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As of September 16, 2026, T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) trades at $180.47. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $235.00, 30.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $235.00 across 27 analysts. RSI at 48 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $181.92.
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS)
T-Mobile US Inc. NASDAQ
$180.47
-2.430 (-1.33%)
At close: Sep 15, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) is trading at $180.47, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($181.92 and $193.71), indicating a short-term technical pullback. Despite this, the company's fundamentals remain solid, supported by consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year. The primary catalyst for future performance lies in the company's ability to continue expanding its subscriber base and network capabilities in a competitive telecom market. Wall Street analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus with a score of 79, driven by 9 Strong Buys and 13 Buys out of 27 total ratings. The median analyst price target stands at $235.00, suggesting a 30.2% upside from the current price. Insiders are net sellers with $6,762.7M in total sales versus $163.2M in total purchases in recent filings. However, 89% of total selling ($1.5B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG, which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $191.9M.
TMUS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$183.23
Day Range
$180.28 to $184.66
Prev Close
$182.90
Volume
3.60M
52-Week Range
$165.66 to $256.69
Market Cap
$193.59B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Communication Services)
Performance vs VOX
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-20% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
TMUS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TMUS beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
TMUS Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+30.22% Upside
Median of 27 analysts (12-month)
$235.00
AI Technical Analysis
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($181.92 and $193.71), suggesting a bearish short-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.39, indicating neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Volume has been slightly below average recently, with 3.59 million shares traded compared to a 30-day average of 3.99 million. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the current technical setup given the price's position relative to longer-term averages. The stock's recent price action suggests a period of consolidation or potential further downside before a significant upward move.
ProTips
- Monitor T-Mobile US Inc.'s (TMUS) subscriber growth and average revenue per user (ARPU) trends closely, as these are key indicators of competitive strength in the telecom sector.
- The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($181.92 and $193.71), suggesting caution for short-term traders. Consider waiting for a confirmed break above these levels before initiating new long positions.
- Given the significant insider selling attributed to parent company divestiture, it is prudent to focus on operational performance and analyst targets rather than solely on insider transaction volume.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Continued Earnings Beats Drive Positive Sentiment
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) has a track record of exceeding EPS estimates, as seen in the quarters ending June 2026 and March 2026. This consistent performance boosts investor confidence and supports upward price momentum.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Analyst Conviction and Upside Potential
With a median analyst price target of $235.00, representing a 30.2% upside from the current price, T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) is viewed favorably by Wall Street, indicating potential for significant share price appreciation.
Source: Analyst RatingsNeutral
Parent Company Stake Reduction
Deutsche Telekom AG is reducing its stake in T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) by approximately $1.5 billion. This is characterized as a corporate restructuring or divestiture rather than a bearish signal from company management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Technical Downtrend Below Key Moving Averages
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($181.92 and $193.71), signaling a bearish technical trend that could lead to further price declines in the short term.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) projects continued growth, supported by strong analyst estimates for revenue and EPS. The median price target of $235.00 suggests that the market could recognize the company's fundamental strengths and competitive positioning, leading to a potential 30.2% increase from current levels over the next 6-12 months. Potential upside catalysts include further network expansion and successful integration of new technologies, which could drive subscriber growth beyond current estimates. Downside risks involve increased competition from rivals, potential regulatory changes impacting the telecom industry, or a broader market downturn that could affect all stocks. The company's ability to maintain its growth trajectory and manage its debt effectively will be critical.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 193.59B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.23 |
| EPS (TTM) | 9.55 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.26% |
| 52 Week High | 256.69 |
| 52 Week Low | 165.66 |
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.23, which is below the sector average of 23.9, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 2.14 is also slightly below the sector average of 2.4. The company demonstrates strong operational efficiency with an operating margin of 25.22% and a profit margin of 11.46%. Its return on equity (ROE) stands at 17.99%, exceeding the sector average of 15.6%. The debt-to-equity ratio of 2.14 is in line with the sector average, indicating a manageable leverage position. These fundamentals suggest a healthy business capable of supporting its current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) has a recent history of exceeding analyst earnings expectations. In the quarter to June 2026, the company reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.99, beating the estimate of $2.60 by 15% and leading to a 5.67% price increase. The prior quarter to March 2026 also saw a significant beat, with actual EPS of $2.77 against an estimate of $2.11, a 31.28% surprise, and a 6.13% stock price gain. While the quarter to December 2025 missed estimates, the overall trend indicates strong earnings performance and positive market reactions.
Key Risks
A primary risk for T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) is its current trading position below key moving averages, suggesting potential for further technical downside. Competition within the telecommunications sector remains intense, requiring continuous investment in network infrastructure and customer acquisition to maintain market share. Additionally, while insider selling is attributed to parent company divestiture, significant sales by officers totaling $191.9 million warrant monitoring for any shift in management sentiment.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 48.39 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.01 |
| SMA 50 | 181.92 |
| SMA 200 | 193.71 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Neutral
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $181.92, 200-day: $193.71), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.12
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.04
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TMUS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
TMUS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$176.86
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$180.47
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$170.42
MAX LOSS
-3.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (48.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$185.70
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$194.55
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$203.39
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for TMUS is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 16, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TMUS in September 2016 would be worth about $38,769 today, compared with about $35,497 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TMUS today could grow to about $27,625 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $80,990 and a bear case around $9,423. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TMUS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $271 for TMUS by 2030 in the base case, from $180 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $137. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TMUS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $142 | $200 | $281 |
| 2028 | $137 | $221 | $358 |
| 2029 | $136 | $245 | $441 |
| 2030 | $137 | $271 | $535 |
| 2031 | $140 | $300 | $642 |
| 2032 | $144 | $332 | $764 |
| 2033 | $149 | $368 | $904 |
| 2034 | $155 | $407 | $1,065 |
| 2035 | $162 | $450 | $1,249 |
| 2036 | $170 | $499 | $1,462 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TMUS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TMUS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$3.0M
2 Transactions
Sold
$1.7B
59 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$28.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2024 | CLAURE RAUL MARCELO
Director
|
Sell | 3.0M | $546.8M |
| Jun 7, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 682.8K | $122.9M |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CLAURE RAUL MARCELO
Director
|
Sell | 550.0K | $119.7M |
| Jun 4, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 682.8K | $118.8M |
| Jun 4, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM HOLDING B.V.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 682.8K | $118.8M |
| Jan 23, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 584.7K | $96.4M |
| Feb 27, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 584.7K | $95.9M |
| Mar 5, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 584.7K | $95.9M |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 584.7K | $95.8M |
| Jan 9, 2024 | DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 584.7K | $95.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is T-Mobile US Inc. stock a buy right now?
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) is currently rated as a Buy with a consensus score of 79. The median analyst price target is $235.00, offering a potential upside of 30.2% from the current price of $180.47. This positive outlook is supported by strong earnings performance and solid fundamental metrics.
What is T-Mobile US Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, T-Mobile US Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $270.97 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $137.24, and the upside projection is $535.01. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
How does T-Mobile US Inc. compare to its sector averages?
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) trades at a P/E ratio of 19.23 and a P/S ratio of 2.14, both below the sector averages of 23.9 and 2.4, respectively. Its ROE of 17.99% also surpasses the sector average of 15.6%, indicating a favorable valuation and strong operational efficiency relative to its peers.
What are the recent earnings trends for T-Mobile US Inc.?
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) has demonstrated a pattern of beating analyst earnings estimates, notably in the quarters ending June 2026 and March 2026, which resulted in positive stock price reactions. This consistent performance suggests strong operational execution and effective management of its business.
What are the main risks facing T-Mobile US Inc.?
Key risks for T-Mobile US Inc. include intense competition within the telecommunications industry, requiring ongoing investment. Additionally, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($181.92 and $193.71), indicating potential short-term technical weakness. While insider selling is largely attributed to parent company divestiture, significant officer sales warrant attention.
What is the Wall Street consensus on T-Mobile US Inc. stock?
Wall Street analysts hold a strong Buy consensus for T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS), with a consensus score of 79 out of 100. This is based on 27 analysts, with 9 rating it a Strong Buy and 13 rating it a Buy, while 5 rate it a Hold.
Are there any recent analyst rating changes for T-Mobile US Inc.?
Yes, recent analyst rating changes include Wolfe Research downgrading T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) from Outperform to Peer Perform on August 14, 2026. Conversely, B of A Securities upgraded the stock from Neutral to Buy on July 6, 2026, indicating mixed but generally positive sentiment among analysts.