CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Jacob Bakshi, Senior Market Strategist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is currently trading at $45.78, below its 50-day simple moving average of $47.98. The company's long-term outlook appears positive, with projected earnings per share growth of 58.8% next year and an average 5-year compound annual growth rate of 94.7%. However, recent insider activity shows a net seller position, with total sales of $20.4 million versus $871.3 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal. The median Wall Street price target of $40.00 also suggests a potential downside of 12.6% from the current price. Despite these near-term concerns, Iridium's revenue is projected to grow by 8.00% this year and 6.00% next year. The company's profit margin stands at 10.55%, and its operating margin is 15.10%. While the stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, it remains above its 200-day SMA, indicating some underlying support. The primary risk revolves around the current valuation and insider selling pressure, which may weigh on short-term performance.
IRDM at a glance
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM): Hold, 41/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendMixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($38.20 and $47.98).
EarningsIRDM has not beaten estimates in any of its last 3 quarters.
InsidersInsiders sold $20.4M and bought $871K over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 53.1 against 23.9 for the Communication Services sector: a premium to peers (+122%).
As of October 15, 2026, Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) trades at $45.78. Wall Street's consensus target is $40.00 across 8 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 36, showing bearish momentum without being oversold, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $47.98.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from IRDM's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+122%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
IRDM Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 3 quarters, IRDM did not beat the analyst estimate.
IRDM earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Jul 22, 2026
$0.30
$0.19
-36.67%
+1.66%
-5.34%
Apr 23, 2026
$0.28
$0.20
-28.57%
-4.81%
-4.54%
Feb 12, 2026
$0.25
$0.24
-4.00%
+3.48%
+2.37%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, IRDM has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 3 reported quarters; its latest report, on July 22, 2026, came in 36.67% below the estimate and the stock moved +1.66% in the first session.
IRDM Analysis
Company's Health3/5
12-Month Analyst Target-12.63% below price
Median of 8 analysts (12-month)
$40.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $47.98 and its 20-day exponential moving average of $47.63, signaling bearish short-term momentum. The 14-day RSI is at 36.05, indicating bearish momentum. The MACD is currently at -0.24, also suggesting downward pressure. Support is found at the 200-day simple moving average of $38.20, which the price is currently above. Resistance is indicated by the 50-day SMA at $47.98 and the 20-day EMA at $47.63. Volume on the latest trading day was 935,600, slightly above the average of 916,730, but not indicative of a strong trend. The current technical setup suggests a cautious approach. The price action below key short-term moving averages, coupled with a bearish RSI, points to potential further downside towards the 200-day SMA. While the stock is above its longer-term average, the immediate trend is negative. Investors should monitor the $38.20 level as a critical support zone.
ProTips
Given the current price is below the 50-day SMA and RSI is bearish, consider waiting for a technical confirmation of a bottom before initiating new positions.
Key Catalysts
BearishModerate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $20.4 million worth of stock versus $871.3 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal that could pressure prices.
Source: Insider Trading Data
BearishPrice Below 50-Day SMA
Iridium Communications Inc. is trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $47.98, suggesting bearish short-term technical momentum.
Source: Technical Analysis
BullishStrong Long-Term Growth Estimates
Projected EPS growth of 58.8% next year and an average 5-year compound annual growth rate of 94.7% indicate strong long-term potential.
Source: Wall Street Summary
BullishRevenue Growth Acceleration
Revenue is expected to grow by 16.00% next quarter and 8.00% for the current year, signaling an acceleration in top-line performance.
Source: Wall Street Summary
Market Outlook
The base case scenario for Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) over the next 6-12 months suggests potential consolidation or a slight pullback, given the current technical weakness and analyst price targets below the current trading level. Continued revenue growth, projected at 8.00% for the current year and 6.00% for the next, alongside strong long-term EPS growth estimates of 58.8% next year, provides a foundation for eventual recovery. Key catalysts that could alter this trajectory include a significant beat on upcoming earnings reports, positive developments in satellite technology or service expansion, or a shift in insider sentiment. Conversely, persistent misses on earnings, increased competition, or macroeconomic headwinds could exacerbate the current bearish technical signals and push the stock towards its 200-day SMA support level of $38.20.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
4.85B
P/E Ratio
53.10
EPS (TTM)
0.8800
Dividend Yield
1.31%
52 Week High
57.18
52 Week Low
15.65
As of October 15, 2026, IRDM trades at $45.78, with a market value of $4.85B, a P/E ratio of 53.10 and a dividend yield of 1.31%.
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a trailing P/E ratio of 53.10, significantly higher than the sector median of 23.9. Its price-to-sales ratio is 5.60, also above the sector average of 2.4. The company's return on equity is strong at 19.72%, and its profit margin is 10.55%, both exceeding sector averages. Despite the elevated valuation multiples, Iridium demonstrates strong growth potential, with next year's EPS estimate at $1.715 and a projected 5-year average annual growth rate of 94.7%. Revenue growth is expected to accelerate to 16.00% next quarter and 8.00% for the current year. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 3.79 is high compared to the sector average, but its operating margin of 15.10% indicates efficient operations. The key challenge lies in justifying the current valuation given the analyst price targets and insider selling.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) has recently missed earnings expectations, reporting $0.19 per share against an estimate of $0.30 for the quarter reported July 22, 2026, a surprise of -36.67%. This miss was accompanied by a 1.66% price increase. Prior quarters also showed misses, with EPS actuals of $0.20 versus an estimate of $0.28 (surprise -28.57%) in April 2026, leading to a -4.81% price drop, and a slight miss in February 2026 ($0.24 actual vs. $0.25 estimate). The pattern suggests a recent trend of underperformance against analyst expectations.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) stems from its current valuation, which appears stretched relative to its median Wall Street price target of $40.00, suggesting a potential downside. Significant insider selling, totaling $20.4 million against $871.3 thousand in purchases, signals a lack of near-term conviction from management. Also, the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating bearish short-term technical momentum that could lead to further price declines.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
36.05
MACD (12, 26)
-0.24
SMA (50-day)
47.98
SMA (200-day)
38.20
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($47.98) above the 200-day SMA ($38.20), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with IRDM at $45.78, its 14-day RSI is 36.1 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $47.98 and its 200-day is $38.20.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.28
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.27
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.17
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.11
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, IRDM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.28 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.27 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.17 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with IRDM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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IRDM Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $36.00Median $40.00 (-12.6%)High $54.00
Ratings
Buy 4Hold 4Sell 03 months ago: 6 of 10 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on IRDM
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Jun 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintains
Equal-Weight
Jun 3, 2026
Oppenheimer
Maintains
Outperform
Apr 27, 2026
BWS Financial
Maintains
Sell
Apr 24, 2026
Raymond James
Downgrade
Market Perform
As of October 15, 2026, 8 Wall Street analysts cover IRDM: 4 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $36.00 to $54.00, with a median of $40.00, 12.6% below the price of $45.78.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
IRDM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$45.32
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$45.78
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$43.82
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (36.1) and current market volatility
These levels come from IRDM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IRDM in October 2016 would be worth about $54,050 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
IRDM Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-75.2%
February 2023 to November 2025
Recovery
Not yet
still 29.6% below the February 2023 peak
From the 10-year high
-29.6%
highest close, February 2023
1-year holds that gained
67%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, IRDM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -75.2% (February 2023 to November 2025); it is still 29.6% below that peak, and 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IRDM today could grow to about $25,850 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $167,661 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,985. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.31% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IRDM Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $66.94 for IRDM by 2030 in the base case, from $45.78 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $20.52. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IRDM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
IRDM simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$27.87
$50.34
$90.93
2028
$23.99
$55.36
$128
2029
$21.86
$60.87
$169
2030
$20.52
$66.94
$218
2031
$19.62
$73.60
$276
Method: a lognormal simulation of IRDM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
As of October 15, 2026, IRDM insiders reported 12 open-market sales worth $20.4M and 2 open-market purchases worth $871K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in IRDM
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Sep 30, 2026
CANFIELD THOMAS C
Director
Grant
733
-
Sep 30, 2026
FITZPATRICK THOMAS J
Director
Grant
55
-
Sep 30, 2026
NIEHAUS ROBERT H
Director
Grant
55
-
Sep 30, 2026
YEANEY JACQUELINE E
Director
Grant
34
-
Sep 15, 2026
LAST TIMOTHY JAMES
Officer
Sell
5.8K
$267.4K
Sep 3, 2026
LAST TIMOTHY JAMES
Officer
Sell
2.0K
$95.3K
Aug 20, 2026
MCBRIDE SUZANNE E
Officer and Director
Grant
17.4K
-
Aug 18, 2026
FITZPATRICK THOMAS J
Director
Sell
224.3K
$11.2M
Aug 17, 2026
MCBRIDE SUZANNE E
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
85.5K
$4.3M
Aug 17, 2026
MORGAN KATHLEEN A
Officer
Sell
33.2K
$1.7M
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Iridium Communications Inc. stock a buy right now?
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is currently rated a Hold by our AI consensus. While long-term growth prospects are strong, the stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, faces moderate insider selling, and its current price exceeds the median Wall Street price target of $40.00.
What are the key risks for Iridium Communications Inc.?
Key risks for Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) include its current valuation being above the median Wall Street price target, significant insider selling totaling $20.4 million, and bearish short-term technical indicators like the price being below its 50-day SMA.
How is Iridium Communications Inc. performing in terms of earnings?
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) has recently missed earnings estimates for the past three reported quarters, including a significant miss of -36.67% in the quarter reported July 22, 2026. This trend suggests recent operational challenges in meeting analyst expectations.
What is the long-term outlook for Iridium Communications Inc.?
The long-term outlook for Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) is positive, with projected earnings per share growth of 58.8% next year and an average 5-year compound annual growth rate of 94.7%. Revenue growth is also expected to remain strong.
How does Iridium Communications Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) has a higher P/E ratio (53.10 vs. 23.9) and P/S ratio (5.60 vs. 2.4) than the sector median. However, its ROE (19.72% vs. 15.6%) and operating margin (15.10%) are stronger, while its revenue growth (3.8%) is below the sector median (13.7%).
Does IRDM pay a dividend?
Yes. As of October 15, 2026, IRDM's dividend yield is 1.31%, or about $0.6 per share a year at the current price of $45.78. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
Is IRDM in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) trades at $45.78, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($38.20 and $47.98). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 36.1, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
Are insiders buying or selling IRDM?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, IRDM's officers, directors and large holders reported 12 sales worth $20.4M and 2 open-market purchases worth $871K. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for IRDM?
As of October 15, 2026, the 8 Wall Street analysts covering IRDM have 12-month targets from $36.00 to $54.00, with a median of $40.00, 12.6% below the current price of $45.78. 4 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 6 of 10 rated it a buy.
What is IRDM's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -75.2%, from February 2023 to November 2025. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 29.6% below it. Over the same period, 67% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
