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01

The short version

Where GDXJ stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

GDXJ at a glance

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ): Sell, 36/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($120.86 and $119.37).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.52%, $8.4B in net assets, +17.9% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) Sell, with a model score of 36/100.

The trend holds it back most: the price is 7.93% below its 200-day average and 9.06% below its 50-day average. The 50-day average stands at $120.86 and the 200-day at $119.37. Over the past year the price fell 1.60%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from GDXJ's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $109.91 is 9.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $120.86.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 7.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $119.37.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($120.86) is 1.2% above the 200-day average ($119.37), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 32% of its 52-week range, between $87.35 and $157.49.

GDXJ share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far GDXJ has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $111.70 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $109.91 Oct 16, 2026
High $156.19 Feb 27, 2026
Low $87.56 Nov 4, 2025

Today's trading

Where GDXJ sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 3.51% wide
$109.91
$108.58 $112.40
52-week range 32% of the way up
$109.91
$87.35 $157.49
Open
$109.02
Previous close
$109.61
Volume
4.98M
31% above average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.52% a year, $52.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $8.4B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Basic Materials, makes up 100.0% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 2.33%.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of 17.88%.

GDXJ Fund Facts

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to smaller gold and silver mining companies, including firms in earlier stages of development. The fund seeks to track an index of global junior miners, giving investors access to a diversified basket of precious-metals producers and explorers rather than a single company.

Issuer
VanEck
Category
Equity Precious Metals
Inception
Nov 10, 2009
Expense ratio
0.52%
Net assets
$8.37B
Distribution yield
2.33%
YTD return
-0.31%
Turnover
36.00%

Sector weights

Basic Materials 100.0%

Trailing total returns

Period GDXJ
YTD -0.31%
1 month -11.21%
3 months 15.90%
1 year 17.88%
3 years 55.05%
5 years 26.33%
10 years 11.65%

As of Oct 16, 2026, GDXJ has an expense ratio of 0.52%, $8.37B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.33%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for GDXJ.

Net Assets
8.37B
Expense Ratio
0.52%
Yield
2.33%
Day High
$112.40
Day Low
$108.58
52 Week High
157.49
52 Week Low
87.35

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of GDXJ's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is led by Basic Materials, which makes up 100.0% of the fund. Almost the whole fund is in that one sector, so GDXJ rises and falls with it. GDXJ is an Equity Precious Metals fund from VanEck, launched on November 10, 2009.

Each year the expense ratio of 0.52% costs $52.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund's net assets come to $8.4B. Distribution yield stands at 2.33%, and portfolio turnover is 36%.

Key risks

GDXJ's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 2.81%. Basic Materials represents 100.0% of the fund, so weakness in that sector would hit nearly the entire portfolio. Until the price climbs back above both moving averages, the downtrend remains a risk factor. The price is also 30.21% under its 52-week high of $157.49.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 43.1, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 43.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of GDXJ

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
36/100
Sell
What the AI sees

The shape of a downtrend is visible in the averages: both sit above the price. At $109.91, VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) trades 9.06% below its 50-day average of $120.86 and 7.93% below its 200-day average of $119.37. That 50-day average is still 1.25% above the 200-day one. Across the 52-week range, which runs from $87.35 to $157.49, the price currently sits at 32% of the way up.

The short and long run point different ways: the price fell 6.87% over the past month, rose 19.21% over the past three months and fell 1.60% over the past year. The price rose 0.27% in the last session on volume 31.2% above its average. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 43.1, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative.

ProTips
  1. The two closest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA, sitting at $113.81 above the price, and the 52-week low of $87.35 beneath it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 43.1, which is neutral, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. GDXJ's 0.52% annual charge amounts to $52.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

As long as GDXJ stays under both its 50-day average of $120.86 and its 200-day average of $119.37, the downtrend remains intact. A close back above the 200-day average would be the first sign of repair. Overhead, the first hurdle is the 20-day EMA at $113.81.

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) has its next support at the 52-week low of $87.35, the first level a fall would reach.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for GDXJ, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
43.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -3.20 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-9.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $119.37 50-day $120.86 Price $109.91
Price against the 200-day -7.9% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with GDXJ at $109.91, its 14-day RSI is 43.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $120.86 and its 200-day is $119.37.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What GDXJ moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.34 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.36 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.39 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.84 Strong

As of October 16, 2026, GDXJ's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.34 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.36 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.39 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.84 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

GDXJ trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$112.11
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$109.91
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$118.02
Max loss
-5.3%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (43.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$106.50
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$100.90
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$95.29
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from GDXJ's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much GDXJ tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
2.81%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$109.91
$87.35 32% of the way up $157.49

Compare GDXJ

Put GDXJ side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

GDXJ's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

2/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 2.81% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 57.2%, from August 2020 to September 2022, regained by April 2025.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    61% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $32,965, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

GDXJ Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-57.2%
August 2020 to September 2022
Recovery
31 months
back at the old peak by April 2025
From the 10-year high
-29.6%
highest close, February 2026
1-year holds that gained
61%
of every 1-year window

As of October 16, 2026, GDXJ's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -57.2% (August 2020 to September 2022); it regained that peak by April 2025, 31 months after the low, and 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into GDXJ in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

GDXJ today
$32,965
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,525
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$9,560.14
0.8x the index result
Total change
+230%
3.3x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
GDXJ S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: GDXJ trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $32,965 against $42,525.

A $10,000 investment in GDXJ in October 2016 would be worth about $32,965 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to GDXJ, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb5/10 upMar6/10 upApr5/10 upMay6/10 upJun4/10 upJul7/10 upAug5/10 upSep2/10 upOct6/9 upNov4/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, December: an average of +5.24%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, September: an average of -2.38%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +3.43%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, GDXJ's strongest calendar month has been December (average +5.24%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -2.38%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in GDXJ, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$3,594
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$21,749
median path
Upside, 2036
$131,625
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GDXJ today could grow to about $21,749 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $131,625 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,594. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.33% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

GDXJ 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$110
Base case, 2030
$150
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$48.03 to $468
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $150 for GDXJ by 2030 in the base case, from $110 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $48.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GDXJ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

GDXJ simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $67.22 $119 $210
2028 $57.39 $128 $287
2029 $51.76 $139 $372
2030 $48.03 $150 $468
2031 $45.38 $162 $579

Method: a lognormal simulation of GDXJ's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates GDXJ Sell, on a model score of 36/100. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 7.93% below its 200-day average and 9.06% below its 50-day average. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) performed over the past year?
The price has dropped 1.60% across the past year. Looking at shorter spans, it gained 19.21% over three months but lost 6.87% in the last month. Currently it trades 30.21% under its 52-week high of $157.49.
What does GDXJ cost to own?
GDXJ charges an expense ratio of 0.52%, which works out to $52.00 per year on a $10,000 position. That cost is deducted from the fund's assets, not sent as a separate bill.
What are the largest sectors in GDXJ?
Basic Materials dominates the fund, accounting for 100.0% of its holdings.
Does GDXJ pay a dividend?
Yes, GDXJ pays a distribution yield of 2.33%. Yield is calculated by dividing the payout by the price, so it moves whenever either of those figures changes.
What are the key price levels for GDXJ?
Overhead, the nearest levels are the 20-day EMA at $113.81 and the 200-day SMA at $119.37. On the downside, the level to watch is the 52-week low at $87.35.
How volatile is GDXJ?
On an average day, GDXJ's price moves 2.81%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of GDXJ?
Over the past 52 weeks, GDXJ has moved between $87.35 and $157.49. At $109.91, the price stands at 32% of that span, 25.83% above the low and 30.21% under the high.
Is GDXJ in an uptrend?
No. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) trades at $109.91, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($120.86 and $119.37). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 43.1, in neutral territory.
What is GDXJ's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -57.2%, from August 2020 to September 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by April 2025, 31 months after the low. Over the same period, 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for GDXJ are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 16, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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