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As of September 10, 2026, StubHub Holdings Inc. (STUB) trades at $5.95. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $6.01, 1.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $11.00 across 14 analysts. RSI at 28 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $8.70.
StubHub Holdings Inc. (STUB)
StubHub Holdings Inc. NYSE
$5.95
-0.0600 (-1.00%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
StubHub Holdings Inc. is currently trading at $6.01, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($8.70 and $9.82), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's revenue is projected to grow by 16.00% in the current year, reaching approximately $2 billion, with further growth expected next year. However, StubHub Holdings Inc. continues to report negative EPS, with the latest quarter showing an actual EPS of $0.02 against an estimate of $0.07, a miss of 71.43% and a 10.07% price drop. The persistent insider selling, with over $11.2 million in sales versus no reported purchases, signals a lack of confidence from management. Despite the negative profitability and insider activity, the consensus among 14 Wall Street analysts is a 'Hold' rating, with a median price target of $11.00, suggesting an 83.02% upside from the current price. This divergence between insider sentiment and analyst optimism, coupled with oversold technical indicators, creates a complex investment profile. The company's primary risk lies in its inability to achieve profitability and the potential for further dilution or negative catalysts stemming from continued insider divestitures.
STUB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$5.96
Day Range
$5.83 to $6.04
Prev Close
$6.01
Volume
4.87M
52-Week Range
$5.74 to $27.89
Market Cap
$2.30B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Communication Services)
Performance vs VOX
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, STUB trades at 1.19x, -72% versus the sector average of 4.20x.
STUB Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, STUB beat estimates 0 times. The company has struggled to beat estimates recently.
STUB Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
StubHub Holdings Inc. is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $6.01 sitting below the 50-day SMA of $8.70 and the 200-day SMA of $9.82. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.75, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a short-term bounce. MACD is also negative at -0.68, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are difficult to ascertain given the limited trading history and recent price action, but the current price represents a critical juncture. Volume has been slightly below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at these levels. The oversold RSI presents a potential for a technical rebound, but the persistent downward trend and negative momentum indicators suggest caution is warranted until a clear upward trend emerges.
ProTips
- Given the ongoing insider selling and negative EPS, investors should exercise caution and consider a smaller position size until a clear turnaround is evident.
- The oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term technical bounce, but this should not be interpreted as a fundamental shift without confirmation from improved earnings or insider buying.
- Monitor future earnings reports closely for signs of improved profitability and a reduction in the negative EPS trend.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Persistent Insider Selling Exceeds $11.2 Million
Insiders have sold over $11.2 million worth of StubHub Holdings Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling further downward pressure on the stock price.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Recent Earnings Miss and Stock Price Decline
The latest earnings report showed an EPS miss of 71.43% and resulted in a 10.07% stock price drop, highlighting ongoing challenges in meeting analyst expectations and impacting investor sentiment.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast 16.00% revenue growth for the current year, reaching approximately $2 billion, which could provide a foundation for future profitability if operational efficiencies improve.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Significant Upside to Analyst Price Targets
The median Wall Street price target of $11.00 suggests an 83.02% upside from the current stock price, indicating analyst optimism about a potential recovery.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesMarket Outlook
StubHub Holdings Inc. faces a challenging outlook characterized by a bearish technical setup and persistent profitability concerns, yet it is buoyed by analyst optimism regarding revenue growth and a significant upside to their price targets. The base case scenario suggests the stock could remain range-bound or experience a technical bounce from oversold levels, but sustained upward momentum will likely depend on a clear path to profitability and a reversal of insider selling trends. Upside catalysts could emerge from stronger-than-expected revenue growth or a successful turnaround in operational efficiency that leads to positive EPS. Conversely, continued earnings misses, further insider divestitures, or increased competition could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the lower bounds of analyst price targets and long-range projections. The company's ability to convert revenue growth into net profit will be the critical determinant of its future performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.30B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -5.91 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 27.89 |
| 52 Week Low | 5.74 |
StubHub Holdings Inc. exhibits a negative P/E ratio due to its EPS of -5.91, making traditional valuation metrics uninformative. However, revenue growth is a positive point, with current year estimates at 16.00% year-over-year growth to approximately $2 billion. This growth is expected to moderate to 10.00% in the next year. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the persistent negative EPS and significant insider selling raise concerns about long-term profitability and cash flow generation. While analysts project revenue growth, the path to positive net income remains unclear, and the current valuation is not supported by earnings.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
StubHub Holdings Inc. missed earnings expectations in its most recent reported quarter ending August 12, 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.02 compared to an estimated $0.07, a surprise of -71.43%. This miss was accompanied by a 10.07% drop in stock price. The prior quarter also showed a significant miss, with actual EPS of -0.05 against an estimate of -0.01, a -400% surprise. This pattern of earnings misses suggests ongoing operational challenges in achieving profitability.
Key Risks
The primary risk for StubHub Holdings Inc. is its persistent lack of profitability, evidenced by negative EPS and recent earnings misses. Also, significant insider selling, totaling over $11.2 million with no offsetting purchases, indicates a lack of confidence from management and could signal further downside pressure. The company's stock is also trading well below its key moving averages, suggesting a strong bearish technical trend that could continue.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 27.75 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.68 |
| SMA 50 | 8.70 |
| SMA 200 | 9.82 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $8.705, 200-day: $9.819), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 27.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
STUB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$5.891
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$5.950
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$5.437
MAX LOSS
-7.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (27.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$6.067
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$6.185
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$6.362
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
STUB is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.28%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in STUB in September 2025 would be worth about $2,732 today, compared with about $11,566 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STUB today could grow to about $10,034 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $76,127 and a bear case around $1,323. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
STUB Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.96 for STUB by 2030 in the base case, from $5.95 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.65. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STUB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.14 | $5.95 | $11.30 |
| 2028 | $2.41 | $5.95 | $14.74 |
| 2029 | $1.96 | $5.96 | $18.07 |
| 2030 | $1.65 | $5.96 | $21.46 |
| 2031 | $1.42 | $5.96 | $24.98 |
| 2032 | $1.24 | $5.96 | $28.65 |
| 2033 | $1.09 | $5.96 | $32.50 |
| 2034 | $0.974 | $5.97 | $36.55 |
| 2035 | $0.8729 | $5.97 | $40.81 |
| 2036 | $0.787 | $5.97 | $45.30 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using STUB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
STUB Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$11.2M
20 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$561.6K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | STREAMS MARK
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 232.6K | $2.1M |
| Aug 26, 2026 | ISLAM NAYAAB
President
|
Sell | 305.7K | $2.1M |
| Aug 25, 2026 | STREAMS MARK
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 166.7K | $1.1M |
| Sep 3, 2026 | STREAMS MARK
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 165.5K | $1.1M |
| Sep 4, 2026 | ISLAM NAYAAB
President
|
Sell | 135.0K | $899.2K |
| Aug 18, 2026 | JAMES CONSTANCE P.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 116.6K | $823.0K |
| Jul 6, 2026 | ISLAM NAYAAB
President
|
Sell | 56.9K | $741.5K |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FITZGERALD SCOTT MICHAEL
Officer
|
Sell | 85.0K | $602.0K |
| Jul 6, 2026 | STREAMS MARK
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 31.5K | $410.4K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | ISLAM NAYAAB
President
|
Sell | 26.7K | $347.8K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is StubHub Holdings Inc. stock a buy right now?
StubHub Holdings Inc. is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59 out of 100. While the stock is trading at oversold levels technically and analysts see significant upside to a median price target of $11.00, persistent insider selling and negative earnings present considerable risks.
What is StubHub Holdings Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, StubHub Holdings Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $6.02 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $1.67, while the upside projection reaches $21.68. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
What is the revenue growth outlook for StubHub Holdings Inc.?
StubHub Holdings Inc. is expected to achieve 16.00% revenue growth in the current year, reaching approximately $2 billion. Growth is projected to slow to 10.00% in the next year, with current quarter revenue estimates at $513.7 million.
How has StubHub Holdings Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
StubHub Holdings Inc. has a recent history of missing earnings expectations. The latest report showed an EPS miss of 71.43%, and the prior quarter had a miss of 400%, both resulting in significant stock price declines.
What are the key risks facing StubHub Holdings Inc.?
Key risks include the company's ongoing unprofitability, evidenced by negative EPS and recent earnings misses. Significant insider selling also raises concerns about management confidence, and the stock is currently in a bearish technical trend, trading below its key moving averages.
What is the dividend yield for StubHub Holdings Inc. stock?
StubHub Holdings Inc. does not currently pay a dividend, with a reported dividend yield and rate of 0%.
How does StubHub Holdings Inc. compare to its sector averages?
StubHub Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year exceeds the sector average of 10.00%. However, its profitability metrics are significantly weaker, with negative EPS compared to a sector average ROE of 15.0% and a sector average P/E ratio of -1.01 (negative due to EPS of $-5.91).