{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/us-bancorp-usb/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/us-bancorp-usb/data.json",
 "title": "U.S. Bancorp (USB) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "U.S. Bancorp (USB) stock: Financial Services, Banks - Regional. $92.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "U.S. Bancorp (USB)",
 "published": "2026-06-23T09:11:28+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T01:45:52.427+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:20:53.236Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "USB",
  "name": "U.S. Bancorp",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Banks - Regional",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.usbank.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 59.33,
  "previousClose": 58.4,
  "change": 0.93,
  "changePercent": 1.59,
  "open": 58.64,
  "high": 59.52,
  "low": 58.5,
  "volume": 6412600,
  "averageVolume": 9427190,
  "marketCap": 92439192291,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 66.080002,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 45.02,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T01:45:52.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 11.842315,
  "eps": 5.01,
  "dividendYield": 0.03506110363675518,
  "beta": 0.971,
  "priceToSales": 3.3834486,
  "priceToBook": 1.5247617,
  "revenueTtm": 27320999936,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.12623
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 27.95,
  "macd": -1.03,
  "sma50": 62.7,
  "sma200": 57.55,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 69,
  "analystTarget": 69,
  "analystCount": 23,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T01:45:52.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 59.33,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.32,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 58.74,
  "aggressiveEntry": 59.33,
  "stopLoss": 56.8,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   60.5,
   61.67,
   63.44
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 42.22,
    "base": 62.34,
    "upside90th": 92.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 37.75,
    "base": 65.5,
    "upside90th": 113.64
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 35.05,
    "base": 68.82,
    "upside90th": 135.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 33.17,
    "base": 72.31,
    "upside90th": 157.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 31.79,
    "base": 75.97,
    "upside90th": 181.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 30.74,
    "base": 79.83,
    "upside90th": 207.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 29.92,
    "base": 83.87,
    "upside90th": 235.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 29.28,
    "base": 88.13,
    "upside90th": 265.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 28.77,
    "base": 92.59,
    "upside90th": 297.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 28.38,
    "base": 97.29,
    "upside90th": 333.54
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "USB Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$58.64",
    "Day Range": "$58.50 to $59.52",
    "Prev Close": "$58.40",
    "Volume": "6.41M",
    "52-Week Range": "$45.02 to $66.08",
    "Market Cap": "$92.44B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-28%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "USB Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, USB beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "USB Analysis",
   "text": [
    "U.S. Bancorp's chart indicates a bearish short-term trend, with the price trading below its 50-day SMA ($62.70) and 20-day EMA ($60.89). The 200-day SMA ($57.55) is currently acting as support, with the price trading above it. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly oversold at 27.95, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal or bounce. The nearest resistance level is the 50-day SMA at $62.70, followed by the 20-day EMA at $60.89. Support is found at the 200-day SMA of $57.55. Volume has been below average recently, with 6.41 million shares traded compared to a 9.43 million average, indicating a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at current levels.",
    "U.S. Bancorp has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 5.47% for the quarter to June 2026, indicating operational efficiency and potential for continued earnings strength.",
    "The median analyst price target for U.S. Bancorp is $69.00, offering a potential upside of 16.3% from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from a majority of analysts.",
    "Recent insider transactions show net selling totaling $22.4 million versus $186.6 thousand in purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal from management and potentially indicating a lack of conviction at current price levels.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($62.70) and 20-day EMA ($60.89), indicating bearish short-term momentum and potential for further downside if key support levels are breached.",
    "The base case for U.S. Bancorp over the next 6-12 months anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $69.00, driven by its solid financial fundamentals and consistent earnings performance. The company's strong profit margins, low debt, and projected revenue growth provide a stable foundation for this outlook. However, the path to $69.00 is contingent on overcoming near-term technical resistance and a potential shift in insider sentiment. A break below the 200-day SMA support at $57.55 could invalidate the bullish outlook and lead to further price declines, especially if broader market sentiment turns negative or sector-specific headwinds emerge."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor U.S. Bancorp's ability to reclaim its 50-day SMA ($62.70) as a key indicator of a potential trend reversal.",
     "Given the oversold RSI, consider the risk-reward of a short-term bounce, but be mindful of the moderate insider selling trend.",
     "As an MLP, U.S. Bancorp issues Schedule K-1 tax forms instead of standard 1099-DIV forms, which may create complex tax obligations-especially if held in a retirement account (IRA/401k). Consult a tax advisor."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Earnings Surprise",
     "text": "U.S. Bancorp has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 5.47% for the quarter to June 2026, indicating operational efficiency and potential for continued earnings strength.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Analyst Target Price Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for U.S. Bancorp is $69.00, offering a potential upside of 16.3% from the current price, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from a majority of analysts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling",
     "text": "Recent insider transactions show net selling totaling $22.4 million versus $186.6 thousand in purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal from management and potentially indicating a lack of conviction at current price levels.",
     "source": "Insider Transaction Filings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($62.70) and 20-day EMA ($60.89), indicating bearish short-term momentum and potential for further downside if key support levels are breached.",
     "source": "Technical Chart Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "U.S. Bancorp's valuation appears reasonable, with a P/E ratio of 11.84, which is below the sector median of 16.5. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.38 is also below the sector average of 3.8. The company demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 29.90% and a return on equity of 12.62%, both exceeding sector averages. Fundamentals are supported by consistent revenue growth, with current year projections at 8.00% and next year at 7.00%. The company's balance sheet is strong, evidenced by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, significantly lower than the sector average. This financial strength provides a solid foundation, even as the stock navigates near-term technical weakness.",
    "U.S. Bancorp has demonstrated a pattern of beating analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS of $1.35 against an estimate of $1.28, a surprise of 5.47%, though the stock saw a minor decline of 1.36%. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, indicating a consistent ability to meet or exceed earnings expectations.",
    "The primary risks for U.S. Bancorp include the current bearish technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages, and moderate insider selling totaling $22.4 million, which could signal caution among management. Additionally, the oversold RSI suggests potential for further downside if support levels fail to hold. While the company exhibits strong fundamentals and positive analyst sentiment, a failure to break above the 50-day SMA resistance could lead to a retest of the 200-day SMA support, potentially triggering further selling pressure."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "92.44B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "11.84"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "5.01"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.51%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "66.08"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "45.02"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($62.70) above the 200-day SMA ($57.55), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 28.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "27.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "62.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "57.55"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.62",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.48",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "USB Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (28.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$60.50",
    "TARGET 2": "$61.67",
    "TARGET 3": "$63.44",
    "STOP LOSS": "$56.80"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.29%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.71%",
    "Average Mar return": "-7.16%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.47%",
    "Average May return": "-0.10%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.00%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.44%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.68%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.63%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.67%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.34%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.48%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.32%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in USB in September 2016 would be worth about $13,830 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in USB today could grow to about $16,398 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $56,217 and a bear case around $4,783. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "USB Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $72.31 for USB by 2030 in the base case, from $59.33 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $33.17. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using USB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "USB simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$42.22",
        "$62.34",
        "$92.04"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$37.75",
        "$65.50",
        "$114"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$35.05",
        "$68.82",
        "$135"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$33.17",
        "$72.31",
        "$158"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$31.79",
        "$75.97",
        "$182"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$30.74",
        "$79.83",
        "$207"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$29.92",
        "$83.87",
        "$235"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$29.28",
        "$88.13",
        "$265"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$28.77",
        "$92.59",
        "$298"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$28.38",
        "$97.29",
        "$334"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association NASDAQ $63.83 +1.61%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/zion-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "IREN IREN Ltd. NASDAQ $44.13 -4.39%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/iren-limited-iren/"
    },
    {
     "text": "WFC Wells Fargo & Company NYSE $82.97 +0.96%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wells-fargo-wfc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FITB Fifth Third Bancorp NASDAQ $52.10 +1.24%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fitb-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. NYSE $935.45 +1.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/goldman-sachs-gs/"
    },
    {
     "text": "RF Regions Financial Corp. NYSE $27.62 +1.32%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rf-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HUT Hut 8 Corp. NASDAQ $96.82 -4.65%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hut-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SYF Synchrony Financial NYSE $72.94 +1.94%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/synchrony-financial-syf/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare USB",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "USB vs PNC Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/usb-vs-pnc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GLD vs SLV Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gld-vs-slv/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LMT vs RTX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/lmt-vs-rtx/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "USB Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$186.6K",
    "Sold": "$22.4M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.9M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in USB",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "497.8K",
        "$16.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "184.2K",
        "$10.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 15, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "165.6K",
        "$9.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 8, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "183.4K",
        "$9.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 20, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Director",
        "Sell",
        "140.4K",
        "$6.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 20, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "PARKER PAUL W Officer",
        "Sell",
        "98.5K",
        "$5.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 4, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "102.0K",
        "$4.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 15, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "93.4K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 12, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "CECERE ANDREW J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "84.9K",
        "$3.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 28, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "VON GILLERN JEFFRY H Officer",
        "Sell",
        "53.4K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=U.S.+Bancorp&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is U.S. Bancorp (USB) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "U.S. Bancorp is currently rated a Hold. While analysts have a median price target of $69.00, implying 16.3% upside, the stock is trading below its key moving averages and exhibits moderate insider selling, suggesting caution is warranted."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for U.S. Bancorp's stock price?",
   "answer": "The outlook for U.S. Bancorp is cautiously optimistic. Analysts project revenue growth of 8.00% for the current year and 7.00% for the next, with a median price target of $69.00. However, near-term technicals are bearish, and insider selling presents a risk."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for U.S. Bancorp?",
   "answer": "The nearest resistance for U.S. Bancorp is the 50-day SMA at $62.70, followed by the 20-day EMA at $60.89. Support is found at the 200-day SMA of $57.55. The RSI is currently oversold at 27.95."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does U.S. Bancorp's valuation compare to its peers?",
   "answer": "U.S. Bancorp's P/E ratio of 11.84 and price-to-sales ratio of 3.38 are both below the sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation compared to its peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus rating for U.S. Bancorp?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for U.S. Bancorp is 'Buy', with 12 out of 23 analysts recommending a Buy and 9 recommending a Hold. The overall Wall Street score is 67 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are insiders buying or selling U.S. Bancorp stock?",
   "answer": "Insiders are net sellers of U.S. Bancorp stock. In recent transactions, total sales amounted to $22.4 million, while total purchases were $186.6 thousand, indicating a moderate sell signal."
  },
  {
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   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, U.S. Bancorp's projected stock price for 2030 has a base case of $72.31 and a downside case of $33.17. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  }
 ],
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      "text": "Insiders are net sellers of U.S. Bancorp stock. In recent transactions, total sales amounted to $22.4 million, while total purchases were $186.6 thousand, indicating a moderate sell signal."
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     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}