ETF·NASDAQ
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)
- Net assets
- $389.05B
- Expense ratio
- 0.03%
- Yield
- 4.17%
- 52-week range
- $69.65 $75.23
BND ETF forecast today
Where BND stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
BND at a glance
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND): Hold, 52/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($71.13 and $72.87).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.03%, $389.1B in net assets, price down 4.1% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 30, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) Hold, with a model score of 52/100.
The biggest lift comes from momentum, where the 14-day RSI of 64.8 is in the bullish zone and the MACD line is positive. The biggest drag comes from trend: the price is 1.80% below its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 2.39% below the 200-day. For reference, the 50-day average stands at $71.13 and the 200-day at $72.87. The price has fallen 4.08% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from BND's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
BND ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $71.56 is 0.6% above the 50-day simple moving average of $71.13.Price below its 200-day average ›
The price is 1.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $72.87.50-day average below the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($71.13) is 2.4% below the 200-day average ($72.87), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 34% of its 52-week range, between $69.65 and $75.23.
BND share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far BND has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where BND sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
BND fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
3/4Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.03% a year, $3.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $389.1B.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 4.17%.Price down over one year ›
The price fell 4.08% over the past year.
BND Fund Facts
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF is a fixed-income exchange-traded fund that seeks to track a broad, market-weighted index of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, taxable bonds with maturities of more than one year. The fund provides diversified exposure across the U.S. bond market, including government securities, corporate bonds, and mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities. It is designed to serve as a core bond holding for investors seeking broad coverage of the domestic investment-grade bond universe within a single fund.
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | BND |
|---|---|
| YTD | -2.75% |
| 1 month | -2.57% |
| 3 months | -3.44% |
| 1 year | -1.82% |
| 3 years | 4.04% |
| 5 years | -0.64% |
| 10 years | 1.13% |
As of Oct 31, 2026, BND has an expense ratio of 0.03%, $389.05B in net assets and a distribution yield of 4.17%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 31, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for BND.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of BND's holdings, performance and risks.
BND is a Vanguard fund in the Intermediate Core Bond type, first launched on April 3, 2007.
The yearly cost of holding BND is 0.03%, which equals $3.00 on every $10,000 invested. The fund has $389.1B in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 4.17%, and portfolio turnover is 38%.
Day-to-day swings are the first thing to plan around, since BND has moved 0.32% on an average session. Over the past year the fund has lost 4.08%.
BND AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 64.8, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 64.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of BND
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) shows a mixed trend. The price of $71.56 is 0.61% above its 50-day average of $71.13, yet it is 1.80% below its 200-day average of $72.87. Inside its 52-week range of $69.65 to $75.23, the price sits at 34% of the span and is 4.88% below the high.
Recent gains sit against a weaker longer record: the price rose 2.01% over the past month, fell 0.93% over the past three months and fell 4.08% over the past year. The 14-day RSI of 64.8 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive.
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 200-day SMA at $72.87 overhead and the 50-day SMA at $71.13 underneath.
- A 14-day RSI of 64.8 is in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. At 0.03% a year, BND takes $3.00 from every $10,000 invested.
BND gives mixed trend signals. The price is above its 50-day average of $71.13 but below its 200-day average of $72.87. Should the price close above the 200-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 50-day would point both down. For now the nearest levels are the 50-day SMA at $71.13 underneath and the 200-day SMA at $72.87 overhead.
With the RSI in the bullish zone, momentum still supports the move.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for BND, from its daily closes.
As of October 30, 2026, with BND at $71.56, its 14-day RSI is 64.8 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $71.13 and its 200-day is $72.87.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What BND moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 30, 2026, BND's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.17 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.12 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.10 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.17 with gold (XAU).
BND trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
BND trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from BND's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much BND tends to move, against the market and on its own.
BND price history and drawdowns
BND's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 0.32% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 18.5%, from August 2020 to October 2022, regained by August 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
63% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $11,532, against $41,607 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
BND Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 30, 2026, BND's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -18.5% (August 2020 to October 2022); it regained that peak by August 2024, 22 months after the low, and 63% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into BND in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: BND trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $11,532 against $41,607.
A $10,000 investment in BND in October 2016 would be worth about $11,532 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,607 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to BND, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +0.61%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -0.94%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.48%, up in 2 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, BND's strongest calendar month has been November (average +0.61%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -0.94%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
BND price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in BND, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in BND today could grow to about $10,941 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $12,639 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,471. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.17% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BND 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $78.29 for BND by 2030 in the base case, from $71.56 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $67.77. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BND's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $68.09 | $73.19 | $78.66 | |
| 2028 | $67.59 | $74.85 | $82.89 | |
| 2029 | $67.56 | $76.55 | $86.74 | |
| 2030 | $67.77 | $78.29 | $90.44 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of BND's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
BND ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.