Forex·Spot
Gold (XAU/USD)
- 52-week range
- $3,886.49 $5,595.46
XAU/USD forecast today
Where XAU/USD stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
XAU/USD at a glance
Gold (XAU/USD): Strong Sell, 14/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($4,201.42 and $4,333.55).
- Volatility Daily moves average 0.77% (30-day standard deviation).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Gold (XAU/USD) Strong Sell, with a model score of 14/100.
The trend holds it back most: the price is 6.25% below its 200-day average and 3.30% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 3.05% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $4,201.42 and the 200-day at $4,333.55. Over the past year the price rose 0.58%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from XAU/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
XAU/USD price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $4,062.91 is 3.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $4,201.42.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 6.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $4,333.55.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($4,201.42) is 3.0% below the 200-day average ($4,333.55), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 10% of its 52-week range, between $3,886.49 and $5,595.46.
XAU/USD price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far XAU/USD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where XAU/USD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
XAU/USD key levels
The figures the trade plan is built on.
Key levels
The averages and the year's range that XAU/USD's trade plan is built on.
Short-term trend: XAU/USD is below its 50-day average of $4,201.42.
Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of $4,333.55.
52-week range: $3,886.49 to $5,595.46; the price sits 10% of the way up.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XAU/USD's drivers and risks.
XAU/USD gained 0.58% over the past year, with its price moving between $3,886.49 and $5,595.46.
From one session to the next, the price typically shifts 0.77%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. XAU/USD is a traded commodity contract, so its price reflects changes in supply, demand from industry and investors, and the strength of the US dollar.
On a typical day the price of XAU/USD shifts by 0.77%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 27.39% below its 52-week high of $5,595.46.
XAU/USD AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 31.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 31.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of XAU/USD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Trading at $4,062.91, XAU/USD is under both of its main moving averages: 3.30% below the 50-day ($4,201.42) and 6.25% below the 200-day ($4,333.55). At 10% of its 52-week range, the price is 4.54% above the 52-week low of $3,886.49. The 50-day average runs 3.05% below the 200-day average, so the shorter trend is weaker than the longer one.
A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 6.57% over the past month, fell 0.60% over the past three months and rose 0.58% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 31.9, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative.
- The two closest levels to monitor are the 20-day EMA at $4,093.23, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $3,886.49, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 31.9, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
The downtrend stays in place while XAU/USD is below both its 50-day average at $4,201.42 and its 200-day average at $4,333.55; a close back above the 50-day would be the first step of a repair. The 20-day EMA at $4,093.23 is the first hurdle overhead.
Below the price, the next level is the 52-week low at $3,886.49. With the RSI in the bearish band, momentum does not favor a quick recovery.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for XAU/USD, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with XAU/USD at $4,062.91, its 14-day RSI is 31.9 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $4,201.42 and its 200-day is $4,333.55.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What XAU/USD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, XAU/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.16 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.18 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and +0.31 with Bitcoin (BTC).
XAU/USD trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
XAU/USD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
With leverage, losses on XAU/USD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much XAU/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
XAU/USD price history and drawdowns
XAU/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/2Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 0.77% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $31,644, against $35,904 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into XAU/USD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: XAU/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $31,644 against $35,904.
A $10,000 investment in XAU/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $31,644 today, compared with about $35,904 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to XAU/USD, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +3.10%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -1.32%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.12%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, XAU/USD's strongest calendar month has been January (average +3.10%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -1.32%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.
XAU/USD long-term forecast 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XAU/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in XAU/USD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $14,897 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,713. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
XAU/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4,063 for XAU/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $4,063 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2,727. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XAU/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3,329 | $4,063 | $4,959 | |
| 2028 | $3,065 | $4,063 | $5,386 | |
| 2029 | $2,877 | $4,063 | $5,738 | |
| 2030 | $2,727 | $4,063 | $6,053 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of XAU/USD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
XAU/USD forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.