{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tw-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/tw-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) stock: Financial Services, Capital Markets. $22.1B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW)",
 "published": "2026-07-09T09:31:30+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T06:26:30.196+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:05:57.388Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "TW",
  "name": "Tradeweb Markets Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Capital Markets",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.tradeweb.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 101.19,
  "previousClose": 101.13,
  "change": 0.06,
  "changePercent": 0.06,
  "open": 101.23,
  "high": 102.5,
  "low": 99.805,
  "volume": 1149400,
  "averageVolume": 1377730,
  "marketCap": 22062053064,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 127.69,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 91.42,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T06:26:30.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.150358,
  "eps": 4.19,
  "dividendYield": 0.005535784694813672,
  "beta": 0.626,
  "priceToSales": 10.008021,
  "priceToBook": 3.2551632,
  "revenueTtm": 2204436992,
  "grossMargin": 0.6914514103330196,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.14468999
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 37.38,
  "macd": -0.89,
  "sma50": 103.41,
  "sma200": 108.41,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 101.19,
  "analystTarget": 120,
  "analystCount": 15,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T06:26:30.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 101.19,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.67,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 100.18,
  "aggressiveEntry": 101.19,
  "stopLoss": 96.12,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.05,
  "targets": [
   103.18,
   105.19,
   108.19
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 75.92,
    "base": 112.18,
    "upside90th": 165.75
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 71.6,
    "base": 124.36,
    "upside90th": 216
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 70.11,
    "base": 137.86,
    "upside90th": 271.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 70,
    "base": 152.82,
    "upside90th": 333.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 70.77,
    "base": 169.42,
    "upside90th": 405.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 72.18,
    "base": 187.81,
    "upside90th": 488.69
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 74.11,
    "base": 208.2,
    "upside90th": 584.89
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 76.5,
    "base": 230.81,
    "upside90th": 696.32
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 79.32,
    "base": 255.87,
    "upside90th": 825.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 82.53,
    "base": 283.64,
    "upside90th": 974.85
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "TW Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$101.23",
    "Day Range": "$99.81 to $102.50",
    "Prev Close": "$101.13",
    "Volume": "1.15M",
    "52-Week Range": "$91.42 to $127.69",
    "Market Cap": "$22.06B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+46%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "TW Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TW beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "TW Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Volume has decreased 16.6% below its average, indicating waning investor interest as Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades below its key moving averages. The stock is currently below its 50-day SMA ($103.41) and 200-day SMA ($108.41), with its RSI at 37.38 signaling bearish momentum. The chart structure suggests that the 50-day and 200-day SMAs are acting as resistance levels. The current price of $101.19 is also below the 20-day EMA of $102.85. The Stochastic indicator is in oversold territory at 22.79, which could suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish until the stock can reclaim its key moving averages.",
    "Insiders have sold a net of $44.7 million in TW stock, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among management.",
    "TW is currently below its 50-day SMA ($103.41) and 200-day SMA ($108.41), suggesting bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.",
    "Tradeweb Markets Inc. has a track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently by 2.11% for the quarter ending June 2026, which could support future price appreciation.",
    "The median analyst price target for TW is $120, implying an 18.6% upside from the current price, indicating Wall Street's belief in potential future gains.",
    "The base case for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) anticipates a stabilization and potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $120 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its consistent revenue growth and strong profit margins. The company's strong 5-year average annual growth estimate of 16.5% and a low debt-to-equity ratio provide a solid foundation for future performance. However, the outlook is tempered by current technical weakness, with the stock trading below key moving averages, and significant insider selling. A catalyst for upside could be a clear break above the 50-day SMA, signaling a shift in momentum. Conversely, continued insider selling or a failure to reclaim technical resistance levels could lead to a retest of lower support levels, potentially towards the downside projection of $70 from the long-range forecast."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the moderate insider selling from insider transactions, investors should monitor for any further selling pressure or a change in management sentiment.",
     "The stock's current position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($103.41 and $108.41) suggests a bearish technical trend; a decisive move above these levels would be required to signal a potential trend reversal.",
     "With a P/E ratio of 24.15, TW trades at a premium to its sector peers. Investors should ensure that the company's projected growth rates of 16.5% over the next five years materialize to justify this valuation."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Selling Continues",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a net of $44.7 million in TW stock, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "TW is currently below its 50-day SMA ($103.41) and 200-day SMA ($108.41), suggesting bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Earnings Surprises",
     "text": "Tradeweb Markets Inc. has a track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently by 2.11% for the quarter ending June 2026, which could support future price appreciation.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Analyst Price Targets Suggest Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for TW is $120, implying an 18.6% upside from the current price, indicating Wall Street's belief in potential future gains.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) trades at a P/E ratio of 24.15, which is above the Financial Services sector median of 16.5, indicating a premium valuation. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 10.01, also higher than the sector median of 3.8. The company boasts a strong profit margin of 40.70% and a healthy return on equity of 14.47%, supported by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02. Despite the premium valuation, the company's revenue growth is projected at 14.00% for the current year, outpacing the sector average of 11.7%. This growth is expected to continue with a 5-year average annual growth rate estimate of 16.5%. The strong profitability and low leverage provide a solid financial foundation, but the current valuation warrants caution given the technical headwinds.",
    "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, exceeding analyst expectations with an actual EPS of $0.97 against an estimate of $0.95, a 2.11% surprise. This beat was accompanied by a 2.76% price increase. Prior quarters also showed a pattern of beating estimates, with a notable 15.38% surprise in the quarter ending March 2026, though this did not translate to significant price appreciation. The company's EPS estimates for the current year stand at $4.05, with next year's estimates at $4.59.",
    "The primary risk for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) stems from its moderate insider selling from insider transactions, with over $44.7 million in net sales, suggesting potential management caution. Technically, the stock is trading below key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMAs), indicating bearish momentum and potential for further downside. Also, the company's P/E ratio of 24.15 is significantly higher than the sector median of 16.5, presenting a valuation risk if growth expectations are not met."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "22.06B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "24.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "4.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.53%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "127.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "91.42"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $103.41, 200-day: $108.41), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "37.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "103.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "108.41"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.19",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.11",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "TW Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (37.4) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$103.18",
    "TARGET 2": "$105.19",
    "TARGET 3": "$108.19",
    "STOP LOSS": "$96.12"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-0.15%",
    "Average Feb return": "+6.71%",
    "Average Mar return": "+0.21%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.16%",
    "Average May return": "+3.85%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.08%",
    "Average Jul return": "+3.65%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.59%",
    "Average Sep return": "-6.64%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.81%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.85%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.50%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.67%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in TW in April 2019 would be worth about $28,257 today, compared with about $26,859 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TW today could grow to about $28,031 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $96,339 and a bear case around $8,156. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "TW Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $153 for TW by 2030 in the base case, from $101 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $70.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TW simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$75.92",
        "$112",
        "$166"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$71.60",
        "$124",
        "$216"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$70.11",
        "$138",
        "$271"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$70.00",
        "$153",
        "$334"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$70.77",
        "$169",
        "$406"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$72.18",
        "$188",
        "$489"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$74.11",
        "$208",
        "$585"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$76.50",
        "$231",
        "$696"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$79.32",
        "$256",
        "$825"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$82.53",
        "$284",
        "$975"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mmc-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/citigroup-c/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mtb-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MARA MARA Holdings Inc. NASDAQ $12.55 -2.86%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mara-holdings-mara/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ $71.52 -0.07%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/affirm-holdings-afrm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "FCFS FirstCash Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ $217.45 +0.49%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fcfs-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare TW",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "MKTX vs TW Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/mktx-vs-tw/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ZS vs FTNT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/zs-vs-ftnt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GOOGL vs GOOG Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/googl-vs-goog/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "TW Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$44.7M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in TW",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 25, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "442.6K",
        "$31.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 6, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "279.7K",
        "$26.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 4, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "269.0K",
        "$24.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 10, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "308.5K",
        "$19.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 17, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "229.5K",
        "$19.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 10, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "HULT WILLIAM President",
        "Sell",
        "300.0K",
        "$19.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 17, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "241.7K",
        "$18.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 6, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "185.1K",
        "$16.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "HULT WILLIAM President",
        "Sell",
        "215.9K",
        "$16.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 22, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "OLESKY LEE Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "178.9K",
        "$15.3M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Tradeweb+Markets+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $152.82. The downside projection is $70, while the upside scenario reaches $333.65. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Tradeweb Markets Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently rated a \"Hold\" by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $120 suggesting an 18.6% upside. However, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($103.41 and $108.41), and insider selling is notable, warranting a cautious approach."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for Tradeweb Markets Inc.?",
   "answer": "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $103.41 and its 200-day SMA of $108.41, which are now acting as resistance levels. The 20-day EMA at $102.85 also presents near-term resistance."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Tradeweb Markets Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 2.11% beat for the quarter ending June 2026. This positive earnings surprise trend has generally been met with modest positive price reactions."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider sentiment for Tradeweb Markets Inc.?",
   "answer": "Insider sentiment for Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) is currently bearish, with a moderate insider selling indicated. Insiders have sold approximately $44.7 million worth of stock, with no reported purchases, suggesting a lack of confidence from management."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Tradeweb Markets Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
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}