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As of September 15, 2026, VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) trades at $120.89. RSI at 37 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $112.52.
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF NYSE
$120.89
-4.520 (-3.60%)
At close: Sep 14, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is currently trading below its 20-day exponential moving average, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. The fund, which focuses on smaller gold and silver mining companies, has seen its year-to-date return of 12.28% significantly outperform its category's 4.19%. However, recent performance metrics show a mixed picture, with the 1-month return at 33.81% and the 3-month return at 8.27%, contrasting with a 1-year return of 65.27%. The fund's strategy aims to provide diversified exposure to the junior precious-metals segment, linking company performance to commodity prices and exploration success.
GDXJ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$121.00
Day Range
$119.08 to $122.51
Prev Close
$125.41
Volume
5.15M
52-Week Range
$80.06 to $157.49
GDXJ Fund Facts
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides focused exposure to smaller gold and silver mining companies, including firms in earlier stages of development. The fund seeks to track an index of global junior miners, giving investors access to a diversified basket of precious-metals producers and explorers rather than a single company.
Issuer
VanEck
Category
Equity Precious Metals
Inception
Nov 10, 2009
Expense ratio
0.52%
Net assets
$9.63B
NAV
$128.88
Distribution yield
2.07%
YTD return
12.28%
Turnover
36.00%
Sector weights
Basic Materials
100.0%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | GDXJ | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 12.28% | 4.19% |
| 1 month | 33.81% | -1.50% |
| 3 months | 8.27% | -6.15% |
| 1 year | 65.27% | 96.46% |
| 3 years | 55.45% | 41.64% |
| 5 years | 26.32% | 20.43% |
| 10 years | 13.60% | 13.17% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
GDXJ Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
Momentum has turned for GDXJ: the RSI has moved to 36.59, indicating bearish momentum. The ETF's price is currently below its 20-day EMA of 124.74, suggesting short-term weakness. Despite this, the price remains above both the 50-day SMA of 112.52 and the 200-day SMA of 118.91, indicating a longer-term uptrend is still intact. Volume has increased by 32% above its average, coinciding with the recent price action.
ProTips
- Monitor gold and silver prices closely, as they are the primary drivers for GDXJ's performance.
- Be aware of the high concentration risk within the junior mining sector.
- Consider the fund's expense ratio of 0.52% when evaluating its long-term returns.
Market Outlook
The 6-12 month outlook for the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is cautiously bearish, given its current technical positioning below the 20-day EMA and a bearish RSI. While the fund remains above key longer-term moving averages, the short-term trend suggests potential for further downside. The thesis could change if gold and silver prices experience a significant upward trend, which would likely boost the performance of junior miners and improve the ETF's technicals. A move back above the 20-day EMA would be an initial sign of a potential trend reversal.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.35
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.83
Strong correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with GDXJ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Yield | 2.19% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $122.51 |
| Day Low | $119.08 |
| 52 Week High | 157.49 |
| 52 Week Low | 80.06 |
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) holds 99.83% in stocks, with its sector allocation being 100% Basic Materials. This indicates a high concentration within the precious metals mining industry. The fund's expense ratio is 0.52%, costing $52.00 per $10,000 invested, and it holds net assets of $9,630,824,448. The fund's strategy is to track an index of global junior miners, offering targeted exposure to smaller producers and explorers, making its performance closely tied to commodity prices and reserve discoveries.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
As an ETF focused on mining companies, GDXJ's earnings analysis is derived from the performance of its underlying holdings. The sector's overall earnings trend is influenced by gold and silver prices, exploration success, and operational efficiency of junior miners. The fund's objective implies that positive commodity price environments and successful exploration activities would translate to improved financial performance for its holdings.
Key Risks
The primary risk for GDXJ lies in its high concentration within the junior gold and silver mining sector, making it susceptible to commodity price volatility. Additionally, the fund's focus on smaller companies introduces higher operational and exploration risks compared to larger, more established miners. Regulatory changes affecting mining operations or commodity trading could also pose significant risks.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 36.59 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 3.07 |
| SMA 50 | 112.52 |
| SMA 200 | 118.91 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $112.52, 200-day: $118.91), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
GDXJ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$123.31
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$120.89
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$129.89
MAX LOSS
-5.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (36.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$117.14
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$110.98
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$104.81
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of GDXJ is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 15, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in GDXJ in September 2016 would be worth about $26,948 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GDXJ today could grow to about $23,293 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $141,611 and a bear case around $3,831. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GDXJ ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $170 for GDXJ by 2030 in the base case, from $121 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $54.14. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GDXJ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $74.34 | $132 | $233 |
| 2028 | $63.87 | $143 | $321 |
| 2029 | $57.97 | $156 | $419 |
| 2030 | $54.14 | $170 | $531 |
| 2031 | $51.49 | $185 | $661 |
| 2032 | $49.61 | $201 | $813 |
| 2033 | $48.26 | $218 | $989 |
| 2034 | $47.32 | $238 | $1,195 |
| 2035 | $46.69 | $259 | $1,434 |
| 2036 | $46.32 | $282 | $1,712 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using GDXJ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) has an expense ratio of 0.52%. This translates to a cost of $52.00 for every $10,000 invested over a year.
What sectors does the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) hold, and how concentrated is its portfolio?
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is heavily concentrated in the Basic Materials sector, with 100% of its assets allocated to stocks. This focus provides targeted exposure to the junior precious-metals mining industry.
What is the distribution yield for the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)?
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) has a distribution yield of 2.19%.
How has the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) performed against its category over different time periods?
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) has shown strong performance against its category over longer periods, with a 10-year return of 13.60% compared to the category's 13.17%. Its 5-year return is 26.32% versus the category's 20.43%, and its 3-year return is 55.45% compared to the category's 41.64%. However, its year-to-date return of 12.28% has outperformed the category's 4.19%, while its 1-year return of 65.27% lags the category's 96.46%.
What are the key technical levels for the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)?
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is currently trading below its 20-day EMA of 124.74, indicating short-term weakness. However, it remains above its 50-day SMA of 112.52 and its 200-day SMA of 118.91, suggesting longer-term support.
What is the GDXJ ETF price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the projected base price for the GDXJ ETF in 2030 is $169.54, with a downside projection of $54.14. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees.
What is the current RSI status for the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)?
The current RSI for the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is 36.59, which is interpreted as bearish momentum.