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As of September 16, 2026, Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) trades at $47.09. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $47.09, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $40.00 across 8 analysts. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $47.95.
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM)
Iridium Communications Inc. NASDAQ
$47.09
0.9100 (1.97%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is trading at $47.09, above its 200-day moving average but below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating a mixed technical picture. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 10.55% and a return on equity of 19.72%, but its price-to-sales ratio of 5.54 is significantly higher than the sector median of 2.4. Moderate insider selling, with $184.6M in total sales versus $2.1M in total purchases, suggests a cautious sentiment from management. Wall Street analysts collectively rate IRDM as a 'Hold' with a median price target of $40, implying a potential downside of 15.1% from the current trading price. While the company operates in the 'Communication Services' sector, its valuation metrics appear stretched relative to sector averages, and recent earnings have shown misses against estimates. The stock's current price action and analyst sentiment point towards a period of consolidation or potential pullback.
IRDM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$45.88
Day Range
$45.88 to $47.22
Prev Close
$46.18
Volume
971.0K
52-Week Range
$15.65 to $57.18
Market Cap
$4.99B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Communication Services)
Performance vs VOX
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+122%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
IRDM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, IRDM beat estimates 0 times. The company has struggled to beat estimates recently.
IRDM Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-15.06% Downside
Median of 8 analysts (12-month)
$40.00
AI Technical Analysis
Iridium Communications Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $47.95 and the 20-day EMA at $47.39, while remaining above its 200-day SMA at $35.00. The RSI is neutral at 49.92, and the MACD is slightly negative at -0.35, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Volume has been above average recently, with the latest volume at 971,000 compared to an average of 725,580, indicating increased investor interest. Key support is seen around the 200-day moving average, while resistance lies near the 50-day moving average. The current technical setup suggests that the stock may struggle to break out to the upside without a significant catalyst.
ProTips
- Consider the implications of moderate insider selling, with $20.2 million in sales versus $871.3 thousand in purchases, as a signal of management's current sentiment on the stock's valuation.
- Monitor the stock's ability to reclaim its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, which currently stand at $47.95 and $47.39 respectively, as a key indicator of potential short-term trend reversal.
- Given the 'Hold' consensus and downside implied by the median analyst target price, position sizing should reflect the risk of limited upside and potential for further price declines.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Trend
Insiders have sold $20.2 million worth of stock versus purchasing $871.3 thousand, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Earnings Misses Against Analyst Expectations
The company has recently missed earnings estimates, including a significant -36.67% surprise in the quarter ending June 2026, raising concerns about profitability and future guidance.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Wall Street Median Price Target Below Current Price
The median analyst price target of $40 is 15.1% below the current stock price of $47.09, suggesting a consensus view of limited upside potential.
Source: Analyst RatingsNeutral
Positive Revenue Growth Estimates
Forward revenue estimates show positive year-over-year growth, with the current quarter projected at +10.00% and the next quarter at +16.00%, indicating continued top-line expansion.
Source: Analyst EstimatesMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Iridium Communications Inc. suggests a challenging near-term trajectory, given the current price is trading below key short-term moving averages and Wall Street's median price target of $40 implies a 15.1% downside. The company's elevated valuation metrics, particularly its price-to-sales ratio, coupled with a pattern of earnings misses, contribute to a cautious outlook. Potential catalysts for upside could include stronger-than-expected revenue growth or positive developments in its satellite network services. However, downside risks are significant, including continued underperformance against earnings estimates, increasing competition, or a broader market downturn that could exacerbate current valuation concerns. The moderate insider selling also suggests that management may not see substantial immediate upside potential.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.99B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 53.08 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.8700 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.27% |
| 52 Week High | 57.18 |
| 52 Week Low | 15.65 |
Iridium Communications Inc. exhibits a price-to-sales ratio of 5.54, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 2.4, indicating a premium valuation. Despite this, the company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 10.55% and an operating margin of 15.10%, alongside a healthy return on equity of 19.72%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 3.79, which is higher than the sector average, suggesting a more leveraged capital structure. While the company is profitable, the elevated P/S ratio coupled with higher debt levels warrants caution, especially given the Wall Street consensus points to a downside from current levels.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Iridium Communications Inc. has recently missed earnings estimates for the quarter to June 2026, reporting EPS of $0.19 against an estimate of $0.30, a surprise of -36.67%, which was accompanied by a 1.66% price increase. Prior quarters also showed misses against estimates, indicating a pattern of underperformance relative to analyst expectations. While revenue growth was reported at 3.8%, the consistent earnings misses suggest challenges in translating revenue into profit as anticipated by the market. Forward revenue estimates for the current and next quarters show positive year-over-year growth, but the recent earnings trend warrants close monitoring.
Key Risks
Iridium Communications Inc. faces significant valuation risk, with its price-to-sales ratio of 5.54 substantially exceeding the sector median of 2.4. Also, moderate insider selling, totaling $20.2 million in sales against $871.3 thousand in purchases, signals potential caution from management regarding the stock's current valuation. The 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street analysts and a median price target of $40, which is below the current price, indicate that the market does not foresee substantial upside from current levels.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 49.92 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.35 |
| SMA 50 | 47.95 |
| SMA 200 | 35.00 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($47.95) above the 200-day SMA ($35.00), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with IRDM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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IRDM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$46.62
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$47.09
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$44.58
MAX LOSS
-4.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (49.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$48.02
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$48.95
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$50.35
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for IRDM is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IRDM in September 2016 would be worth about $63,208 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IRDM today could grow to about $33,746 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $219,002 and a bear case around $5,200. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IRDM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $76.60 for IRDM by 2030 in the base case, from $47.09 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $23.47. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IRDM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $29.44 | $53.18 | $96.07 |
| 2028 | $26.02 | $60.06 | $139 |
| 2029 | $24.35 | $67.83 | $189 |
| 2030 | $23.47 | $76.60 | $250 |
| 2031 | $23.05 | $86.50 | $325 |
| 2032 | $22.95 | $97.69 | $416 |
| 2033 | $23.07 | $110 | $528 |
| 2034 | $23.39 | $125 | $664 |
| 2035 | $23.87 | $141 | $830 |
| 2036 | $24.49 | $159 | $1,031 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IRDM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. IRDM is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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IRDM Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$871.3K
2 Transactions
Sold
$20.2M
11 Transactions
Insiders
18
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2021 | BARALONCO LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 500.0K | $20.2M |
| Feb 18, 2021 | FITZPATRICK THOMAS J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 241.8K | $11.5M |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FITZPATRICK THOMAS J
Director
|
Sell | 224.3K | $11.2M |
| Apr 26, 2019 | FITZPATRICK THOMAS J
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 244.8K | $6.6M |
| Feb 22, 2023 | DESCH MATTHEW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.1K | $6.3M |
| Mar 13, 2023 | SCHEIMREIF SCOTT T.
Officer
|
Sell | 96.3K | $5.8M |
| Jul 28, 2020 | DESCH MATTHEW J
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $5.7M |
| Aug 19, 2022 | KRONGARD ALVIN BERNARD
Director
|
Sell | 115.0K | $5.2M |
| Feb 23, 2023 | NIEHAUS ROBERT H
Director
|
Sell | 70.0K | $4.4M |
| Aug 17, 2026 | MCBRIDE SUZANNE E
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 85.5K | $4.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Iridium Communications Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Iridium Communications Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $76.60 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $23.47, while the upside projection reaches $249.99. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Iridium Communications Inc. stock a buy or sell?
Iridium Communications Inc. is currently rated as a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts. The consensus score is 59 out of 100, and the median analyst price target of $40 suggests a potential downside from the current price of $47.09.
What are the key risks for Iridium Communications Inc.?
Key risks include its elevated valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio significantly above sector averages, and moderate insider selling indicating potential management caution. Additionally, recent earnings have missed analyst expectations, and the Wall Street consensus points to a potential downside from current price levels.
How does Iridium Communications Inc. compare to its sector peers?
Iridium Communications Inc. operates in the Communication Services sector. Its price-to-sales ratio of 5.54 is notably higher than the sector median of 2.4, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 3.79 is also higher than the sector average. However, its profit margin of 10.55% and return on equity of 19.72% are strong.
What is the outlook for Iridium Communications Inc. revenue growth?
Forward revenue estimates indicate positive growth, with the current quarter projected at +10.00% year-over-year and the next quarter at +16.00%. For the current year, revenue growth is estimated at 8.00%, and for next year, it is projected at 6.00%.
What has been the recent earnings performance of Iridium Communications Inc.?
Iridium Communications Inc. has recently missed earnings estimates, including a -36.67% surprise for the quarter ending June 2026. This pattern of earnings misses against analyst expectations suggests potential challenges in profitability.
Are insiders buying or selling Iridium Communications Inc. stock?
Insiders are net sellers of Iridium Communications Inc. stock, with total sales amounting to $20.2 million compared to total purchases of $871.3 thousand in recent filings. This indicates a moderate sell signal from management.