ETF·NASDAQ
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)
- Net assets
- $389.05B
- Expense ratio
- 0.03%
- Yield
- 4.17%
- 52-week range
- $69.65 $75.23
The short version
Where BND stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
BND at a glance
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($71.39 and $73.04).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.03%, $389.1B in net assets, -1.8% total return over 1 year.
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($71.39 and $73.04), indicating a neutral to slightly bearish technical trend.
The ETF's recent performance shows a YTD return of -2.75%, with a 1-month return of -2.57% and a 3-month return of -3.44%. Despite the current price weakness, BND offers a distribution yield of 4.17%, providing income to investors. The fund's strategy focuses on a broad market-weighted index of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, taxable bonds with maturities over one year, serving as a core fixed-income holding.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from BND's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $70.81 is 0.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $71.39.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 3.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $73.04.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($71.39) is 2.3% below the 200-day average ($73.04), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 21% of its 52-week range, between $69.65 and $75.23.
BND share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far BND has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where BND sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
3/4Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.03% a year, $3.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $389.1B.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 4.17%.Positive return over one year ›
The fund family reports a one-year total return of -1.82%.
BND Fund Facts
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF is a fixed-income exchange-traded fund that seeks to track a broad, market-weighted index of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, taxable bonds with maturities of more than one year. The fund provides diversified exposure across the U.S. bond market, including government securities, corporate bonds, and mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities. It is designed to serve as a core bond holding for investors seeking broad coverage of the domestic investment-grade bond universe within a single fund.
Trailing total returns
| Period | BND |
|---|---|
| YTD | -2.75% |
| 1 month | -2.57% |
| 3 months | -3.44% |
| 1 year | -1.82% |
| 3 years | 4.04% |
| 5 years | -0.64% |
| 10 years | 1.13% |
As of Oct 16, 2026, BND has an expense ratio of 0.03%, $389.05B in net assets and a distribution yield of 4.17%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
Key statistics
The headline figures for BND.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of BND's holdings, performance and risks.
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) holds 98.64% in bonds and 1.35% in cash, reflecting its core fixed-income strategy.
The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.03%, costing $3.00 per $10,000 invested. BND aims to provide diversified exposure to the U.S. bond market, including government securities, corporate bonds, and mortgage-backed securities. Its inception date was April 3, 2007, and it currently has net assets of $389.05 billion. The fund's turnover rate is 38.00%.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 52.7, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 52.7 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of BND
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for BND, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with BND at $70.81, its 14-day RSI is 52.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $71.39 and its 200-day is $73.04.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What BND moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, BND's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.19 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.14 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.14 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.22 with gold (XAU).
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
BND trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from BND's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much BND tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
BND's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 0.31% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 18.5%, from August 2020 to October 2022; the price is still 4.1% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
64% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $11,376, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
BND Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, BND's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -18.5% (August 2020 to October 2022); it is still 4.1% below that peak, and 64% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into BND in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: BND trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $11,376 against $42,525.
A $10,000 investment in BND in October 2016 would be worth about $11,376 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to BND, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +0.61%, up in 6 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -0.94%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.48%, up in 2 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, BND's strongest calendar month has been November (average +0.61%, up in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -0.94%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in BND, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BND today could grow to about $12,425 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $15,604 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,893. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.17% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BND 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $77.23 for BND by 2030 in the base case, from $70.81 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $66.87. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BND's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $67.33 | $72.36 | $77.77 | |
| 2028 | $66.79 | $73.95 | $81.88 | |
| 2029 | $66.71 | $75.58 | $85.62 | |
| 2030 | $66.87 | $77.23 | $89.21 | |
| 2031 | $67.19 | $78.93 | $92.73 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of BND's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.