{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/stub-stubhub-holdings/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/stub-stubhub-holdings/data.json",
 "title": "StubHub (STUB) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is StubHub Holdings (STUB) a Buy or Sell after its earnings drop? Get the AI trade setup, key support levels and risk analysis. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "StubHub Holdings Inc. (STUB)",
 "published": "2026-08-15T09:18:29+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T09:42:05.169+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:17:46.046Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "STUB",
  "name": "StubHub Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Communication Services",
  "industry": "Internet Content & Information",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.stubhub.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 5.95,
  "previousClose": 6.01,
  "change": -0.06,
  "changePercent": -1,
  "open": 5.96,
  "high": 6.035,
  "low": 5.83,
  "volume": 4870573,
  "averageVolume": 6199057,
  "marketCap": 2296360695,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 27.89,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 5.74,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T09:42:01.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -0.96,
  "eps": -5.91,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": 1.1858923,
  "priceToBook": 1.4068353,
  "revenueTtm": 1936398976,
  "grossMargin": 0.8174876279952815,
  "returnOnEquity": -1.02948
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 27.75,
  "macd": -0.68,
  "sma50": 8.7,
  "sma200": 9.82,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 6.01,
  "analystTarget": 11,
  "analystCount": 14,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T09:42:01.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 5.95,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.28,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 5.89,
  "aggressiveEntry": 5.95,
  "stopLoss": 5.44,
  "stopLossPercent": 7.7,
  "targets": [
   6.07,
   6.19,
   6.36
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 3.14,
    "base": 5.95,
    "upside90th": 11.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 2.41,
    "base": 5.95,
    "upside90th": 14.74
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.96,
    "base": 5.96,
    "upside90th": 18.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 1.65,
    "base": 5.96,
    "upside90th": 21.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 1.42,
    "base": 5.96,
    "upside90th": 24.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.24,
    "base": 5.96,
    "upside90th": 28.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.09,
    "base": 5.96,
    "upside90th": 32.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.97,
    "base": 5.97,
    "upside90th": 36.55
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.87,
    "base": 5.97,
    "upside90th": 40.81
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.79,
    "base": 5.97,
    "upside90th": 45.3
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "STUB Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$5.96",
    "Day Range": "$5.83 to $6.04",
    "Prev Close": "$6.01",
    "Volume": "4.87M",
    "52-Week Range": "$5.74 to $27.89",
    "Market Cap": "$2.30B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, STUB trades at 1.19x, -72% versus the sector average of 4.20x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "STUB Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, STUB beat estimates 0 times. The company has struggled to beat estimates recently."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "STUB Analysis",
   "text": [
    "StubHub Holdings Inc. is trading below its key moving averages, with its current price of $6.01 sitting below the 50-day SMA of $8.70 and the 200-day SMA of $9.82. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.75, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a short-term bounce. MACD is also negative at -0.68, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are difficult to ascertain given the limited trading history and recent price action, but the current price represents a critical juncture. Volume has been slightly below average recently, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers at these levels. The oversold RSI presents a potential for a technical rebound, but the persistent downward trend and negative momentum indicators suggest caution is warranted until a clear upward trend emerges.",
    "Insiders have sold over $11.2 million worth of StubHub Holdings Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling further downward pressure on the stock price.",
    "The latest earnings report showed an EPS miss of 71.43% and resulted in a 10.07% stock price drop, highlighting ongoing challenges in meeting analyst expectations and impacting investor sentiment.",
    "Analysts forecast 16.00% revenue growth for the current year, reaching approximately $2 billion, which could provide a foundation for future profitability if operational efficiencies improve.",
    "The median Wall Street price target of $11.00 suggests an 83.02% upside from the current stock price, indicating analyst optimism about a potential recovery.",
    "StubHub Holdings Inc. faces a challenging outlook characterized by a bearish technical setup and persistent profitability concerns, yet it is buoyed by analyst optimism regarding revenue growth and a significant upside to their price targets. The base case scenario suggests the stock could remain range-bound or experience a technical bounce from oversold levels, but sustained upward momentum will likely depend on a clear path to profitability and a reversal of insider selling trends. Upside catalysts could emerge from stronger-than-expected revenue growth or a successful turnaround in operational efficiency that leads to positive EPS. Conversely, continued earnings misses, further insider divestitures, or increased competition could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the lower bounds of analyst price targets and long-range projections. The company's ability to convert revenue growth into net profit will be the critical determinant of its future performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the ongoing insider selling and negative EPS, investors should exercise caution and consider a smaller position size until a clear turnaround is evident.",
     "The oversold RSI suggests a potential for a short-term technical bounce, but this should not be interpreted as a fundamental shift without confirmation from improved earnings or insider buying.",
     "Monitor future earnings reports closely for signs of improved profitability and a reduction in the negative EPS trend."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Persistent Insider Selling Exceeds $11.2 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $11.2 million worth of StubHub Holdings Inc. stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling further downward pressure on the stock price.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Miss and Stock Price Decline",
     "text": "The latest earnings report showed an EPS miss of 71.43% and resulted in a 10.07% stock price drop, highlighting ongoing challenges in meeting analyst expectations and impacting investor sentiment.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Analysts forecast 16.00% revenue growth for the current year, reaching approximately $2 billion, which could provide a foundation for future profitability if operational efficiencies improve.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Significant Upside to Analyst Price Targets",
     "text": "The median Wall Street price target of $11.00 suggests an 83.02% upside from the current stock price, indicating analyst optimism about a potential recovery.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "StubHub Holdings Inc. exhibits a negative P/E ratio due to its EPS of -5.91, making traditional valuation metrics uninformative. However, revenue growth is a positive point, with current year estimates at 16.00% year-over-year growth to approximately $2 billion. This growth is expected to moderate to 10.00% in the next year. The company's balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the persistent negative EPS and significant insider selling raise concerns about long-term profitability and cash flow generation. While analysts project revenue growth, the path to positive net income remains unclear, and the current valuation is not supported by earnings.",
    "StubHub Holdings Inc. missed earnings expectations in its most recent reported quarter ending August 12, 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.02 compared to an estimated $0.07, a surprise of -71.43%. This miss was accompanied by a 10.07% drop in stock price. The prior quarter also showed a significant miss, with actual EPS of -0.05 against an estimate of -0.01, a -400% surprise. This pattern of earnings misses suggests ongoing operational challenges in achieving profitability.",
    "The primary risk for StubHub Holdings Inc. is its persistent lack of profitability, evidenced by negative EPS and recent earnings misses. Also, significant insider selling, totaling over $11.2 million with no offsetting purchases, indicates a lack of confidence from management and could signal further downside pressure. The company's stock is also trading well below its key moving averages, suggesting a strong bearish technical trend that could continue."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "2.30B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-5.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "27.89"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "5.74"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $8.705, 200-day: $9.819), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 27.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "27.75"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.68"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "8.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "9.82"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.26",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.21",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.29",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.10"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "STUB Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (27.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$6.067",
    "TARGET 2": "$6.185",
    "TARGET 3": "$6.362",
    "STOP LOSS": "$5.437"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-1.19%",
    "Average Feb return": "-26.89%",
    "Average Mar return": "-36.71%",
    "Average Apr return": "+19.51%",
    "Average May return": "+29.23%",
    "Average Jun return": "+27.68%",
    "Average Jul return": "-34.37%",
    "Average Aug return": "-22.72%",
    "Average Sep return": "-23.45%",
    "Average Oct return": "+11.92%",
    "Average Nov return": "-34.54%",
    "Average Dec return": "+22.11%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "4.28%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in STUB in September 2025 would be worth about $2,732 today, compared with about $11,566 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STUB today could grow to about $10,034 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $76,127 and a bear case around $1,323. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "STUB Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.96 for STUB by 2030 in the base case, from $5.95 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.65. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STUB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using STUB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "STUB simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$3.14",
        "$5.95",
        "$11.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$2.41",
        "$5.95",
        "$14.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.96",
        "$5.96",
        "$18.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$1.65",
        "$5.96",
        "$21.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$1.42",
        "$5.96",
        "$24.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.24",
        "$5.96",
        "$28.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.09",
        "$5.96",
        "$32.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.974",
        "$5.97",
        "$36.55"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.8729",
        "$5.97",
        "$40.81"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.787",
        "$5.97",
        "$45.30"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "text": "TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. NASDAQ $218.42 +0.6729%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/take-two-interactive-ttwo/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NTES NetEase, Inc. NASDAQ $115.63 +0.000002375%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ntes-stock-analysis/"
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    {
     "text": "TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. NASDAQ $14.32 +2.47%",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/iridium-communications-irdm/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "STUB Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$11.2M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$561.6K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in STUB",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STREAMS MARK Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "232.6K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 26, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ISLAM NAYAAB President",
        "Sell",
        "305.7K",
        "$2.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 25, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STREAMS MARK Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "166.7K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 3, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STREAMS MARK Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "165.5K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 4, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ISLAM NAYAAB President",
        "Sell",
        "135.0K",
        "$899.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 18, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "JAMES CONSTANCE P. Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "116.6K",
        "$823.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ISLAM NAYAAB President",
        "Sell",
        "56.9K",
        "$741.5K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 19, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "FITZGERALD SCOTT MICHAEL Officer",
        "Sell",
        "85.0K",
        "$602.0K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "STREAMS MARK Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "31.5K",
        "$410.4K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 30, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ISLAM NAYAAB President",
        "Sell",
        "26.7K",
        "$347.8K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=StubHub+Holdings+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is StubHub Holdings Inc. stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "StubHub Holdings Inc. is currently rated 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59 out of 100. While the stock is trading at oversold levels technically and analysts see significant upside to a median price target of $11.00, persistent insider selling and negative earnings present considerable risks."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is StubHub Holdings Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, StubHub Holdings Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $6.02 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $1.67, while the upside projection reaches $21.68. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the revenue growth outlook for StubHub Holdings Inc.?",
   "answer": "StubHub Holdings Inc. is expected to achieve 16.00% revenue growth in the current year, reaching approximately $2 billion. Growth is projected to slow to 10.00% in the next year, with current quarter revenue estimates at $513.7 million."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has StubHub Holdings Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "StubHub Holdings Inc. has a recent history of missing earnings expectations. The latest report showed an EPS miss of 71.43%, and the prior quarter had a miss of 400%, both resulting in significant stock price declines."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing StubHub Holdings Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks include the company's ongoing unprofitability, evidenced by negative EPS and recent earnings misses. Significant insider selling also raises concerns about management confidence, and the stock is currently in a bearish technical trend, trading below its key moving averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the dividend yield for StubHub Holdings Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "StubHub Holdings Inc. does not currently pay a dividend, with a reported dividend yield and rate of 0%."
  },
  {
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      "text": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, StubHub Holdings Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $6.02 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $1.67, while the upside projection reaches $21.68. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
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      "text": "StubHub Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year exceeds the sector average of 10.00%. However, its profitability metrics are significantly weaker, with negative EPS compared to a sector average ROE of 15.0% and a sector average P/E ratio of -1.01 (negative due to EPS of $-5.91)."
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