TradeTrade
Jump to any asset 873 assets, updated daily
01

ARKX ETF forecast today

Where ARKX stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

ARKX at a glance

ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX): Sell, 32/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($31.94 and $32.54).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.75%, $737.1M in net assets, price down 0.8% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) Sell, with a model score of 32/100.

The trend holds it back most: the price is 5.31% below its 200-day average and 3.53% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.85% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $31.94 and the 200-day at $32.54. Over the past year the price fell 0.77%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from ARKX's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

ARKX ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $30.81 is 3.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of $31.94.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 5.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of $32.54.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($31.94) is 1.8% below the 200-day average ($32.54), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 44% of its 52-week range, between $25.17 and $37.89.

ARKX share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far ARKX has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $31.05 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $30.81 Oct 27, 2026
High $37.74 May 28, 2026
Low $25.74 Nov 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where ARKX sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 2.18% wide
$30.81
$30.34 $31.00
52-week range 44% of the way up
$30.81
$25.17 $37.89
Open
$30.34
Previous close
$30.17
Volume
540.88K
9% above average
03

ARKX fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

0/4
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.75% a year, $75.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $737.1M.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Industrials, makes up 59.1% of the fund.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price fell 0.77% over the past year.

ARKX Fund Facts

ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on companies involved in space exploration, space infrastructure, and defense innovation. The fund typically invests at least 80% of its assets in domestic and foreign equity securities tied to its theme, giving it exposure to businesses across orbital and sub-orbital aerospace, next-generation defense technologies, enabling technologies, and aerospace beneficiaries.

Issuer
ARK ETF Trust
Category
Technology
Inception
Mar 30, 2021
Expense ratio
0.75%
Net assets
$737.11M
Distribution yield
None
YTD total return (fund family)
10.24%
Turnover
24.00%

Sector weights

Industrials 59.1%
Technology 26.8%
Consumer Cyclical 9.6%
Communication Services 4.5%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period ARKX
YTD 10.24%
1 month -1.53%
3 months -6.52%
1 year 11.91%
3 years 32.24%
5 years 10.22%

As of Oct 27, 2026, ARKX has an expense ratio of 0.75%, $737.11M in net assets and no distribution yield.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for ARKX.

Net Assets
737.11M
Expense Ratio
0.75%
Yield
None
Day High
$31.00
Day Low
$30.34
52 Week High
37.89
52 Week Low
25.17

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ARKX's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Industrials is the largest sector in ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) at 59.1%, ahead of Technology at 26.8% and Consumer Cyclical at 9.6%. With more than half in one sector, ARKX moves with that sector more than a broadly spread fund would. ARKX is a Technology fund from ARK ETF Trust, launched on March 30, 2021.

Owning ARKX carries an annual cost of 0.75%, which comes to $75.00 on a $10,000 position. The fund's net assets come to $737.1M, and its portfolio turnover is 24%.

Key risks

ARKX's average daily move is 1.48%. Industrials accounts for 59.1% of its holdings, so the fund leans heavily on a single sector. Until the price climbs back above its moving averages, the trend stays against holders. The price is 18.69% below its 52-week high of $37.89.

04

ARKX AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 46.1, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 46.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of ARKX

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
32/100
Sell
What the AI sees

ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) is trending down. At $30.81, the price sits 3.53% below its 50-day average of $31.94 and 5.31% below its 200-day average of $32.54. The 50-day average is 1.85% below the 200-day, which backs up that weakness instead of cutting against it. Over the past year, the price is 22.41% above the 52-week low of $25.17, yet 18.69% below the high of $37.89.

Short-term and long-term readings disagree. Over the past month the price slid 5.77%, yet over the past three months it climbed 0.79%, and across the past year it dropped 0.77%. The 14-day RSI sits at 46.1, which is neutral territory, while the MACD line remains negative.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $30.96 sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $25.17 sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 46.1, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.75% a year, ARKX charges $75.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

With the price below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.94 and $32.54), ARKX has a downward trend. A move back above the 50-day would be the first real sign of repair. Just above the price, the 20-day EMA at $30.96 is the first level a rally would reach.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $25.17. The 14-day RSI of 46.1 places the fund in the neutral band, which runs from 40 to 60.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for ARKX, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
46.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.586 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-3.5%price against the 50-day average
200-day $32.54 50-day $31.94 Price $30.81
Price against the 200-day -5.3% Bearish

As of October 27, 2026, with ARKX at $30.81, its 14-day RSI is 46.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $31.94 and its 200-day is $32.54.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What ARKX moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.74 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.75 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.44 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.27 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, ARKX's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.74 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.75 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.44 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.27 with gold (XAU).

Check any other asset
Try
05

ARKX trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

ARKX trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$31.43
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$30.81
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$32.45
Max loss
-3.3%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (46.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$29.85
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$28.28
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$26.71
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from ARKX's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much ARKX tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
1.48%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$30.81
$25.17 44% of the way up $37.89

Compare ARKX

Put ARKX side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

ARKX price history and drawdowns

ARKX's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.48% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 43.5%, from November 2021 to October 2022, regained by January 2025.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    68% of 1-year holding periods in the last 6 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in March 2021 is now worth $14,862, against $20,860 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

ARKX Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall since March 2021
-43.5%
November 2021 to October 2022
Recovery
27 months
back at the old peak by January 2025
From the high since March 2021
-18.4%
highest close, May 2026
1-year holds that gained
68%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, ARKX's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since March 2021 with dividends reinvested was -43.5% (November 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by January 2025, 27 months after the low, and 68% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into ARKX in March 2021 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

ARKX today
$14,862
from $10,000 in March 2021, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$20,860
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$5,998
0.7x the index result
Total change
+49%
1.5x the starting amount
20222023202420252026
ARKX S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: ARKX trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $14,862 against $20,860.

A $10,000 investment in ARKX in March 2021 would be worth about $14,862 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $20,860 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to ARKX, and which have not.

Jan3/5 upFeb3/5 upMar3/5 upApr4/6 upMay4/6 upJun3/6 upJul4/6 upAug4/6 upSep2/6 upOct3/5 upNov2/5 upDec3/5 up

Strongest month, December: an average of +2.91%, up in 3 of 5 years.

Weakest month, September: an average of -2.21%, up in 2 of 6 years.

This month, October: has averaged +2.31%, up in 3 of 5 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 6 years, ARKX's strongest calendar month has been December (average +2.91%, up in 3 of 5 years) and its weakest September (average -2.21%, up in 2 of 6 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 6 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

ARKX price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ARKX, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$6,401
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$12,984
median path
Upside, 2030
$26,337
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 6 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in ARKX today could grow to about $12,984 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $26,337 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,401. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ARKX 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$30.81
Base case, 2030
$40.00
1.3x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$19.72 to $81.14
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $40.00 for ARKX by 2030 in the base case, from $30.81 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $19.72. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ARKX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

ARKX simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $23.09 $32.89 $46.84
2028 $21.29 $35.11 $57.89
2029 $20.31 $37.48 $69.14
2030 $19.72 $40.00 $81.14

Method: a lognormal simulation of ARKX's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

ARKX ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

ARKX Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) a buy right now?
A score of 32/100 gives ARKX its Sell rating. The main drag is the trend: the price is 5.31% below its 200-day average and 3.53% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.85% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) performed over the past year?
The price declined 0.77% across the past year, but the shorter stretches tell a different story: a rise of 0.79% over three months and a fall of 5.77% in the last month. Currently the price is 18.69% under its 52-week high of $37.89.
What does ARKX cost to own?
ARKX charges an expense ratio of 0.75%, which works out to $75.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets instead of being billed on its own.
What are the largest sectors in ARKX?
Industrials leads the fund at 59.1%, trailed by Technology at 26.8% and Consumer Cyclical at 9.6%.
What are the key price levels for ARKX?
Two levels sit above the price: the 20-day EMA at $30.96 and the 50-day SMA at $31.94. The only level beneath the price is the 52-week low at $25.17.
How volatile is ARKX?
On an average day, ARKX's price moves 1.48%. This figure is the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of ARKX?
Over the last 52 weeks, ARKX has moved within a band from $25.17 to $37.89. Trading at $30.81, the price occupies 44% of that band, standing 22.41% above the low and 18.69% below the high.
Is ARKX in an uptrend?
No. ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) trades at $30.81, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($31.94 and $32.54). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 46.1, in neutral territory.
What is ARKX's biggest drop in the period since March 2021?
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since March 2021 was -43.5%, from November 2021 to October 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by January 2025, 27 months after the low. Over the same period, 68% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are ARKX's best and worst months?
Over the last 6 years, December has been ARKX's strongest month on average (+2.91%, rising in 3 of 5 years) and September its weakest (-2.21%, rising in 2 of 6 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for ARKX are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

Advertiser Disclosure:

At CleaRank, clarity and transparency are more than ideals, they are the core of our operations. CleaRank is a paid SaaS platform: the Pro and Ultra workbench plans are paid subscriptions, while everything else on this site, including our trading calculators, tools and market news, is free to use. In the spirit of full disclosure: some of our free editorial content contains partner links, and we may earn affiliate commissions from them. This never affects what you pay. Please keep in mind that your confidence in our platform is what matters to us most and we are devoted to earning your trust every day through consistent transparency. CleaRank's Editorial team works independently from partner relationships and financial incentives. All material and information made available by CleaRank stem from our unique technology and methodology which are created to prioritize your needs as a trader and deliver actionable insights to help you make clearer decisions.