TradeTrade
Jump to any asset 844 assets, updated daily

Crypto

Stellar (XLM/USD)

$0.1806 -0.003766 (-2.09%)
Latest Price
Sell
35 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$6.35B
Rank
#20
All-time high
$0.8756
52-week range
$0.1433 $0.3302
01

The short version

Where XLM/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

XLM/USD at a glance

Stellar (XLM/USD): Sell, 35/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($0.196 and $0.1824).
  • From its high 79.4% below its all-time high of $0.8756 (Jan 2, 2018).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 3.98% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

The price is below the 20-day EMA of $0.20, indicating short-term weakness.

The current price action suggests a bearish trend is in effect, with immediate resistance from these moving averages. The cryptocurrency market, in general, is volatile, and XLM is subject to these broader market movements and specific network developments. Despite these technical challenges, Stellar continues to focus on its core mission of facilitating fast and low-cost cross-border payments.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from XLM/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $0.1806 is 7.8% below the 50-day simple moving average of $0.196.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 1.0% below the 200-day simple moving average of $0.1824.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($0.196) is 7.5% above the 200-day average ($0.1824), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 20% of its 52-week range, between $0.1433 and $0.3302.

XLM/USD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far XLM/USD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $0.3120 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $0.1806 Oct 16, 2026
High $0.3302 Oct 26, 2025
Low $0.1433 May 22, 2026
03

Market position

Size, supply and price history against the rest of the market.

3.0

Market checks

0/3
  • Within 50% of its all-time high ›
    The price is 79.4% below the all-time high of $0.8756, set on Jan 2, 2018.
  • Market value above $10B ›
    The market value is $6.4B.
  • Fixed maximum supply ›
    There is no fixed supply cap.

XLM/USD market position

How big Stellar is, where it trades against its own history, and how much of it exists.

Rank by market value
#20
a top-50 coin
Market value
$6.35B
24h volume
$121.36M
24h change
-2.09%
From all-time high
-79.4%
All-time range 79.4% below the high
$0.1806
$0.000476 Mar 4, 2015 $0.8756 Jan 2, 2018
24-hour range 3.76% wide
$0.1806
$0.1788 $0.1856
Supply no fixed maximum supply
35.17B in circulation

Size: Stellar ranks #20 by market value, so trading can be thinner than in the largest coins.

Against its high: The price is 79.4% below the all-time high of $0.8756, set on Jan 2, 2018.

Supply: There is no fixed cap on supply, so new coins can keep diluting holders.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of XLM/USD's market, adoption and risks.

Market position

Stellar has a market capitalization of $6.35B. positioned at #20 in the crypto market.

No maximum supply is reported for this token. At 79.4% below its all-time high of $0.8756, the asset is in a deep drawdown.

Adoption & Growth
Its value is derived from network activity, adoption, and the utility of its token within its ecosystem. Growth in transaction volume, the number of active users, and the development of decentralized applications on the Stellar network are key indicators of its fundamental strength.
Key risks
Stellar (XLM) faces regulatory uncertainty, a common risk for many cryptocurrencies, which could impact its adoption and accessibility. Competition from other payment networks and blockchain projects presents a significant challenge. Additionally, its price is highly correlated with Bitcoin, making it susceptible to broader market downturns and volatility.
04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 39.6, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 39.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of XLM/USD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
35/100
Sell
What the AI sees
With an 14-day RSI of 39.6, Stellar (XLM) exhibits bearish momentum, indicating a lack of buying pressure and potential for further declines. The price is currently below the 20-day EMA ($0.20), the 50-day SMA ($0.196), and the 200-day SMA ($0.182), all of which are acting as resistance. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -98.45 further reinforces the bearish sentiment, suggesting the price is significantly below its historical average. The Stochastic Oscillator at 15.10 also points towards oversold conditions, but this can persist in a strong downtrend. MACD is slightly negative, indicating bearish momentum is present.
ProTips
  1. Monitor Stellar's (XLM) 20-day EMA and 200-day SMA for potential shifts in short-term and long-term trends.
Market outlook
The outlook for Stellar (XLM) is cautious, given its current technical positioning. Trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum indicators suggests that further price depreciation is possible in the short to medium term. The cryptocurrency's performance will likely remain tied to broader market sentiment and Bitcoin's trajectory. Significant adoption milestones or positive regulatory developments would be needed to shift the current bearish technical bias. Investors should monitor on-chain activity and ecosystem growth for signs of a potential turnaround.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for XLM/USD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
39.614-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.00453 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-7.8%price against the 50-day average
200-day $0.1824 50-day $0.1960 Price $0.1806
Price against the 200-day -1.0% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with XLM/USD at $0.1806, its 14-day RSI is 39.6 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $0.196 and its 200-day is $0.1824.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What XLM/USD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.29 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.30 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.56 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.16 Weak

As of October 16, 2026, XLM/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.29 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.30 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.56 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.16 with gold (XAU).

Check any other asset
Try
05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

XLM/USD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$0.1842
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$0.1806
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$0.1971
Max loss
-7.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (39.6) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$0.1750
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$0.1658
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$0.1566
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

XLM/USD trades around the clock and can move through a stop before it fills. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much XLM/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
3.98%
30-day standard deviation

Compare XLM/USD

Put XLM/USD side by side with other cryptocurrencies and benchmarks.

06

The long record

XLM/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

0/3
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 3.98% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 56.6%, from October 2025 to May 2026; the price is still 45.3% below that peak.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2025 is now worth $5,789.59, against $11,682 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

XLM/USD Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, past year
-56.6%
October 2025 to May 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 45.3% below the October 2025 peak
From the 1-year high
-45.3%
highest close, October 2025

As of October 16, 2026, XLM/USD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -56.6% (October 2025 to May 2026); it is still 45.3% below that peak.

From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into XLM/USD in October 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

XLM/USD today
$5,789.59
from $10,000 in October 2025
S&P 500 today
$11,682
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$5,892.87
0.5x the index result
Total change
-42%
0.6x the starting amount
Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26May '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
XLM/USD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: XLM/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $5,789.59 against $11,682.

A $10,000 investment in XLM/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $5,790 today, compared with about $11,682 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to XLM/USD, and which have not.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Strongest month, May: an average of +45.11%.

Weakest month, June: an average of -32.86%.

This month, October: has averaged -18.06%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in XLM/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$1,476
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$11,197
median path
Upside, 2036
$84,945
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in XLM/USD today could grow to about $11,197 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $84,945 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,476. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

XLM/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$0.1806
Base case, 2030
$0.1889
1.0x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$0.05245 to $0.6806
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $0.1889 for XLM/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $0.1806 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.05245. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on XLM/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.

XLM/USD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $0.09623 $0.1826 $0.3467
2028 $0.07463 $0.1847 $0.4572
2029 $0.06157 $0.1868 $0.5668
2030 $0.05245 $0.1889 $0.6806
2031 $0.0456 $0.1911 $0.8008

Method: a lognormal simulation of XLM/USD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Stellar (XLM) a buy right now?
Stellar (XLM) is currently trading below its key moving averages (20-day EMA, 50-day SMA, 200-day SMA) with a bearish 14-day RSI of 39.6 and a negative CCI of -98.45. These technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook, making it a less attractive buy at this moment.
What does a bearish RSI mean for Stellar (XLM)?
A bearish 14-day RSI status for Stellar (XLM), such as the current reading of 39.64, indicates that the cryptocurrency is not overbought and momentum is leaning downwards. This suggests that selling pressure may be outweighing buying pressure.
What is XLM/USD's biggest drop in the past year?
Stellar (XLM/USD)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -56.6%, from October 2025 to May 2026. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 45.3% below it.
How far is XLM/USD from its all-time high?
Stellar (XLM/USD) is 79.4% below its all-time high of $0.8756, set on Jan 2, 2018, at a price of $0.1806.
How closely does XLM/USD move with the stock market?
Over the past year XLM/USD's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.29). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.30; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.56; Gold (XAU): +0.16. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in XLM/USD be worth today?
$10,000 put into XLM/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $5,790 today, against about $11,682 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for XLM/USD in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from XLM/USD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $0.1889, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $0.05245 and $0.6806. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
How volatile is XLM/USD?
XLM/USD's daily price moves average 3.98% (30-day standard deviation of daily returns). Over the past 52 weeks it traded between $0.1433 and $0.3302.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The cryptocurrency analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for XLM/USD are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice or an offer to buy or sell any digital assets. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, largely unregulated, and subject to unique risks including but not limited to: exchange hacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, regulatory bans, de-pegging events, and total loss of investment. Digital asset prices can fluctuate dramatically within hours. CleaRank does not custody, broker, or facilitate trades in any cryptocurrency. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators, which may not reflect future performance. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

Advertiser Disclosure:

At CleaRank, clarity and transparency are more than ideals, they are the core of our operations. CleaRank is a paid SaaS platform: the Pro and Ultra workbench plans are paid subscriptions, while everything else on this site, including our trading calculators, tools and market news, is free to use. In the spirit of full disclosure: some of our free editorial content contains partner links, and we may earn affiliate commissions from them. This never affects what you pay. Please keep in mind that your confidence in our platform is what matters to us most and we are devoted to earning your trust every day through consistent transparency. CleaRank's Editorial team works independently from partner relationships and financial incentives. All material and information made available by CleaRank stem from our unique technology and methodology which are created to prioritize your needs as a trader and deliver actionable insights to help you make clearer decisions.