As of October 11, 2026, ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) trades at $32.20. RSI at 41 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $32.70.
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX)
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF CBOE
ARKX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
ARKX Fund Facts
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on companies involved in space exploration, space infrastructure, and defense innovation. The fund typically invests at least 80% of its assets in domestic and foreign equity securities tied to its theme, giving it exposure to businesses across orbital and sub-orbital aerospace, next-generation defense technologies, enabling technologies, and aerospace beneficiaries.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | ARKX | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 11.96% | 13.51% |
| 1 month | 5.82% | 19.10% |
| 3 months | -13.32% | 10.83% |
| 1 year | 23.65% | 54.99% |
| 3 years | 30.38% | 27.86% |
| 5 years | 9.01% | 9.93% |
| 10 years | N/A | 19.36% |
Fund reference data as of Oct 11, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
ARKX Analysis
- Monitor the performance of top holdings within the Industrials and Technology sectors for insights into sector health.
- Consider the impact of government policy and defense budgets on the fund's underlying companies.
- Evaluate the fund's performance against its category and benchmark to gauge relative strength.
- Stay informed about advancements in space technology and commercial space ventures, as these are key drivers for ARKX.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with ARKX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Yield | 0.00% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $32.48 |
| Day Low | $32.05 |
| 52 Week High | 37.89 |
| 52 Week Low | 25.17 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 41.46 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.00 |
| SMA 50 | 32.70 |
| SMA 200 | 32.56 |
ARKX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ARKX in March 2021 would be worth about $15,862 today, compared with about $19,724 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ARKX today could grow to about $21,524 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $65,878 and a bear case around $7,033. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ARKX ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $43.75 for ARKX by 2030 in the base case, from $32.20 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $21.57. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ARKX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $24.41 | $34.77 | $49.52 |
| 2028 | $22.76 | $37.54 | $61.90 |
| 2029 | $21.96 | $40.53 | $74.79 |
| 2030 | $21.57 | $43.75 | $88.77 |
| 2031 | $21.42 | $47.24 | $104 |
| 2032 | $21.44 | $51.00 | $121 |
| 2033 | $21.60 | $55.07 | $140 |
| 2034 | $21.86 | $59.46 | $162 |
| 2035 | $22.21 | $64.19 | $186 |
| 2036 | $22.65 | $69.31 | $212 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ARKX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.