{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/t-rowe-price-trow/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/t-rowe-price-trow/data.json",
 "title": "T. Rowe Price (TROW) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) stock: Financial Services, Asset Management. $22.5B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW)",
 "published": "2026-07-12T11:57:13+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T11:21:30.231+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:07:45.190Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "TROW",
  "name": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Financial Services",
  "industry": "Asset Management",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.troweprice.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 105.51,
  "previousClose": 104.27,
  "change": 1.24,
  "changePercent": 1.19,
  "open": 104.86,
  "high": 105.79,
  "low": 104.12,
  "volume": 1021300,
  "averageVolume": 1697350,
  "marketCap": 22506955333,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 122,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 85.22,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T11:21:30.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 10.593373,
  "eps": 9.96,
  "dividendYield": 0.04931714605080436,
  "beta": 1.48,
  "priceToSales": 2.9645622,
  "priceToBook": 2.0456,
  "revenueTtm": 7592000000,
  "grossMargin": 0.4691202684282269,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.19399999
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 32.22,
  "macd": -2.01,
  "sma50": 111.29,
  "sma200": 103.88,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 41,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 105.51,
  "analystTarget": 111.5,
  "analystCount": 13,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T11:21:30.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 105.51,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.93,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 104.45,
  "aggressiveEntry": 105.51,
  "stopLoss": 101.32,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   107.59,
   109.68,
   112.81
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 76.09,
    "base": 111.78,
    "upside90th": 164.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 68.74,
    "base": 118.43,
    "upside90th": 204.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 64.45,
    "base": 125.48,
    "upside90th": 244.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 61.6,
    "base": 132.94,
    "upside90th": 286.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 59.59,
    "base": 140.84,
    "upside90th": 332.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 58.16,
    "base": 149.22,
    "upside90th": 382.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 57.14,
    "base": 158.1,
    "upside90th": 437.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 56.43,
    "base": 167.5,
    "upside90th": 497.16
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 55.97,
    "base": 177.46,
    "upside90th": 562.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 55.71,
    "base": 188.01,
    "upside90th": 634.52
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "TROW Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$104.86",
    "Day Range": "$104.12 to $105.79",
    "Prev Close": "$104.27",
    "Volume": "1.02M",
    "52-Week Range": "$85.22 to $122.00",
    "Market Cap": "$22.51B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-36%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "TROW Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, TROW beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "TROW Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Momentum has turned for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW): the RSI has moved to 32.22, indicating bearish momentum. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($111.29) and 20-day EMA ($106.55), but remains above its 200-day SMA ($103.88), suggesting a mixed short-to-medium term trend. Volume has been notably subdued, running 39.8% below its average, which could indicate a lack of conviction from traders on either side of the market. Key support is identified around the 200-day SMA at $103.88, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA near $111.29. The current price action, coupled with bearish RSI and below-average volume, suggests that the stock may struggle to break above immediate resistance without a significant catalyst. The CCI at -5.87 further supports a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook.",
    "Insiders have sold $2.8 million worth of TROW stock with no reported purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
    "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. is currently trading at $105.51, which is below its 50-day simple moving average of $111.29, suggesting potential short-term downward pressure.",
    "Monte Carlo simulations project a base case price of $132.94 for TROW by 2030, indicating potential long-term value appreciation.",
    "The company reported an EPS of $2.57 for the quarter to June 2026, slightly exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.52 by 1.98%.",
    "The base case outlook for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) suggests a period of consolidation or modest upside, with Wall Street's median price target at $111.50, implying a 5.7% increase from the current price. The company's strong profitability and below-sector-average valuation provide a supportive foundation, while its long-range projection indicates a potential base price of $132.94 by 2030. However, the outlook is tempered by moderate insider selling and bearish technical momentum. A significant catalyst, such as stronger-than-expected AUM growth or a shift in market sentiment favoring value-oriented asset managers, would be needed to drive the stock substantially higher. Conversely, continued insider selling, increased competitive pressure, or a broader market downturn could push the stock towards its 200-day moving average support around $103.88 or lower."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Insider selling totaling $2.8 million across 115 transactions, with no reported purchases, suggests a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and warrants caution.",
     "The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($111.29) with bearish RSI momentum (32.22), indicating potential near-term weakness.",
     "Consider position sizing carefully given the moderate insider selling and current technical setup."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $2.8 million worth of TROW stock with no reported purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below 50-Day Moving Average",
     "text": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. is currently trading at $105.51, which is below its 50-day simple moving average of $111.29, suggesting potential short-term downward pressure.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Long-Range Projection",
     "text": "Monte Carlo simulations project a base case price of $132.94 for TROW by 2030, indicating potential long-term value appreciation.",
     "source": "Long-Range Projection Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Slight EPS Beat in Recent Quarter",
     "text": "The company reported an EPS of $2.57 for the quarter to June 2026, slightly exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.52 by 1.98%.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 10.59, which is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 2.96, also below the sector average of 3.8. The company boasts strong internal metrics, with a return on equity of 19.40% and a profit margin of 29.26%, both significantly exceeding sector averages. Despite these strong profitability figures, the company's forward growth estimates are modest, with projected revenue growth of 3.00% next year and a negative long-term CAGR estimate of -0.60%. Wall Street analysts have a consensus 'Hold' rating, with a median price target of $111.50, implying limited upside from the current price of $105.51. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is very low at 0.04, indicating a strong balance sheet.",
    "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) most recently reported earnings for the quarter to June 2026, exceeding analyst expectations with an EPS of $2.57 versus an estimate of $2.52, a 1.98% surprise, which coincided with a 1.57% stock price increase. Prior quarters have also shown a pattern of slight EPS beats, though the quarter to December 2025 missed estimates by 0.81%. Revenue growth for the current quarter is projected at +4.00% year-over-year, with expectations for continued, albeit slower, growth in the coming quarters.",
    "The primary risk for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) stems from moderate insider selling, with $2.8 million in sales against no purchases, signaling a degree of caution from management. Additionally, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average and exhibits bearish momentum as indicated by its RSI of 32.22, suggesting potential near-term headwinds. Competition within the asset management sector is intense, and modest long-term growth projections could limit upside potential."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "22.51B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "10.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "9.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "4.90%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "122.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "85.22"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($111.29) above the 200-day SMA ($103.88), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "32.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-2.01"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "111.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "103.88"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.67",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.57",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.32",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "TROW Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (32.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$107.59",
    "TARGET 2": "$109.68",
    "TARGET 3": "$112.81",
    "STOP LOSS": "$101.32"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.23%",
    "Average Feb return": "-2.53%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.79%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.49%",
    "Average May return": "+3.03%",
    "Average Jun return": "+2.10%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.64%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.10%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.31%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.27%",
    "Average Nov return": "+7.64%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.84%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.93%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in TROW in September 2016 would be worth about $16,094 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TROW today could grow to about $17,819 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $60,139 and a bear case around $5,280. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "TROW Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $133 for TROW by 2030 in the base case, from $106 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $61.60. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TROW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TROW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "TROW simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$76.09",
        "$112",
        "$164"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$68.74",
        "$118",
        "$204"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$64.45",
        "$125",
        "$244"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$61.60",
        "$133",
        "$287"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$59.59",
        "$141",
        "$333"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$58.16",
        "$149",
        "$383"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$57.14",
        "$158",
        "$437"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$56.43",
        "$167",
        "$497"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$55.97",
        "$177",
        "$563"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$55.71",
        "$188",
        "$635"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "TROW Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$2.8M",
    "Insiders": "22",
    "Avg Transaction": "$404.5K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in TROW",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 31, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "ALDERSON CHRISTOPHER DAVID Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$13.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "THOMSON ANDREW JUSTIN MACKENZIE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "23.4K",
        "$4.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 21, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "HIGGINBOTHAM ROBERT C. T. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$3.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 12, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "THOMSON ANDREW JUSTIN MACKENZIE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "23.4K",
        "$3.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 2, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "STROMBERG WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$3.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 28, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "STROMBERG WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "15.0K",
        "$3.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 2, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PAGE SEBASTIEN Vice President",
        "Sell",
        "7.7K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 5, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "STROMBERG WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "8.0K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 10, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MCCORMICK ANDREW C Officer",
        "Sell",
        "14.2K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 11, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "STROMBERG WILLIAM J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "9.0K",
        "$1.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=T.+Rowe+Price+Group+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is T. Rowe Price Group Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, T. Rowe Price Group Inc.'s (TROW) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $132.94, a downside projection of $61.60, and an upside projection of $286.91. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is T. Rowe Price Group Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a score of 41. While the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and exhibits bearish momentum, its valuation is below sector averages and it has strong profitability metrics."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing T. Rowe Price Group Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) include moderate insider selling totaling $2.8 million, a bearish RSI momentum, and trading below its 50-day moving average. Intense sector competition and modest long-term growth estimates also present challenges."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does T. Rowe Price Group Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) trades at a lower P/E of 10.59 and P/S of 2.96 compared to sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively. Its return on equity (19.40%) and profit margin (29.26%) significantly outperform sector averages (ROE 13.8%, Profit Margin not provided)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the recent earnings performance of T. Rowe Price Group Inc.?",
   "answer": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of $2.57 exceeding estimates by 1.98%. While most recent quarters have shown slight beats, the company's forward revenue growth is projected to be around 3.00% next year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the analyst consensus for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) is predominantly 'Hold', with 9 out of 13 analysts rating it as such. The overall consensus score is 41, and the median price target is $111.50."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "Technically, T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) shows bearish momentum with an RSI at 32.2 and is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, though it remains above its 200-day moving average. Subdued volume below average suggests a lack of strong conviction."
  }
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      "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, T. Rowe Price Group Inc.'s (TROW) stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $132.94, a downside projection of $61.60, and an upside projection of $286.91. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets."
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      "text": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a score of 41. While the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and exhibits bearish momentum, its valuation is below sector averages and it has strong profitability metrics."
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      "text": "Key risks for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) include moderate insider selling totaling $2.8 million, a bearish RSI momentum, and trading below its 50-day moving average. Intense sector competition and modest long-term growth estimates also present challenges."
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      "text": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) trades at a lower P/E of 10.59 and P/S of 2.96 compared to sector medians of 16.5 and 3.8, respectively. Its return on equity (19.40%) and profit margin (29.26%) significantly outperform sector averages (ROE 13.8%, Profit Margin not provided)."
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      "text": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of $2.57 exceeding estimates by 1.98%. While most recent quarters have shown slight beats, the company's forward revenue growth is projected to be around 3.00% next year."
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      "text": "The Wall Street consensus for T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) is predominantly 'Hold', with 9 out of 13 analysts rating it as such. The overall consensus score is 41, and the median price target is $111.50."
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      "text": "Technically, T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) shows bearish momentum with an RSI of 32.22 and is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, though it remains above its 200-day moving average. Subdued volume below average suggests a lack of strong conviction."
     }
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}