Stock·NYSE·Communication Services
StubHub Holdings Inc. (STUB)
- Market cap
- $2.20B
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $11.00median of 14 analysts
- 52-week range
- $5.22 $21.49
The short version
Where STUB stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
STUB at a glance
StubHub Holdings Inc. (STUB): Hold, 48/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($6.34 and $8.87).
- Insiders Insiders sold $11.3M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
StubHub Holdings Inc. (STUB) is trading at $5.785, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($6.34 and $8.87), indicating a bearish short-term trend.
The company has demonstrated accelerating revenue growth, with current year estimates at +16.00% and next year at +10.00%. Analysts are largely optimistic, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $11.00, suggesting a 90.1% upside potential. However, significant insider selling, totaling $11.3 million against zero purchases, and a negative EPS of -5.77 raise concerns about management's confidence and the company's profitability. The company's fundamental picture is mixed. While revenue growth is improving, StubHub Holdings Inc. is currently loss-making with a negative EPS and a net profit margin of -91.27%. Its return on equity is also significantly negative at -102.95%. Despite these challenges, the company's price-to-sales ratio of 1.10 is below the sector median of 2.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation on a sales basis. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.67, which is in line with the sector average.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from STUB's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $5.79 is 8.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $6.34.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 34.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $8.87.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($6.34) is 28.4% below the 200-day average ($8.87), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 4% of its 52-week range, between $5.22 and $21.49.
STUB share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far STUB has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where STUB sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
1/2P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 1.10 is 56.0% below the sector median of 2.5.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $-1.8B on revenue of $1.9B, a net margin of -95.4%.
Key statistics
The headline figures for STUB.
As of October 16, 2026, STUB trades at $5.79, with a market value of $2.20B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of STUB's valuation, growth and risks.
StubHub Holdings Inc. exhibits a mixed fundamental profile, with improving revenue growth juxtaposed against persistent unprofitability.
The company's current year revenue growth is estimated at +16.00%, with next year projected at +10.00%, trailing the sector median of 13.9%. However, StubHub Holdings Inc. is currently loss-making, reporting a negative EPS of -5.77 and a net profit margin of -91.27%. Its return on equity is also significantly negative at -102.95%. Valuation metrics show a price-to-sales ratio of 1.10, which is below the sector median of 2.5, indicating that the stock may be attractively priced relative to its sales. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.67, aligning with the sector average. Despite the negative earnings, the forward P/E ratio is not applicable due to negative EPS, but analyst estimates project a return to profitability with EPS expected to grow to $0.60904 next year.
STUB against the Communication Services sector
How STUB compares with the median Communication Services stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, STUB trades at 1.10x, -56% versus the sector average of 2.50x.
Return vs VOX: Since Sep 17, 2025, STUB has lost 73.7% against a gain of 0.1% for VOX.
Performance against VOX
STUB and the Communication Services sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much STUB sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 1.4% in FY2025 to $1.7B, from $1.8B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -109.2% in FY2025, down from -0.2% the year before.
Profitable: STUB lost $1.9B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did STUB beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: STUB did not beat the analyst estimate in the last quarter.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026after close | $0.07 | $0.02 | -71.43% | -10.07% | -18.74% |
As of October 16, 2026, STUB has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 reported quarters; its latest report, on August 12, 2026, came in 71.43% below the estimate and the stock moved -10.07% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 45.7, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 45.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of STUB
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
StubHub Holdings Inc. is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price of $5.785 sitting below the 50-day SMA of $6.34 and the 200-day SMA of $8.87.
The 14-day RSI is at 45.7, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.14, suggesting a lack of strong directional momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the recent trading history and the price's position below longer-term averages. Resistance is expected near the 50-day SMA at $6.34 and the 200-day SMA at $8.87. The overall chart structure points to a bearish short-term outlook, with a potential for further downside if key support levels are breached.
Analyst Upgrades and Positive Price Targets ›
Multiple analysts have recently upgraded their ratings to 'Buy' or 'Outperform', with a median price target of $11.00, indicating strong conviction in future stock performance.
Source: Wall Street Analyst RatingsImproving Revenue Growth Estimates ›
Current year revenue growth is estimated at +16.00%, with next year projected at +10.00%, surpassing sector averages and signaling a positive top-line trajectory.
Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates
Significant Insider Selling ›
Insiders have sold a total of $11.3 million in stock with no reported purchases.
Source: Insider Transaction DataRecent Earnings Miss ›
The company missed EPS estimates in its latest reported quarter (August 12, 2026), with actual EPS of $0.02 versus an estimate of $0.07, leading to a -10.07% stock price reaction.
Source: Earnings Report
- Given the significant insider selling totaling $11.3 million, investors should closely monitor future insider transactions for any signs of a change in management sentiment.
- The stock is trading below its key moving averages with extremely low recent volume, suggesting a lack of immediate bullish momentum. Consider waiting for a clear technical breakout above the 50-day SMA at $6.34 before initiating new positions.
- With a negative EPS and net profit margin, risk management is paramount. Consider tighter stop-loss orders, potentially 1.5x the daily volatility if it exceeds 5%, to protect against sharp price movements.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for STUB, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with STUB at $5.79, its 14-day RSI is 45.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $6.34 and its 200-day is $8.87.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What STUB moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, STUB's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.26 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.21 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
3/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 14 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $11.00 is 90.1% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 14 rate it a buy now, against 7 of 14 three months ago.
STUB Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $5.79, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy |
| Aug 21, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform |
As of October 16, 2026, 14 Wall Street analysts cover STUB: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $7.00 to $15.00, with a median of $11.00, 90.1% above the price of $5.79.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
STUB trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
STUB moves about 3.1% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much STUB tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
STUB's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 3.07% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 75.9%, from September 2025 to September 2026; the price is still 73.7% below that peak.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in September 2025 is now worth $2,618.18, against $11,867 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
STUB Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, STUB's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year with dividends reinvested was -75.9% (September 2025 to September 2026); it is still 73.7% below that peak.
From daily closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into STUB in September 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: STUB trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $2,618.18 against $11,867.
A $10,000 investment in STUB in September 2025 would be worth about $2,618 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $11,867 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to STUB, and which have not.
Strongest month, May: an average of +29.23%.
Weakest month, March: an average of -36.71%.
This month, October: has averaged +11.92%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in STUB, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STUB today could grow to about $9,222 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $69,966 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,216. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
STUB Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.60 for STUB by 2030 in the base case, from $5.79 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.55. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STUB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.02 | $5.74 | $10.89 | |
| 2028 | $2.30 | $5.69 | $14.09 | |
| 2029 | $1.86 | $5.65 | $17.13 | |
| 2030 | $1.55 | $5.60 | $20.18 | |
| 2031 | $1.33 | $5.56 | $23.28 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of STUB's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
STUB insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought STUB shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 16, 2026, STUB insiders reported 21 open-market sales worth $11.3M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Thomas A Patterson
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 42.4K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 14.3K | $88.7K |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 135.0K | $899.2K |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 165.5K | $1.1M |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 305.7K | $2.1M |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 2.5K | $17.4K |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 166.7K | $1.1M |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Sell | 85.0K | $602.0K |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Constance P. James
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 116.6K | $823.0K |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sameer Bhargava
Director
|
Grant | 27.8K | - |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Jeremy S Levine
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 27.8K | - |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 2.8K | $39.2K |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Mark Streams
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 400 | $5.6K |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 56.9K | $741.5K |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 31.5K | $410.4K |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 155.5K | - |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 26.7K | $347.8K |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer
|
Sell | 18.5K | $240.7K |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 25.1K | $302.1K |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Eric Howard Baker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 739.3K | $406.6K |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Sell | 16.7K | $190.1K |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Sell | 867 | $9.0K |
| May 26, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Grant | 623.3K | - |
| May 26, 2026 | Constance P. James
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 154.7K | - |
| May 26, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 341.6K | - |
| May 26, 2026 | Artem Yegorov
Chief Technology Officer
|
Grant | 1.5M | - |
| May 14, 2026 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 232.6K | $2.1M |
| May 11, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $12.2K |
| May 11, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Grant | 190.2K | - |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6K | $10.5K |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Grant | 25.3K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Eric Howard Baker
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 55.0K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Sameer Bhargava
Director
|
Grant | 16.5K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Jeffrey M Blackburn
Director
|
Grant | 110.1K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Nayaab Islam
President
|
Grant | 5.5K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Rajini Sundar Kodialam
Director
|
Grant | 148.7K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Jeremy S Levine
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 129.4K | - |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Westcap Management, L.l.c,
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 6.3M | $147.0M |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Scott Michael Fitzgerald
Officer
|
Sell | 28.4K | $217.5K |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Sameer Bhargava
Director
|
Grant | 12.8K | - |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Jeffrey M Blackburn
Director
|
Grant | 12.8K | - |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Rajini Sundar Kodialam
Director
|
Grant | 12.8K | - |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Thomas A Patterson
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Grant | 12.8K | - |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Mark Streams
Officer and Director
|
Grant | 42.6K | - |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Westcap Management, L.l.c,
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Option | 1.4M | $29.3M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.