings, performance and risks.
Energy is the largest sector in First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) at 98.0%, ahead of Technology at 2.0%. Almost the whole fund is in that one sector, so FCG rises and falls with it. FCG is an Equity Energy fund from First Trust, launched on May 8, 2007.
FCG charges 0.59% a year, which works out to $59.00 on every $10,000 placed in the fund. The fund holds $637.6M in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 2.31%, and portfolio turnover is 31%.
Normal swings for FCG run at about 1.43% a day. With 98.0% of its holdings in Energy, the fund depends heavily on one sector.
FCG AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 66.1, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 66.1 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of FCG
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) is in an uptrend. Its price of $32.32 sits 11.44% above the 200-day average of $29.00 and 5.17% above the 50-day average of $30.73. The fund is near the top of its 52-week range: the price is 2.15% below the high of $33.03 and 47.24% above the low of $21.95. The 50-day average is 5.97% above the 200-day average, which supports the uptrend instead of working against it.
The 14-day RSI of 66.1 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive. The recent returns are all positive: the price rose 17.02% over the past three months, rose 5.97% over the past six months and rose 43.33% over the past year.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $33.03 sits above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $30.98 sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 66.1 falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- Costs compound: at 0.59% a year, FCG charges $59.00 on every $10,000 invested.
The uptrend rests on FCG staying above its 50-day average at $30.73 and its 200-day average at $29.00; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at $30.98.
First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) has the 52-week high of $33.03 as its next level overhead. The RSI sits in the bullish zone, which means momentum still supports the move higher.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for FCG, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with FCG at $32.32, its 14-day RSI is 66.1 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $30.73 and its 200-day is $29.00.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What FCG moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, FCG's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.33 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.24 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.02 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.02 with gold (XAU).
FCG trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
FCG trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from FCG's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much FCG tends to move, against the market and on its own.
FCG price history and drawdowns
FCG's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.43% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 84.0%, from December 2016 to March 2020, regained by March 2022.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
52% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $16,826, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
FCG Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, FCG's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -84.0% (December 2016 to March 2020); it regained that peak by March 2022, 24 months after the low, and 52% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into FCG in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: FCG trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $16,826 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in FCG in October 2016 would be worth about $16,826 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to FCG, and which have not.
Strongest month, April: an average of +7.26%, up in 5 of 10 years.
Weakest month, August: an average of -0.73%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.29%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, FCG's strongest calendar month has been April (average +7.26%, up in 5 of 10 years) and its weakest August (average -0.73%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
FCG price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in FCG, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in FCG today could grow to about $11,947 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $32,131 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,442. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.31% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FCG 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $38.61 for FCG by 2030 in the base case, from $32.32 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $14.36. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FCG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $20.60 | $33.79 | $55.41 | |
| 2028 | $17.55 | $35.33 | $71.11 | |
| 2029 | $15.68 | $36.93 | $87.00 | |
| 2030 | $14.36 | $38.61 | $104 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of FCG's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
FCG ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.