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01

GDXJ ETF forecast today

Where GDXJ stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

GDXJ at a glance

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ): Sell, 23/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($117.44 and $118.48).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.52%, $8.4B in net assets, price up 0.0% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 30, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) Sell, with a model score of 23/100.

The trend holds it back most: the price is 19.84% below its 200-day average and 19.14% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.87% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $117.44 and the 200-day at $118.48. Over the past year the price rose 0.04%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from GDXJ's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

GDXJ ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $94.97 is 19.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $117.44.
  • Price below its 200-day average ›
    The price is 19.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $118.48.
  • 50-day average below the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($117.44) is 0.9% below the 200-day average ($118.48), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 11% of its 52-week range, between $87.35 and $157.49.

GDXJ share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far GDXJ has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $94.93 Oct 30, 2025
Latest close $94.97 Oct 30, 2026
High $156.19 Feb 27, 2026
Low $87.56 Nov 4, 2025

Today's trading

Where GDXJ sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 3.67% wide
$94.97
$93.50 $96.93
52-week range 11% of the way up
$94.97
$87.35 $157.49
Open
$96.93
Previous close
$100.94
Volume
7.85M
84% above average
03

GDXJ fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/5
  • Expense ratio above 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.52% a year, $52.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $8.4B.
  • One sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Basic Materials, makes up 100.0% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 2.33%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 0.04% over the past year.

GDXJ Fund Facts

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to smaller gold and silver mining companies, including firms in earlier stages of development. The fund seeks to track an index of global junior miners, giving investors access to a diversified basket of precious-metals producers and explorers rather than a single company.

Issuer
VanEck
Category
Equity Precious Metals
Inception
Nov 10, 2009
Expense ratio
0.52%
Net assets
$8.37B
Distribution yield
2.33%
YTD total return (fund family)
-0.31%
Turnover
36.00%

Sector weights

Basic Materials 100.0%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period GDXJ
YTD -0.31%
1 month -11.21%
3 months 15.90%
1 year 17.88%
3 years 55.05%
5 years 26.33%
10 years 11.65%

As of Oct 31, 2026, GDXJ has an expense ratio of 0.52%, $8.37B in net assets and a distribution yield of 2.33%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 31, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for GDXJ.

Net Assets
8.37B
Expense Ratio
0.52%
Yield
2.33%
Day High
$96.93
Day Low
$93.50
52 Week High
157.49
52 Week Low
87.35

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of GDXJ's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) rests on Basic Materials, which makes up 100.0% of the fund. With nearly all holdings in one sector, GDXJ tends to move in step with that sector. The fund belongs to the Equity Precious Metals type and was launched by VanEck on November 10, 2009.

Each year the fund charges an expense ratio of 0.52%, which works out to $52.00 on a $10,000 holding. The fund's net assets stand at $8.4B. A distribution yield of 2.33% is paid out to holders, and portfolio turnover is 36%.

Key risks

The 30-day standard deviation of GDXJ's daily returns is 3.02%. Concentration matters here: Basic Materials makes up 100.0% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 39.70% below its 52-week high of $157.49.

04

GDXJ AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 31.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 31.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of GDXJ

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
23/100
Sell
What the AI sees

GDXJ, or VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF, looks like a downtrend: both moving averages lie above the price. The price of $94.97 sits 19.14% below the 50-day average of $117.44 and 19.84% below the 200-day average of $118.48. The fund is at 11% of its 52-week range, and the price is 8.72% above the 52-week low of $87.35. The 50-day average is 0.87% below the 200-day, a gap that backs up the weakness instead of cutting against it.

A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 16.66% over the past month, fell 0.44% over the past three months and rose 0.04% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 31.8, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative. The price fell 5.91% in the last session on volume 84.4% above its average.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA, sitting at $106.35 above the price, and the 52-week low, at $87.35 below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 31.8, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.52% a year, GDXJ charges $52.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

GDXJ stays in a downtrend for as long as it trades below both its 50-day average of $117.44 and its 200-day average of $118.48. A close back above the 50-day average would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $106.35 is the first barrier a rebound would need to clear.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low of $87.35. An RSI in the bearish band makes a fast rebound less likely.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for GDXJ, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Neutral
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
31.814-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -4.69 Bearish
Trend No clear cross
-19.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $118.48 50-day $117.44 Price $94.97
Price against the 200-day -19.8% Bearish

As of October 30, 2026, with GDXJ at $94.97, its 14-day RSI is 31.8 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $117.44 and its 200-day is $118.48.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What GDXJ moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.34 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.37 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.40 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.83 Strong

As of October 30, 2026, GDXJ's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.34 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.37 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.40 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.83 with gold (XAU).

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05

GDXJ trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

GDXJ trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$96.87
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$94.97
Entry at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$102.20
Max loss
-5.5%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (31.8) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$92.03
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$87.18
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$82.34
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from GDXJ's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much GDXJ tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
3.02%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$94.97
$87.35 11% of the way up $157.49

Compare GDXJ

Put GDXJ side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

GDXJ price history and drawdowns

GDXJ's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

2/4
  • Average daily move of 2% or more ›
    The price has moved 3.02% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 57.2%, from August 2020 to September 2022, regained by April 2025.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    61% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $27,179, against $41,607 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

GDXJ Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-57.2%
August 2020 to September 2022
Recovery
31 months
back at the old peak by April 2025
From the 10-year high
-39.2%
highest close, February 2026
1-year holds that gained
61%
of every 1-year window

As of October 30, 2026, GDXJ's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -57.2% (August 2020 to September 2022); it regained that peak by April 2025, 31 months after the low, and 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into GDXJ in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

GDXJ today
$27,179
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$41,607
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$14,428
0.7x the index result
Total change
+172%
2.7x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
GDXJ S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: GDXJ trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $27,179 against $41,607.

A $10,000 investment in GDXJ in October 2016 would be worth about $27,179 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,607 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to GDXJ, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb5/10 upMar6/10 upApr5/10 upMay6/10 upJun4/10 upJul7/10 upAug5/10 upSep2/10 upOct6/9 upNov4/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, December: an average of +5.24%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, September: an average of -2.38%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +3.43%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, GDXJ's strongest calendar month has been December (average +5.24%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -2.38%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

GDXJ price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in GDXJ, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$4,245
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,270
median path
Upside, 2030
$41,480
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in GDXJ today could grow to about $13,270 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $41,480 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,245. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.33% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

GDXJ 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$94.97
Base case, 2030
$126
1.3x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$40.32 to $394
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $126 for GDXJ by 2030 in the base case, from $94.97 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $40.32. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GDXJ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

GDXJ simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $57.65 $102 $180
2028 $48.87 $109 $245
2029 $43.76 $117 $315
2030 $40.32 $126 $394

Method: a lognormal simulation of GDXJ's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

GDXJ ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.

GDXJ Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates GDXJ Sell, on a model score of 23/100. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 19.84% below its 200-day average and 19.14% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.87% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 0.04%. Over shorter periods it fell 0.44% in three months and fell 16.66% in the past month. It now trades 39.70% below its 52-week high of $157.49.
What does GDXJ cost to own?
GDXJ charges an expense ratio of 0.52%, equal to $52.00 a year on a $10,000 position. That charge comes out of the fund's assets, so no separate bill arrives.
What are the largest sectors in GDXJ?
Basic Materials is the largest sector at 100.0% of the fund.
Does GDXJ pay a dividend?
Yes, GDXJ pays a distribution yield of 2.33%. Yield is found by dividing the payout by the price, so a change in either one shifts the figure.
What are the key price levels for GDXJ?
Overhead, the price first meets the 20-day EMA at $106.35, followed by the 50-day SMA at $117.44. The 52-week low at $87.35 is the level below the price.
How volatile is GDXJ?
On an average day GDXJ's price moves 3.02%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of GDXJ?
Over the past 52 weeks, GDXJ has moved between $87.35 and $157.49. At $94.97 the price sits at 11% of that range. That places it 8.72% above the low and 39.70% below the high.
Is GDXJ in an uptrend?
No. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) trades at $94.97, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($117.44 and $118.48). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 31.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is GDXJ's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -57.2%, from August 2020 to September 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by April 2025, 31 months after the low. Over the same period, 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for GDXJ are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 31, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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