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Crypto

Ethereum (ETH/USD)

$2,453.62 83.60 (3.41%)
Latest Price
Hold
50 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$299.71B
Rank
#2
All-time high
$4,946.05
52-week range
$1,566.01 $4,158.57
01

The short version

Where ETH/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

ETH/USD at a glance

Ethereum (ETH/USD): Hold, 50/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($2,144.76 and $2,553.12).
  • From its high 50.4% below its all-time high of $4,946.05 (Aug 24, 2025).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 2.27% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Ethereum (ETH/USD) is priced at $2453.62 with a market capitalization of $299,714,483,091 and 24-hour trading volume of $14,018,258,522. The price sits 14.42% above its 200-day SMA of $2144.76, which keeps the longer-term trend constructive. It is still trading below the 50-day SMA of $2553.12 and the 20-day EMA of $2541.27, so the short-term trend has weakened after the recent pullback.

Price is 49.6% below the all-time high of $4946.05, so the asset is well off its peak and has not regained the prior high. The 14-day RSI of 41.78 is neutral, which points to balanced buying and selling rather than a crowded trade. Sentiment reads as cautious for now, with the market waiting for the price to reclaim the 50-day average near $2553 before adding exposure. Ethereum remains the largest smart contract platform by market capitalization, and its volume of $14,018,258,522 confirms active participation.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from ETH/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

2/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $2,453.62 is 3.9% below the 50-day simple moving average of $2,553.12.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 14.4% above the 200-day simple moving average of $2,144.76.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($2,553.12) is 19.0% above the 200-day average ($2,144.76), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 34% of its 52-week range, between $1,566.01 and $4,158.57.

ETH/USD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far ETH/USD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $3,893.76 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $2,458.79 Oct 16, 2026
High $4,158.57 Oct 26, 2025
Low $1,566.01 Jun 25, 2026
03

Market position

Size, supply and price history against the rest of the market.

3.0

Market checks

1/3
  • Within 50% of its all-time high ›
    The price is 50.4% below the all-time high of $4,946.05, set on Aug 24, 2025.
  • Market value above $10B ›
    The market value is $299.7B.
  • Fixed maximum supply ›
    There is no fixed supply cap.

ETH/USD market position

How big Ethereum is, where it trades against its own history, and how much of it exists.

Rank by market value
#2
a top-10 coin
Market value
$299.71B
24h volume
$14.02B
24h change
+3.41%
From all-time high
-50.4%
All-time range 50.4% below the high
$2,453.62
$0.4330 Oct 19, 2015 $4,946.05 Aug 24, 2025
24-hour range 5.95% wide
$2,453.62
$2,324.97 $2,463.31
Supply no fixed maximum supply
122.14M in circulation

Size: Ethereum ranks #2 by market value.

Against its high: The price is 50.4% below the all-time high of $4,946.05, set on Aug 24, 2025.

Supply: There is no fixed cap on supply, so new coins can keep diluting holders.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ETH/USD's market, adoption and risks.

Market position

With a market capitalization of $299.71B, Ethereum is a major large-cap cryptocurrency. ranking #2 among all cryptocurrencies.

No maximum supply is reported for this token. Currently 50.4% below its all-time high, offering potential recovery upside.

Adoption & Growth
Its network value of $299,714,483,091 and daily volume of $14,018,258,522 serve as the main activity gauges. Trading volume at this level shows steady participation across exchanges during the recent pullback. The trend in volume relative to price will be the clearest signal of whether ecosystem demand is expanding.
Key risks
Ethereum has high price volatility, and a move below the 200-day SMA at $2144.76 would weaken the long-term structure and could bring a deeper pullback. MACD at -35.35 shows that selling pressure still dominates the short-term tape, and failure to reclaim the 50-day SMA at $2553.12 would keep rallies capped. Regulatory decisions on digital asset classification and macro risk appetite can move the asset sharply, so position size should reflect those swings.
04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 41.8, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 41.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of ETH/USD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
50/100
Hold
What the AI sees

14-day RSI at 41.8 is neutral, which means neither overbought nor oversold conditions are present. MACD at -35.35 is negative, so momentum is still tilting toward sellers in the short run. Price at $2453.62 is below the 20-day EMA of $2541.27, so the EMA now acts as resistance and the short-term trend has weakened.

The 50-day SMA at $2553.12 is also above the price and serves as resistance, so a reclaim of that level would be the first sign of a trend change. Price remains above the 200-day SMA at $2144.76, which acts as support and marks the key level for the long-term bullish structure. A close below $2144.76 would weaken the long-term trend and open a move toward lower support.

ProTips
  1. Watch the 50-day SMA at $2553.12 as the key trigger for trend change.
  2. Use the 200-day SMA at $2144.76 as a reference level for risk control.
  3. Track daily volume against the $14,018,258,522 baseline to judge conviction.
Market outlook

Ethereum's 6 to 12 month path depends on whether price reclaims the 50-day SMA near $2553.12 and holds above the 200-day SMA at $2144.76. A sustained move above $2553 would open room toward the prior high of $4946.05 over time, while a break below $2144.76 would shift the trend risk to the downside.

Reclaiming the 20-day EMA and holding the 200-day SMA would confirm the thesis, while a failed recovery would weaken it.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for ETH/USD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
41.814-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -35.35 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-3.9%price against the 50-day average
200-day $2,144.76 50-day $2,553.12 Price $2,453.62
Price against the 200-day +14.4% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with ETH/USD at $2,453.62, its 14-day RSI is 41.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $2,553.12 and its 200-day is $2,144.76.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What ETH/USD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.47 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.45 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.91 Strong
Gold (XAU) +0.29 Weak

As of October 16, 2026, ETH/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.47 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.45 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.91 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.29 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

ETH/USD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$2,429.08
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$2,453.62
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$2,259.05
Max loss
-7.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (41.8) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$2,501.96
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$2,550.54
+5% (Conservative) +4.0% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$2,623.41
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

ETH/USD trades around the clock and can move through a stop before it fills. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much ETH/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
2.27%
30-day standard deviation

Compare ETH/USD

Put ETH/USD side by side with other cryptocurrencies and benchmarks.

06

The long record

ETH/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

0/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 2.27% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 62.3%, from October 2025 to June 2026; the price is still 41.0% below that peak.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2025 is now worth $6,314.71, against $11,682 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

ETH/USD Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, past year
-62.3%
October 2025 to June 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 41.0% below the October 2025 peak
From the 1-year high
-41.0%
highest close, October 2025

As of October 16, 2026, ETH/USD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -62.3% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 41.0% below that peak.

From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into ETH/USD in October 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

ETH/USD today
$6,314.71
from $10,000 in October 2025
S&P 500 today
$11,682
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$5,367.75
0.5x the index result
Total change
-37%
0.6x the starting amount
Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26May '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
ETH/USD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: ETH/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $6,314.71 against $11,682.

A $10,000 investment in ETH/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $6,315 today, compared with about $11,682 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to ETH/USD, and which have not.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Strongest month, July: an average of +22.23%.

Weakest month, November: an average of -22.29%.

This month, October: has averaged -8.34%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ETH/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$1,585
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$12,026
median path
Upside, 2036
$91,236
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ETH/USD today could grow to about $12,026 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $91,236 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,585. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ETH/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$2,454
Base case, 2030
$2,642
1.1x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$733 to $9,516
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2,642 for ETH/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $2,454 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $733. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ETH/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.

ETH/USD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $1,317 $2,499 $4,744
2028 $1,029 $2,546 $6,301
2029 $855 $2,593 $7,868
2030 $733 $2,642 $9,516
2031 $642 $2,691 $11,276

Method: a lognormal simulation of ETH/USD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ethereum a good entry point right now?
Ethereum trades at $2453.62, above its 200-day SMA of $2144.76 but below its 50-day SMA of $2553.12. The 14-day RSI of 41.8 is neutral, so an entry is better suited to a staged approach that waits for a reclaim of the 50-day average.
Does Ethereum pay any dividend or income?
Ethereum does not distribute a dividend. Holders who want income can look at staking or lending activity on the network, but the price return depends on market moves, and the current price of $2453.62 sits below the 50-day SMA of $2553.12.
What is the biggest risk to holding Ethereum?
The largest risk is a break below the 200-day SMA at $2144.76, which would weaken the long-term trend. MACD at -35.35 also shows short-term selling pressure, so a sharp drawdown remains possible.
Is Ethereum overbought or oversold?
The 14-day RSI is 41.8, which is neutral. Neither overbought nor oversold conditions are present, so the market is balanced for now.
Can Ethereum recover toward its all-time high?
Ethereum's all-time high is $4946.05, and the current price of $2453.62 sits 49.6% below it. A recovery would require reclaiming the 50-day SMA at $2553.12 first and then building momentum above the 20-day EMA.
What could change the Ethereum thesis?
A reclaim of the 50-day SMA at $2553.12 with improving MACD would strengthen the bull case. A close below the 200-day SMA at $2144.76 would weaken it.
Is ETH/USD in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Ethereum (ETH/USD) trades at $2,453.62, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($2,144.76 and $2,553.12). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 41.8, in neutral territory.
What is ETH/USD's biggest drop in the past year?
Ethereum (ETH/USD)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -62.3%, from October 2025 to June 2026. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 41.0% below it.
How closely does ETH/USD move with the stock market?
Over the past year ETH/USD's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.47). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.45; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.91; Gold (XAU): +0.29. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in ETH/USD be worth today?
$10,000 put into ETH/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $6,315 today, against about $11,682 for the same amount in the S&P 500.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The cryptocurrency analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for ETH/USD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or an offer to buy or sell any digital assets. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, largely unregulated, and subject to unique risks including but not limited to: exchange hacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, regulatory bans, de-pegging events, and total loss of investment. Digital asset prices can fluctuate dramatically within hours. CleaRank does not custody, broker, or facilitate trades in any cryptocurrency. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators, which may not reflect future performance. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 16, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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