{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tmc-metals-company-tmc/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/tmc-metals-company-tmc/data.json",
 "title": "TMC the metals (TMC) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is TMC the metals company (TMC) a Buy or Sell today? Get the latest AI price target, key support levels and deep sea mining risk. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "TMC The Metals Company Inc. (TMC)",
 "published": "2026-08-22T09:17:49+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T01:04:43.028+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:02:46.871Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "TMC",
  "name": "TMC The Metals Company Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining",
  "country": "Canada",
  "website": "https://metals.co"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 4.01,
  "previousClose": 4.28,
  "change": -0.27,
  "changePercent": -6.31,
  "open": 4.17,
  "high": 4.186,
  "low": 4.01,
  "volume": 4875840,
  "averageVolume": 5690984,
  "marketCap": 2269006077,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 11.35,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 3.4,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T01:04:36.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -4.837349236729634,
  "eps": -0.75,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 2.104,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": -63.398725958224674,
  "revenueTtm": 0,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": -11.231911
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 50.75,
  "macd": 0.03,
  "sma50": 4.18,
  "sma200": 5.55,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 50,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 3.13,
  "analystTarget": 10,
  "analystCount": 6,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T01:04:36.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 4.01,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 5.74,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 3.97,
  "aggressiveEntry": 4.01,
  "stopLoss": 3.63,
  "stopLossPercent": 8.61,
  "targets": [
   4.09,
   4.17,
   4.29
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 1.99,
    "base": 3.77,
    "upside90th": 7.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 1.43,
    "base": 3.54,
    "upside90th": 8.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.1,
    "base": 3.33,
    "upside90th": 10.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 0.87,
    "base": 3.13,
    "upside90th": 11.28
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 0.7,
    "base": 2.94,
    "upside90th": 12.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 0.58,
    "base": 2.77,
    "upside90th": 13.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 0.48,
    "base": 2.6,
    "upside90th": 14.17
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.4,
    "base": 2.44,
    "upside90th": 14.97
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.34,
    "base": 2.3,
    "upside90th": 15.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.28,
    "base": 2.16,
    "upside90th": 16.38
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "TMC Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$4.17",
    "Day Range": "$4.01 to $4.19",
    "Prev Close": "$4.28",
    "Volume": "4.88M",
    "52-Week Range": "$3.40 to $11.35",
    "Market Cap": "$2.27B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis"
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "TMC Analysis",
   "text": [
    "The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) is currently trading at $4.01, below its 50-day SMA of $4.18 and its 200-day SMA of $5.55, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 50.75, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly positive at 0.026. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 4.88 million compared to an average of 5.69 million. The stock's position below key moving averages suggests resistance at these levels, and a break above the 50-day SMA would be a key signal for a potential trend reversal.",
    "Insiders have purchased $41.9 million worth of TMC stock against $16.7 million in sales, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.",
    "The median analyst price target for TMC is $10.00, representing a potential upside of 149.4% from the current stock price of $4.01.",
    "The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) missed EPS estimates in its latest two reported quarters, leading to negative price reactions and highlighting operational challenges.",
    "TMC is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.18 and $5.55), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential resistance levels.",
    "The outlook for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) over the next 6-12 months is cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by strong analyst conviction and significant insider buying. The median analyst price target of $10.00 suggests a potential for substantial appreciation from the current $4.01 price. The company's long-term success hinges on its ability to execute its significant-sea mineral extraction strategy and achieve positive cash flow and revenue generation. Upside catalysts could include successful project development milestones and positive regulatory developments, while downside risks remain significant due to the unproven nature of its core technology and current financial performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the significant insider buying totaling $41.9 million, consider this a strong signal of management's conviction in The Metals Company Inc.'s (TMC) future prospects.",
     "The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.18 and $5.55), suggesting caution for short-term traders. A break above the 50-day SMA at $4.18 could signal a shift in momentum.",
     "With negative EPS and no current revenue, investors should closely monitor The Metals Company Inc.'s (TMC) progress in commercializing its technology and achieving profitability, as this remains the primary risk factor."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Buying Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have purchased $41.9 million worth of TMC stock against $16.7 million in sales, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Filings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "High Wall Street Price Target Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for TMC is $10.00, representing a potential upside of 149.4% from the current stock price of $4.01.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analysts"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Misses",
     "text": "The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) missed EPS estimates in its latest two reported quarters, leading to negative price reactions and highlighting operational challenges.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "TMC is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.18 and $5.55), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential resistance levels.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) currently trades at a price of $4.01. While its P/E ratio is not applicable due to negative EPS of -$0.75, its market capitalization stands at $2.27 billion. The company's revenue growth is currently not available, and its next year's revenue estimate is $21.9 million. The lack of current revenue and positive earnings makes traditional valuation metrics challenging. However, the significant insider buying activity, with net purchases totaling $41.9 million, suggests underlying confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite current financial metrics.",
    "The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) most recently reported an EPS of -$0.12 for its August 2026 quarter, missing the estimated -$0.05 by 140% and resulting in a 9.07% price drop. The prior quarter also showed a miss, with an EPS of -$0.05 against an estimate of -$0.05, resulting in a 5.08% price decline. These earnings results indicate a pattern of missing analyst expectations, highlighting operational challenges in the near term.",
    "The primary risks for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) include its negative EPS and lack of current revenue, making it highly dependent on future commercialization success. The stock's current trading price below key moving averages suggests potential for further downside if market sentiment shifts. Also, the company's reliance on significant-sea mineral extraction technology presents significant environmental and regulatory hurdles that could impede progress."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "2.27B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-0.7500"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "11.35"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "3.40"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bullish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.176, 200-day: $5.551), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "50.75"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "4.18"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "5.55"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.33",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.33",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.25"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "TMC Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (50.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$4.089",
    "TARGET 2": "$4.168",
    "TARGET 3": "$4.287",
    "STOP LOSS": "$3.628"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "5.74%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in TMC in September 2021 would be worth about $4,261 today, compared with about $17,013 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TMC today could grow to about $5,385 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $40,854 and a bear case around $710. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "TMC Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.13 for TMC by 2030 in the base case, from $4.01 today (0.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.869. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TMC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TMC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TMC simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$1.99",
        "$3.77",
        "$7.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$1.43",
        "$3.54",
        "$8.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.10",
        "$3.33",
        "$10.10"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$0.869",
        "$3.13",
        "$11.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$0.7022",
        "$2.94",
        "$12.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5757",
        "$2.77",
        "$13.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$0.4772",
        "$2.60",
        "$14.17"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.399",
        "$2.44",
        "$14.97"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.336",
        "$2.30",
        "$15.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.2846",
        "$2.16",
        "$16.38"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "TMC Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$41.9M",
    "Sold": "$16.7M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$5.9M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in TMC",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 22, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "ILVES ERIKA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "1.6M",
        "$9.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 26, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "585.1K",
        "$3.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 26, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "SHESKY CRAIG Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "345.6K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "164.3K",
        "$738.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 2, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$664.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 1, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SHESKY CRAIG Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "353.7K",
        "$585.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 26, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "MAY BRENDAN Director",
        "Sell",
        "69.2K",
        "$521.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SHESKY CRAIG Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "233.4K",
        "$375.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 30, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ILVES ERIKA Officer",
        "Sell",
        "217.1K",
        "$241.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 30, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "243.2K",
        "$178.9K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=TMC+The+Metals+Company+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "With a median analyst price target of $10.00 and strong insider buying, TMC presents a compelling buy case. However, current technicals show the stock trading below its key moving averages, and recent earnings have missed expectations, indicating near-term risks."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is TMC's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, The Metals Company Inc.'s (TMC) base case price projection for 2030 is $3.13, with a downside price of $0.87 and an upside price of $11.28. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing The Metals Company Inc. (TMC)?",
   "answer": "Key risks include its negative EPS, lack of current revenue, and the significant environmental and regulatory challenges associated with significant-sea mineral extraction. The stock's current technical downtrend also poses a near-term risk."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) performing financially?",
   "answer": "The company currently has negative EPS of -$0.75 and no reported revenue growth. Recent earnings reports have shown misses against analyst estimates, indicating ongoing financial challenges."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus on The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) stock?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts maintain a strong 'Buy' consensus for TMC, with 6 analysts rating it as either 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy'. The median price target is $10.00, suggesting substantial upside potential."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider sentiment for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC)?",
   "answer": "Insider sentiment is positive, with net purchases totaling $41.9 million against $16.7 million in sales. This 'Moderate Buy Signal' indicates management's confidence in the company's future prospects."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) in the next 6-12 months?",
   "answer": "The base case outlook for TMC over the next 6-12 months anticipates potential upside driven by analyst targets and insider confidence, though near-term headwinds from technicals and earnings misses persist. Success hinges on overcoming operational and regulatory hurdles in its novel extraction technology."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "CLF",
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