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As of September 15, 2026, Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) trades at $87.71. RSI at 55 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $87.10.
Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG)
Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF NYSE
$87.71
-0.3100 (-0.35%)
At close: Sep 14, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
The Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) offers broad exposure to large-cap U.S. growth stocks, tracking a market-cap-weighted growth index. Its strategy focuses on companies emphasizing earnings and revenue expansion, providing diversified access to major U.S. sectors like technology, consumer discretionary, and communication services. Managed by Vanguard, VUG serves as a low-cost core equity holding for investors targeting the growth segment of the U.S. stock market. The fund's portfolio is heavily concentrated in technology, representing 56.32% of its assets, with significant allocations also in communication services (15.45%) and consumer cyclical (11.5%).
VUG Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$87.13
Day Range
$86.98 to $88.14
Prev Close
$88.02
Volume
5.36M
52-Week Range
$69.63 to $90.60
Market Cap
$20.21B
VUG Fund Facts
Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide broad exposure to large-cap U.S. growth stocks. The fund is designed to track a market-cap-weighted growth index, giving investors diversified access to companies that typically emphasize earnings and revenue expansion rather than value characteristics.
Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Large Growth
Inception
Nov 2, 1992
Expense ratio
0.03%
Net assets
$379.42B
NAV
$88.45
Distribution yield
0.38%
YTD return
8.76%
Turnover
12.00%
Sector weights
Healthcare
4.6%
Realestate
1.0%
Technology
56.3%
Industrials
4.8%
Basic Materials
0.5%
Consumer Cyclical
11.5%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | VUG | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 8.76% | 2.85% |
| 1 month | 3.58% | 12.27% |
| 3 months | -1.40% | 3.28% |
| 1 year | 15.90% | 29.03% |
| 3 years | 22.94% | 23.49% |
| 5 years | 12.15% | 10.17% |
| 10 years | 17.76% | 15.87% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
VUG Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has shifted for VUG: the RSI has moved from a previous state to a neutral 55. The ETF's current price of $87.71 is trading above its 50-day simple moving average of $87.10 and its 200-day simple moving average of $82.64, signaling an upward trend. However, the price is currently below its 20-day exponential moving average of $87.83. Volume has increased by 11.50% compared to its average, suggesting growing investor interest. The Stochastic indicator is at 31.62, indicating a lack of strong overbought or oversold conditions.
ProTips
- Consider VUG as a core holding for long-term growth exposure, particularly if you believe in the continued expansion of the technology sector.
- Monitor the ETF's performance relative to its category, especially during periods of market rotation between growth and value stocks.
- Be aware of the concentration risk in the technology sector and ensure it aligns with your overall portfolio diversification strategy.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) is cautiously optimistic, driven by its strong long-term performance and dominant allocation to the technology sector, which is expected to continue its growth trajectory. The ETF's price is currently above key moving averages, suggesting positive momentum. However, potential headwinds include sector concentration risk and the possibility of increased volatility in growth stocks during periods of rising interest rates or economic slowdown. Investors should monitor sector rotation and macroeconomic factors that could impact the technology and communication services sectors.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.96
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.97
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with VUG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 20.21B |
|---|---|
| Yield | 0.39% |
| Day High | $88.14 |
| Day Low | $86.98 |
| 52 Week High | 90.60 |
| 52 Week Low | 69.63 |
Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF is built upon a foundation of large-cap U.S. growth stocks, with technology being its dominant sector at 56.32%. This concentration in technology, alongside substantial holdings in communication services (15.45%) and consumer cyclical (11.5%) sectors, positions the fund to benefit from innovation and consumer spending trends. The fund's expense ratio is a very low 0.03%, costing investors approximately $3.00 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets totaling $379.42 billion, VUG is a significant and liquid vehicle for accessing growth equities. Its turnover rate of 12% suggests a relatively stable portfolio composition.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Its underlying holdings, heavily weighted towards the technology and communication services sectors, are expected to drive its performance. These sectors are characterized by high growth potential, often reinvesting profits back into research and development to fuel further expansion. The aggregate earnings trends of these growth-oriented companies will directly influence VUG's trajectory, with strong revenue and earnings growth among its top constituents likely to translate into positive fund returns.
Key Risks
The primary risk for VUG lies in its significant concentration within the technology sector (56.32%), making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes affecting tech giants. Additionally, as a growth-focused ETF, it may experience higher volatility compared to broader market or value-oriented funds, especially during periods of economic uncertainty or rising interest rates. The fund's trailing 1-year return of 15.90% compared to its category's 29.03% suggests a potential underperformance relative to peers in certain market conditions.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 55.00 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.16 |
| SMA 50 | 87.10 |
| SMA 200 | 82.64 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($87.10) above the 200-day SMA ($82.64), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
VUG Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$85.96
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$87.71
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$83.38
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (55.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$90.25
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$94.55
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$98.85
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of VUG is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 15, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in VUG in September 2016 would be worth about $47,334 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VUG today could grow to about $30,105 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $72,319 and a bear case around $12,532. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
VUG ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $136 for VUG by 2030 in the base case, from $87.71 today (1.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $78.30. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VUG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $74.23 | $97.93 | $129 |
| 2028 | $73.89 | $109 | $162 |
| 2029 | $75.54 | $122 | $197 |
| 2030 | $78.30 | $136 | $237 |
| 2031 | $81.89 | $152 | $283 |
| 2032 | $86.18 | $170 | $335 |
| 2033 | $91.13 | $190 | $395 |
| 2034 | $96.72 | $212 | $464 |
| 2035 | $103 | $236 | $543 |
| 2036 | $110 | $264 | $634 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VUG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG)?
The Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) has a very low expense ratio of 0.03%, which translates to an annual cost of $3.00 per $10,000 invested. This low cost is a key feature for long-term investors.
What sectors does the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) hold?
VUG is heavily concentrated in technology, holding 56.32% of its assets in this sector. It also has significant allocations to communication services (15.45%) and consumer cyclical (11.5%), with smaller positions in industrials, healthcare, and financial services.
How has the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) performed against its category?
In the trailing 1-year period, VUG returned 15.90% compared to its category's 29.03%. Over the long term, VUG has outperformed its category, with a 10-year return of 17.76% versus the category's 15.87%.
What are the key technical levels for VUG?
VUG's current price is $87.71, trading above its 50-day SMA of $87.10 and its 200-day SMA of $82.64, indicating support at these levels. The RSI is neutral at 55, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
What is the insider and institutional sentiment towards VUG?
VUG has substantial net assets of $379.42 billion, indicating significant institutional adoption and confidence in its growth strategy.
What is the price prediction for VUG ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for VUG ETF in 2030 is $136.30. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $78.30 and an upside price of $237.26. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What is the dividend yield for VUG?
The Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) has a dividend yield of 0.39%.