{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/target-tgt/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/target-tgt/data.json",
 "title": "Target (TGT) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Target Corp. (TGT) stock: Consumer Defensive, Discount Stores. $71.6B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Target Corp. (TGT)",
 "published": "2026-06-08T09:12:13+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T12:24:10.319+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:40:59.758Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "TGT",
  "name": "Target Corp.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Defensive",
  "industry": "Discount Stores",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://corporate.target.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 157.52,
  "previousClose": 162.71,
  "change": -5.19,
  "changePercent": -3.19,
  "open": 162.020004,
  "high": 162.38,
  "low": 157.41,
  "volume": 3393400,
  "averageVolume": 3465430,
  "marketCap": 71560821854,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 170.75,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 83.44,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T12:24:02.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 16.916492,
  "eps": 9.64,
  "dividendYield": 0.029454707268174018,
  "beta": 0.986,
  "priceToSales": 0.6878459,
  "priceToBook": 4.151921,
  "revenueTtm": 107704999936,
  "grossMargin": 0.3367120087418516,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.26408002
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 48.03,
  "macd": 4,
  "sma50": 147.95,
  "sma200": 123.23,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 54,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 157.52,
  "analystTarget": 160,
  "analystCount": 38,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T12:24:02.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 157.52,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.92,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 155.94,
  "aggressiveEntry": 157.52,
  "stopLoss": 148.55,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.74,
  "targets": [
   160.62,
   163.74,
   168.42
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 110.03,
    "base": 169.96,
    "upside90th": 262.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 99.15,
    "base": 183.38,
    "upside90th": 339.18
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 93.17,
    "base": 197.87,
    "upside90th": 420.2
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 89.47,
    "base": 213.49,
    "upside90th": 509.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 87.12,
    "base": 230.36,
    "upside90th": 609.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 85.67,
    "base": 248.55,
    "upside90th": 721.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 84.88,
    "base": 268.18,
    "upside90th": 847.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 84.59,
    "base": 289.36,
    "upside90th": 989.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 84.71,
    "base": 312.21,
    "upside90th": 1150.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 85.17,
    "base": 336.87,
    "upside90th": 1332.39
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "TGT Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$162.02",
    "Day Range": "$157.41 to $162.38",
    "Prev Close": "$162.71",
    "Volume": "3.39M",
    "52-Week Range": "$83.44 to $170.75",
    "Market Cap": "$71.56B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-34%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "TGT Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TGT beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "TGT Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Target Corp. (TGT) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($147.95 and $123.23), indicating a generally positive long-term trend, but is currently below its 20-day EMA, suggesting near-term weakness. The RSI is neutral at 48.03, showing no strong overbought or oversold conditions, and the MACD at 3.9999330738149013 also suggests neutral momentum. Volume on the latest trading day was slightly below average, indicating a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA of $147.95, while resistance is around the 20-day EMA of $159.48 and the current price. The stock's current position suggests a period of consolidation as it digests recent earnings and awaits clearer directional signals.",
    "Insiders have sold $35.6 million worth of Target Corp. (TGT) stock with no reported purchases, indicating a net seller stance and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "Target Corp. (TGT) reported an EPS of $4.11, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $2.34 by 75.64% in its August 19, 2026 earnings report.",
    "Target Corp. (TGT) is currently trading at $157.52, very close to the median analyst price target of $160, suggesting limited immediate upside potential.",
    "Target Corp.'s revenue growth of 5.3% is below the Consumer Defensive sector average of 10.0%, indicating a slower expansion rate compared to industry peers.",
    "Target Corp. (TGT) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with its median analyst price target at $160 suggesting limited upside from the current $157.52 price. The company's strong earnings beats provide a foundation, but the moderate insider selling and below-average revenue growth compared to the sector present headwinds. Future performance will likely depend on Target's ability to accelerate revenue growth and manage operational costs effectively. A significant catalyst could be a shift in consumer spending patterns favoring discount retailers, or successful strategic initiatives to boost sales. Conversely, increased competition or a broader economic downturn could pressure margins and stock performance, especially given the current neutral technical momentum."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider transactions closely; the current 'Moderate Sell Signal' warrants attention despite recent earnings beats.",
     "Given the neutral RSI and price trading below the 20-day EMA, consider waiting for a clearer technical signal or a more significant pullback before initiating new positions.",
     "Target Corp. offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.91%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but the moderate insider selling suggests caution regarding future dividend sustainability or growth."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $35.6 million worth of Target Corp. (TGT) stock with no reported purchases, indicating a net seller stance and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong EPS Beat in Latest Earnings",
     "text": "Target Corp. (TGT) reported an EPS of $4.11, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $2.34 by 75.64% in its August 19, 2026 earnings report.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Trading Near Median Analyst Price Target",
     "text": "Target Corp. (TGT) is currently trading at $157.52, very close to the median analyst price target of $160, suggesting limited immediate upside potential.",
     "source": "Analyst Consensus Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Below Sector Average Revenue Growth",
     "text": "Target Corp.'s revenue growth of 5.3% is below the Consumer Defensive sector average of 10.0%, indicating a slower expansion rate compared to industry peers.",
     "source": "Sector Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Target Corp. (TGT) exhibits a P/E ratio of 16.92, which is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation relative to peers. Its revenue growth of 5.3% is also below the sector average of 10.0%, indicating slower expansion compared to the broader consumer defensive market. The company's EPS stands at $9.64, and its market capitalization is $71.56 billion. While the P/E ratio suggests value, the moderate revenue growth and the recent insider selling activity warrant attention. The dividend yield is approximately 2.91%, offering a modest income stream to investors.",
    "Target Corp. (TGT) demonstrated a strong earnings performance in its most recent reported quarter (August 19, 2026), with an actual EPS of $4.11 significantly beating the estimate of $2.34 by 75.64%. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, including a 17.12% beat in May 2026 and a 32.02% beat in April 2026. Despite these beats, the stock experienced minor price declines following the April and August earnings releases, suggesting that the market may be pricing in high expectations or that other factors are influencing price action.",
    "The primary risk for Target Corp. (TGT) stems from moderate insider selling, with $35.6 million in sales and no reported purchases, signaling a potential lack of internal confidence. Additionally, the stock's current price is trading below its 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term downward pressure. While the valuation appears reasonable compared to sector averages, slower revenue growth compared to peers could limit upside potential."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "71.56B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "16.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "9.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.91%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "170.75"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "83.44"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($147.95) above the 200-day SMA ($123.23), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "48.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "4.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "147.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "123.23"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.33",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.25",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.21",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.06"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "TGT Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (48.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$160.62",
    "TARGET 2": "$163.74",
    "TARGET 3": "$168.42",
    "STOP LOSS": "$148.55"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.07%",
    "Average Feb return": "-2.49%",
    "Average Mar return": "-0.29%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.83%",
    "Average May return": "-2.16%",
    "Average Jun return": "+0.85%",
    "Average Jul return": "+5.34%",
    "Average Aug return": "+4.50%",
    "Average Sep return": "-2.31%",
    "Average Oct return": "+2.01%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.72%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.15%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.92%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in TGT in September 2016 would be worth about $22,730 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TGT today could grow to about $21,386 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $84,586 and a bear case around $5,407. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "TGT Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $213 for TGT by 2030 in the base case, from $158 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $89.47. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TGT's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TGT's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TGT simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$110",
        "$170",
        "$263"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$99.15",
        "$183",
        "$339"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$93.17",
        "$198",
        "$420"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$89.47",
        "$213",
        "$509"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$87.12",
        "$230",
        "$609"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$85.67",
        "$249",
        "$721"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$84.88",
        "$268",
        "$847"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$84.59",
        "$289",
        "$990"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$84.71",
        "$312",
        "$1,151"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$85.17",
        "$337",
        "$1,332"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    },
    {
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    {
     "text": "WMT Walmart Inc. NASDAQ $105.73 -0.0945%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/walmart-wmt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MDLZ Mondelēz International, Inc. NASDAQ $62.27 -0.3202%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mdlz-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "HSY The Hershey Company NYSE $174.34 +1.25%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/hershey-hsy/"
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    {
     "text": "SAM Boston Beer Company, Inc. NYSE $169.52 +4.43%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sam-stock-analysis/"
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    {
     "text": "DG Dollar General Corp. NYSE $122.99 -1.27%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dollar-general-dg/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare TGT",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/wmt-vs-tgt/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "TGT Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$30.5M",
    "Insiders": "28",
    "Avg Transaction": "$3.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in TGT",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MULLIGAN JOHN J Officer",
        "Sell",
        "80.8K",
        "$20.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "93.4K",
        "$16.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$15.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 11, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "110.0K",
        "$13.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 20, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "WARD LAYSHA L Officer",
        "Sell",
        "61.1K",
        "$9.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 25, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "50.0K",
        "$8.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 11, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "45.0K",
        "$7.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 2, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$7.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 27, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "45.0K",
        "$7.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 4, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CORNELL BRIAN C Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "45.0K",
        "$6.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Target+Corp.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Target Corp. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Target Corp. (TGT) is currently rated as 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 54 out of 100. The stock is trading at $157.52, very close to its median analyst price target of $160, offering minimal upside potential from current levels."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Target Corp.'s dividend yield?",
   "answer": "Target Corp. (TGT) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.91%, with a dividend rate of $4.58. This provides a modest income stream for investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for Target Corp. stock?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Target Corp. (TGT) include moderate insider selling totaling $35.6 million, a neutral RSI suggesting a lack of strong momentum, and revenue growth that lags the sector average. The stock is also trading below its 20-day EMA, indicating potential near-term weakness."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Target Corp. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Target Corp. (TGT) trades at a P/E ratio of 16.92, which is below the sector average of 25.5. However, its revenue growth of 5.3% is below the sector average of 10.0%, suggesting it is a more value-oriented act with slower growth compared to its peers."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is TGT stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Target Corp. (TGT) has a projected base price of $213.49 for 2030, with a downside projection of $89.47 and an upside projection of $509.41. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "How did Target Corp. perform in its latest earnings report?",
   "answer": "Target Corp. (TGT) reported an EPS of $4.11 for its most recent quarter ending August 19, 2026, significantly beating the analyst estimate of $2.34 by 75.64%. This strong earnings beat did not translate into immediate price appreciation, as the stock saw a minor decline of -0.47% on the earnings release date."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus for Target Corp. stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for Target Corp. (TGT) is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 54 out of 100. Out of 38 analysts, 2 rate it as Strong Buy, 10 as Buy, 22 as Hold, and 4 as Strong Sell."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
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