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As of September 10, 2026, iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) trades at $303.15. RSI at 56 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $308.86.

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM)

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF CBOE

$303.15 -6.140 (-1.99%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
75 / 100
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) is an exchange-traded fund designed to track U.S. large- and mid-cap stocks exhibiting high price momentum. The fund's strategy is rules-based, focusing on companies with strong recent performance across various sectors, notably Technology (51.40%), Industrials (10.75%), and Healthcare (10.16%). Its asset allocation is heavily weighted towards stocks at 99.69%. Recent fund flows and sector rotation signals suggest a continued focus on growth-oriented segments of the U.S. equity market.

MTUM Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$305.16
Day Range
$303.13 to $306.67
Prev Close
$309.29
Volume
831.2K
52-Week Range
$229.42 to $345.59

MTUM Fund Facts

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track an index of U.S. large- and mid-cap stocks with relatively high price momentum. The fund is designed to provide diversified exposure to companies whose shares have shown strong recent performance, using a rules-based momentum approach rather than active stock picking. It primarily invests in U.S.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Large Blend
Inception
Apr 16, 2013
Expense ratio
0.15%
Net assets
$24.23B
NAV
$304.80
Distribution yield
0.62%
YTD return
20.23%
Turnover
116.00%

Sector weights

Energy 9.0%
Healthcare 10.2%
Realestate 2.0%
Technology 51.4%
Industrials 10.8%
Basic Materials 0.9%

Trailing returns vs category

Period MTUM Category
YTD 20.23% 5.14%
1 month 0.22% 9.43%
3 months -4.83% 3.42%
1 year 24.07% 27.72%
3 years 27.87% 19.34%
5 years 11.76% 11.20%
10 years 15.88% 13.77%

Fund reference data as of Sep 10, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

MTUM Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Buy
At $309.29, MTUM is trading above its 20-day EMA ($304.93), 50-day SMA ($308.86), and 200-day SMA ($279.59), indicating a bullish trend. The RSI is at 55.53, which is neutral, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is high at 90.22, indicating strong upward momentum but potentially nearing overbought territory. The MACD is currently negative at -1.36, suggesting a recent slowdown in momentum, but the price action above key averages remains positive.
ProTips
  • Consider MTUM for exposure to U.S. large and mid-cap stocks with strong price momentum.
  • Monitor sector concentration, particularly in Technology, for potential risks.
  • Be aware of the fund's momentum-based strategy, which may underperform during market regime shifts.
Market Outlook
The outlook for MTUM over the next 6-12 months is cautiously optimistic, supported by its strong technical positioning and the continued strength in the technology sector. The fund's momentum strategy is well-suited for periods of market leadership by growth stocks. However, any significant rotation away from growth towards value or defensive sectors could challenge this outlook. Key levels to watch include the current price as support and potential resistance near the $320 to $330 range.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.83
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.89
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.34
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.19
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

Key Statistics

Yield 0.5994%
Day High $306.67
Day Low $303.13
52 Week High 345.59
52 Week Low 229.42
The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) holds 99.69% in stocks, with significant concentration in the Technology sector at 51.40%. This focus on technology, along with substantial allocations to Industrials (10.75%) and Healthcare (10.16%), reflects a strategy geared towards growth sectors. The fund's expense ratio is 0.15%, costing $15 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets of $24.23 billion, MTUM is a substantial ETF. The underlying sector performance, particularly in technology, is a key driver for the fund's returns.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Its performance is influenced by the earnings trends of its underlying holdings. The recent earnings report for MTUM showed a positive surprise percentage of 94.56% on an estimated EPS of -10.85, with an actual EPS of -0.59. This suggests that the aggregate performance of the fund's constituents is exceeding expectations, contributing to its overall market position.

Key Risks

The primary risk for MTUM lies in its high concentration within the Technology sector (51.40%), making it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes impacting tech companies. Additionally, the fund's momentum strategy means it could underperform if market leadership shifts away from high-momentum stocks towards value or defensive sectors. The high Stochastic reading (90.22) also suggests a potential for short-term pullbacks.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 55.53
MACD -1.36
SMA 50 308.86
SMA 200 279.59
Technical Rating Neutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($308.86) above the 200-day SMA ($279.59), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

MTUM Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)

CONSERVATIVE
$297.09
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$303.15
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$288.17
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (55.5) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$311.94
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$326.80
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$341.65
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ℹ️ ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of MTUM is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 11, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in MTUM in September 2016 would be worth about $40,298 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MTUM today could grow to about $28,102 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $68,238 and a bear case around $11,573. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

MTUM ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $458 for MTUM by 2030 in the base case, from $303 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $262. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MTUM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

MTUM simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $254 $336 $445
2028 $251 $373 $554
2029 $254 $413 $672
2030 $262 $458 $803
2031 $271 $508 $952
2032 $283 $564 $1,120
2033 $297 $625 $1,313
2034 $313 $693 $1,532
2035 $331 $768 $1,783
2036 $351 $852 $2,069

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MTUM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for MTUM ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price for MTUM in 2030 is $467.58. The downside scenario projects a price of $266.80, while the upside scenario reaches $819.48. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees.
What is the expense ratio for the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF?
The expense ratio for MTUM is 0.15%. This means that for every $10,000 invested, you would pay $15 annually in fees.
What sectors does the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF primarily hold?
MTUM is heavily concentrated in Technology stocks, representing 51.40% of its holdings. Other significant sectors include Industrials at 10.75% and Healthcare at 10.16%.
How has MTUM performed against its category over the past year?
Over the past year, MTUM returned 24.07%, while its category returned 27.72%. This indicates that the fund underperformed its category benchmark during that period.
What is the current dividend yield for MTUM?
The current dividend yield for MTUM is 0.60%.
What are the key technical indicators for MTUM?
MTUM shows a bullish trend with its price above the 20-day EMA, 50-day SMA, and 200-day SMA. The RSI is neutral at 55.53, and the Stochastic indicator is high at 90.22, suggesting strong momentum.
What is the overall strategy of the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF?
MTUM seeks to track an index of U.S. large- and mid-cap stocks with relatively high price momentum, providing diversified exposure to companies with strong recent performance using a rules-based approach.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for MTUM are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 11, 2026.