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01

FDVV ETF forecast today

Where FDVV stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

FDVV at a glance

Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV): Buy, 72/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($62.26 and $60.18).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.15%, $10.2B in net assets, price up 10.3% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) Buy, with a model score of 72/100.

The trend lifts the score most: the price is 3.91% above its 200-day average and 0.44% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 3.46% above the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $62.26 and the 200-day at $60.18. Over the past year the price rose 10.32%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from FDVV's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

FDVV ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

4/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $62.53 is 0.4% above the 50-day simple moving average of $62.26.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 3.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $60.18.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($62.26) is 3.5% above the 200-day average ($60.18), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 81% of its 52-week range, between $53.77 and $64.54.

FDVV share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far FDVV has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $56.68 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $62.53 Oct 27, 2026
High $64.33 Aug 13, 2026
Low $53.90 Mar 27, 2026

Today's trading

Where FDVV sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.61% wide
$62.53
$62.27 $62.65
52-week range 81% of the way up
$62.53
$53.77 $64.54
Open
$62.42
Previous close
$62.28
Volume
520.89K
13% below average
03

FDVV fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

5/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.15% a year, $15.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $10.2B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 31.7% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 2.82%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 10.32% over the past year.

FDVV Fund Facts

Fidelity High Dividend ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide investment results that correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the Fidelity High Dividend Index. It focuses on large- and mid-cap U.S. companies with positive dividend characteristics, emphasizing businesses that are expected to continue paying and growing dividends. The fund typically invests most of its assets in index constituents and related depository receipts, using a rules-based approach designed to capture dividend-oriented equity exposure.

Issuer
Fidelity Investments
Category
Large Value
Inception
Sep 12, 2016
Expense ratio
0.15%
Net assets
$10.17B
NAV
$61.65
Distribution yield
2.82%
YTD total return (fund family)
9.60%
Turnover
36.00%

Sector weights

Technology 31.7%
Financial Services 18.4%
Consumer Cyclical 11.8%
Consumer Defensive 10.9%
Real Estate 9.1%
Utilities 8.0%
Other 10.2%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period FDVV
YTD 9.60%
1 month -2.64%
3 months 1.23%
1 year 12.28%
3 years 20.05%
5 years 14.11%
10 years 13.05%

As of Oct 28, 2026, FDVV has an expense ratio of 0.15%, $10.17B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.82%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 28, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for FDVV.

Net Assets
10.17B
Expense Ratio
0.15%
Yield
2.82%
Day High
$62.65
Day Low
$62.27
52 Week High
64.54
52 Week Low
53.77

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of FDVV's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Technology is the largest sector in FDVV at 31.7%, ahead of Financial Services at 18.4% and Consumer Cyclical at 11.8%. FDVV is a Large Value fund from Fidelity Investments, launched on September 12, 2016.

A yearly fee of 0.15% applies to FDVV, which comes to $15.00 on a $10,000 position. Total net assets stand at $10.2B. Investors receive a distribution yield of 2.82%, and the fund's portfolio turnover is 36%.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of FDVV shifts by 0.63%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.

04

FDVV AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/2
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 57.2, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 57.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of FDVV

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
72/100
Buy
What the AI sees

Both moving averages sit under the price, which is the shape of an uptrend for FDVV: the price of $62.53 is 0.44% above the 50-day average ($62.26) and 3.91% above the 200-day average ($60.18). The price sits near the top of its 52-week range, 3.11% below the high of $64.54 and 16.29% above the low of $53.77. The 50-day average sits 3.46% above the 200-day, which confirms the move rather than contradicting it.

Over the past month the price climbed 1.35%, yet across the past three months it slipped 1.17%, and over the past year it gained 10.32%. Short-term and long-term readings therefore diverge. The 14-day RSI sits at 57.2, which is neutral territory.

ProTips
  1. Two levels matter most right now: the 52-week high at $64.54, which sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $62.26, which sits below it.
  2. A 14-day RSI of 57.2 falls in the neutral zone. Only readings above 70 or below 30 would point to stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. FDVV's expense ratio of 0.15% a year means $15.00 is charged on every $10,000 held.
Market outlook

The uptrend rests on FDVV staying above its 50-day average at $62.26 and its 200-day average at $60.18; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 50-day SMA at $62.26.

The next level above the price is the 52-week high of $64.54, which is where a rise would meet resistance first.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for FDVV, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Neutral
Momentum Neutral
57.214-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.0584 Neutral
Trend Golden cross
+0.4%price against the 50-day average
200-day $60.18 50-day $62.26 Price $62.53
Price against the 200-day +3.9% Bullish

As of October 27, 2026, with FDVV at $62.53, its 14-day RSI is 57.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $62.26 and its 200-day is $60.18.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What FDVV moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.89 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.73 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.32 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.18 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, FDVV's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.89 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.73 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.32 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.18 with gold (XAU).

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05

FDVV trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

FDVV trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$61.28
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$62.53
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$59.44
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (57.2) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$64.34
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$67.41
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$70.47
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from FDVV's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much FDVV tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.63%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$62.53
$53.77 81% of the way up $64.54

Compare FDVV

Put FDVV side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

FDVV price history and drawdowns

FDVV's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.63% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 35.0%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by January 2021.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    85% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $35,424, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

FDVV Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-35.0%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
10 months
back at the old peak by January 2021
From the 10-year high
-2.8%
highest close, August 2026
1-year holds that gained
85%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, FDVV's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -35.0% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by January 2021, 10 months after the low, and 85% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into FDVV in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

FDVV today
$35,424
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,376
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$6,952
0.8x the index result
Total change
+254%
3.5x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
FDVV S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: FDVV trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $35,424 against $42,376.

A $10,000 investment in FDVV in October 2016 would be worth about $35,424 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to FDVV, and which have not.

Jan9/10 upFeb7/10 upMar5/10 upApr6/10 upMay7/10 upJun7/10 upJul10/10 upAug7/10 upSep4/10 upOct7/9 upNov8/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +3.52%, up in 8 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -2.51%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +1.55%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, FDVV's strongest calendar month has been November (average +3.52%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.51%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

FDVV price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in FDVV, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$8,652
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,424
median path
Upside, 2030
$20,826
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in FDVV today could grow to about $13,424 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $20,826 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,652. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.82% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

FDVV 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$62.53
Base case, 2030
$83.94
1.3x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$54.10 to $130
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $83.94 for FDVV by 2030 in the base case, from $62.53 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $54.10. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FDVV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

FDVV simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $54.04 $67.31 $83.83
2028 $53.11 $72.45 $98.83
2029 $53.31 $77.98 $114
2030 $54.10 $83.94 $130

Method: a lognormal simulation of FDVV's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

FDVV ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

FDVV Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) a buy right now?
A score of 72/100 gives FDVV its Buy rating. The trend carries the score: the price is 3.91% above its 200-day average and 0.44% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 3.46% above the 200-day. Every factor in the model is neutral or positive. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) performed over the past year?
The price rose 10.32% across the last twelve months. Looking at shorter spans, it dropped 1.17% over three months but climbed 1.35% in the most recent month. Currently it is 3.11% under its 52-week high of $64.54.
What does FDVV cost to own?
FDVV has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which comes to $15.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fee is taken from the fund's assets rather than billed separately.
What are the largest sectors in FDVV?
At 31.7% of the fund, Technology is the biggest sector. Financial Services follows at 18.4%, and Consumer Cyclical is third at 11.8%.
Does FDVV pay a dividend?
Yes. FDVV has a distribution yield of 2.82%. A yield is the payout divided by the price, so it changes when either one does.
What are the key price levels for FDVV?
The nearest level overhead is the 52-week high at $64.54. On the downside, the 50-day SMA at $62.26 comes first, with the 20-day EMA at $61.91 just beneath it.
How volatile is FDVV?
On an average day FDVV's price moves 0.63%, which is the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of FDVV?
Over the last 52 weeks, FDVV has moved between $53.77 and $64.54. With the price at $62.53, it occupies 81% of that span, sitting 16.29% above the low and 3.11% below the high.
Is FDVV in an uptrend?
Yes. Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV) trades at $62.53, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($62.26 and $60.18). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 57.2, in neutral territory.
What is FDVV's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -35.0%, from February 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by January 2021, 10 months after the low. Over the same period, 85% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for FDVV are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 28, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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