ETF·NYSE
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK)
- Net assets
- $35.10B
- Expense ratio
- 0.05%
- Yield
- 0.33%
- 52-week range
- $63.74 $95.53
MGK ETF forecast today
Where MGK stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MGK at a glance
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): Hold, 47/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($85.34 and $91.13).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.05%, $35.1B in net assets, price up 3.5% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 30, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) Hold, with a model score of 47/100.
The expense ratio of 0.05% lifts the score more than any other factor. Momentum pulls it down the most, with the 14-day RSI at 33.6 in the bearish zone and the MACD line negative. Trend is mixed: the price is 4.70% below its 50-day average of $91.13 but 1.77% above its 200-day average of $85.34. The price rose 3.51% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MGK's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
MGK ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price below its 50-day average ›
The price of $86.85 is 4.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $91.13.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 1.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $85.34.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($91.13) is 6.8% above the 200-day average ($85.34), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 73% of its 52-week range, between $63.74 and $95.53.
MGK share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MGK has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MGK sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MGK fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
4/5Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.05% a year, $5.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $35.1B.One sector above 35% of the fund ›
The largest sector, Technology, makes up 60.1% of the fund.Pays a distribution ›
The distribution yield is 0.33%.Price up over one year ›
The price rose 3.51% over the past year.
MGK Fund Facts
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of a U.S. mega-cap growth index, giving investors broad exposure to some of the largest growth-oriented companies in the market. The fund is passively managed and typically concentrates on leading businesses across technology, communication services, consumer discretionary, and healthcare, with major positions often including companies such as NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon.
Sector weights
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | MGK |
|---|---|
| YTD | 12.50% |
| 1 month | 3.11% |
| 3 months | 5.35% |
| 1 year | 15.51% |
| 3 years | 27.41% |
| 5 years | 15.11% |
| 10 years | 19.00% |
As of Oct 31, 2026, MGK has an expense ratio of 0.05%, $35.10B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.33%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 31, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MGK.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MGK's holdings, performance and risks.
Technology is the dominant holding in Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK), making up 60.1% of the fund. Communication Services follows at 15.6%, and Consumer Cyclical is third at 11.0%. Because more than half the fund sits in a single sector, MGK tends to track that sector's swings more closely than a broadly spread fund would. MGK is a Large Growth fund from Vanguard that launched on December 17, 2007.
Costs are modest: the expense ratio is 0.05%, or $5.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. The fund has $35.1B in net assets. Its distribution yield stands at 0.33%, and portfolio turnover is 14%.
Concentration matters here: Technology makes up 60.1% of the fund, so a setback in that sector would weigh on the whole. On a typical day the price of MGK shifts by 1.14%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.
MGK AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 33.6, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI below 50 ›
An RSI of 33.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line below zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MGK
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
MGK is caught between its two moving averages. The price, $86.85, sits 1.77% above the 200-day average of $85.34 but 4.70% below the 50-day average of $91.13. Across its 52-week range the fund is at 73%, and the price is 9.09% below the 52-week high of $95.53. The 50-day average is 6.79% above the 200-day average, and that gap would shrink if the price keeps trading under the shorter average.
Momentum has turned down after a longer run of gains. Over the past month the price slipped 6.26%, yet it climbed 0.60% across three months and 3.51% across the year. The 14-day RSI sits at 33.6, which is in the bearish zone but still above oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. In the last session the price dropped 3.10% on volume that was 75.1% above its average.
- The two closest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA, at $90.75 above the price, and the 200-day SMA, at $85.34 below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 33.6, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. MGK's expense ratio of 0.05% a year works out to $5.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Trend signals disagree. MGK sits above its 200-day average of $85.34 but under its 50-day average of $91.13. Should the price close above the 50-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 200-day would push both down. For now the price is wedged between the 200-day SMA ($85.34) below and the 20-day EMA ($90.75) above.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MGK, from its daily closes.
As of October 30, 2026, with MGK at $86.85, its 14-day RSI is 33.6 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $91.13 and its 200-day is $85.34.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MGK moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 30, 2026, MGK's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.95 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.97 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.47 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).
MGK trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MGK trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MGK's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MGK tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MGK price history and drawdowns
MGK's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.14% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 33.8%, from December 2021 to December 2022, regained by November 2023.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
88% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $72,419, against $41,607 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MGK Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 30, 2026, MGK's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -33.8% (December 2021 to December 2022); it regained that peak by November 2023, 11 months after the low, and 88% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MGK in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MGK beat the S&P 500 over this period: $72,419 against $41,607.
A $10,000 investment in MGK in October 2016 would be worth about $72,419 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,607 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MGK, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +4.54%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, February: an average of -0.88%, up in 3 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.03%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, MGK's strongest calendar month has been July (average +4.54%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest February (average -0.88%, up in 3 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
MGK price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MGK, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MGK today could grow to about $14,544 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $25,664 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,242. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.33% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MGK 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $126 for MGK by 2030 in the base case, from $86.85 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $71.58. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MGK's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $71.80 | $95.38 | $127 | |
| 2028 | $70.10 | $105 | $156 | |
| 2029 | $70.34 | $115 | $188 | |
| 2030 | $71.58 | $126 | $223 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MGK's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MGK ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.