{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tjx-companies-tjx/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/tjx-companies-tjx/data.json",
 "title": "TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Apparel Retail. $139.3B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)",
 "published": "2026-06-29T09:23:03+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T10:53:58.693+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:02:46.424Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "TJX",
  "name": "The TJX Companies, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Apparel Retail",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.tjx.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 126.04,
  "previousClose": 126.12,
  "change": -0.09,
  "changePercent": -0.07,
  "open": 126.365,
  "high": 126.87,
  "low": 125.55,
  "volume": 29840,
  "averageVolume": 7464274,
  "marketCap": 139325324729,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 170,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 125.81,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T10:53:57.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 24.039612,
  "eps": 5.4,
  "dividendYield": 0.015224803669078718,
  "beta": 0.593,
  "priceToSales": 2.2995365,
  "priceToBook": 13.789453,
  "revenueTtm": 62363000832,
  "grossMargin": 0.3341238471673254,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.62171
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 8.79,
  "macd": -6.63,
  "sma50": 149.02,
  "sma200": 154.53,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 140,
  "analystTarget": 175,
  "analystCount": 22,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T10:53:57.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 126.035,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.28,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 124.77,
  "aggressiveEntry": 126.04,
  "stopLoss": 120.66,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   128.52,
   131.01,
   134.76
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 98.9,
    "base": 138.57,
    "upside90th": 194.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 94.56,
    "base": 152.35,
    "upside90th": 245.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 93.4,
    "base": 167.5,
    "upside90th": 300.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 93.81,
    "base": 184.16,
    "upside90th": 361.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 95.25,
    "base": 202.47,
    "upside90th": 430.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 97.45,
    "base": 222.61,
    "upside90th": 508.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 100.28,
    "base": 244.75,
    "upside90th": 597.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 103.66,
    "base": 269.09,
    "upside90th": 698.47
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 107.57,
    "base": 295.85,
    "upside90th": 813.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 111.97,
    "base": 325.27,
    "upside90th": 944.92
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "TJX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$126.37",
    "Day Range": "$125.55 to $126.87",
    "Prev Close": "$126.12",
    "Volume": "29.8K",
    "52-Week Range": "$125.81 to $170.00",
    "Market Cap": "$139.33B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-6% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "TJX Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, TJX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "TJX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $149.02 and its 200-day SMA of $154.53, indicating a bearish trend over the medium to long term. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at an extremely oversold 8.79, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -6.63, further reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been slightly below its average, with the latest volume at 8.37 million compared to an average of 8.51 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the current trend, but the oversold RSI could provide a floor for a near-term bounce.",
    "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) exhibits an extremely oversold RSI of 8.79, indicating a high probability of a short-term technical bounce and potential reversal from current price levels.",
    "The median analyst price target for TJX is $175.00, representing an upside of 38.8% from the current price of $126.12, suggesting Wall Street sees significant value appreciation potential.",
    "Insiders have sold a net of approximately $43.9 million in TJX stock, indicating a lack of strong conviction from management and potentially signaling headwinds.",
    "TJX is trading below its 50-day SMA ($149.02) and 200-day SMA ($154.53), indicating a bearish trend and potential for further price declines if support levels are breached.",
    "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) faces a mixed outlook, with a current price of $126.12 suggesting potential for a rebound from oversold conditions, supported by a median Wall Street price target of $175.00. The company's consistent earnings beats and a positive analyst consensus provide a foundation for recovery. However, the bearish technical trend, with prices below key moving averages, and significant insider selling present headwinds. Future performance will likely depend on the company's ability to translate its operational successes into renewed price momentum and overcome the current negative technical signals."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Consider the significant insider selling of over $43.9 million as a cautionary signal, despite the oversold technical conditions.",
     "The stock's extremely oversold RSI of 8.79 suggests a potential for a short-term technical bounce, but confirmation from price action above key moving averages is needed.",
     "With a dividend yield of 1.44%, TJX may appeal to income-focused investors, though the current price action and insider selling warrant careful consideration of entry points."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold Technical Conditions",
     "text": "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) exhibits an extremely oversold RSI of 8.79, indicating a high probability of a short-term technical bounce and potential reversal from current price levels.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Analyst Price Targets",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for TJX is $175.00, representing an upside of 38.8% from the current price of $126.12, suggesting Wall Street sees significant value appreciation potential.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a net of approximately $43.9 million in TJX stock, indicating a lack of strong conviction from management and potentially signaling headwinds.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Trend",
     "text": "TJX is trading below its 50-day SMA ($149.02) and 200-day SMA ($154.53), indicating a bearish trend and potential for further price declines if support levels are breached.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 24.04, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 25.5, suggesting a relatively fair valuation compared to peers. The company's reported revenue growth of 5.4% is below the sector average of 10.0%, indicating a slower growth trajectory. While the P/E ratio is not excessively high, the below-average revenue growth and the current price action below key moving averages suggest that the market may be pricing in slower future growth or increased competition. The company's profitability, as indicated by its EPS of $5.4, appears solid, but the current valuation does not offer a significant discount given the growth profile.",
    "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat earnings per share (EPS) estimates. In the most recent quarter ending August 19, 2026, the company reported an EPS of $1.36, exceeding the estimate of $1.19 by 14.29%, although the stock experienced a 2.64% decline. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, with EPS actuals exceeding estimates by 4.38% and 17.82% respectively, though these also coincided with minor stock price pullbacks. This pattern suggests that while the company is operationally sound, market reactions to earnings may be mixed or influenced by broader market sentiment.",
    "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with over $43.9 million in sales against minimal purchases, indicating a lack of strong internal conviction. The stock's current trading position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($149.02 and $154.53) signals a bearish technical trend, potentially exposing it to further downside if momentum continues. Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 5.4% lags behind the sector average of 10.0%, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining market share or expanding at a faster pace."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "139.33B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "24.04"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "5.40"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.44%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "170.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "125.81"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $149.02, 200-day: $154.53), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 8.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "8.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-6.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "149.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "154.53"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.33",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.21",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.17",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "TJX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (8.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$128.52",
    "TARGET 2": "$131.01",
    "TARGET 3": "$134.76",
    "STOP LOSS": "$120.66"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.76%",
    "Average Feb return": "+0.93%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.51%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.30%",
    "Average May return": "+0.93%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.12%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.42%",
    "Average Aug return": "+3.75%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.89%",
    "Average Oct return": "-0.85%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.91%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.12%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.28%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in TJX in September 2016 would be worth about $33,383 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TJX today could grow to about $25,808 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $74,973 and a bear case around $8,884. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "TJX Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $184 for TJX by 2030 in the base case, from $126 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $93.81. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TJX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TJX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TJX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$98.90",
        "$139",
        "$194"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$94.56",
        "$152",
        "$245"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$93.40",
        "$168",
        "$300"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$93.81",
        "$184",
        "$362"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$95.25",
        "$202",
        "$430"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$97.45",
        "$223",
        "$509"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$100",
        "$245",
        "$597"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$104",
        "$269",
        "$698"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$108",
        "$296",
        "$814"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$112",
        "$325",
        "$945"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hilton-worldwide-hlt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. NASDAQ $174.84 +0.2925%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/booking-holdings-bkng/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GM General Motors Co. NYSE $85.37 -0.8709%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/general-motors-gm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TM Toyota Motor Corporation Sponsored NYSE $198.57 +3.16%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tm-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BIGG Big Tree Group Inc. OTC $0.0001 +0.00%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bigg-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PZZA Papa John's International, Inc. NASDAQ $21.46 -0.7859%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/papa-johns-pzza/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CROX Crocs, Inc. NASDAQ $112.50 +3.37%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/crox-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "LULU lululemon athletica inc. NASDAQ $96.88 -2.85%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/lululemon-athletica-lulu/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "VRTX vs REGN Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vrtx-vs-regn/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/eog-vs-dvn/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/qqq-vs-schg/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "TJX Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$4.2K",
    "Sold": "$43.9M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.7M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in TJX",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 13, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MEYROWITZ CAROL M Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "216.6K",
        "$11.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 2, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "MEYROWITZ CAROL M Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "132.3K",
        "$11.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 5, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HERRMAN ERNIE L Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "67.6K",
        "$10.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 9, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MEYROWITZ CAROL M Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "55.6K",
        "$9.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 21, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "HERRMAN ERNIE L Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "54.4K",
        "$8.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 28, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "CANESTRARI KENNETH D Officer",
        "Sell",
        "116.6K",
        "$7.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 26, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "HERRMAN ERNIE L Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "127.3K",
        "$7.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 29, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MEYROWITZ CAROL M Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "64.8K",
        "$5.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 20, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MEYROWITZ CAROL M Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "72.5K",
        "$5.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CANESTRARI KENNETH D Officer",
        "Sell",
        "31.4K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=The+TJX+Companies%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is currently rated as a Hold. While the stock is oversold with a very low RSI at 8.8 and analysts have a median price target of $175.00 suggesting significant upside, the price is trading below key moving averages and insiders have been net sellers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is TJX's stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has a base case price projection of $184.28 for 2030, with a downside price of $93.88 and an upside price of $361.75. These are statistical outcomes, not definitive price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for TJX stock?",
   "answer": "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.44%, with a dividend rate of $1.81."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does TJX's valuation compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has a P/E ratio of approximately 24.04, which is slightly below the sector average P/E of 25.5. However, its revenue growth of 5.4% is below the sector average of 10.0%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current analyst consensus for TJX stock?",
   "answer": "The current Wall Street consensus for TJX is 'Buy', with 22 analysts covering the stock. This includes 5 Strong Buys, 13 Buys, and 4 Holds, resulting in a Wall Street score of 76 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing The TJX Companies, Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for TJX include moderate insider selling totaling over $43.9 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below key moving averages, and revenue growth that lags the sector average."
  },
  {
   "question": "Has TJX beaten earnings estimates recently?",
   "answer": "Yes, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters. The latest quarter showed a 14.29% EPS surprise, though the stock saw a minor pullback."
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  "sectorHub": {
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  "Top Movers (24h)": [
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      "text": "Key risks for TJX include moderate insider selling totaling over $43.9 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below key moving averages, and revenue growth that lags the sector average."
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    },
    {
     "@type": "Question",
     "name": "Has TJX beaten earnings estimates recently?",
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      "text": "Yes, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters. The latest quarter showed a 14.29% EPS surprise, though the stock saw a minor pullback."
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}