{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/steel-dynamics-stld/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/steel-dynamics-stld/data.json",
 "title": "Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) stock: Basic Materials, Steel. $34.0B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD)",
 "published": "2026-06-20T09:10:33+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T19:57:17.571+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:13:38.127Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "STLD",
  "name": "Steel Dynamics Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Steel",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.steeldynamics.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 239.5,
  "previousClose": 237.08,
  "change": 2.42,
  "changePercent": 1.02,
  "open": 239.055,
  "high": 241.12,
  "low": 234.83,
  "volume": 45018,
  "averageVolume": 827352,
  "marketCap": 33980223389,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 288.73999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 126.88,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T19:57:16.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 21.51361,
  "eps": 11.02,
  "dividendYield": 0.00885547201336675,
  "beta": 1.515,
  "priceToSales": 1.6544505,
  "priceToBook": 3.61452,
  "revenueTtm": 20538677248,
  "grossMargin": 0.15742674656085465,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.17568001
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 63.78,
  "macd": -1.93,
  "sma50": 242.5,
  "sma200": 211.99,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 68,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 266,
  "analystTarget": 266,
  "analystCount": 14,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:57:16.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 239.5,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.56,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 234.71,
  "aggressiveEntry": 239.5,
  "stopLoss": 225.27,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.02,
  "targets": [
   246.45,
   258.18,
   269.92
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 165.49,
    "base": 274.55,
    "upside90th": 455.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 153.82,
    "base": 314.73,
    "upside90th": 643.98
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 150.12,
    "base": 360.8,
    "upside90th": 867.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 150.26,
    "base": 413.6,
    "upside90th": 1138.42
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 152.85,
    "base": 474.13,
    "upside90th": 1470.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 157.28,
    "base": 543.52,
    "upside90th": 1878.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 163.24,
    "base": 623.07,
    "upside90th": 2378.13
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 170.6,
    "base": 714.25,
    "upside90th": 2990.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 179.3,
    "base": 818.79,
    "upside90th": 3739.02
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 189.33,
    "base": 938.62,
    "upside90th": 4653.23
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "STLD Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$239.06",
    "Day Range": "$234.83 to $241.12",
    "Prev Close": "$237.08",
    "Volume": "45.0K",
    "52-Week Range": "$126.88 to $288.74",
    "Market Cap": "$33.98B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0168% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "STLD Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, STLD beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "STLD Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $242.50, indicating near-term weakness, but remains above its 200-day moving average of $211.99, suggesting a longer-term uptrend is intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 63.78, signaling 'Bullish' momentum. The MACD is at -1.93, suggesting a slight bearish divergence. Key support can be found around the 200-day moving average at $211.99, while resistance is near the 50-day moving average at $242.50 and the current price of $239.50. Volume on the latest trading day was significantly lower than average, down 94.6%, which may limit immediate price action.",
    "Current year revenue estimates project a 30.00% year-over-year increase, indicating strong demand and market position for Steel Dynamics Inc.",
    "A 'Buy' consensus from 14 analysts, with a median price target of $266, suggests Wall Street's confidence in Steel Dynamics Inc.'s future performance and upside potential.",
    "Insiders have sold a net of $11.6 million in stock, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.",
    "Steel Dynamics Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $242.50, which could signal a short-term pullback or a shift in momentum.",
    "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is expected to maintain a positive trajectory over the next 6-12 months, supported by a 'Buy' consensus from Wall Street and a median price target of $266, indicating an 11.1% upside. The company's strong revenue growth, projected at 30.00% for the current year, and its position above the 200-day moving average suggest underlying fundamental strength. Potential upside catalysts include continued strong demand in the steel sector and successful execution of growth strategies. However, risks such as moderate insider selling and the stock's current position below its 50-day moving average warrant monitoring. Any significant downturn in the broader economy or steel prices could impact future performance."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely, as $11.6 million in net sales has been reported, which could indicate management's near-term sentiment.",
     "The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average ($242.50) but above its 200-day moving average ($211.99), suggesting a potential shift in short-term momentum within a longer-term uptrend.",
     "Consider the cyclical nature of the steel industry and its sensitivity to economic cycles and commodity prices when sizing positions."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Estimates",
     "text": "Current year revenue estimates project a 30.00% year-over-year increase, indicating strong demand and market position for Steel Dynamics Inc.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "A 'Buy' consensus from 14 analysts, with a median price target of $266, suggests Wall Street's confidence in Steel Dynamics Inc.'s future performance and upside potential.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a net of $11.6 million in stock, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' that warrants investor attention.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Trading Below 50-Day Moving Average",
     "text": "Steel Dynamics Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $242.50, which could signal a short-term pullback or a shift in momentum.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) trades at a P/E ratio of 21.51, which appears to be in line with the sector average P/E of 21.51. The company's earnings per share (EPS) is $11.02. Revenue growth has been a strong point, with a reported 33.4% growth and current year estimates projecting a 30.00% increase. Profitability metrics are positive, with a healthy dividend yield of 0.87%. However, the insider activity indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with significant net selling, which contrasts with the generally positive Wall Street sentiment. The company's balance sheet strength should be considered in light of this insider activity.",
    "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) most recently reported an EPS of $3.69, beating the analyst estimate of $3.67 by 0.54%, leading to a 1.31% price increase. Prior to this, the company missed estimates in January 2026 but beat expectations in October 2025 and April 2025. The pattern suggests some inconsistency in earnings performance, though the latest quarter shows a positive beat.",
    "A key risk for Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions, with over $11.6 million in net sales, indicating potential caution among management. Additionally, while the stock is above its 200-day moving average, it is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting potential near-term headwinds. The steel sector is also cyclical and can be sensitive to macroeconomic shifts and input costs."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "33.98B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "21.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "11.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.8730%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "288.74"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "126.88"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($242.50) above the 200-day SMA ($211.99), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bullish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "63.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.93"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "242.50"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "211.99"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.52",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.45",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.02",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.09"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "STLD Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (63.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$246.45",
    "TARGET 2": "$258.18",
    "TARGET 3": "$269.92",
    "STOP LOSS": "$225.27"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.16%",
    "Average Feb return": "+6.31%",
    "Average Mar return": "-2.55%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.32%",
    "Average May return": "+0.45%",
    "Average Jun return": "-2.23%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.38%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.63%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.40%",
    "Average Oct return": "+6.87%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.62%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.96%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.56%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in STLD in September 2016 would be worth about $98,251 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STLD today could grow to about $39,191 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $194,289 and a bear case around $7,905. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "STLD Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $414 for STLD by 2030 in the base case, from $240 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $150. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STLD's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using STLD's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "STLD simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$165",
        "$275",
        "$455"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$154",
        "$315",
        "$644"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$150",
        "$361",
        "$867"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$150",
        "$414",
        "$1,138"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$153",
        "$474",
        "$1,471"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$157",
        "$544",
        "$1,878"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$163",
        "$623",
        "$2,378"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$171",
        "$714",
        "$2,990"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$179",
        "$819",
        "$3,739"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$189",
        "$939",
        "$4,653"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wwr-westwater-resources/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NUE Nucor Corp. NYSE $255.46 -0.9499%",
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    },
    {
     "text": "DOW Dow Inc. NYSE $28.94 -2.38%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dow-inc-dow/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ASPI ASP Isotopes Inc. NASDAQ $3.59 -6.02%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aspi-asp-isotopes/"
    },
    {
     "text": "ECL Ecolab Inc. NYSE $271.60 -0.2241%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ecolab-ecl/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CX Cemex S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored NYSE $10.67 +0.0469%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cx-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BHP BHP Group Ltd. Sponsored NYSE $87.35 -5.31%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bhp-bhp-group/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare STLD",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "NUE vs STLD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nue-vs-stld/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DIA vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dia-vs-spy/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SLV vs PSLV Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/slv-vs-pslv/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "STLD Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$11.6M",
    "Insiders": "18",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.3M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in STLD",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 10, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BUSSE KEITH E Director",
        "Sell",
        "250.0K",
        "$15.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MILLETT MARK D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "176.8K",
        "$11.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 30, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MILLETT MARK D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "155.6K",
        "$11.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 15, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "GRAHAM CHRISTOPHER A Officer",
        "Sell",
        "48.0K",
        "$5.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 9, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MILLETT MARK D Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "67.7K",
        "$4.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 11, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PUSHIS GLENN A Officer",
        "Sell",
        "23.6K",
        "$3.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 19, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "MARCUCCILLI JAMES C Director",
        "Sell",
        "25.5K",
        "$3.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 15, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GRAHAM CHRISTOPHER A. Officer",
        "Sell",
        "21.0K",
        "$2.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 27, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "WAGLER THERESA E. Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "38.0K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 5, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "ANDERSON JAMES STANLEY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "10.0K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Steel+Dynamics+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) has a projected base case price of $413.60 for 2030, with a downside projection of $150.26 and an upside projection of $1138.42. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $266 suggesting an 11.1% upside from the current price of $239.50. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average, indicating a positive long-term trend."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks for Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) include significant insider selling totaling $11.6 million, and the stock trading below its 50-day moving average, which could signal near-term weakness. The cyclical nature of the steel industry also poses a risk due to its sensitivity to economic conditions."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) performing financially?",
   "answer": "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) reported strong revenue growth of 33.4% and has a current year revenue growth estimate of 30.00%. The company also offers a dividend yield of 0.87%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the analyst consensus for Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD)?",
   "answer": "The analyst consensus for Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is 'Buy', with 14 analysts covering the stock. Two analysts rate it a 'Strong Buy', seven rate it a 'Buy', four rate it a 'Hold', and one rates it a 'Sell'."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD)'s dividend yield?",
   "answer": "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.87%."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) has a P/E ratio of 21.51, which is in line with the Basic Materials sector average P/E of 21.51. Its revenue growth of 33.4% significantly exceeds the sector average of 10.00%."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
   {
    "ticker": "CLF",
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