{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/transocean-rig/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/transocean-rig/data.json",
 "title": "Transocean (RIG) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Transocean stock a buy? RIG forecast 2026. One of the oil & gas drilling names we cover. Topped estimates in 4 of 5 reports.",
 "headline": "Transocean Ltd. (RIG)",
 "published": "2026-11-09T17:06:19+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-11-09T17:06:20.111+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-11-11T13:24:38.384Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Shaun David, Co-Founder; prices delayed by up to a minute.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "RIG",
  "name": "Transocean Ltd.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Energy",
  "industry": "Oil & Gas Drilling",
  "country": "Switzerland",
  "website": "https://www.deepwater.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 5.18,
  "previousClose": 5.17,
  "change": 0.01,
  "changePercent": 0.1934,
  "open": 5.15,
  "high": 5.28,
  "low": 5.035,
  "volume": 31482941,
  "averageVolume": 43974764,
  "marketCap": 5785655871,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 7.66,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 3.68,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-11-10T23:01:25.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.421,
  "priceToSales": 1.405,
  "priceToBook": 0.68313956,
  "revenueTtm": 4118000000,
  "grossMargin": 0.8467908902691511,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 37.9,
  "macd": -0.09936,
  "sma50": 5.71,
  "sma200": 5.89,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 47,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 6.5,
  "analystCount": 13,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-11-10T23:01:25.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 5.18,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.77,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 2.7,
    "base": 5.13,
    "upside90th": 9.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 2.05,
    "base": 5.09,
    "upside90th": 12.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.66,
    "base": 5.04,
    "upside90th": 15.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 1.39,
    "base": 4.99,
    "upside90th": 17.99
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 5,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 47,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($5.71 and $5.89)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Earnings",
    "text": "RIG beat estimates in 4 of its last 5 quarters, yet fell in the first session after 1 of those beats."
   },
   {
    "label": "Insiders",
    "text": "Insiders sold $5.2M and bought $18.4M over the last 18 months."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": {
   "quarters": 5,
   "beats": 4,
   "fellFirstSessionAfterBeat": 1,
   "latestReport": "Aug 5, 2026",
   "latestSurprisePercent": 200,
   "latestFirstSessionMovePercent": 0.39
  },
  "insiders": {
   "windowMonths": 18,
   "soldValue": 5178690,
   "boughtValue": 18403250,
   "sales": 12,
   "purchases": 3,
   "note": "open-market transactions only; grants and option exercises excluded"
  },
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 10,
   "worstFallPercent": -95.7,
   "peak": "January 2017",
   "trough": "October 2020",
   "recoveredBy": null,
   "recoveryMonths": null,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": -66.77,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -66.77,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": 46,
   "dividendsReinvested": false
  },
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Nov",
    "averagePercent": 18.83,
    "upYearsPercent": 56
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Apr",
    "averagePercent": -8.24,
    "upYearsPercent": 20
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": {
   "analysts": 13,
   "low": 4.5,
   "median": 6.5,
   "high": 10,
   "mean": 6.56,
   "buy": 6,
   "hold": 5,
   "sell": 2
  },
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 4.99,
   "percentile10": 1.39,
   "percentile90": 17.99,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "RIG stock today, November 11, 2026: price, news and analyst targets",
   "text": [
    "As of November 10, 2026, Transocean Ltd. (RIG) trades at $5.18. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $6.50 across 13 analysts, 25.5% above the price. CleaRank rates it Hold with a score of 47/100.",
    "Transocean's stock has been sliding over the past month, down 5.99% over one month and 12.20% over the past week, and it now trades below its 50-day, 200-day and 20-day averages. The stock closed at $5.18 with a 0.19% gain on the session, on volume 28.4% below its average, and the 1-year return is still up 23.33%, so the recent weakness is a short-term move against a stronger longer-run picture. The balance is the tension investors are weighing: a low valuation and a generally positive analyst view against shrinking revenue, a return on equity well below the sector and a bearish momentum reading. The CleaRank rating is Hold, the same as Wall Street's consensus.",
    "The stock fell 12.20% over the past week and 5.99% over the past month, and it now sits 9.33% below its 50-day average and 12.07% below its 200-day average. The 50-day average is itself below the 200-day average by 3.02%, which keeps the picture on the downside. The MACD line is negative and the 14-day RSI reads 37.9, in the bearish zone but not oversold. No specific cause for the recent decline has been reported, so the move is best read as a shift in trading momentum rather than a response to a named event.",
    "Its price-to-sales ratio of 1.41 compares with a sector median of 2.5, a 42.8% gap. Reported earnings over the last 12 months are $0.42 per share, which is the figure behind the P/E. These numbers make the stock look inexpensive against the group, but the discount also reflects weaker growth and returns.",
    "The net profit margin of -40.2% and operating margin of 14.94% show the business still earns a profit, and debt-to-equity is 0.59, a manageable level, but the top line is the weak point in the story.",
    "Transocean has beaten the EPS estimate in four of the last five reported quarters. The August 5, 2026 report, which showed EPS of $0.03 against an estimate of $0.01, was a beat of 200.00%, and the stock rose 0.39% in the first session afterward. The May 4, 2026 report was a miss, with EPS of -$0.03 against $0.08 expected, and the stock fell 9.16% in the first session after it. That pattern shows the market reacts to the quality of results and guidance, not to the beat alone.",
    "CleaRank score 47/100 (Hold). 4 of 17 checks pass: trend 0 of 4, momentum 1 of 3, valuation and quality 2 of 3, analysts 1 of 3, track record 0 of 4.",
    "Transocean Ltd. is a Swiss offshore drilling contractor that provides rig-based well construction services for oil and gas operators worldwide. The company focuses on technically demanding offshore environments, with a particular emphasis on ultra-deepwater and harsh-environment drilling. Its current fleet includes mobile offshore drilling units such as drillships and semisubmersibles, along with related equipment, crews, and operational support used to drill wells in challenging marine settings."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-news",
   "title": "RIG stock news",
   "text": [
    "August 12, 2026·Barclays",
    "On August 12, 2026, Barclays kept its Overweight rating on the stock. A positive rating from a major broker after the August report supports the view that the earnings beat was seen as meaningful.",
    "July 8, 2026·Susquehanna",
    "On July 8, 2026, Susquehanna kept its Positive rating. The reiteration gives investors a reference point for the analyst view that sits behind the six buy ratings.",
    "August 5, 2026·Earnings report",
    "The August 5, 2026 report showed EPS of $0.03 against a $0.01 estimate, a beat of 200.00%, yet the stock rose only 0.39% in the first session. The modest reaction shows the beat alone did not lift the stock much."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Barclays keeps Overweight rating August 12, 2026·Barclays On August 12, 2026, Barclays kept its Overweight rating on the stock. A positive rating from a major broker after the August report supports the view that the earnings beat was seen as meaningful.",
     "Susquehanna keeps Positive rating July 8, 2026·Susquehanna On July 8, 2026, Susquehanna kept its Positive rating. The reiteration gives investors a reference point for the analyst view that sits behind the six buy ratings.",
     "August earnings beat and muted reaction August 5, 2026·Earnings report The August 5, 2026 report showed EPS of $0.03 against a $0.01 estimate, a beat of 200.00%, yet the stock rose only 0.39% in the first session. The modest reaction shows the beat alone did not lift the stock much."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-street",
   "title": "RIG price target 2026",
   "text": [
    "The base case for the coming months is that the stock stays range-bound beneath its moving averages until earnings or contract news gives it a reason to move. The 50-day average at $5.71 and the 200-day average at $5.89 are the first ceilings to reclaim; a sustained move above them would show the trend starting to turn. The analysts' median 12-month target is $6.50, with a range from $4.50 to $10.00, and the ratings split of six buy, five hold and two sell suggests the Street sees room for recovery but not a clear conviction. Earnings are expected to rise from $0.06 this year to $0.30 next year in analyst estimates, and delivery on that would be the main upside driver."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent analyst rating actions on RIG",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Firm",
      "Action",
      "Rating"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Barclays",
        "Maintains",
        "Overweight"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 8, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Susquehanna",
        "Maintains",
        "Positive"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-levels",
   "title": "RIG support and resistance levels",
   "text": [
    "Support sits at the 52-week low of $3.68, which is the floor of the stock's one-year range and the only level below the current price. Resistance comes first at the 50-day simple moving average of $5.71, followed closely by the 20-day exponential moving average of $5.75, which together form a cluster just above the price. The 200-day simple moving average at $5.89 is the next ceiling above the price, and the 52-week high of $7.66 is the furthest resistance."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RIG support and resistance levels",
     "columns": [
      "Level",
      "What it is",
      "Price",
      "From the price"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Resistance 4",
       "cells": [
        "52-week high",
        "$7.66",
        "+47.9%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 3",
       "cells": [
        "200-day moving average",
        "$5.89",
        "+13.7%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 2",
       "cells": [
        "20-day exponential average",
        "$5.75",
        "+11.1%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 1",
       "cells": [
        "50-day moving average",
        "$5.71",
        "+10.3%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Price",
       "cells": [
        "November 10, 2026",
        "$5.18",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 1",
       "cells": [
        "52-week low",
        "$3.68",
        "-29.0%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Bearish",
     "SMA cross Bearish",
     "Price vs SMA Bearish",
     "MACD Bearish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "RIG stock price and trading"
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "RIG fundamentals and valuation",
   "text": [
    "Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RIG trades at 1.41x, -44% versus the sector median of 2.50x.",
    "Return vs XLE: Since May 30, 2025, RIG has gained 108.0% against a gain of 52.7% for XLE.",
    "Revenue growth: Revenue grew 12.5% in FY2025 to $4.0B, from $3.5B a year earlier.",
    "Profit margin: The net margin was -73.5% in FY2025, down from -14.5% the year before.",
    "Loss-making: RIG lost $2.9B in FY2025.",
    "Earnings record: RIG beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the 5 reports in our data.",
    "Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 4 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RIG earnings surprises and the stock's reaction",
     "columns": [
      "Report",
      "Estimate",
      "Actual",
      "Surprise",
      "First sessionDay 1",
      "5 sessionsDay 5"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 5, 2026after close",
       "cells": [
        "$0.01",
        "$0.03",
        "+200.00%",
        "+0.39%",
        "+10.89%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 4, 2026after close",
       "cells": [
        "$0.08",
        "-$0.03",
        "-137.50%",
        "-9.16%",
        "-4.80%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 29, 2025after close",
       "cells": [
        "$0.03",
        "$0.06",
        "+100.00%",
        "+2.09%",
        "+1.83%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2025after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.03",
        "$0.02",
        "+166.67%",
        "+3.56%",
        "+3.56%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 28, 2025after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.10",
        "-$0.07",
        "+30.00%",
        "-4.76%",
        "-0.43%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-history",
   "title": "RIG price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "Against the market: RIG trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $3,866.87 against $40,115.",
    "A $10,000 investment in RIG in December 2016 would be worth about $3,867 today, compared with about $40,115 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark with its dividends reinvested."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "RIG stock price prediction 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $4.99 for RIG by 2030 in the base case, from $5.18 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RIG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RIG simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$2.70",
        "$5.13",
        "$9.74",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$2.05",
        "$5.09",
        "$12.59",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.66",
        "$5.04",
        "$15.29",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$1.39",
        "$4.99",
        "$17.99",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-insiders",
   "title": "RIG insider trading",
   "text": [
    "Net insider buying: Insiders bought $18.4M on the open market and sold $5.2M."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Insider transactions in RIG",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 2, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Chadwick C. Deaton Director",
        "Buy",
        "35.0K",
        "$173.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 22, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Chadwick C Deaton Director",
        "Option",
        "82.4K",
        "$560.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 22, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "William F. Lacey Director",
        "Option",
        "82.4K",
        "$560.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 22, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Frederik Wilhelm Mohn Director",
        "Option",
        "82.4K",
        "$560.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Keelan I Adamson Chief Executive Officer",
        "Grant",
        "180.9K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Roderick James Mackenzie, Officer",
        "Sell",
        "78.4K",
        "$498.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 27, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Keelan I Adamson Chief Executive Officer",
        "Option",
        "318.2K",
        "$2.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 27, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Brady K Long Officer",
        "Option",
        "218.2K",
        "$1.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 27, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Roderick James Mackenzie, Officer",
        "Option",
        "156.5K",
        "$977.9K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 27, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Jason Baker Pack Officer",
        "Option",
        "69.6K",
        "$434.8K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "RIG stock forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare RIG with similar assets",
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the RIG stock forecast?",
   "answer": "The analysts' median 12-month price target is $6.50, which is 25.5% above the current price of $5.18. Targets range from $4.50 to $10.00 across 13 analysts. The nearest level below the price is the 52-week low at $3.68, and the nearest level above it is the 50-day average at $5.71."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the RIG price target?",
   "answer": "The median 12-month analyst target is $6.50, with the lowest target at $4.50 and the highest at $10.00. The consensus rating is Hold, based on a split of six buy, five hold and two sell ratings. The stock trades at $5.18, below the median target."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is RIG a buy or sell today?",
   "answer": "Analysts rate the stock Hold overall, with 6 of 13 rating it buy or strong buy, 5 rating it hold, and 2 rating it sell or strong sell. CleaRank's own rating is Hold, with a score of 47 out of 100. The stock is down 9.33% from its 50-day average and 12.07% from its 200-day average, and the trend is down against both."
  },
  {
   "question": "Why is Transocean's revenue falling?",
   "answer": "Analysts expect revenue this fiscal year to shrink 0.4% to $3.9B. No specific cause for the decline has been reported."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has the stock performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year the stock is up 23.33%, but over six months it is down 20.80%. The 52-week range runs from $3.68 to $7.66, and the price sits at 38% of that range."
  }
 ],
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    "price": "$86.27",
    "change": "-0.68%",
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