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As of September 26, 2026, Avalanche (AVAX) trades at $10.83. CleaRank's model target is $7.500, derived from technical levels rather than analyst coverage. RSI at 76 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $7.765.
Avalanche (AVAX/USD)
Avalanche
$10.83
0.7400 (7.33%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
35 / 100
Avalanche (AVAX) is currently trading at $10.83, showing strong upward momentum. The asset's price is above its 50-day SMA of $7.77 and 200-day SMA of $8.04, indicating a generally positive long-term trend. However, the price is also above the 20-day EMA of $9.28, which is now acting as support. The RSI is at 75.94, firmly in overbought territory, signaling a risk of a short-term correction. Despite the strong technicals, broader market sentiment and Bitcoin correlation remain key factors. While AVAX has seen significant development and adoption within its ecosystem, its price action is heavily influenced by the overall crypto market trend. Investors should monitor Bitcoin's performance closely as it often dictates the direction for altcoins like Avalanche.
AVAX/USD Price Analysis
Market Position Analysis
Market Dominance
#28
Top 50
By Market Capitalization
Key Metrics Overview
Market Cap
4.80B
24h Volume
$566.36M
24h Change
+7.33%
From ATH
-92.5%
Market Intelligence
Avalanche holds a mid-cap position at rank #28, balancing growth potential with established market presence.
Price History & Milestones
All-Time High
$144.96
Nov 21, 2021
All-Time Low
$2.80
Dec 31, 2020
Current Price Position
ATL: $2.80
Current: $10.83
ATH: $144.96
Near All-Time Low - Trading in the lower range
24-Hour Trading Activity
Low: $10.21
High: $10.98
Volume: $566.36M
AVAX/USD Analysis
CleaRank AI Target
-30.75% Downside
Our model estimate (not an analyst consensus)
$7.500
AI Technical Analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) is currently trading above its key moving averages, with the price at $10.83, the 20-day EMA at $9.28, the 50-day SMA at $7.77, and the 200-day SMA at $8.04. This positioning indicates that the 20-day EMA is now acting as support, while the longer-term SMAs also provide a floor. The RSI is at 75.94, which is considered overbought and suggests that the asset may be due for a pullback. The MACD is at 0.935885, indicating bullish momentum, but the high RSI reading warrants caution. Given the overbought conditions, traders should be wary of potential downward price action in the short term, even with the generally positive trend indicated by the moving averages.
ProTips
- Monitor Bitcoin's price action closely, as AVAX's movements are highly correlated.
- Be cautious of the current overbought RSI (75.94), which suggests a potential short-term pullback.
- Look for confirmation of support around the $7.77 to $8.04 range before considering new long positions.
Market Outlook
The outlook for Avalanche (AVAX) over the next 6 to 12 months is mixed, with potential for both upside and downside. Technically, the asset is overbought with an RSI of 75.94, suggesting a correction is likely in the short term. A price drop towards the 20-day EMA at $9.28 or even the 50-day SMA at $7.77 is possible if selling pressure increases. However, if Bitcoin stabilizes or resumes an uptrend, AVAX could potentially break through its current resistance levels and aim for higher targets. Continued adoption and development within the Avalanche ecosystem are positive fundamental factors that could support future growth. Key levels to watch include the current price around $10.83 as immediate resistance and the $7.77 to $8.04 range as significant support.
Market Correlations
How this crypto moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.72
Strong correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with AVAX/USD? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Valuation Metrics
| Market Cap | 4.80B |
|---|---|
| Market Cap Rank | #28 |
| Circulating Supply | 443.07M |
| Max Supply | 720.00M |
| All-Time High | $144.96 |
| All-Time Low | $2.80 |
Avalanche has a market capitalization of $4.80B. Only 61.5% of the maximum supply is circulating, suggesting potential future inflation. At 92.5% below its all-time high of $144.96, the asset is in a deep drawdown.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) network growth metrics show consistent user engagement and transaction activity. The number of active addresses and the volume of transactions processed on the network have remained steady, indicating a healthy ecosystem. Developer activity, measured by code commits and project launches on the platform, continues to be a positive indicator of ongoing innovation and expansion. Ecosystem expansion is evident through the increasing number of dApps and protocols building on Avalanche. This sustained development and user interest contribute to the overall value and utility of the AVAX token, even in the absence of traditional earnings reports.
Key Risks
Avalanche (AVAX) faces significant risks due to its high correlation with Bitcoin (BTC). A downturn in Bitcoin's price could trigger a sharp decline in AVAX, regardless of its own network fundamentals. Regulatory uncertainty within the broader cryptocurrency market also poses a risk, as new regulations could impact trading and adoption. Also, the concentration of AVAX holdings among a few large wallets (whales) presents a risk of significant price volatility if these holders decide to liquidate their positions.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 75.94 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.94 |
| SMA 50 | 7.77 |
| SMA 200 | 8.04 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $7.765, 200-day: $8.043), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 75.9 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
AVAX/USD Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$11.05
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$10.83
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$12.98
MAX LOSS
-17.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (75.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$10.49
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$9.942
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$9.390
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Cryptocurrency Risk Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of AVAX/USD is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency is highly speculative, volatile, and largely unregulated. Risks include exchange hacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, de-pegging events, regulatory bans, and total loss of investment. CleaRank does not custody or facilitate cryptocurrency trades. This is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AVAX/USD in September 2025 would be worth about $3,729 today, compared with about $11,655 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AVAX/USD today could grow to about $8,187 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $62,115 and a bear case around $1,079. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AVAX/USD Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $10.00 for AVAX/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $10.83 today (0.9x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.78. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AVAX/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.59 | $10.62 | $20.15 |
| 2028 | $4.20 | $10.41 | $25.75 |
| 2029 | $3.36 | $10.20 | $30.95 |
| 2030 | $2.78 | $10.00 | $36.01 |
| 2031 | $2.34 | $9.80 | $41.07 |
| 2032 | $2.00 | $9.61 | $46.15 |
| 2033 | $1.73 | $9.42 | $51.30 |
| 2034 | $1.51 | $9.23 | $56.53 |
| 2035 | $1.32 | $9.05 | $61.85 |
| 2036 | $1.17 | $8.87 | $67.27 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AVAX/USD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
On-Chain & Market Metrics
24h Volume
$566.36M
24h Range
$10.21 to $10.98
From ATH
-92.53%
ATH: $144.96
Market Rank
#28
By Market Cap
Supply Economics
Circulating Supply
443.07M
Max Supply
720.00M
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the avalanche price prediction for 2030?
According to Monte Carlo simulations, the median price for Avalanche in 2030 is projected to be $10.00, with a downside price of $2.78 and an upside price of $36.01. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Avalanche (AVAX) a buy right now?
Avalanche is currently trading at $10.83 with an RSI at 75.9, indicating it is overbought. While the price is above key moving averages, the current technical conditions suggest a potential pullback, making it a less attractive entry point for new buys without a significant correction.
What are the biggest risks for Avalanche?
The primary risks for Avalanche include its high correlation with Bitcoin, meaning a BTC downturn can negatively impact AVAX. Regulatory uncertainty in the crypto space and the potential for large holders (whales) to sell off significant amounts also pose considerable risks.
How is Avalanche's network activity trending?
Avalanche's network activity shows stable user engagement and transaction volume. Developer activity remains strong, with ongoing ecosystem expansion and new dApp launches contributing to sustained utility.
What is the long-term outlook for Avalanche?
The long-term outlook for Avalanche is cautiously optimistic, supported by its technological advantages and growing ecosystem. However, its performance will likely remain tied to the broader cryptocurrency market trends and Bitcoin's price action.
How does Avalanche compare to other Layer-1 blockchains?
Avalanche differentiates itself with its unique subnet architecture, offering high scalability and customization for specific applications. This contrasts with other Layer-1s that may focus on different approaches to achieve similar goals of speed and decentralization.
What is the impact of recent developments on AVAX price?
Recent developments, such as new project integrations and network upgrades, have contributed to AVAX's current momentum. However, the price is currently overbought, suggesting that immediate gains may be limited until a consolidation or pullback occurs.