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As of August 8, 2026, Cardano (ADA/USD) trades at $0.1972. Wall Street's consensus target is $0.2500. RSI at 75 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $0.1681.

Cardano (ADA/USD)

Cardano

$0.1972 -0.002300 (-1.15%)
Real Time Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Hold
55 / 100

Cardano (ADA) Price Action and Sentiment

Cardano is currently trading at $0.199, showing a notable upward trend in recent price action. The cryptocurrency has surpassed its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is signaling an overbought condition at 75.3, suggesting that the asset may be due for a pullback. The price is currently below its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which stands at $0.234, highlighting a significant resistance level overhead.

Market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, driven by ongoing development and ecosystem growth within the Cardano network. While the technical indicators suggest a potential for consolidation or a minor correction due to the overbought RSI, the underlying network activity and developer engagement remain key factors to monitor for sustained price appreciation. Investors should be aware of the potential for increased volatility as the price approaches the 200-day SMA.

ADA/USD Price Analysis

Market Position Analysis

Market Dominance

#16
Top 50
By Market Capitalization

Key Metrics Overview

Market Cap
7.61B
24h Volume
$746.24M
24h Change
-1.15%
From ATH
-93.4%
Market Intelligence
Cardano holds a mid-cap position at rank #16, balancing growth potential with established market presence.

Price History & Milestones

All-Time High
$3.09
Sep 1, 2021
All-Time Low
$0.0193
Mar 12, 2020

Current Price Position

ATL: $0.0193 Current: $0.1972 ATH: $3.09
📉 Lower Range - Consolidating below historical midpoint
24-Hour Trading Activity
Low: $0.1865
High: $0.2110
Volume: $746.24M

ADA/USD Analysis

AI Analyst Target +26.77% Upside
Target Price
$0.2500
AI Technical Analysis Hold

Cardano (ADA) Technical Indicators

Cardano's technicals present a mixed picture, with several indicators pointing towards overbought conditions. The RSI is firmly in overbought territory at 75.3, suggesting a potential for a price reversal or consolidation. The Stochastic Oscillator also reflects this, sitting at 78.25, further reinforcing the overbought signal. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at 89.78 indicates strong positive momentum but is nearing the overbought threshold.

Despite the overbought signals, Cardano's price is trading above its 20-day EMA ($0.182) and its 50-day SMA ($0.168), indicating that the short-to-medium term trend remains positive. However, the price is still below the 200-day SMA ($0.234), which acts as a significant resistance level. The MACD at 0.008 suggests momentum is slightly positive but could be flattening, warranting close observation for any shifts in trend.

ProTips
  • Monitor the 200-day SMA at $0.234 closely as a key resistance level.
  • Be cautious of potential pullbacks due to the current overbought RSI reading.
  • Focus on on-chain metrics and dApp growth for fundamental strength indicators.
Market Outlook

Cardano (ADA) 6-12 Month Forecast

Over the next 6 to 12 months, Cardano's price trajectory will likely be influenced by its ability to overcome key technical resistance levels and continue its ecosystem development. A sustained break above the 200-day SMA at $0.234, coupled with a cooling of its overbought RSI, could signal a move towards higher price targets, potentially in the $0.25 to $0.30 range. Continued adoption of its smart contract platform and successful network upgrades will be crucial catalysts.

Conversely, failure to break the 200-day SMA resistance, or a broader market downturn, could lead to a retracement towards the 50-day SMA at $0.168 or even lower. Investor sentiment, driven by development progress and competitive landscape shifts, will serve a significant role. Any significant delays in roadmap execution or a resurgence of bearish market sentiment could dampen the bullish outlook.

Market Correlations

How this crypto moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.47
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.46
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.65
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.22
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

Valuation Metrics

Market Cap 7.61B
Market Cap Rank #16
Circulating Supply 37.35B
Max Supply 45.00B
All-Time High $3.09
All-Time Low $0.0193
Cardano has a market capitalization of $7.61B. positioned at #16 in the crypto market. 83.0% of the capped supply is currently circulating. At 93.6% below its all-time high of $3.090, the asset is in a deep drawdown.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Cardano (ADA) Network Growth Metrics

Cardano's network growth is primarily measured by metrics such as active addresses, transaction counts, and the development of its smart contract capabilities. The increasing number of Plutus scripts deployed indicates a growing developer community and a more vibrant dApp ecosystem. Transaction volume trends are closely watched to gauge the real-world usage of ADA for fees and value transfer.

Developer activity, often tracked through GitHub commits and project updates, remains a crucial indicator of the network's ongoing innovation and maintenance. The expansion of staking participation and the overall security of the network through its Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism also contribute to its fundamental value. Ecosystem growth, including partnerships and integrations, further solidifies Cardano's position in the digital asset space.

Key Risks

Cardano (ADA) Key Risks

Cardano faces several risks, including the potential for regulatory uncertainty surrounding digital assets, which could impact its adoption and market sentiment. Competition from other Layer-1 blockchains also presents a challenge, requiring continuous innovation and effective marketing to maintain its market share. Furthermore, the cryptocurrency market's inherent volatility means that ADA is susceptible to broader market downturns and macroeconomic factors.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 75.30
MACD 0.01
SMA 50 0.1681
SMA 200 0.2337
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $0.1681, 200-day: $0.2337), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture, RSI at 75.3 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.

ADA/USD Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies (click to switch)

CONSERVATIVE
$0.1952
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$0.1972
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$0.1788
MAX LOSS
-8.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (75.3) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$0.2011
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$0.2050
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$0.2108
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
⚠️ Cryptocurrency Risk Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of ADA/USD is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency is highly speculative, volatile, and largely unregulated. Risks include exchange hacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, de-pegging events, regulatory bans, and total loss of investment. CleaRank does not custody or facilitate cryptocurrency trades. This is not financial advice. Generated on August 9, 2026.

Compare Cryptocurrencies

Compare cryptocurrencies against top peers and benchmarks.

ADA/USD
0.1972
-1.15%
+ Compare

Risk & Volatility i

Risk Level Very High
Daily Volatility
3.09%
30-day average
Risk Considerations
Monitor position sizing
Set appropriate stop-loss
Diversify holdings

Seasonal Patterns

Historical monthly performance trends

Jan
-3.69%
Feb
-5.38%
Mar
-13.77%
Apr
+1.19%
May
-4.42%
Jun
-15.81%
Jul
+33.61%
Aug
+11.14%
Sep
-0.56%
Oct
-25.58%
Nov
-31.79%
Dec
-15.58%
⚠️ Limited data: Based on ~2 years of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant.

Growth of $10,000

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

On-Chain & Market Metrics

24h Volume
$746.24M
24h Range
$0.1865 to $0.2110
From ATH
-93.40%
ATH: $3.09
Market Rank
#16
By Market Cap

Supply Economics

Circulating Supply 37.35B
Max Supply 45.00B
83.0% of Max Supply in Circulation

Frequently Asked Questions

An RSI value above 70, like Cardano's 75.3, typically indicates that the asset has been trading higher for a sustained period and may be due for a price correction or consolidation. It suggests buying pressure may be temporarily exhausted.
When Cardano's price is below its 200-day SMA, it suggests that the long-term trend is currently bearish or that the $0.234 level is acting as significant resistance. Prices above this average are generally considered to be in a longer-term uptrend.
Cardano's current price of $0.199 is trading above its 50-day SMA of $0.168. This indicates that the medium-term trend is currently positive, and the 50-day SMA is likely acting as a support level.
A CCI of 89.78 suggests strong positive momentum for Cardano, indicating that its current price is significantly above its historical average. However, values above 100 are typically considered overbought, so this level warrants attention.
Cardano's MACD is currently at 0.008, which suggests that the momentum is slightly positive but may be flattening. This indicates that while there is some upward pressure, the strength of the trend might be waning.
The primary technical risk for Cardano is its overbought RSI (75.3) and Stochastic Oscillator (78.25), which could lead to a short-term pullback. Additionally, the price is approaching the significant resistance of the 200-day SMA at $0.234.
Cardano's current price of $0.199 is trading above its 20-day EMA of $0.182. This suggests that the short-term trend is bullish, and the 20-day EMA is currently acting as a support level.