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As of August 11, 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) trades at $320.32. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $350.00, 9.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $350.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $280.60.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
$320.32 22.12 (7.42%)
At close: Aug 10, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is currently trading at $320.32, demonstrating a solid upward trajectory. The stock is positioned favorably, trading above its 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), indicating positive price momentum. With a reported revenue growth of 53.7%, MPC is outperforming many peers in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry. The company's P/E ratio stands at 10.81, which is below the sector average, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its earnings power. Despite a net seller verdict from insider transactions, the overall financial health and technical setup suggest continued strength.
MPC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$302.20
Day Range
$302.20 to $320.42
Prev Close
$298.20
Volume
1.91M
52-Week Range
$158.00 to $326.92
Market Cap
$89.95B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Energy)
Performance vs XLE
Sector Position Analysis
The stock's valuation metrics position it within the sector's competitive landscape, reflecting its market standing and growth trajectory relative to industry peers.
MPC Analysis
Company's Health 4/5
AI Analyst Target +9.27% Upside
Target Price
$350.00
AI Technical Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) exhibits a neutral RSI of 50.33, indicating a balanced market sentiment without immediate overbought or oversold conditions. The MACD at 7.69 suggests a potential bullish crossover or continuation of upward momentum. MPC is trading above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $303.15 and both its 50-day ($280.60) and 200-day ($225.47) SMAs, reinforcing a bullish trend. The Stochastic indicator at 81.95 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, which warrants monitoring for potential consolidation or pullbacks.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; a shift towards net buying could further validate the bullish outlook for MPC.
- Given the Stochastic indicator approaching overbought levels, consider scaling into positions or waiting for a minor pullback for a better entry point.
- The significant revenue growth of 53.7% is a key strength; ensure this trend is sustained in future earnings reports to support the bullish thesis.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Continues
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) reported a 53.7% revenue growth, significantly outpacing sector averages. Sustaining this growth trajectory will be a key driver for future stock performance.
Source: Company Filings Bullish Trading Above Key Moving Averages
MPC is trading above its 50-day SMA ($280.60) and 200-day SMA ($225.47), indicating a strong uptrend and potential for further price appreciation.
Source: Technical Analysis Bearish Insider Net Selling Activity
Insiders have been net sellers, with $7.1 million in sales versus $403.1K in purchases, signaling a moderate insider selling that warrants investor attention.
Source: Insider Transactions Bearish Stochastic Indicator Nearing Overbought Territory
The Stochastic indicator at 81.95 suggests MPC is approaching overbought conditions, which could precede a short-term price correction or consolidation.
Source: Technical Analysis Market Outlook
The outlook for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong revenue growth and favorable technical positioning above key moving averages. The company's P/E ratio suggests it is attractively valued relative to its peers and its substantial earnings. We project a base case scenario where MPC could reach its analyst target price of $350.00 within the next 6-12 months, driven by continued operational efficiency and demand in the refining sector. However, the moderate insider selling from insider transactions and the approaching overbought conditions indicated by the Stochastic oscillator present potential headwinds. Any significant downturn in crude oil prices or a broader market correction could also impact MPC's performance. Investors should monitor insider activity closely and be prepared for potential short-term volatility.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 89.95B |
| P/E Ratio | 10.81 |
| EPS (TTM) | 28.84 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
| 52 Week High | 326.92 |
| 52 Week Low | 158.00 |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) presents a strong fundamental case with a P/E ratio of 10.81, significantly lower than the sector average of 12.5, implying attractive valuation. Its Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $28.84 further supports its profitability. The impressive 53.7% revenue growth outpaces the sector average of 15.0%, highlighting strong operational performance and market demand for its refined products. While specific balance sheet data like debt-to-equity is not provided, the strong EPS and revenue growth suggest robust underlying business health. The dividend yield of 1.22% offers a modest income stream to investors.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth of 53.7%, significantly outpacing the energy sector's average. While specific recent EPS figures are not detailed beyond the TTM EPS of $28.84, this strong revenue trajectory suggests positive earnings performance. The company's ability to generate substantial earnings, reflected in its P/E ratio of 10.81, indicates efficient operations and strong market positioning within the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) stems from the 'NET SELLER' insider verdict, indicating significant sell-offs by insiders totaling $7.1 million, which could signal a lack of confidence at management levels. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator approaching 81.95 suggests the stock may be entering overbought territory, increasing the potential for a short-term pullback. Geopolitical instability and fluctuating crude oil prices remain inherent risks for any oil and gas refining company.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 50.33 |
| MACD | 7.69 |
| SMA 50 | 280.60 |
| SMA 200 | 225.47 |
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($280.60) above the 200-day SMA ($225.47), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.23
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) -0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.00
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
MPC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$313.91
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$320.32
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$285.54
MAX LOSS
-9.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$329.61
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$345.30
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$361.00
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ℹ️ Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for MPC is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on August 11, 2026. Growth of $10,000
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
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MPC Insider Trading Analysis
Source: SEC Form 4▲
Bought $403.1K
2 Transactions
▼
Sold $7.1M
7 Transactions
●
Insiders 26
Active Traders
$
Avg Transaction $834.3K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|