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As of September 11, 2026, iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) trades at $99.97. RSI at 21 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $104.21.
iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)
iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF NYSE
$99.97
-0.9400 (-0.93%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is experiencing a significant downturn, with its price currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The fund, which tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index, offers diversified exposure to U.S. real estate equities, primarily focusing on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Despite holding nearly 100% in real estate equities, IYR has underperformed its category year-to-date and over the past year, indicating sector-specific weakness or broader market rotation away from real estate assets. The fund's assets under management stand at $4.39 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.37%.
IYR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$101.21
Day Range
$99.80 to $101.33
Prev Close
$100.91
Volume
9.33M
52-Week Range
$92.45 to $108.17
Market Cap
$5.00B
IYR Fund Facts
iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to U.S. real estate equities, with a primary focus on real estate investment trusts and related property companies. The fund seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index, which includes companies operating across key property segments such as healthcare real estate, industrial warehouses, retail centers, data centers, self-storage, and real estate services.
Issuer
iShares
Category
Real Estate
Inception
Jun 12, 2000
Expense ratio
0.37%
Net assets
$4.39B
NAV
$102.00
Distribution yield
2.21%
YTD return
10.09%
Turnover
9.00%
Sector weights
Realestate
99.5%
Communication Services
0.6%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | IYR | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 10.09% | 11.54% |
| 1 month | -2.32% | 9.00% |
| 3 months | 1.66% | 8.50% |
| 1 year | 7.54% | 14.73% |
| 3 years | 9.13% | 9.62% |
| 5 years | 1.38% | 3.81% |
| 10 years | 5.24% | 5.85% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
IYR Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has shifted for IYR: the RSI has moved from a neutral level to oversold at 21.2. The ETF's volume was 65.3% above its average on the latest trading day, indicating significant selling pressure. IYR is trading below its 20-day EMA (102.96) and its 50-day SMA (104.21), with the 50-day SMA now acting as resistance. The price is currently above its 200-day SMA (99.93), but the proximity suggests a potential breakdown. The MACD is negative at -0.91, reinforcing the bearish short-term trend.
ProTips
- Consider the high concentration risk in the Real Estate sector before investing in IYR.
- Monitor interest rate movements and their impact on REITs and property values.
- Compare IYR's performance against broader real estate sector ETFs and its category for a comprehensive view.
Market Outlook
The 6-12 month outlook for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is bearish, despite its current oversold technical status. The ETF's price is trending downwards, with the 50-day SMA acting as resistance, and it has shown consistent underperformance against its category. Significant headwinds in the real estate sector, potentially driven by interest rate sensitivity and evolving demand for commercial properties, are likely to continue pressuring the ETF. Any potential shift in the thesis would require a decisive break above the 50-day SMA, sustained positive momentum, and a reversal of the sector's underperformance. Until then, investors should anticipate continued volatility and potential further downside.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.49
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 5.00B |
|---|---|
| Yield | 2.26% |
| Day High | $101.33 |
| Day Low | $99.80 |
| 52 Week High | 108.17 |
| 52 Week Low | 92.45 |
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is heavily concentrated in the Real Estate sector, with 99.45% of its assets allocated to this industry. The fund's overview highlights its strategy to provide broad exposure to U.S. property companies and REITs across various segments like healthcare, industrial, and retail. While the sector itself is not detailed, the fund's underperformance against its category in multiple timeframes, including year-to-date (10.09% vs 11.54%) and the past year (7.54% vs 14.73%), suggests potential headwinds within the real estate market or a rotation out of the sector by investors. The expense ratio for this fund is 0.37%.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Recent earnings reports for underlying holdings in the real estate sector show mixed results. In February 2026, an earnings estimate surprise of 3.3% was reported, with actual EPS at $4.07 against an estimate of $3.94, though the stock price saw a minor decline of 1.19%. A prior report in September 2025 also showed a positive surprise of 4.88% in EPS ($0.86 vs $0.82), with a negligible price change of -0.11%. These figures suggest that while some companies are meeting or slightly exceeding expectations, it is not translating into sustained positive price action for the ETF.
Key Risks
The primary risk for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is its significant concentration in the Real Estate sector, making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns. The ETF is currently exhibiting extreme oversold technical conditions, which could lead to a sharp rebound, but the bearish price trend and underperformance against its category indicate underlying weakness. Macroeconomic factors impacting interest rates and commercial real estate demand could further pressure the fund's performance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.20 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.91 |
| SMA 50 | 104.21 |
| SMA 200 | 99.93 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($104.21) above the 200-day SMA ($99.93), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 21.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
IYR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$101.97
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$99.97
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$105.33
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (21.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$96.87
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$91.77
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$86.67
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of IYR is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IYR in September 2016 would be worth about $12,368 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IYR today could grow to about $15,409 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $35,529 and a bear case around $6,683. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IYR ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $119 for IYR by 2030 in the base case, from $99.97 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $70.07. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IYR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $80.15 | $104 | $136 |
| 2028 | $75.02 | $109 | $158 |
| 2029 | $72.02 | $114 | $180 |
| 2030 | $70.07 | $119 | $202 |
| 2031 | $68.74 | $124 | $224 |
| 2032 | $67.84 | $130 | $247 |
| 2033 | $67.26 | $135 | $272 |
| 2034 | $66.92 | $141 | $298 |
| 2035 | $66.78 | $148 | $326 |
| 2036 | $66.81 | $154 | $355 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IYR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)?
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) has an expense ratio of 0.37%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, $37 would be allocated to fund expenses annually.
What does the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) hold and which sectors is it concentrated in?
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is highly concentrated in the Real Estate sector, holding 99.45% in this industry. It provides exposure to U.S. real estate equities, primarily focusing on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and related property companies across various segments.
How has the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) performed against its category?
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) has underperformed its category over multiple periods. Year-to-date, its return was 10.09% compared to the category's 11.54%. Over the past year, IYR returned 7.54% while the category achieved 14.73%.
What is the current price prediction for IYR ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for the IYR ETF in 2030 is $118.84. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $70.07 and an upside price of $201.58. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees.
What are the biggest risks associated with the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)?
The primary risks for IYR include significant concentration in the Real Estate sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns. Additionally, the ETF faces bearish price trends and underperformance relative to its category, alongside potential impacts from macroeconomic factors affecting real estate demand and interest rates.
What is the technical outlook for the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR)?
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) is currently in an oversold technical condition with an RSI at 21.2. However, it is trading below key moving averages (20-day EMA and 50-day SMA), indicating a bearish short-term trend. High volume suggests significant selling pressure.
How does the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) compare to its benchmark index?
The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index.