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01

The short version

Where XAG/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

XAG/USD at a glance

Silver (XAG/USD): Sell, 25/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($62.95 and $67.13).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 2.05% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Silver (XAG/USD) Sell, with a model score of 25/100.

One-year performance lifts the score most: the price rose 10.22% over the past year. The trend holds it back most: the price is 15.11% below its 200-day average and 9.48% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.22% below the 200-day. The 50-day average stands at $62.95 and the 200-day at $67.13.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from XAG/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $56.99 is 9.5% below the 50-day simple moving average of $62.95.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 15.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $67.13.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($62.95) is 6.2% below the 200-day average ($67.13), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 15% of its 52-week range, between $45.55 and $121.58.

XAG/USD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far XAG/USD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $51.70 Oct 17, 2025
Latest close $56.99 Oct 17, 2026
High $114.59 Jan 28, 2026
Low $46.77 Oct 27, 2025

Today's trading

Where XAG/USD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.19% wide
$56.99
$56.96 $57.07
52-week range 15% of the way up
$56.99
$45.55 $121.58
Open
$57.03
Previous close
$57.02
03

Key levels

The figures the trade plan is built on.

Key levels

The averages and the year's range that XAG/USD's trade plan is built on.

Price
$56.99
50-day average
$62.95
price -9.48%
200-day average
$67.13
price -15.11%
14-day RSI
35.1
sellers ahead
52w low $45.55 200-day $67.13 50-day $62.95 Price $56.99 52w high $121.58

Short-term trend: XAG/USD is below its 50-day average of $62.95.

Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of $67.13.

52-week range: $45.55 to $121.58; the price sits 15% of the way up.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XAG/USD's drivers and risks.

The big picture

Silver (XAG/USD) gained 10.22% over the past year, moving within a range set by $45.55 and $121.58.

Day to day, the price moves 2.05% on average (the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns). As a currency pair, XAG/USD reflects the relative value of two currencies, so it responds to anything that changes demand for one against the other, such as interest rate expectations, trade flows and risk appetite.

Key risks

Normal swings for XAG/USD run at about 2.05% a day. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 53.13% below its 52-week high of $121.58.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 35.1, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 35.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of XAG/USD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
25/100
Sell
What the AI sees

Both moving averages sit above the price, the shape of a downtrend for Silver (XAG/USD): the price of $56.99 is 9.48% below the 50-day average ($62.95) and 15.11% below the 200-day average ($67.13). At 15% of its 52-week range, the price is 25.11% above the 52-week low of $45.55. The 50-day average runs 6.22% below the 200-day average, so the shorter trend is weaker than the longer one.

The latest pullback sits within a longer record that is still mostly positive. Over the past month the price fell 12.66%, but over the past three months it rose 1.87% and over the past year it rose 10.22%. Momentum is soft: the 14-day RSI stands at 35.1, in the bearish zone but not yet oversold, and the MACD line is negative.

ProTips
  1. The two closest levels to keep an eye on are the 20-day EMA at $59.76, just above the price, and the 52-week low at $45.55, just below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 35.1, which falls in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 signal stretched momentum.
Market outlook

The downtrend stays in place while XAG/USD is below both its 50-day average at $62.95 and its 200-day average at $67.13; a close back above the 50-day would be the first step of a repair. The 20-day EMA at $59.76 is the first hurdle overhead.

The next level below the price is the 52-week low at $45.55. With the RSI in the bearish band, momentum argues against a fast rebound.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for XAG/USD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
35.114-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -1.63 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-9.5%price against the 50-day average
200-day $67.13 50-day $62.95 Price $56.99
Price against the 200-day -15.1% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with XAG/USD at $56.99, its 14-day RSI is 35.1 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $62.95 and its 200-day is $67.13.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What XAG/USD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.29 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.32 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.33 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.78 Strong

As of October 17, 2026, XAG/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.33 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.78 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

XAG/USD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$58.13
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$56.99
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$59.91
Max loss
-3.1%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (35.1) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$55.22
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$52.31
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$49.41
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

With leverage, losses on XAG/USD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much XAG/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
2.05%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$56.99
$45.55 15% of the way up $121.58

Compare XAG/USD

Put XAG/USD side by side with other commodities and benchmarks.

06

The long record

XAG/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

0/2
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 2.05% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $32,640, against $35,938 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into XAG/USD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

XAG/USD today
$32,640
from $10,000 in October 2016
S&P 500 today
$35,938
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$3,297.68
0.9x the index result
Total change
+226%
3.3x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
XAG/USD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: XAG/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $32,640 against $35,938.

A $10,000 investment in XAG/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $32,640 today, compared with about $35,938 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to XAG/USD, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb7/10 upMar5/10 upApr6/10 upMay4/10 upJun3/10 upJul6/10 upAug6/10 upSep4/10 upOct7/9 upNov4/10 upDec5/10 up

Strongest month, December: an average of +6.30%, up in 5 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -2.83%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +2.80%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, XAG/USD's strongest calendar month has been December (average +6.30%, up in 5 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.83%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XAG/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$2,840
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$10,000
median path
Upside, 2036
$35,216
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XAG/USD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $35,216 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,840. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XAG/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$56.99
Base case, 2030
$56.99
1.0x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$25.70 to $126
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $56.99 for XAG/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $56.99 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $25.70. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XAG/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.

XAG/USD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $38.27 $56.99 $84.85
2028 $32.45 $56.99 $100
2029 $28.60 $56.99 $114
2030 $25.70 $56.99 $126
2031 $23.40 $56.99 $139

Method: a lognormal simulation of XAG/USD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Silver (XAG/USD) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates XAG/USD Sell, on a model score of 25/100. The biggest support is one-year performance: the price rose 10.22% over the past year. Against that, the trend weighs on the score, as the price is 15.11% below its 200-day average and 9.48% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.22% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Silver (XAG/USD) performed over the past year?
Across the past year the price advanced 10.22%. Looking at shorter spans, it gained 1.87% over three months but dropped 12.66% in the last month. Presently it is 53.13% under its 52-week high of $121.58.
What are the key price levels for XAG/USD?
Above the price, the levels are the 20-day EMA at $59.76 and the 50-day SMA at $62.95. Below it, the level is the 52-week low at $45.55.
How volatile is XAG/USD?
On an average day, XAG/USD's price changes by 2.05%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of XAG/USD?
Over the last 52 weeks, XAG/USD has moved between $45.55 and $121.58. At $56.99, the price is at 15% of that span, 25.11% over the low and 53.13% under the high.
Is XAG/USD in an uptrend?
No. Silver (XAG/USD) trades at $56.99, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($62.95 and $67.13). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 35.1, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What are XAG/USD's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, December has been XAG/USD's strongest month on average (+6.30%, rising in 5 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-2.83%, rising in 5 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does XAG/USD move with the stock market?
Over the past year XAG/USD's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.29). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.32; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.33; Gold (XAU): +0.78. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in XAG/USD be worth today?
$10,000 put into XAG/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $32,640 today, against about $35,938 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for XAG/USD in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from XAG/USD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $56.99, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $25.70 and $126.34. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor (CTA), or financial regulatory body. The commodity and forex analysis presented for XAG/USD is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to trade any commodity, currency, or derivative instrument. Commodity and forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, potentially exceeding your initial deposit due to leverage. Prices are influenced by geopolitical events, central bank policy, supply chain disruptions, and macroeconomic factors that can cause rapid, unpredictable price movements. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators which may not predict future market conditions. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor or commodity trading advisor before trading. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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