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01

MTUM ETF forecast today

Where MTUM stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

MTUM at a glance

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM): Hold, 51/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($289.29 and $307.63).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.15%, $20.4B in net assets, price up 15.3% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 26, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

MTUM earns a CleaRank rating of Hold and a model score of 51/100.

The biggest lift to that score comes from one-year performance, as the price rose 15.29% over the past year. Momentum pulls the score down the most: the 14-day RSI is 38.9, inside the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. On trend, the picture is mixed, with MTUM priced 4.25% below its 50-day average of $307.63 yet 1.82% above its 200-day average of $289.29.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from MTUM's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

MTUM ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $294.56 is 4.2% below the 50-day simple moving average of $307.63.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 1.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $289.29.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($307.63) is 6.3% above the 200-day average ($289.29), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 56% of its 52-week range, between $229.42 and $345.59.

MTUM share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far MTUM has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $255.50 Oct 24, 2025
Latest close $294.56 Oct 26, 2026
High $345.22 Jun 22, 2026
Low $230.77 Mar 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where MTUM sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.93% wide
$294.56
$290.95 $296.57
52-week range 56% of the way up
$294.56
$229.42 $345.59
Open
$291.49
Previous close
$289.45
Volume
845.00K
19% below average
03

MTUM fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

4/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.15% a year, $15.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $20.4B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 54.9% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 0.58%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 15.29% over the past year.

MTUM Fund Facts

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track an index of U.S. large- and mid-cap stocks with relatively high price momentum. The fund is designed to provide diversified exposure to companies whose shares have shown strong recent performance, using a rules-based momentum approach rather than active stock picking.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Large Blend
Inception
Apr 16, 2013
Expense ratio
0.15%
Net assets
$20.43B
Distribution yield
0.58%
YTD total return (fund family)
27.18%
Turnover
116.00%

Sector weights

Technology 54.9%
Industrials 10.1%
Healthcare 9.4%
Energy 8.5%
Financial Services 5.2%
Communication Services 4.8%
Other 6.8%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period MTUM
YTD 27.18%
1 month 5.79%
3 months -7.44%
1 year 24.39%
3 years 32.44%
5 years 13.84%
10 years 16.48%

As of Oct 27, 2026, MTUM has an expense ratio of 0.15%, $20.43B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.58%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for MTUM.

Net Assets
20.43B
Expense Ratio
0.15%
Yield
0.58%
Day High
$296.57
Day Low
$290.95
52 Week High
345.59
52 Week Low
229.42

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MTUM's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) is led by Technology, which makes up 54.9% of the fund, followed by Industrials at 10.1% and Healthcare at 9.4%. With more than half in one sector, MTUM moves with that sector more than a broadly spread fund would. MTUM is a Large Blend fund from iShares, launched on April 16, 2013.

Each year the expense ratio of 0.15% costs $15.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund's net assets come to $20.4B. Its distribution yield is 0.58%, and portfolio turnover is 116%.

Key risks

MTUM's price typically moves about 1.37% in a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. The fund is concentrated, though. Technology is 54.9% of its holdings, so trouble in that sector would hit the fund as a whole.

04

MTUM AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 38.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 38.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MTUM

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
51/100
Hold
What the AI sees

MTUM is trading between its two moving averages. At $294.56, the fund sits 1.82% above its 200-day average of $289.29 but 4.25% below its 50-day average of $307.63. That 50-day average is 6.34% above the 200-day average, and the gap would shrink if the price keeps trading under the shorter average. Within its 52-week range, running from $229.42 up to $345.59, the price stands at 56%.

A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 7.52% over the past month, fell 2.57% over the past three months and rose 15.29% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 38.9, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $303.56 sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $289.29 sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 38.9, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.15% a year, MTUM charges $15.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend is mixed: MTUM is above its 200-day average at $289.29 but below its 50-day average at $307.63. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. In the meantime the price sits between the 200-day SMA ($289.29) underneath and the 20-day EMA ($303.56) overhead.

With the RSI in the bearish zone, momentum is working against a quick rebound.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for MTUM, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
38.914-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -5.43 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-4.2%price against the 50-day average
200-day $289.29 50-day $307.63 Price $294.56
Price against the 200-day +1.8% Bullish

As of October 26, 2026, with MTUM at $294.56, its 14-day RSI is 38.9 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $307.63 and its 200-day is $289.29.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What MTUM moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.82 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.89 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.35 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.21 Weak

As of October 26, 2026, MTUM's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.82 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.89 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.35 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).

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05

MTUM trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

MTUM trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$291.61
Slight discount to current
Lower entry level
Aggressive
$294.56
At current price
Entry at the current price

Risk management

Stop loss
$282.87
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (38.9) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$300.36
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$306.20
+5% (Conservative) +3.9% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$314.94
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

These levels come from MTUM's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much MTUM tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.37%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$294.56
$229.42 56% of the way up $345.59

Compare MTUM

Put MTUM side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

MTUM price history and drawdowns

MTUM's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

4/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.37% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 30.1%, from November 2021 to September 2022, regained by March 2024.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    83% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $43,764, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

MTUM Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-30.1%
November 2021 to September 2022
Recovery
18 months
back at the old peak by March 2024
From the 10-year high
-14.7%
highest close, June 2026
1-year holds that gained
83%
of every 1-year window

As of October 26, 2026, MTUM's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -30.1% (November 2021 to September 2022); it regained that peak by March 2024, 18 months after the low, and 83% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into MTUM in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

MTUM today
$43,764
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,015
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$1,749
1.04x the index result
Total change
+338%
4.4x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
MTUM S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: MTUM beat the S&P 500 over this period: $43,764 against $42,015.

A $10,000 investment in MTUM in October 2016 would be worth about $43,764 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to MTUM, and which have not.

Jan8/10 upFeb4/10 upMar4/10 upApr8/10 upMay7/10 upJun8/10 upJul8/10 upAug7/10 upSep7/10 upOct5/9 upNov8/10 upDec6/10 up

Strongest month, April: an average of +4.02%, up in 8 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -3.10%, up in 4 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +0.44%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, MTUM's strongest calendar month has been April (average +4.02%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.10%, up in 4 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

MTUM price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MTUM, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$8,070
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$14,188
median path
Upside, 2030
$24,945
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MTUM today could grow to about $14,188 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $24,945 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,070. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.58% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

MTUM 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$295
Base case, 2030
$418
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$238 to $735
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $418 for MTUM by 2030 in the base case, from $295 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $238. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MTUM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

MTUM simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $242 $321 $426
2028 $235 $351 $523
2029 $235 $383 $624
2030 $238 $418 $735

Method: a lognormal simulation of MTUM's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

MTUM ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.

MTUM Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) a buy right now?
The Hold rating comes from a model score of 51/100. Most of the lift comes from one-year performance, as the price rose 15.29% over the past year. The biggest drag is momentum: the 14-day RSI of 38.9 is in the bearish zone and the MACD line is negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) performed over the past year?
The price rose 15.29% across the past year. Shorter stretches have been weaker, with a decline of 2.57% over three months and a drop of 7.52% in the last month. The price now sits 14.77% below its 52-week high of $345.59.
What does MTUM cost to own?
The expense ratio for MTUM is 0.15%, or $15.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee is deducted from the fund's assets, not sent as a separate bill.
What are the largest sectors in MTUM?
Technology leads the fund at 54.9%. Industrials follows at 10.1%, and Healthcare is third at 9.4%.
Does MTUM pay a dividend?
Yes, MTUM pays a distribution yield of 0.58%. Because yield is the payout divided by the price, it moves whenever either of those moves.
What are the key price levels for MTUM?
Two levels sit above the price: the 20-day EMA at $303.56 and the 50-day SMA at $307.63. Two sit below it: the 200-day SMA at $289.29 and the 52-week low at $229.42.
How volatile is MTUM?
On an average day MTUM's price moves 1.37%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of MTUM?
Over the past 52 weeks, MTUM has ranged from $229.42 to $345.59. The price of $294.56 sits at 56% of that span, 28.39% above the low and 14.77% below the high.
What is MTUM's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -30.1%, from November 2021 to September 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by March 2024, 18 months after the low. Over the same period, 83% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are MTUM's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, April has been MTUM's strongest month on average (+4.02%, rising in 8 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-3.10%, rising in 4 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for MTUM are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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