{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/strategy-mstr/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/strategy-mstr/data.json",
 "title": "Strategy (MSTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Strategy Inc. (MSTR) stock: Technology, Software - Application. $63.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Strategy Inc. (MSTR)",
 "published": "2026-06-25T09:10:46+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T11:46:21.335+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:17:43.566Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "MSTR",
  "name": "Strategy Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Software - Application",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.strategy.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 158.61,
  "previousClose": 161.61,
  "change": -3,
  "changePercent": -1.86,
  "open": 162.84,
  "high": 162.86,
  "low": 156.78,
  "volume": 18462100,
  "averageVolume": 25973420,
  "marketCap": 63012844092,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 365.20999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 81.81,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T11:46:21.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -1.6,
  "eps": -99.16,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 3.597,
  "priceToSales": 126.44371,
  "priceToBook": 1.908297,
  "revenueTtm": 498347008,
  "grossMargin": 0.6664324006276151,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.63562
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 59.24,
  "macd": 12.29,
  "sma50": 117.66,
  "sma200": 136.54,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Neutral",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 77,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 158.61,
  "analystTarget": 200,
  "analystCount": 16,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T11:46:21.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 158.61,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 6.6,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 155.44,
  "aggressiveEntry": 158.61,
  "stopLoss": 140.05,
  "stopLossPercent": 9.9,
  "targets": [
   163.21,
   170.98,
   178.75
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 95.66,
    "base": 181.56,
    "upside90th": 344.61
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 83.98,
    "base": 207.84,
    "upside90th": 514.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 78.41,
    "base": 237.91,
    "upside90th": 721.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 75.6,
    "base": 272.34,
    "upside90th": 981.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 74.39,
    "base": 311.76,
    "upside90th": 1306.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 74.27,
    "base": 356.87,
    "upside90th": 1714.73
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 74.97,
    "base": 408.52,
    "upside90th": 2225.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 76.34,
    "base": 467.63,
    "upside90th": 2864.48
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 78.29,
    "base": 535.31,
    "upside90th": 3660.08
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 80.77,
    "base": 612.77,
    "upside90th": 4648.89
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "MSTR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$162.84",
    "Day Range": "$156.78 to $162.86",
    "Prev Close": "$161.61",
    "Volume": "18.46M",
    "52-Week Range": "$81.81 to $365.21",
    "Market Cap": "$63.01B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-84%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "MSTR Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Earnings data unavailable. The earnings data appears to be incomplete or contains invalid values."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "MSTR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($117.66 and $136.54), indicating a generally positive short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 59.24, suggesting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is positive at 12.29, further supporting the current upward trend. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, while the current price action suggests potential resistance near previous highs. Volume on the latest trading day was 18.46 million, below the average of 25.97 million, suggesting a slight decrease in trading conviction. The stock's technicals are mixed, with moving averages pointing upwards but RSI in neutral territory, indicating a need for further confirmation of sustained upward momentum.",
    "A sustained upward trend in Bitcoin's price would likely drive MSTR's stock higher, given its significant corporate holdings.",
    "Over $150 million in insider sales have been reported, indicating potential concerns among management regarding the stock's near-term prospects.",
    "Consistent negative EPS surprises, including a -896.42% miss in the latest quarter, highlight ongoing profitability challenges.",
    "Ongoing analyst ratings and price target adjustments will influence investor sentiment and stock movement.",
    "Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is expected to continue trading as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin, with its price heavily influenced by cryptocurrency market dynamics. The current consensus 'Buy' rating and a median analyst target price of $200 suggest potential upside, driven by the expectation of Bitcoin's appreciation and continued adoption of its corporate Bitcoin strategy. The company's forward revenue growth estimates are modest, with current year revenue projected at $501.2 million, a 5.00% increase year-over-year. Key upside catalysts would include a significant rise in Bitcoin's price and positive developments in MSTR's software division. Conversely, a sharp decline in Bitcoin's value, increased regulatory scrutiny on crypto assets, or continued substantial insider selling could pressure the stock. The company's negative EPS and high valuation multiples remain significant risks that could be exacerbated by any downturn in the cryptocurrency market."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor Bitcoin's price action closely, as MSTR's stock performance is highly correlated with its Bitcoin treasury value.",
     "The significant insider selling totaling over $150 million warrants close attention as a potential indicator of management's short-term outlook.",
     "Given the high valuation and volatility, consider employing risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders at least 1.5x the daily volatility away from your entry price."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Bitcoin Price Momentum",
     "text": "A sustained upward trend in Bitcoin's price would likely drive MSTR's stock higher, given its significant corporate holdings.",
     "source": "Market Trend"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Selling",
     "text": "Over $150 million in insider sales have been reported, indicating potential concerns among management regarding the stock's near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative EPS and Earnings Misses",
     "text": "Consistent negative EPS surprises, including a -896.42% miss in the latest quarter, highlight ongoing profitability challenges.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades",
     "text": "Ongoing analyst ratings and price target adjustments will influence investor sentiment and stock movement.",
     "source": "Analyst Ratings"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Strategy Inc. (MSTR) exhibits a highly leveraged valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio of 126.44, significantly exceeding the sector median of 7.5. This premium is largely attributable to its substantial Bitcoin holdings rather than its software operations. While the company reports a strong net profit margin of 68.69%, this is juxtaposed with a significantly negative operating margin of -6,808.11% and a negative EPS of -99.16, indicating significant operational losses. The company's balance sheet appears relatively healthy with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, below the sector median of 0.15. However, the negative earnings and high price-to-sales ratio suggest that the stock's valuation is primarily driven by speculation on Bitcoin's future performance rather than traditional software business fundamentals. The revenue growth of 6.9% is modest compared to the sector average of 24.1%.",
    "Strategy Inc. (MSTR) has reported consistently negative EPS surprises in recent quarters. The most recent quarter to June 2026 saw an EPS actual of -24.45 against an estimate of 3.07, a surprise of -896.42%, leading to a 4.56% price drop. Prior quarters also showed significant misses, including -38.25 in the quarter to March 2026 and -42.93 in the quarter to December 2025. While the company's revenue growth has been positive, the persistent negative EPS and substantial misses indicate significant challenges in profitability.",
    "The primary risk for Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is its heavy reliance on Bitcoin price movements, making it a leveraged act on cryptocurrency volatility. Significant insider selling, with total sales exceeding $150 million, raises concerns about management's short-term confidence despite a 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street. Also, the company's negative EPS and high valuation multiples, such as a price-to-sales ratio of 126.44, present a substantial risk if Bitcoin's price falters or if the market re-evaluates its premium valuation."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "63.01B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-99.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "365.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "81.81"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Neutral Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Neutral",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "59.24"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "12.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "117.66"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "136.54"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.48",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.50",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.77",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.21"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "MSTR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (59.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$163.21",
    "TARGET 2": "$170.98",
    "TARGET 3": "$178.75",
    "STOP LOSS": "$140.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+7.50%",
    "Average Feb return": "+9.50%",
    "Average Mar return": "+5.74%",
    "Average Apr return": "+1.60%",
    "Average May return": "-3.07%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.95%",
    "Average Jul return": "+8.47%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.59%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.31%",
    "Average Oct return": "+12.49%",
    "Average Nov return": "+13.54%",
    "Average Dec return": "-5.45%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "6.60%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in MSTR in September 2016 would be worth about $93,819 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MSTR today could grow to about $38,634 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $293,102 and a bear case around $5,092. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "MSTR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $272 for MSTR by 2030 in the base case, from $159 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $75.60. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MSTR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MSTR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MSTR is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "MSTR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$95.66",
        "$182",
        "$345"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$83.98",
        "$208",
        "$514"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$78.41",
        "$238",
        "$722"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$75.60",
        "$272",
        "$981"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$74.39",
        "$312",
        "$1,306"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$74.27",
        "$357",
        "$1,715"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$74.97",
        "$409",
        "$2,226"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$76.34",
        "$468",
        "$2,864"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$78.29",
        "$535",
        "$3,660"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$80.77",
        "$613",
        "$4,649"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "COHR Coherent Corp. NYSE $295.83 +1.80%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coherent-corp-cohr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MRVL Marvell Technology Inc. NASDAQ $261.94 +1.15%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/marvell-technology-mrvl/"
    },
    {
     "text": "INFQ Infleqtion Inc. NYSE $14.51 +1.47%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/infleqtion-infq/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CRWV CoreWeave Inc. NASDAQ $87.59 -2.82%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coreweave-crwv/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ENTG Entegris Inc. NASDAQ $151.89 +2.19%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/entegris-entg/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CRM Salesforce, Inc. NYSE $234.02 -1.76%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/salesforce-crm/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DELL Dell Technologies Inc. NYSE $562.89 +5.01%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dell-technologies-dell/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NTAP NetApp Inc. NASDAQ $201.15 +1.98%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/netapp-ntap/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare MSTR",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "MSTR vs COIN Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/mstr-vs-coin/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SLV vs SIVR Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/slv-vs-sivr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "VOO vs SPYM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/voo-vs-splg/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "MSTR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$779.4K",
    "Sold": "$150.3M",
    "Insiders": "11",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.1M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in MSTR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 2, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "RICKERTSEN CARL JOHN Director",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$31.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 10, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SHAO WEI-MING General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "52.5K",
        "$21.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 11, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "MONTGOMERY JEANINE J. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "43.8K",
        "$18.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 24, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LE PHONG Q President",
        "Sell",
        "65.0K",
        "$15.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MONTGOMERY JEANINE J. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "56.3K",
        "$14.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 11, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "RECHAN LESLIE JOSEPH Director",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$12.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 13, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GRAHAM STEPHEN X Director",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$11.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 5, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "LE PHONG QUOC Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "93.7K",
        "$11.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 27, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LE PHONG Q President",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$10.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 7, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SHAO WEI-MING General Counsel",
        "Sell",
        "30.0K",
        "$10.7M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Strategy+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is MSTR's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Strategy Inc.'s (MSTR) base case price projection for 2030 is $272.34, with a downside scenario of $75.60 and an upside scenario of $981.09. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is MSTR stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts have a consensus 'Buy' rating on MSTR, with a median price target of $200, implying a 26.1% upside from the current price of $158.61. However, significant insider selling and negative EPS warrant caution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Strategy Inc. (MSTR)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for MSTR include its high correlation to Bitcoin's price volatility, substantial insider selling totaling over $150 million, and a highly leveraged valuation with a price-to-sales ratio of 126.44."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is MSTR's recent earnings performance?",
   "answer": "MSTR has reported consistently negative EPS surprises, with the latest quarter to June 2026 missing estimates by -896.42%. This trend suggests ongoing profitability challenges despite positive revenue growth."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the technical outlook for MSTR stock?",
   "answer": "MSTR is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($117.66 and $136.54), indicating a positive trend. The RSI is neutral at 59.24, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD is positive."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does MSTR's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "MSTR's price-to-sales ratio of 126.44 is significantly higher than the sector median of 7.5, reflecting a substantial premium likely driven by its Bitcoin holdings rather than its software business."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the significance of insider selling in MSTR stock?",
   "answer": "Insiders have been net sellers, with total sales reaching $150.3 million against $779.4 thousand in purchases. This heavy selling pressure is a key factor to monitor, despite the overall 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street analysts."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "COHR",
    "name": "Coherent Corp. NYSE",
    "price": "$295.83",
    "change": "+1.80%",
    "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/coherent-corp-cohr/"
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