{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/united-airlines-ual/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/united-airlines-ual/data.json",
 "title": "United Airlines (UAL) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock: Industrials, Airlines. $37.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)",
 "published": "2026-06-09T09:13:55+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T14:50:54.318+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:27:31.393Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "UAL",
  "name": "United Airlines Holdings, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Airlines",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.united.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 113.99,
  "previousClose": 111.19,
  "change": 2.8,
  "changePercent": 2.52,
  "open": 113.21,
  "high": 115.71,
  "low": 110.72,
  "volume": 3413000,
  "averageVolume": 4085820,
  "marketCap": 36997703294,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 138.77,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 84.64,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T14:50:54.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 10.663237,
  "eps": 10.69,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.272,
  "priceToSales": 0.58818007,
  "priceToBook": 2.2159367,
  "revenueTtm": 62902001664,
  "grossMargin": 0.24315301041195111,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.23252001
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 54.59,
  "macd": -1.02,
  "sma50": 116.33,
  "sma200": 109.01,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 75,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 113.99,
  "analystTarget": 160,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T14:50:54.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 113.99,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.39,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 111.71,
  "aggressiveEntry": 113.99,
  "stopLoss": 103.89,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   117.3,
   122.88,
   128.47
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 64.85,
    "base": 123.08,
    "upside90th": 233.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 53.69,
    "base": 132.89,
    "upside90th": 328.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 47.29,
    "base": 143.48,
    "upside90th": 435.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 43,
    "base": 154.92,
    "upside90th": 558.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 39.91,
    "base": 167.27,
    "upside90th": 700.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 37.59,
    "base": 180.6,
    "upside90th": 867.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 35.79,
    "base": 195,
    "upside90th": 1062.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 34.37,
    "base": 210.54,
    "upside90th": 1289.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 33.25,
    "base": 227.33,
    "upside90th": 1554.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 32.35,
    "base": 245.45,
    "upside90th": 1862.12
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "UAL Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$113.21",
    "Day Range": "$110.72 to $115.71",
    "Prev Close": "$111.19",
    "Volume": "3.41M",
    "52-Week Range": "$84.64 to $138.77",
    "Market Cap": "$37.00B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-69%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "UAL Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, UAL beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "UAL Analysis",
   "text": [
    "United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is currently trading above its 20-day and 200-day moving averages, but below its 50-day moving average, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.59, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly negative at -1.02. Key support is observed near the 200-day SMA of $109.01, with resistance potentially forming around the 50-day SMA of $116.33. Volume has been below average recently, which may temper the conviction of current price action.",
    "25 analysts cover UAL with a median price target of $160, offering a 40.4% upside from the current price, indicating significant Wall Street optimism.",
    "Current year revenue estimates project a 15.00% year-over-year growth, signaling strong demand and operational expansion for United Airlines.",
    "UAL is trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($109.01), suggesting that the longer-term trend remains positive.",
    "Insiders have sold a total of $65.5 million in stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a heavy insider selling and potential lack of management confidence in the near term.",
    "UAL's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02 is higher than the sector average, increasing financial risk, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.",
    "The base case outlook for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is positive, driven by strong analyst conviction and a median price target of $160, implying a 40.4% upside from the current price. The company's revenue is expected to grow by 15.00% this year, and forward-looking EPS estimates are strong, with next year's EPS projected at $14.59. Potential catalysts include continued strong travel demand and effective cost management. However, downside risks include a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02 and significant insider selling pressure, which could weigh on investor sentiment if not offset by positive operational developments or improved market conditions."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Despite a heavy insider selling from insiders, the strong Wall Street Buy consensus and median price target of $160 suggest that analysts believe the selling is not indicative of fundamental weakness.",
     "UAL is trading above its 200-day SMA, indicating that longer-term investors are currently seeing value, but it is below its 50-day SMA, suggesting caution for short-term traders.",
     "Given the high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, investors should monitor the company's cash flow and debt servicing capabilities closely, especially in a rising interest rate environment."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Analyst Buy Consensus and Upside Potential",
     "text": "25 analysts cover UAL with a median price target of $160, offering a 40.4% upside from the current price, indicating significant Wall Street optimism.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Revenue Growth Estimates",
     "text": "Current year revenue estimates project a 15.00% year-over-year growth, signaling strong demand and operational expansion for United Airlines.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Above 200-Day Moving Average",
     "text": "UAL is trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($109.01), suggesting that the longer-term trend remains positive.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a total of $65.5 million in stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a heavy insider selling and potential lack of management confidence in the near term.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "High Debt-to-Equity Ratio",
     "text": "UAL's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02 is higher than the sector average, increasing financial risk, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.",
     "source": "Company Fundamentals"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.66, which is significantly below the sector median of 34, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its peers. The company's fundamentals show a strong return on equity of 23.25% and a net profit margin of 5.56%. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.59 is also below the sector median of 4. However, the debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.02, which is higher than the sector average, indicating a more leveraged balance sheet.",
    "In the quarter to June 2026, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.99, beating the analyst estimate of $1.85 by 7.57%, though the stock saw a 1.79% decline on the news. The company has shown a mixed but generally positive earnings surprise trend over the last four reported quarters, with three out of the last four quarters beating analyst expectations.",
    "The primary risk for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stems from significant insider selling, with over $65.5 million in sales reported, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management in the short term. Additionally, the company carries a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, which could pose challenges during economic downturns or periods of rising interest rates."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "37.00B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "10.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "10.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "138.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "84.64"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($116.33) above the 200-day SMA ($109.01), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "54.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "116.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "109.01"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.63",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.56",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.08",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.09"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "UAL Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (54.6) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$117.30",
    "TARGET 2": "$122.88",
    "TARGET 3": "$128.47",
    "STOP LOSS": "$103.89"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.73%",
    "Average Feb return": "+2.17%",
    "Average Mar return": "-8.57%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.44%",
    "Average May return": "+6.12%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.70%",
    "Average Jul return": "-1.99%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.79%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.71%",
    "Average Oct return": "+4.53%",
    "Average Nov return": "+10.67%",
    "Average Dec return": "+0.33%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.39%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in UAL in September 2016 would be worth about $23,052 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in UAL today could grow to about $21,532 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $163,358 and a bear case around $2,838. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "UAL Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $155 for UAL by 2030 in the base case, from $114 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $43.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on UAL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using UAL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "UAL simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$64.85",
        "$123",
        "$234"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$53.69",
        "$133",
        "$329"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$47.29",
        "$143",
        "$435"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$43.00",
        "$155",
        "$558"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$39.91",
        "$167",
        "$701"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$37.59",
        "$181",
        "$868"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$35.79",
        "$195",
        "$1,063"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$34.37",
        "$211",
        "$1,290"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$33.25",
        "$227",
        "$1,554"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$32.35",
        "$245",
        "$1,862"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/general-dynamics-gd/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare UAL",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "DAL vs UAL Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dal-vs-ual/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GILD vs BMY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gild-vs-bmy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LITE vs COHR Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/lite-vs-cohr/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "UAL Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$65.5M",
    "Insiders": "11",
    "Avg Transaction": "$3.6M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in UAL",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 21, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KIRBY JOHN SCOTT Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "159.3K",
        "$18.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 3, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KIRBY JOHN SCOTT Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "120.0K",
        "$12.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 16, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KIRBY JOHN SCOTT Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "49.4K",
        "$6.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "JOJO LINDA P Officer",
        "Sell",
        "60.0K",
        "$5.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 28, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "SHAPIRO EDWARD L Director",
        "Sell",
        "157.7K",
        "$5.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MUNOZ OSCAR X Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "115.2K",
        "$4.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 26, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "GEBO KATE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$4.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 28, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HART BRETT J President",
        "Sell",
        "30.1K",
        "$3.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 12, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "GEBO KATE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "36.3K",
        "$3.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HART BRETT J President",
        "Sell",
        "77.8K",
        "$3.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&amp;company=United+Airlines+Holdings%2C+Inc.&amp;type=4&amp;dateb=&amp;owner=include&amp;count=40&amp;search_text=&amp;action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $160.00, suggesting a potential upside of 40.4% from its current price of $113.99. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average, indicating longer-term support."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is UAL's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) has a base case forecast of $154.92 for 2030, with a downside projection of $43.00 and an upside projection of $558.08. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "How are United Airlines' recent earnings?",
   "answer": "In the quarter to June 2026, UAL reported an EPS of $1.99, beating estimates by 7.57%. The stock experienced a 1.79% decline following this report, but overall earnings have shown a positive surprise trend in recent quarters."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for UAL stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for UAL stock is predominantly Buy, with 4 Strong Buy, 19 Buy, and 1 Hold rating among 25 analysts. The overall consensus score is 75 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing United Airlines Holdings, Inc.?",
   "answer": "A significant risk for UAL is the heavy insider selling, with over $65.5 million in sales. The company also holds a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, which could be a concern in challenging economic conditions."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does UAL's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "UAL's P/E ratio of 10.66 is substantially lower than the sector median of 34, and its price-to-sales ratio of 0.59 is also below the sector average of 4, suggesting it may be undervalued compared to other Industrials companies."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the revenue growth outlook for United Airlines?",
   "answer": "United Airlines is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with current year estimates indicating a 15.00% year-over-year increase. Next year's revenue growth is estimated at 5.00%."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "FPS",
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