{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/vctr-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/vctr-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Victory Capital (VCTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) a Buy or Sell today? See the AI trade setup, key price levels and merger risk outlook. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR)",
 "published": "2026-08-30T09:14:29+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T23:34:07.239+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:15:09.264Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "VCTR",
  "name": "Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Asset Management",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://vcm.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 111.06,
  "previousClose": 111.86,
  "change": -0.8,
  "changePercent": -0.72,
  "open": 110.68,
  "high": 112.010002,
  "low": 109.6,
  "volume": 1011066,
  "averageVolume": 665167,
  "marketCap": 6831252943,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 123.55,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 57.029999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T23:34:02.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 20.192726,
  "eps": 5.5,
  "dividendYield": 0.018008284206424793,
  "beta": 1.106,
  "priceToSales": 4.3827534,
  "priceToBook": 2.8789175,
  "revenueTtm": 1558667008,
  "grossMargin": 0.7522584705566185,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.19045
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 45.82,
  "macd": 1.77,
  "sma50": 105.4,
  "sma200": 81.09,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 114.5,
  "analystTarget": 114.5,
  "analystCount": 7,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T23:34:02.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 111.059998,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.36,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 109.95,
  "aggressiveEntry": 111.06,
  "stopLoss": 106.06,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.54,
  "targets": [
   113.25,
   115.45,
   118.75
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 78.19,
    "base": 128.59,
    "upside90th": 211.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 73.67,
    "base": 148.89,
    "upside90th": 300.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 72.82,
    "base": 172.39,
    "upside90th": 408.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 73.8,
    "base": 199.6,
    "upside90th": 539.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 75.98,
    "base": 231.1,
    "upside90th": 702.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 79.11,
    "base": 267.58,
    "upside90th": 905.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 83.07,
    "base": 309.82,
    "upside90th": 1155.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 87.83,
    "base": 358.72,
    "upside90th": 1465.12
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 93.37,
    "base": 415.35,
    "upside90th": 1847.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 99.73,
    "base": 480.91,
    "upside90th": 2319.03
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "VCTR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$110.68",
    "Day Range": "$109.60 to $112.01",
    "Prev Close": "$111.86",
    "Volume": "1.01M",
    "52-Week Range": "$57.03 to $123.55",
    "Market Cap": "$6.83B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "VCTR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Victory Capital Holdings is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($105.40 and $81.09), indicating a generally positive long-term trend. However, the price is currently below its 20-day exponential moving average, suggesting some short-term weakness or consolidation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.82, which falls into the neutral momentum category, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volume on the latest trading day was 1,011,066, which is 52% above the average daily volume, suggesting increased investor interest. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at approximately $105.40 and the 200-day SMA at $81.09. Resistance may be found near recent highs or psychological price points. The current technical setup suggests a neutral to slightly cautious short-term outlook, awaiting clearer directional signals.",
    "Victory Capital Holdings has consistently surpassed analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 23.46% in Q2 2026, indicating strong operational execution and a reliable earnings profile.",
    "The company's P/E ratio of 20.19 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its peers, offering potential for multiple expansion.",
    "While current year revenue growth is strong at 26.00%, next year's projection of 5.00% indicates a significant slowdown, which could impact future valuation multiples.",
    "The RSI is at 45.82, indicating neutral momentum, and the stock is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting a lack of strong short-term bullish conviction.",
    "The base case outlook for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) suggests a neutral to slightly positive trajectory, with the median analyst price target of $114.50 indicating limited upside from the current $111.10. The company's ability to consistently beat earnings estimates and its below-sector-average P/E ratio provide a foundation for stability. However, the anticipated deceleration in revenue growth to 5.00% next year, down from a strong 26.00% this year, presents a headwind that may limit significant price appreciation. Potential catalysts for upside could include better-than-expected revenue growth in future quarters or a shift in analyst sentiment towards a more bullish stance. Conversely, a failure to maintain earnings beats, a more pronounced slowdown in revenue growth, or broader market headwinds impacting the financial services sector could lead to downside. The current 'Hold' consensus reflects this balance of factors, suggesting that investors should await clearer signals of sustained growth or improved market sentiment before considering a more aggressive position."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the neutral RSI momentum and the stock trading below its 20-day EMA, consider waiting for a clearer technical breakout or a more decisive shift in analyst sentiment before initiating a new position.",
     "Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.78%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, though it is not the primary driver of the stock's valuation.",
     "With revenue growth expected to moderate next year, closely monitor forward guidance and industry trends in asset management to assess the company's ability to navigate a potentially slower growth environment."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent Earnings Beats",
     "text": "Victory Capital Holdings has consistently surpassed analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 23.46% in Q2 2026, indicating strong operational execution and a reliable earnings profile.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Below Sector Average P/E Ratio",
     "text": "The company's P/E ratio of 20.19 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its peers, offering potential for multiple expansion.",
     "source": "Financial Data Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Moderating Revenue Growth Outlook",
     "text": "While current year revenue growth is strong at 26.00%, next year's projection of 5.00% indicates a significant slowdown, which could impact future valuation multiples.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Neutral Technical Momentum",
     "text": "The RSI is at 45.82, indicating neutral momentum, and the stock is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting a lack of strong short-term bullish conviction.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Victory Capital Holdings exhibits a P/E ratio of 20.19, which is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to its peers. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a significant 26.00% increase year-over-year, though this is expected to decelerate to 5.00% next year. The latest reported EPS was $2.21, beating the estimate of $1.79 by a notable 23.46%. Profitability appears solid, supported by consistent earnings beats. The company's P/E ratio suggests that investors are valuing its earnings at a reasonable multiple compared to the industry. The forward revenue growth, while strong this year, moderating next year, warrants attention for long-term investors.",
    "Victory Capital Holdings has a strong track record of exceeding analyst earnings expectations, with the most recent quarter (August 5, 2026) showing an EPS of $2.21 against an estimate of $1.79, a positive surprise of 23.46%. This beat was accompanied by a significant 6.82% price increase. Prior quarters also show consistent positive surprises, indicating reliable earnings performance and effective management of operations.",
    "The primary risk for Victory Capital Holdings lies in the anticipated slowdown of revenue growth to 5.00% next year, which could temper investor enthusiasm. Additionally, the neutral momentum indicated by the RSI and the fact that the stock is trading below its 20-day EMA suggest potential short-term headwinds. While the current valuation appears reasonable relative to the sector, a lack of strong insider buying and a 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street indicate a balanced risk-reward scenario rather than a clear bullish conviction."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "6.83B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "20.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "5.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.78%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "123.55"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "57.03"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($105.40) above the 200-day SMA ($81.09), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "45.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "1.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "105.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "81.09"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.61",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.52",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.13",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "VCTR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (45.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$113.25",
    "TARGET 2": "$115.45",
    "TARGET 3": "$118.75",
    "STOP LOSS": "$106.06"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.36%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in VCTR in February 2018 would be worth about $96,431 today, compared with about $29,593 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VCTR today could grow to about $43,301 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $208,809 and a bear case around $8,980. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "VCTR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $200 for VCTR by 2030 in the base case, from $111 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $73.80. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VCTR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VCTR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "VCTR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$78.19",
        "$129",
        "$211"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$73.67",
        "$149",
        "$301"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$72.82",
        "$172",
        "$408"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$73.80",
        "$200",
        "$540"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$75.98",
        "$231",
        "$703"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$79.11",
        "$268",
        "$905"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$83.07",
        "$310",
        "$1,155"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$87.83",
        "$359",
        "$1,465"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$93.37",
        "$415",
        "$1,848"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$99.73",
        "$481",
        "$2,319"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/s-vs-rbrk/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "VCTR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "None",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "N/A"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in VCTR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Nov 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CRESTVIEW PARTNERS II GP, L.P. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "3.1M",
        "$106.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BERLINSKI MILTON R. Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "863.8K",
        "$29.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 29, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CRESTVIEW PARTNERS II GP, L.P. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "470.4K",
        "$16.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 14, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "BROWN DAVID CRAIG Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "201.7K",
        "$6.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 18, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "BROWN DAVID CRAIG Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "148.3K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 29, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BERLINSKI MILTON R. Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "129.6K",
        "$4.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 23, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "CLIFF KELLY STEVENSON Officer",
        "Sell",
        "12.5K",
        "$414.1K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BROWN DAVID CRAIG Chief Executive Officer",
        "Grant",
        "147.5K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "DHILLON MANNIK S. Officer",
        "Grant",
        "16.4K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 13, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GUPTA NINA Officer",
        "Grant",
        "19.1K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Victory+Capital+Holdings%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) stock a buy?",
   "answer": "Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) is currently rated as a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 61 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $114.50, offering a modest 3.1% upside from the current price of $111.10, suggesting it is not a strong buy at this time."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Victory Capital Holdings' (VCTR) dividend yield?",
   "answer": "Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.78%, with a dividend rate of $1.98 per share. This provides a modest income stream for investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR)?",
   "answer": "Key risks for VCTR include the projected slowdown in revenue growth to 5.00% next year and neutral technical momentum. The 'Hold' consensus from Wall Street and limited upside to the median price target also suggest a balanced risk-reward profile."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) has a P/E ratio of 20.19, which is below the sector average of 25.5. However, its revenue growth is projected to be 5.00% next year, compared to the sector average of 10.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Revenue growth for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) is strong in the current year, with estimates projecting a 26.00% increase. However, growth is expected to moderate significantly to 5.00% in the next year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does insider activity suggest for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR)?",
   "answer": "Insider activity for Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) consists solely of stock grants and awards, totaling $39.28 million. There have been no open-market purchases or sales by insiders, indicating no current directional signal from management's personal trading."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Victory Capital Holdings' (VCTR) long-range projection for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) has a base case projection of $199.60 by 2030, with a downside scenario of $73.80 and an upside scenario of $539.86. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  }
 ],
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   {
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