{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tractor-supply-tsco/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/tractor-supply-tsco/data.json",
 "title": "Tractor Supply (TSCO) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "TSCO stock forecast and price target 2026: is Tractor Supply Company a buy? Topped estimates in 3 of 6 reports. Dividend-paying.",
 "headline": "Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)",
 "published": "2026-11-09T16:16:42+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-11-09T16:16:43.222+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-11-11T13:32:29.198Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Shaun David, Co-Founder; prices delayed by up to a minute.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "TSCO",
  "name": "Tractor Supply Company",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Specialty Retail",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.tractorsupply.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 37.51,
  "previousClose": 37.4,
  "change": 0.105,
  "changePercent": 0.2807,
  "open": 37.13,
  "high": 37.715,
  "low": 36.345,
  "volume": 5815989,
  "averageVolume": 9469799,
  "marketCap": 19449106243,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 56.94,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 28.36,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-11-10T22:33:53.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 20.16,
  "eps": 1.86,
  "dividendYield": 0.02532995600586588,
  "beta": 0.484,
  "priceToSales": 1.213378,
  "priceToBook": 7.28128,
  "revenueTtm": 15942134784,
  "grossMargin": 0.3705114863231215,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.37347
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 68.31,
  "macd": 1.08,
  "sma50": 33.47,
  "sma200": 37.52,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 64,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 38,
  "analystCount": 30,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-11-10T22:33:53.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 37.505,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.47,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 27.74,
    "base": 40.48,
    "upside90th": 59.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 25.6,
    "base": 43.69,
    "upside90th": 74.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 24.5,
    "base": 47.16,
    "upside90th": 90.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 23.9,
    "base": 50.91,
    "upside90th": 108.44
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 6,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 64,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($33.47 and $37.52)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Earnings",
    "text": "TSCO beat estimates in 3 of its last 6 quarters, yet fell in the first session after 1 of those beats."
   },
   {
    "label": "Insiders",
    "text": "Insiders sold $25.0M and bought $658K over the last 18 months."
   },
   {
    "label": "Valuation",
    "text": "P/E of 20.2 against 20.8 for the Consumer Cyclical sector: broadly in line with peers (-3%)."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": {
   "quarters": 6,
   "beats": 3,
   "fellFirstSessionAfterBeat": 1,
   "latestReport": "Oct 22, 2026",
   "latestSurprisePercent": 4.88,
   "latestFirstSessionMovePercent": 6.24
  },
  "insiders": {
   "windowMonths": 18,
   "soldValue": 25033426,
   "boughtValue": 658321,
   "sales": 19,
   "purchases": 5,
   "note": "open-market transactions only; grants and option exercises excluded"
  },
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 10,
   "worstFallPercent": -52.16,
   "peak": "August 2025",
   "trough": "July 2026",
   "recoveredBy": null,
   "recoveryMonths": null,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": -38.47,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -38.73,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": 76,
   "dividendsReinvested": true
  },
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 10,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "Aug",
    "averagePercent": 6.12,
    "upYearsPercent": 90
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Sep",
    "averagePercent": -2.9,
    "upYearsPercent": 50
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": {
   "analysts": 30,
   "low": 31,
   "median": 38,
   "high": 43,
   "mean": 37.48,
   "buy": 15,
   "hold": 15,
   "sell": 0
  },
  "dividend": {
   "yieldPercent": 2.53,
   "annualPerShare": 0.95
  },
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 50.91,
   "percentile10": 23.9,
   "percentile90": 108.44,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "TSCO stock today, November 11, 2026: price, news and analyst targets",
   "text": [
    "As of November 10, 2026, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) trades at $37.51. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $38.00 across 30 analysts, 1.3% above the price. CleaRank rates it Buy with a score of 64/100.",
    "Tractor Supply is trading in the middle of its 52-week range after a sharp rebound from its lows, and the stock has pulled back toward its long-term average. The shares are 32% of the way up from the 52-week low of $28.36 and sit 12.04% above the 50-day average, while still sitting just under the 200-day average. Analysts remain split: 15 of 30 rate the stock buy or strong buy and 15 hold, with none recommending a sale. The October 22, 2026 report beat estimates, and the stock rose 6.24% in the next session, giving the rebound a fundamental anchor. The open question is whether revenue growth, which trails the sector, can keep pace with the valuation and momentum the market is now paying for.",
    "The stock has gained 11.29% over the past month and 22.61% over six months, after falling 32.37% over the past year. The strongest driver in the recent data is the October 22, 2026 earnings report. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.43 against an analyst estimate of $0.41, a beat of 4.88%, and the stock rose 6.24% in the first session afterward. Earnings beats have been mixed over the last six reports: three beat estimates, and one of those beats was followed by a lower share price in the first session. The July 23, 2026 report was a miss of 15.85%, with EPS of $0.69 against $0.82 expected, yet the stock still rose 3.27% the next session.",
    "The trailing P/E ratio of 20.16, which is 3.1% below the sector median of 20.8 and is broadly in line with peers. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.21 is 36.3% below the sector median of 1.9. Return on equity of 37.35% is well above the sector median of 12.4%, but this is supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.53, which means the company carries substantial debt relative to its equity. The net profit margin is 6.13% and the operating margin is 7.87%. Trailing dividend yield is 2.53%, based on an annual dividend of $0.95 per share.",
    "Analysts expect revenue to grow 3.5% this fiscal year. Among 30 analysts, 15 rate the stock buy or strong buy and 15 rate it hold, with none rating it sell. Six firms reiterated their ratings on October 23, 2026: Telsey Advisory Group kept its Outperform rating, Wells Fargo kept its Overweight rating, and Truist Securities, Piper Sandler, JP Morgan and TD Cowen each kept their Hold or Neutral ratings. Three months ago the buy count was also 15 of 30, so the mix has been steady. Insiders sold $25.0M of stock over the last 18 months across 19 sales, and made 5 open-market purchases worth $658K.",
    "CleaRank score 64/100 (Buy). 10 of 19 checks pass: trend 1 of 4, momentum 3 of 3, valuation and quality 4 of 5, analysts 1 of 3, track record 1 of 4.",
    "Tractor Supply Company is a rural lifestyle retailer that serves recreational farmers, ranchers, homeowners, gardeners, pet owners, and outdoor enthusiasts. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise through its Tractor Supply and Petsense by Tractor Supply stores, as well as digital channels, including products for livestock, equine, agriculture, companion animals, seasonal living, truck and tool needs, hardware, clothing, and home and garden care."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-news",
   "title": "TSCO stock news",
   "text": [
    "October 22, 2026·Earnings report",
    "The October 22, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.88%, and the stock rose 6.24% in the next session. This is the most recent evidence that results can lift the shares.",
    "October 23, 2026·Wells Fargo",
    "Wells Fargo kept its Overweight rating on October 23, 2026, one of the positive ratings that backed the stock after the report.",
    "October 23, 2026·Telsey Advisory Group",
    "Telsey Advisory Group kept its Outperform rating on October 23, 2026, adding to the buy-side ratings in the group.",
    "October 23, 2026·Truist Securities",
    "Truist Securities, TD Cowen, Piper Sandler and JP Morgan kept their Hold or Neutral ratings on October 23, 2026, which keeps the consensus at Hold."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Earnings beat and rally October 22, 2026·Earnings report The October 22, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 4.88%, and the stock rose 6.24% in the next session. This is the most recent evidence that results can lift the shares.",
     "Wells Fargo keeps Overweight October 23, 2026·Wells Fargo Wells Fargo kept its Overweight rating on October 23, 2026, one of the positive ratings that backed the stock after the report.",
     "Telsey keeps Outperform October 23, 2026·Telsey Advisory Group Telsey Advisory Group kept its Outperform rating on October 23, 2026, adding to the buy-side ratings in the group.",
     "Hold ratings hold steady October 23, 2026·Truist Securities Truist Securities, TD Cowen, Piper Sandler and JP Morgan kept their Hold or Neutral ratings on October 23, 2026, which keeps the consensus at Hold."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-street",
   "title": "TSCO price target 2026",
   "text": [
    "The base case is that the stock keeps trading in the range between its 50-day and 200-day averages while the company works to lift revenue growth. Analysts expect earnings per share to shrink 8.7% this fiscal year to $1.88 and then grow 9.3% to $2.06 next year, and expect revenue to grow 3.5% to $16.1B this year. If those estimates hold and the next report meets expectations, the stock has room to test the 200-day average and the $38.00 median analyst target, which sits 1.3% above the price. The bull case needs revenue growth to accelerate past the sector median of 7.2%. The bear case is a miss on earnings, as happened on July 23, 2026, when the stock still rose 3.27% the next session but the miss highlighted pressure on profits. A fall back below the 20-day average would weaken the short-term momentum, and a drop toward the 52-week low of $28.36 would require a broader sell-off. Analyst targets range from $31.00 to $43.00."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent analyst rating actions on TSCO",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Firm",
      "Action",
      "Rating"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Telsey Advisory Group",
        "Maintains",
        "Outperform"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Truist Securities",
        "Maintains",
        "Hold"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Piper Sandler",
        "Maintains",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "JP Morgan",
        "Maintains",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Wells Fargo",
        "Maintains",
        "Overweight"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "TD Cowen",
        "Maintains",
        "Hold"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-levels",
   "title": "TSCO support and resistance levels",
   "text": [
    "Support sits first at the 20-day EMA of $34.79, which the price is 7.80% above and which would be the first level tested in a pullback. Below that is the 50-day SMA at $33.47, the second support level and the average the stock has moved above over recent weeks. The 52-week low of $28.36 is the third and deepest support, and it marks the bottom of the range the stock has traded through over the past year. On the upside, the 200-day SMA at $37.52 is the first resistance level, and the price is right at it. The 52-week high of $56.94 is the next level above and the far end of the range, the level a sustained rally would have to reach."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TSCO support and resistance levels",
     "columns": [
      "Level",
      "What it is",
      "Price",
      "From the price"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Resistance 1",
       "cells": [
        "52-week high",
        "$56.94",
        "+51.8%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Price",
       "cells": [
        "November 10, 2026",
        "$37.51",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 1",
       "cells": [
        "20-day exponential average",
        "$34.79",
        "-7.2%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 2",
       "cells": [
        "50-day moving average",
        "$33.47",
        "-10.7%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 3",
       "cells": [
        "52-week low",
        "$28.36",
        "-24.4%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Bullish",
     "SMA cross Bearish",
     "Price vs SMA Bullish",
     "MACD Bullish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "TSCO stock price and trading"
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "TSCO fundamentals and valuation",
   "text": [
    "Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-3% against the sector median P/E).",
    "Return vs SPY: Since May 30, 2025, TSCO has lost 22.5% against a gain of 27.2% for SPY.",
    "Revenue growth: Revenue grew 4.3% in FY2025 to $15.5B, from $14.9B a year earlier.",
    "Profit margin: The net margin was 7.1% in FY2025, down from 7.4% the year before.",
    "Profitable: TSCO earned $1.1B in FY2025.",
    "Earnings record: TSCO beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the 6 reports in our data.",
    "Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TSCO earnings surprises and the stock's reaction",
     "columns": [
      "Report",
      "Estimate",
      "Actual",
      "Surprise",
      "First sessionDay 1",
      "5 sessionsDay 5"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 22, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.41",
        "$0.43",
        "+4.88%",
        "+6.24%",
        "-3.30%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 23, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.82",
        "$0.69",
        "-15.85%",
        "+3.27%",
        "+5.59%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 29, 2026before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.46",
        "$0.43",
        "-6.52%",
        "-7.58%",
        "+0.25%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2025before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.48",
        "$0.49",
        "+2.08%",
        "+2.77%",
        "-1.08%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 24, 2025before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.80",
        "$0.81",
        "+1.25%",
        "-0.47%",
        "-3.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 24, 2025before open",
       "cells": [
        "$0.37",
        "$0.34",
        "-8.11%",
        "-3.41%",
        "-0.22%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-history",
   "title": "TSCO price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "Against the market: TSCO trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $28,816 against $40,115.",
    "A $10,000 investment in TSCO in December 2016 would be worth about $28,816 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $40,115 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested)."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "TSCO stock price prediction 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $50.91 for TSCO by 2030 in the base case, from $37.51 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $23.90. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TSCO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TSCO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$27.74",
        "$40.48",
        "$59.08",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$25.60",
        "$43.69",
        "$74.59",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$24.50",
        "$47.16",
        "$90.78",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$23.90",
        "$50.91",
        "$108",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-insiders",
   "title": "TSCO insider trading",
   "text": [
    "Net insider selling: Insiders bought $658K on the open market and sold $25.0M."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Insider transactions in TSCO",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Margaret M Ham Director",
        "Grant",
        "555",
        "$17.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Ramkumar Krishnan Director",
        "Grant",
        "838",
        "$26.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Margaret M Ham Director",
        "Buy",
        "84",
        "$3.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Jonathan S Estep Officer",
        "Grant",
        "794",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "John P Ordus Officer",
        "Grant",
        "1.6K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 5, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Amy E Dahl General Counsel",
        "Grant",
        "13.6K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 5, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Samuel Craig Ledbetter Officer",
        "Grant",
        "2.4K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Harry A Lawton III Chief Executive Officer",
        "Buy",
        "15.6K",
        "$501.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Edna K Morris Director",
        "Buy",
        "1.6K",
        "$50.6K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Andre J Hawaux Director",
        "Buy",
        "3.2K",
        "$100.3K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "TSCO stock forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare TSCO with similar assets",
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the TSCO stock forecast?",
   "answer": "The analysts' median 12-month price target is $38.00, which is 1.3% above the price of $37.51. The targets range from $31.00 to $43.00 across 30 analysts. The nearest level below the price is the 20-day EMA at $34.79, and the nearest level above it is the 52-week high of $56.94."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the TSCO price target?",
   "answer": "The median 12-month analyst price target is $38.00, with the lowest target at $31.00 and the highest at $43.00. The consensus rating is Hold, since 15 of 30 analysts rate the stock buy and 15 rate it hold. The price of $37.51 is just below the median target."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is TSCO a buy or sell today?",
   "answer": "Analysts rate the stock Hold overall, with 15 of 30 rating it buy or strong buy, 15 rating it hold, and none rating it sell. CleaRank rates the stock Buy with a score of 64 out of 100. The price is 12.04% above its 50-day SMA but 0.03% below its 200-day SMA, so the trend is mixed."
  },
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   "answer": "The stock fell 32.37% over the past year, although it has recovered 22.61% over six months. The cause of the one-year decline is not confirmed in the available reporting, so the drivers are unclear."
  },
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   "answer": "Three of the last six reports beat the EPS estimate. The October 22, 2026 report beat by 4.88%, while the July 23, 2026 report missed by 15.85%. The stock rose after the most recent report and after the July miss."
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   "answer": "Insiders sold $25.0M of stock across 19 sales over the last 18 months. They also made 5 open-market purchases worth $658K over the same period. Insider sales are often planned in advance, so the purchases are the more informative signal."
  }
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      "text": "The stock fell 32.37% over the past year, although it has recovered 22.61% over six months. The cause of the one-year decline is not confirmed in the available reporting, so the drivers are unclear."
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      "text": "Three of the last six reports beat the EPS estimate. The October 22, 2026 report beat by 4.88%, while the July 23, 2026 report missed by 15.85%. The stock rose after the most recent report and after the July miss."
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      "text": "Insiders sold $25.0M of stock across 19 sales over the last 18 months. They also made 5 open-market purchases worth $658K over the same period. Insider sales are often planned in advance, so the purchases are the more informative signal."
     }
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}