{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/super-micro-smci/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/super-micro-smci/data.json",
 "title": "Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) stock: Technology, Computer Hardware. $28.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)",
 "published": "2026-05-30T09:11:13+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T09:51:29.037+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:37:27.902Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SMCI",
  "name": "Super Micro Computer Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Computer Hardware",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.supermicro.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 43.26,
  "previousClose": 41.51,
  "change": 1.75,
  "changePercent": 4.22,
  "open": 42,
  "high": 43.76,
  "low": 41.9,
  "volume": 49236100,
  "averageVolume": 41206670,
  "marketCap": 28420322511,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 58.78,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 19.48,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T09:51:29.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 13.269938,
  "eps": 3.26,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.996,
  "priceToSales": 0.7163729,
  "priceToBook": 2.771478,
  "revenueTtm": 39063072768,
  "grossMargin": 0.17470053581110484,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.21465999
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 58.71,
  "macd": 1.75,
  "sma50": 35.03,
  "sma200": 31.79,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 54,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 43.26,
  "analystTarget": 42.5,
  "analystCount": 19,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T09:51:29.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 43.26,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.25,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 42.83,
  "aggressiveEntry": 43.26,
  "stopLoss": 39.83,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   44.11,
   44.97,
   46.25
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 26.56,
    "base": 50.41,
    "upside90th": 95.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 23.74,
    "base": 58.75,
    "upside90th": 145.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 22.56,
    "base": 68.46,
    "upside90th": 207.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 22.15,
    "base": 79.78,
    "upside90th": 287.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 22.18,
    "base": 92.97,
    "upside90th": 389.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 22.55,
    "base": 108.34,
    "upside90th": 520.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 23.17,
    "base": 126.25,
    "upside90th": 687.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 24.02,
    "base": 147.13,
    "upside90th": 901.21
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 25.08,
    "base": 171.45,
    "upside90th": 1172.26
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 26.34,
    "base": 199.8,
    "upside90th": 1515.78
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SMCI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$42.00",
    "Day Range": "$41.90 to $43.76",
    "Prev Close": "$41.51",
    "Volume": "49.24M",
    "52-Week Range": "$19.48 to $58.78",
    "Market Cap": "$28.42B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-61%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "SMCI Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, SMCI beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SMCI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is trading above its 50-day SMA of $35.03 and its 200-day SMA of $31.79, indicating an overall bullish trend. The RSI is at 58.71, which is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. MACD is positive at 1.75, further supporting the current upward momentum. Volume has been notably higher than average, with the latest volume at 49.2 million compared to an average of 41.2 million, reflecting strong investor interest. Key support levels are established around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be tested near recent highs. The current technical setup suggests continued strength, but the lack of a clear overbought or oversold signal indicates a balanced market sentiment.",
    "SMCI reported an EPS of $1.70, significantly exceeding estimates by 77.08%, leading to a 19.02% stock price increase, indicating strong operational performance.",
    "Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 72.00% to $67.1 billion, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure, significantly outpacing sector averages.",
    "Insiders have sold over $96 million worth of stock, with no significant purchases recorded, signaling potential concerns about future stock performance.",
    "The median analyst price target for SMCI is $42.50, which is slightly below the current trading price of $43.26, suggesting limited upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.",
    "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is expected to maintain its strong growth trajectory, driven by continued demand for its AI-focused server solutions. The current year revenue is projected to reach $67.1 billion, with analysts forecasting an average annual growth rate of 47.5% over the next five years. The stock's technical setup, with prices above key moving averages, supports a positive near-term outlook. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and a median analyst price target that suggests limited immediate upside. A key catalyst for upside would be sustained or accelerated revenue growth exceeding current estimates, coupled with a shift in insider sentiment. Conversely, any slowdown in AI hardware demand, increased competition, or continued heavy insider selling could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing support levels around the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Significant insider selling totaling over $96 million warrants close monitoring of future corporate actions and management commentary.",
     "The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($35.03 and $31.79), indicating positive technical momentum, but the RSI is neutral, suggesting a balanced market sentiment.",
     "Given the 'Hold' consensus and median price target slightly below the current price, consider a strategy that accounts for limited near-term upside potential."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Earnings Beat for Q2 2026",
     "text": "SMCI reported an EPS of $1.70, significantly exceeding estimates by 77.08%, leading to a 19.02% stock price increase, indicating strong operational performance.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Exceptional Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 72.00% to $67.1 billion, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure, significantly outpacing sector averages.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $96 million worth of stock, with no significant purchases recorded, signaling potential concerns about future stock performance.",
     "source": "Insider Transaction Filings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Below Current Price",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for SMCI is $42.50, which is slightly below the current trading price of $43.26, suggesting limited upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) exhibits a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.72, which is significantly below the sector median of 7.5, suggesting it is attractively valued on a sales basis. Its return on equity stands at a strong 21.47%, and its profit margin is 5.71%, both exceeding sector averages. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 is in line with the sector average. Despite these favorable fundamental metrics, the current price of $43.26 is slightly above the median Wall Street price target of $42.50, implying minimal upside potential according to analysts. The company's strong revenue growth, projected at 72.00% for the current year, is a key driver, but the valuation needs to be considered in light of the analyst consensus leaning towards 'Hold'.",
    "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has demonstrated a strong earnings performance in its most recent reported quarters. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS actual of $1.70, significantly beating the estimate of $0.96 by 77.08% and leading to a 19.02% price increase. This follows a pattern of positive surprises, with the quarter ending March 2026 also showing a substantial beat of 35.48%. The company's revenue growth for the current quarter is estimated at an impressive +198.00% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its products.",
    "A primary risk for Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is the significant insider selling, with over $96 million in dispositions reported, signaling potential concerns from management regarding future stock performance. Also, the median Wall Street price target of $42.50 is slightly below the current trading price of $43.26, suggesting limited upside and a potential for price reversion. The company's high revenue growth, while a positive, also presents a risk if future growth rates cannot be sustained or meet elevated expectations."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "28.42B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "13.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.26"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "58.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "19.48"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($35.03) above the 200-day SMA ($31.79), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "58.71"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "1.75"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "35.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "31.79"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.45",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.22",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.18"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SMCI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (58.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$44.11",
    "TARGET 2": "$44.97",
    "TARGET 3": "$46.25",
    "STOP LOSS": "$39.83"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+6.71%",
    "Average Feb return": "+12.80%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.92%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.34%",
    "Average May return": "+25.56%",
    "Average Jun return": "-2.22%",
    "Average Jul return": "+9.51%",
    "Average Aug return": "-4.35%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.59%",
    "Average Oct return": "-8.86%",
    "Average Nov return": "+10.21%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.42%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "4.25%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SMCI in September 2016 would be worth about $184,007 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SMCI today could grow to about $46,185 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $350,388 and a bear case around $6,088. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SMCI Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $79.78 for SMCI by 2030 in the base case, from $43.26 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $22.15. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SMCI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SMCI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. SMCI is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SMCI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$26.56",
        "$50.41",
        "$95.68"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$23.74",
        "$58.75",
        "$145"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$22.56",
        "$68.46",
        "$208"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$22.15",
        "$79.78",
        "$287"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$22.18",
        "$92.97",
        "$390"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$22.55",
        "$108",
        "$521"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$23.17",
        "$126",
        "$688"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$24.02",
        "$147",
        "$901"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$25.08",
        "$171",
        "$1,172"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$26.34",
        "$200",
        "$1,516"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/applied-digital-apld/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/adp-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare SMCI",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "CLS vs SMCI Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cls-vs-smci/"
    },
    {
     "text": "UBER vs LYFT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/uber-vs-lyft/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Workday (WDAY) vs Atlassian (TEAM) Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/workday-vs-atlassian/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "SMCI Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$96.0M",
    "Insiders": "17",
    "Avg Transaction": "$6.4M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in SMCI",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 14, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CLEGG DON W Officer",
        "Sell",
        "28.7K",
        "$25.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 18, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LIANG CHARLES Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "300.0K",
        "$13.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 18, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "300.0K",
        "$13.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 5, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "LIANG CHARLES Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "50.0K",
        "$12.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 5, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "50.0K",
        "$12.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 28, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LIANG CHARLES Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$12.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 28, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$12.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "LIANG CHARLES Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "43.9K",
        "$10.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "43.9K",
        "$10.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$9.0M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Super+Micro+Computer+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is SMCI's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has a base case price projection of $79.78 for 2030, with a downside scenario of $22.15 and an upside scenario of $287.39. These are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) a buy right now?",
   "answer": "The consensus rating for SMCI is 'Hold' with a score of 54 out of 100. While technically the stock is above key moving averages, the median analyst price target of $42.50 is slightly below the current price of $43.26, and significant insider selling presents a cautionary signal."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical levels for SMCI stock?",
   "answer": "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is currently trading above its 50-day SMA of $35.03 and its 200-day SMA of $31.79, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is in neutral territory at 58.71, suggesting room for further movement in either direction."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider activity for SMCI?",
   "answer": "Insiders at Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) have been net sellers, with over $96 million in total sales reported in recent filings, while no purchases have been recorded. This 'Heavy Sell Signal' indicates significant selling pressure from insiders."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does SMCI's valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.72, which is considerably lower than the sector median of 7.5. Its return on equity of 21.47% and profit margin of 5.71% are strong and exceed sector averages."
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}