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01

The short version

Where MGK stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

MGK at a glance

Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): Buy, 68/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($84.97 and $91.17).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.05%, $35.1B in net assets, +15.5% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

MGK earns a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 68/100.

Trend does the most to lift that score: the price sits 5.92% above its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 7.30% above the 200-day. Momentum drags hardest, with the 14-day RSI at 37.8 placing it in the bearish zone. Its 50-day average is $91.17 and its 200-day average is $84.97, and over the past year the price has climbed 12.52%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from MGK's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $90.00 is 1.3% below the 50-day simple moving average of $91.17.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 5.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $84.97.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($91.17) is 7.3% above the 200-day average ($84.97), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 83% of its 52-week range, between $63.74 and $95.53.

MGK share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far MGK has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $79.99 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $90.00 Oct 16, 2026
High $95.11 Oct 6, 2026
Low $70.70 Mar 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where MGK sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 2.69% wide
$90.00
$89.59 $92.00
52-week range 83% of the way up
$90.00
$63.74 $95.53
Open
$91.97
Previous close
$92.07
Volume
95.51K
92% below average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

4/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.05% a year, $5.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $35.1B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 60.1% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 0.33%.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of 15.51%.

MGK Fund Facts

Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of a U.S. mega-cap growth index, giving investors broad exposure to some of the largest growth-oriented companies in the market. The fund is passively managed and typically concentrates on leading businesses across technology, communication services, consumer discretionary, and healthcare, with major positions often including companies such as NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon.

Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Large Growth
Inception
Dec 17, 2007
Expense ratio
0.05%
Net assets
$35.10B
Distribution yield
0.33%
YTD return
12.50%
Turnover
14.00%

Sector weights

Technology 60.1%
Communication Services 15.6%
Consumer Cyclical 11.0%
Healthcare 4.8%
Financial Services 4.4%
Industrials 2.3%
Other 1.2%

Trailing total returns

Period MGK
YTD 12.50%
1 month 3.11%
3 months 5.35%
1 year 15.51%
3 years 27.41%
5 years 15.11%
10 years 19.00%

As of Oct 16, 2026, MGK has an expense ratio of 0.05%, $35.10B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.33%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for MGK.

Net Assets
35.10B
Expense Ratio
0.05%
Yield
0.33%
Day High
$92.00
Day Low
$89.59
52 Week High
95.53
52 Week Low
63.74

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MGK's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) is led by Technology, which makes up 60.1% of the fund, followed by Communication Services at 15.6% and Consumer Cyclical at 11.0%. With more than half in one sector, MGK moves with that sector more than a broadly spread fund would. MGK is a Large Growth fund from Vanguard, launched on December 17, 2007.

Costs are small here: the expense ratio is 0.05%, or $5.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fund carries net assets of $35.1B, pays a distribution yield of 0.33%, and its portfolio turnover is 14%.

Key risks

Concentration matters here: Technology makes up 60.1% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole. On a typical day the price of MGK shifts by 0.98%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 37.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 37.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of MGK

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
68/100
Buy
What the AI sees

MGK is caught between its two moving averages. The price of $90.00 sits 5.92% above the 200-day average of $84.97, yet 1.29% below the 50-day average of $91.17. Sitting at 83% of its 52-week range, the price is 5.79% below the 52-week high of $95.53. The 50-day average is 7.30% above the 200-day average, and that spread would shrink if the price keeps trading under the shorter average.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 37.8, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, although the MACD line is positive, which pulls the other way. The price is up over each of these periods: 0.99% over the past month, 3.65% over the past three months and 12.52% over the past year.

ProTips
  1. Two levels deserve the closest watch: the 50-day SMA at $91.17, which sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $84.97, which sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 37.8, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Fees add up over time. MGK's expense ratio of 0.05% a year means $5.00 is charged on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend is mixed: MGK is above its 200-day average at $84.97 but below its 50-day average at $91.17. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. In the meantime the price sits between the 200-day SMA ($84.97) underneath and the 50-day SMA ($91.17) overhead.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for MGK, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Bearish
37.814-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.406 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
-1.3%price against the 50-day average
200-day $84.97 50-day $91.17 Price $90.00
Price against the 200-day +5.9% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with MGK at $90.00, its 14-day RSI is 37.8 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $91.17 and its 200-day is $84.97.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What MGK moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.95 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.97 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.47 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.15 Weak

As of October 16, 2026, MGK's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.95 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.97 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.47 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

MGK trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$88.20
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$90.00
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$84.64
Max loss
-4.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (37.8) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$92.61
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$97.02
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$101.43
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from MGK's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much MGK tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.98%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$90.00
$63.74 83% of the way up $95.53

Compare MGK

Put MGK side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

MGK's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

4/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.98% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 33.8%, from December 2021 to December 2022, regained by November 2023.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    88% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $76,512, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

MGK Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-33.8%
December 2021 to December 2022
Recovery
11 months
back at the old peak by November 2023
From the 10-year high
-5.4%
highest close, October 2026
1-year holds that gained
88%
of every 1-year window

As of October 16, 2026, MGK's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -33.8% (December 2021 to December 2022); it regained that peak by November 2023, 11 months after the low, and 88% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into MGK in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

MGK today
$76,512
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,525
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$33,987
1.8x the index result
Total change
+665%
7.7x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
MGK S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: MGK beat the S&P 500 over this period: $76,512 against $42,525.

A $10,000 investment in MGK in October 2016 would be worth about $76,512 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to MGK, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb3/10 upMar6/10 upApr7/10 upMay7/10 upJun8/10 upJul9/10 upAug7/10 upSep6/10 upOct6/9 upNov7/10 upDec8/10 up

Strongest month, July: an average of +4.54%, up in 9 of 10 years.

Weakest month, February: an average of -0.88%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +1.03%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, MGK's strongest calendar month has been July (average +4.54%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest February (average -0.88%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MGK, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$10,540
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$25,810
median path
Upside, 2036
$63,202
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MGK today could grow to about $25,810 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $63,202 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $10,540 (above the amount invested: over ten years most simulated paths of a rising, moderately volatile asset end higher). The simulation models price only; at today's 0.33% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

MGK 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$90.00
Base case, 2030
$132
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$74.64 to $232
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $132 for MGK by 2030 in the base case, from $90.00 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $74.64. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MGK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

MGK simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $74.55 $98.95 $131
2028 $72.89 $109 $162
2029 $73.24 $120 $195
2030 $74.64 $132 $232
2031 $76.76 $145 $272

Method: a lognormal simulation of MGK's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) a buy right now?
MGK scores 68/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Buy band. Most of the lift comes from the trend, as the price is 5.92% above its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 7.30% above the 200-day. The biggest drag is momentum: the 14-day RSI of 37.8 is in the bearish zone. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 12.52%. Over shorter periods it rose 3.65% in three months and rose 0.99% in the past month. It now trades 5.79% below its 52-week high of $95.53.
What does MGK cost to own?
MGK charges an expense ratio of 0.05%, which works out to $5.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That fee comes out of the fund's assets, so no separate bill is sent.
What are the largest sectors in MGK?
Technology is the largest sector at 60.1% of the fund, followed by Communication Services at 15.6% and Consumer Cyclical at 11.0%.
Does MGK pay a dividend?
Yes, MGK pays a distribution yield of 0.33%. Yield is the payout divided by the price, so the figure moves whenever either of those changes.
What are the key price levels for MGK?
The nearest levels above the price are the 50-day SMA at $91.17 and the 20-day EMA at $92.63. Looking down, the 200-day SMA at $84.97 comes first, with the 52-week low at $63.74 beneath it.
How volatile is MGK?
On an average day, MGK's price moves 0.98%. That figure is the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of MGK?
Over the last 52 weeks, MGK has moved between $63.74 and $95.53. At $90.00 it occupies 83% of that span, which leaves it 41.20% above the low and 5.79% below the high.
Is MGK in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) trades at $90.00, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($84.97 and $91.17). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 37.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is MGK's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -33.8%, from December 2021 to December 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by November 2023, 11 months after the low. Over the same period, 88% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for MGK are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 16, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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