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Bittensor (TAO/USD)

$273.45 -5.965 (-2.18%)
Latest Price
Hold
55 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$3.10B
Rank
#34
All-time high
$757.60
52-week range
$152.22 $497.77
01

The short version

Where TAO/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

TAO/USD at a glance

Bittensor (TAO/USD): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($268.02 and $245.56).
  • From its high 63.9% below its all-time high of $757.60 (Mar 7, 2024).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 5.78% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

At $273.45, Bittensor (TAO) is currently trading below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $283.22, signaling short-term weakness.

However, the asset remains above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $268.02 and its 200-day SMA of $245.56, indicating that the longer-term trend is still intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46.97, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The 24-hour trading volume stands at $197,700,589, showing active market participation. Despite its all-time high (ATH) of $757.6, the current price represents a significant distance from its peak, suggesting potential for recovery but also highlighting recent volatility.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from TAO/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $273.45 is 2.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of $268.02.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 11.4% above the 200-day simple moving average of $245.56.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($268.02) is 9.1% above the 200-day average ($245.56), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 35% of its 52-week range, between $152.22 and $497.77.

TAO/USD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far TAO/USD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $378.70 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $273.45 Oct 16, 2026
High $497.77 Nov 1, 2025
Low $152.22 Feb 11, 2026
03

Market position

Size, supply and price history against the rest of the market.

3.0

Market checks

1/3
  • Within 50% of its all-time high ›
    The price is 63.9% below the all-time high of $757.60, set on Mar 7, 2024.
  • Market value above $10B ›
    The market value is $3.1B.
  • Fixed maximum supply ›
    54.0% of the maximum supply is in circulation.

TAO/USD market position

How big Bittensor is, where it trades against its own history, and how much of it exists.

Rank by market value
#34
a top-50 coin
Market value
$3.10B
24h volume
$197.70M
24h change
-2.18%
From all-time high
-63.9%
All-time range 63.9% below the high
$273.45
$30.83 May 14, 2023 $757.60 Mar 7, 2024
24-hour range 6.84% wide
$273.45
$272.23 $290.84
Supply 54.0% of the maximum issued
11.34M in circulation 21.00M maximum

Size: Bittensor ranks #34 by market value, so trading can be thinner than in the largest coins.

Against its high: The price is 63.9% below the all-time high of $757.60, set on Mar 7, 2024.

Supply: 54.0% of the 21.00M maximum supply is already in circulation.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of TAO/USD's market, adoption and risks.

Market position

Bittensor has a market capitalization of $3.10B.

Only 54.0% of the maximum supply is circulating, suggesting potential future inflation. At 63.9% below its all-time high of $757.60, the asset is in a deep drawdown.

Adoption & Growth
Its value is derived from network activity and utility. Key metrics to monitor include the growth in active participants (nodes and users), the volume of computations performed on the network, and the overall demand for TAO tokens to access these services. Developer activity on the Bittensor protocol, including updates and new model integrations, also contributes to its ecosystem's expansion and perceived value. The success of its incentive mechanisms for AI model creation and deployment is paramount.
Key risks
Bittensor (TAO) faces regulatory uncertainty inherent to the cryptocurrency market, which could impact its adoption and accessibility. Competition from other AI and blockchain projects presents a risk to its market position and technological relevance. Additionally, the concentration of token ownership among early investors or large holders could lead to significant price volatility if large amounts are sold.
04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

2/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 47.0, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 47.0 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of TAO/USD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
55/100
Hold
What the AI sees

At 46.97, Bittensor's (TAO) 14-day RSI is neutral, indicating a lack of strong buying or selling pressure.

The price is currently below the 20-day EMA ($283.22), which acts as immediate resistance and suggests a bearish short-term trend. Conversely, the price is above the 50-day SMA ($268.02) and the 200-day SMA ($245.56), which now serve as support levels. The MACD is at 0.285, showing minimal momentum. Given the price action relative to these moving averages, TAO is experiencing a short-term pullback within a longer-term uptrend, with key support at the 50-day SMA.

ProTips
  1. Monitor the 20-day EMA as a key short-term resistance level.
Market outlook
The outlook for Bittensor (TAO) is cautiously optimistic, with its long-term potential driven by its innovative decentralized AI framework. The current price action, trading below the 20-day EMA, suggests a near-term consolidation phase. Key support lies at the 50-day SMA ($268.02) and 200-day SMA ($245.56). A sustained break above the 20-day EMA would be a bullish signal, potentially leading to a retest of higher levels, possibly targeting its previous all-time high if market sentiment and adoption trends continue to improve. For the next 6-12 months, if Bittensor can maintain its network growth and see increased adoption of its AI services, its price could see a significant recovery.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for TAO/USD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bullish 3 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Neutral
47.014-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.285 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
+2.0%price against the 50-day average
200-day $245.56 50-day $268.02 Price $273.45
Price against the 200-day +11.4% Bullish

As of October 16, 2026, with TAO/USD at $273.45, its 14-day RSI is 47.0 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $268.02 and its 200-day is $245.56.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What TAO/USD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.28 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.29 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.56 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.15 Weak

As of October 16, 2026, TAO/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.28 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.29 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.56 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

TAO/USD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$270.72
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$273.45
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$247.24
Max loss
-8.7%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (47.0) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$278.84
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$284.25
+5% (Conservative) +3.9% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$292.37
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

TAO/USD trades around the clock and can move through a stop before it fills. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much TAO/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
5.78%
30-day standard deviation

Compare TAO/USD

Put TAO/USD side by side with other cryptocurrencies and benchmarks.

06

The long record

TAO/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

0/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 5.78% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 69.4%, from November 2025 to February 2026; the price is still 45.1% below that peak.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2025 is now worth $7,220.69, against $11,682 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

TAO/USD Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, past year
-69.4%
November 2025 to February 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 45.1% below the November 2025 peak
From the 1-year high
-45.1%
highest close, November 2025

As of October 16, 2026, TAO/USD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -69.4% (November 2025 to February 2026); it is still 45.1% below that peak.

From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into TAO/USD in October 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

TAO/USD today
$7,220.69
from $10,000 in October 2025
S&P 500 today
$11,682
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$4,461.77
0.6x the index result
Total change
-28%
0.7x the starting amount
Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26May '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
TAO/USD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: TAO/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $7,220.69 against $11,682.

A $10,000 investment in TAO/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $7,221 today, compared with about $11,682 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to TAO/USD, and which have not.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Strongest month, March: an average of +65.85%.

Weakest month, November: an average of -38.43%.

This month, October: has averaged +36.89%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in TAO/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$1,778
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$13,488
median path
Upside, 2036
$102,331
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TAO/USD today could grow to about $13,488 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $102,331 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,778. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

TAO/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$273
Base case, 2030
$308
1.1x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$85.56 to $1,110
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $308 for TAO/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $273 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $85.56. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TAO/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.

TAO/USD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $148 $282 $535
2028 $117 $290 $719
2029 $98.59 $299 $908
2030 $85.56 $308 $1,110
2031 $75.78 $318 $1,331

Method: a lognormal simulation of TAO/USD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bittensor (TAO) a buy right now?
Bittensor (TAO) is currently trading at $273.45, below its 20-day EMA but above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($268.02 and $245.56). The 14-day RSI is neutral at 46.97. Given the mixed technical signals and its position below the short-term EMA, it may be prudent to wait for clearer bullish momentum or a retest of support levels before considering a buy.
What is Bittensor's current technical outlook?
Bittensor (TAO) shows a neutral 14-day RSI of 47.0 and is trading below its 20-day EMA ($283.22), indicating short-term weakness. However, it remains above its 50-day SMA ($268.02) and 200-day SMA ($245.56), which are acting as support.
What is Bittensor's market capitalization?
Bittensor (TAO) has a current market capitalization of $3.10 billion as of October 2026, reflecting substantial investor interest in its decentralized AI network.
How does Bittensor compare to its all-time high?
Bittensor (TAO) is currently trading at $273.45, significantly below its all-time high of $757.6. This suggests considerable room for recovery, but also highlights the asset's historical volatility.
What is TAO/USD's biggest drop in the past year?
Bittensor (TAO/USD)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -69.4%, from November 2025 to February 2026. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 45.1% below it.
How closely does TAO/USD move with the stock market?
Over the past year TAO/USD's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.28). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.29; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.56; Gold (XAU): +0.15. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in TAO/USD be worth today?
$10,000 put into TAO/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $7,221 today, against about $11,682 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for TAO/USD in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from TAO/USD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $308.22, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $85.56 and $1,110.33. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
How volatile is TAO/USD?
TAO/USD's daily price moves average 5.78% (30-day standard deviation of daily returns). Over the past 52 weeks it traded between $152.22 and $497.77.
How much of TAO/USD's supply is in circulation?
11,339,646 of a maximum 21,000,000 coins are in circulation, 54.0% of the cap.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The cryptocurrency analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for TAO/USD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or an offer to buy or sell any digital assets. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, largely unregulated, and subject to unique risks including but not limited to: exchange hacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, regulatory bans, de-pegging events, and total loss of investment. Digital asset prices can fluctuate dramatically within hours. CleaRank does not custody, broker, or facilitate trades in any cryptocurrency. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators, which may not reflect future performance. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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