Crypto
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
- Market cap
- $1.63T
- Rank
- #1
- All-time high
- $126,080.00
- 52-week range
- $58,566 $114,419
The short version
Where BTC/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
BTC/USD at a glance
Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Buy, 64/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($72,418 and $81,321).
- From its high 35.6% below its all-time high of $126,080 (Oct 6, 2025).
- Volatility Daily moves average 1.70% (30-day standard deviation).
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) earns a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 64/100.
Trend adds the most to that score: the price is 12.08% above its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 12.29% above the 200-day. Performance over the past year weighs on it most, since the price dropped 23.78% during that stretch. For reference, the 50-day average is $81,321 and the 200-day average is $72,418.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from BTC/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
2/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $81,164 is 0.2% below the 50-day simple moving average of $81,321.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 12.1% above the 200-day simple moving average of $72,418.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($81,321) is 12.3% above the 200-day average ($72,418), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 40% of its 52-week range, between $58,566 and $114,419.
BTC/USD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far BTC/USD has moved over it, to the last close.
Market position
Size, supply and price history against the rest of the market.
Market checks
3/3Within 50% of its all-time high ›
The price is 35.6% below the all-time high of $126,080, set on Oct 6, 2025.Market value above $10B ›
The market value is $1.63T.Fixed maximum supply ›
95.7% of the maximum supply is in circulation.
BTC/USD market position
How big Bitcoin is, where it trades against its own history, and how much of it exists.
Size: Bitcoin is the largest coin by market value.
Against its high: The price is 35.6% below the all-time high of $126,080.00, set on Oct 6, 2025.
Supply: 95.7% of the 21.00M maximum supply is already in circulation.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of BTC/USD's market, adoption and risks.
With a market value of $1.63T, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) changed hands for $17.9B in the last 24 hours.
The all-time high of $126,080 sits well above the current level, and the price is 35.6% below it.
BTC/USD's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 1.70%. Against its 52-week high of $114,419, the price is 29.06% lower. Over the most recent year, the coin has lost 23.78%.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 45.3, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 45.3 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of BTC/USD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) shows a mixed trend. The coin is priced at $81,164, which leaves it 0.19% below its 50-day average of $81,321 while still sitting 12.08% above its 200-day average of $72,418. The 50-day average is 12.29% above the 200-day, yet the price has dipped beneath the shorter average. Across its 52-week range, running from $58,566 to $114,419, the price stands at 40%, and it is 29.06% below the high.
Recent gains stand against a weaker record over a longer stretch. Over the past month the price climbed 6.28%, and over the past three months it climbed 25.26%, yet over the past year it dropped 23.78%. A 14-day RSI of 45.3 places the coin in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
- Two levels deserve the most attention: the 50-day SMA at $81,321, which sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $72,418, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 45.3, which is neutral, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
Trend signals are split. BTC/USD trades above its 200-day average at $72,418 but beneath its 50-day average at $81,321. Should the price close above the 50-day, both signals would turn upward; a close below the 200-day would turn both downward. On the way up, the first level met is the 50-day SMA at $81,321, and on the way down, the 200-day SMA at $72,418 is the nearest support.
The 14-day RSI, at 45.3, falls within the neutral band that runs from 40 to 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for BTC/USD, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with BTC/USD at $81,164, its 14-day RSI is 45.3 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $81,321 and its 200-day is $72,418.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What BTC/USD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, BTC/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.47 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.44 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and +0.31 with gold (XAU).
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
BTC/USD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
BTC/USD trades around the clock and can move through a stop before it fills. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much BTC/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
BTC/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.70% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 48.8%, from October 2025 to June 2026; the price is still 29.1% below that peak.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2025 is now worth $7,622.22, against $11,488 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
BTC/USD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, BTC/USD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -48.8% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 29.1% below that peak.
From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into BTC/USD in October 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: BTC/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $7,622.22 against $11,488.
A $10,000 investment in BTC/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $7,622 today, compared with about $11,488 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to BTC/USD, and which have not.
Strongest month, October: an average of +16.60%.
Weakest month, June: an average of -5.18%.
This month, October: has averaged +16.60%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in BTC/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BTC/USD today could grow to about $14,143 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $62,036 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,224. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BTC/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $93,234 for BTC/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $81,164 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $36,599. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BTC/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $52,645 | $84,026 | $134,113 | |
| 2028 | $44,906 | $86,990 | $168,513 | |
| 2029 | $40,070 | $90,058 | $202,406 | |
| 2030 | $36,599 | $93,234 | $237,512 | |
| 2031 | $33,930 | $96,522 | $274,582 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of BTC/USD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.