As of September 15, 2026, Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) trades at $71.17. RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $72.33.
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF NASDAQ
BND Price Analysis
Market Metrics
BND Fund Facts
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF is a fixed-income exchange-traded fund that seeks to track a broad, market-weighted index of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, taxable bonds with maturities of more than one year. The fund provides diversified exposure across the U.S. bond market, including government securities, corporate bonds, and mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities. It is designed to serve as a core bond holding for investors seeking broad coverage of the domestic investment-grade bond universe within a single fund.
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | BND | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | -0.19% | 0.16% |
| 1 month | 0.38% | 0.20% |
| 3 months | -0.67% | -0.07% |
| 1 year | 1.82% | 4.13% |
| 3 years | 4.08% | 3.60% |
| 5 years | -0.30% | 0.17% |
| 10 years | 1.39% | 1.70% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
BND Analysis
- Consider BND as a core holding for diversification within a fixed-income portfolio.
- Monitor interest rate movements closely, as they are the primary driver of bond ETF performance.
- The low expense ratio makes BND an efficient choice for long-term bond exposure.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with BND? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Yield | 4.11% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $71.35 |
| Day Low | $71.03 |
| 52 Week High | 75.23 |
| 52 Week Low | 71.03 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.70 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.29 |
| SMA 50 | 72.33 |
| SMA 200 | 73.47 |
BND Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in BND in September 2016 would be worth about $8,515 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BND today could grow to about $12,469 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $15,650 and a bear case around $9,934. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BND ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $77.74 for BND by 2030 in the base case, from $71.17 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $67.33. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BND's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $67.71 | $72.76 | $78.18 |
| 2028 | $67.19 | $74.38 | $82.34 |
| 2029 | $67.14 | $76.04 | $86.12 |
| 2030 | $67.33 | $77.74 | $89.75 |
| 2031 | $67.67 | $79.47 | $93.32 |
| 2032 | $68.13 | $81.24 | $96.88 |
| 2033 | $68.68 | $83.06 | $100 |
| 2034 | $69.29 | $84.91 | $104 |
| 2035 | $69.97 | $86.80 | $108 |
| 2036 | $70.70 | $88.74 | $111 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BND's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.