Crypto
Avalanche (AVAX/USD)
- Market cap
- $4.44B
- Rank
- #27
- All-time high
- $144.96
- 52-week range
- $5.89 $20.83
The short version
Where AVAX/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
AVAX/USD at a glance
Avalanche (AVAX/USD): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($9.30 and $8.16).
- From its high 93.1% below its all-time high of $144.96 (Nov 21, 2021).
- Volatility Daily moves average 6.27% (30-day standard deviation).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Avalanche (AVAX) is currently priced at $10.02, trading below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $10.33, which acts as immediate resistance.
However, the price remains above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $9.30 and its 200-day SMA of $8.16, indicating that the longer-term trend is still supportive. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.07, falling within the neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions at this time. This technical setup points to a period of consolidation for AVAX as it digests recent price action and awaits clearer directional signals from the broader market or specific network developments.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from AVAX/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $10.02 is 7.7% above the 50-day simple moving average of $9.30.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 22.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $8.16.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($9.30) is 14.0% above the 200-day average ($8.16), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 28% of its 52-week range, between $5.89 and $20.83.
AVAX/USD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far AVAX/USD has moved over it, to the last close.
Market position
Size, supply and price history against the rest of the market.
Market checks
1/3Within 50% of its all-time high ›
The price is 93.1% below the all-time high of $144.96, set on Nov 21, 2021.Market value above $10B ›
The market value is $4.4B.Fixed maximum supply ›
61.6% of the maximum supply is in circulation.
AVAX/USD market position
How big Avalanche is, where it trades against its own history, and how much of it exists.
Size: Avalanche ranks #27 by market value, so trading can be thinner than in the largest coins.
Against its high: The price is 93.1% below the all-time high of $144.96, set on Nov 21, 2021.
Supply: 61.6% of the 720.00M maximum supply is already in circulation.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of AVAX/USD's market, adoption and risks.
Avalanche has a market capitalization of $4.44B.
Only 61.6% of the maximum supply is circulating, suggesting potential future inflation. At 93.1% below its all-time high of $144.96, the asset is in a deep drawdown.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 48.1, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 48.1 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of AVAX/USD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Avalanche (AVAX) is currently positioned below its 20-day EMA at $10.33, signaling short-term weakness and acting as resistance.
The price is trading above the 50-day SMA of $9.30 and the 200-day SMA of $8.16, indicating that the longer-term trend remains bullish, with these averages now serving as support. The 14-day RSI is neutral at 48.07, showing no strong momentum in either direction. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.15, suggesting a mild bullish bias but lacking strong conviction. Given the price action relative to these key moving averages and the neutral RSI, AVAX appears to be in a consolidation phase, testing short-term resistance.
- Monitor AVAX's ability to consistently trade above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($9.30 and $8.16) for long-term trend confirmation.
- Watch for increased volume and a break above the 20-day EMA ($10.33) as a potential short-term bullish signal.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for AVAX/USD, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with AVAX/USD at $10.02, its 14-day RSI is 48.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $9.30 and its 200-day is $8.16.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What AVAX/USD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, AVAX/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.40 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.38 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.73 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.24 with gold (XAU).
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
AVAX/USD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
AVAX/USD trades around the clock and can move through a stop before it fills. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much AVAX/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
AVAX/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
0/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 6.27% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 71.9%, from October 2025 to June 2026; the price is still 52.2% below that peak.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2025 is now worth $4,777.55, against $11,682 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
AVAX/USD Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, AVAX/USD's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -71.9% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 52.2% below that peak.
From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into AVAX/USD in October 2025 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: AVAX/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $4,777.55 against $11,682.
A $10,000 investment in AVAX/USD in October 2025 would be worth about $4,778 today, compared with about $11,682 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to AVAX/USD, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +42.83%.
Weakest month, June: an average of -21.23%.
This month, October: has averaged -3.74%. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Average return for each calendar month over the stored price history; treat short histories with caution.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in AVAX/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AVAX/USD today could grow to about $9,663 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $73,310 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,274. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AVAX/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $9.88 for AVAX/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $10.02 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.74. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AVAX/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.26 | $9.99 | $18.95 | |
| 2028 | $4.02 | $9.95 | $24.63 | |
| 2029 | $3.27 | $9.92 | $30.09 | |
| 2030 | $2.74 | $9.88 | $35.60 | |
| 2031 | $2.35 | $9.85 | $41.28 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of AVAX/USD's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.