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01

VUG ETF forecast today

Where VUG stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

VUG at a glance

Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG): Hold, 46/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($84.00 and $89.05).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.03%, $392.1B in net assets, price up 2.8% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 30, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Hold, with a model score of 46/100.

The biggest lift to that score comes from cost, where the expense ratio is 0.03%. Momentum pulls the score down the most, as the 14-day RSI of 34.0 sits in the bearish zone and the MACD line is negative. The trend is mixed. The price is 4.47% below its 50-day average of $89.05, yet 1.27% above its 200-day average of $84.00. Across the past year, the price climbed 2.84%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from VUG's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

VUG ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $85.07 is 4.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of $89.05.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 1.3% above the 200-day simple moving average of $84.00.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($89.05) is 6.0% above the 200-day average ($84.00), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 66% of its 52-week range, between $69.63 and $93.00.

VUG share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far VUG has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $82.72 Oct 30, 2025
Latest close $85.07 Oct 30, 2026
High $92.64 Oct 6, 2026
Low $70.00 Mar 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where VUG sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.98% wide
$85.07
$84.22 $85.89
52-week range 66% of the way up
$85.07
$69.63 $93.00
Open
$85.86
Previous close
$87.69
Volume
20.16M
181% above average
03

VUG fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

4/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.03% a year, $3.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $392.1B.
  • One sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 57.8% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 0.38%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 2.84% over the past year.

VUG Fund Facts

Vanguard Growth ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide broad exposure to large-cap U.S. growth stocks. The fund is designed to track a market-cap-weighted growth index, giving investors diversified access to companies that typically emphasize earnings and revenue expansion rather than value characteristics.

Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Large Growth
Inception
Jan 26, 2004
Expense ratio
0.03%
Net assets
$392.07B
Distribution yield
0.38%
YTD total return (fund family)
11.13%
Turnover
12.00%

Sector weights

Technology 57.8%
Communication Services 14.5%
Consumer Cyclical 11.3%
Healthcare 4.6%
Industrials 4.5%
Financial Services 4.2%
Other 2.3%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period VUG
YTD 11.13%
1 month 2.18%
3 months 4.47%
1 year 13.09%
3 years 26.30%
5 years 13.87%
10 years 17.94%

As of Oct 30, 2026, VUG has an expense ratio of 0.03%, $392.07B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.38%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 30, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for VUG.

Net Assets
392.07B
Expense Ratio
0.03%
Yield
0.38%
Day High
$85.89
Day Low
$84.22
52 Week High
93.00
52 Week Low
69.63

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of VUG's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Technology is the largest sector in VUG at 57.8%, ahead of Communication Services at 14.5% and Consumer Cyclical at 11.3%. With more than half in one sector, VUG moves with that sector more than a broadly spread fund would. VUG is a Large Growth fund from Vanguard, launched on January 26, 2004.

Owning VUG carries an annual cost of 0.03%, which comes to $3.00 a year on every $10,000 held. The fund's net assets add up to $392.1B, and its distribution yield is 0.38%. Turnover in the portfolio is 12%.

Key risks

With 57.8% of its holdings in Technology, the fund depends heavily on one sector. Normal swings for VUG run at about 1.09% a day.

04

VUG AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 34.0, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 34.0 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of VUG

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
46/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) shows a mixed trend. The price of $85.07 sits 4.47% below its 50-day average of $89.05, yet it is also 1.27% above its 200-day average of $84.00. Over the past year, the price is 22.17% above the 52-week low of $69.63 and 8.53% below the 52-week high of $93.00.

A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 5.59% over the past month, fell 0.15% over the past three months and rose 2.84% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 34.0 is in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, and the MACD line is negative. Volume in the last session ran 180.7% above its average, on a day the price fell 2.99%.

ProTips
  1. The two levels closest to the price are worth watching: the 20-day EMA sits above the price at $88.62, and the 200-day SMA sits below it at $84.00.
  2. With the 14-day RSI at 34.0, the momentum reading is bearish, and the MACD line is negative. Readings beyond 70 or under 30 would signal stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. VUG's expense ratio of 0.03% a year works out to $3.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend gives mixed signals. VUG sits above its 200-day average of $84.00 but beneath its 50-day average of $89.05. Should the price close above the 50-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 200-day would point both down. Looking at the nearest levels, the 200-day SMA at $84.00 lies below the price, while the 20-day EMA at $88.62 lies above it.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for VUG, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
34.014-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.755 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-4.5%price against the 50-day average
200-day $84.00 50-day $89.05 Price $85.07
Price against the 200-day +1.3% Bullish

As of October 30, 2026, with VUG at $85.07, its 14-day RSI is 34.0 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $89.05 and its 200-day is $84.00.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What VUG moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.96 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.97 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.47 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.15 Weak

As of October 30, 2026, VUG's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.96 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.97 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.47 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).

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05

VUG trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

VUG trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$84.22
Slight discount to current
Lower entry level
Aggressive
$85.07
At current price
Entry at the current price

Risk management

Stop loss
$81.69
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (34.0) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$86.75
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$88.43
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$90.96
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

These levels come from VUG's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much VUG tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.09%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$85.07
$69.63 66% of the way up $93.00

Compare VUG

Put VUG side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

VUG price history and drawdowns

VUG's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

4/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.09% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 32.8%, from December 2021 to December 2022, regained by December 2023.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    88% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $76,230, against $42,358 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

VUG Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-32.8%
December 2021 to December 2022
Recovery
12 months
back at the old peak by December 2023
From the 10-year high
-8.2%
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
88%
of every 1-year window

As of October 30, 2026, VUG's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -32.8% (December 2021 to December 2022); it regained that peak by December 2023, 12 months after the low, and 88% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into VUG in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

VUG today
$76,230
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,358
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$33,873
1.8x the index result
Total change
+662%
7.6x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
VUG S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: VUG beat the S&P 500 over this period: $76,230 against $42,358.

A $10,000 investment in VUG in October 2016 would be worth about $76,230 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,358 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to VUG, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb3/10 upMar5/10 upApr7/10 upMay7/10 upJun8/10 upJul9/10 upAug7/10 upSep6/10 upOct6/9 upNov9/10 upDec8/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +4.31%, up in 9 of 10 years.

Weakest month, February: an average of -0.69%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +0.77%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, VUG's strongest calendar month has been July (average +4.31%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest February (average -0.69%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

VUG price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in VUG, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$8,304
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$14,476
median path
Upside, 2030
$25,237
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in VUG today could grow to about $14,476 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $25,237 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,304. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.38% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

VUG 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$85.07
Base case, 2030
$123
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$70.64 to $215
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $123 for VUG by 2030 in the base case, from $85.07 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $70.64. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VUG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

VUG simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $70.67 $93.31 $123
2028 $69.09 $102 $152
2029 $69.38 $112 $182
2030 $70.64 $123 $215

Method: a lognormal simulation of VUG's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

VUG ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.

VUG Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) a buy right now?
At 46/100, VUG lands in CleaRank's Hold band. Cost does the most to lift the score, since the expense ratio is 0.03%. The main offset is momentum: the 14-day RSI of 34.0 is in the bearish zone and the MACD line is negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 2.84%. Over shorter periods it fell 0.15% in three months and fell 5.59% in the past month. It now trades 8.53% below its 52-week high of $93.00.
What does VUG cost to own?
At an expense ratio of 0.03%, VUG costs $3.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee is paid out of the fund's assets, not billed to the investor as a separate charge.
What are the largest sectors in VUG?
Technology dominates the fund at 57.8%, with Communication Services next at 14.5% and Consumer Cyclical after that at 11.3%.
Does VUG pay a dividend?
VUG pays a distribution yield of 0.38%. Because yield is the payout divided by the price, it moves whenever either of those two figures changes.
What are the key price levels for VUG?
On the upside, the first hurdles are the 20-day EMA at $88.62 and the 50-day SMA at $89.05. On the downside, the 200-day SMA at $84.00 comes first, followed by the 52-week low at $69.63.
How volatile is VUG?
On an average day, VUG's price moves 1.09%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of VUG?
Over the past 52 weeks, VUG has moved between $69.63 and $93.00. At $85.07, the price is at 66% of that span, 22.17% above the low and 8.53% below the high.
Is VUG in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) trades at $85.07, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($84.00 and $89.05). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 34.0, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is VUG's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -32.8%, from December 2021 to December 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by December 2023, 12 months after the low. Over the same period, 88% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for VUG are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 30, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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