{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/shw-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/shw-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Is Sherwin-Williams (SHW) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, key support levels and housing linked demand outlook. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)",
 "published": "2026-08-31T09:37:53+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T00:47:42.061+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:01:32.360Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SHW",
  "name": "The Sherwin-Williams Company",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Specialty Chemicals",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.sherwin-williams.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 317.44,
  "previousClose": 320.64,
  "change": -3.2,
  "changePercent": -1,
  "open": 319.995,
  "high": 319.995,
  "low": 315.42001,
  "volume": 1671554,
  "averageVolume": 1458335,
  "marketCap": 77061147453,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 377.76999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 289.85999,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T00:47:40.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 29.60665,
  "eps": 10.83,
  "dividendYield": 0.010081597816956259,
  "beta": 1.089,
  "priceToSales": 3.1887348,
  "priceToBook": 20.073875,
  "revenueTtm": 24410300416,
  "grossMargin": 0.49165598809892036,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.65124
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 17.04,
  "macd": -6.13,
  "sma50": 341.64,
  "sma200": 334.07,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 395.5,
  "analystTarget": 395.5,
  "analystCount": 26,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T00:47:40.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 317.44,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.61,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 314.27,
  "aggressiveEntry": 317.44,
  "stopLoss": 303.89,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.3,
  "targets": [
   323.69,
   329.98,
   339.41
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 247.35,
    "base": 349.34,
    "upside90th": 493.39
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 235.93,
    "base": 384.45,
    "upside90th": 626.46
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 232.65,
    "base": 423.08,
    "upside90th": 769.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 233.41,
    "base": 465.6,
    "upside90th": 928.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 236.76,
    "base": 512.39,
    "upside90th": 1108.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 242.05,
    "base": 563.88,
    "upside90th": 1313.64
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 248.92,
    "base": 620.55,
    "upside90th": 1547
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 257.19,
    "base": 682.91,
    "upside90th": 1813.3
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 266.76,
    "base": 751.54,
    "upside90th": 2117.31
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 277.57,
    "base": 827.06,
    "upside90th": 2464.36
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SHW Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$320.00",
    "Day Range": "$315.42 to $320.00",
    "Prev Close": "$320.64",
    "Volume": "1.67M",
    "52-Week Range": "$289.86 to $377.77",
    "Market Cap": "$77.06B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.0113% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SHW Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), indicating a bearish trend over the last quarter. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 17.04, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD is at -6.13, suggesting bearish momentum. Volume has been 14.6% above its average, with recent trading activity showing increased participation on price declines. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the oversold RSI, but the current price action suggests potential for further downside before any significant bounce.",
    "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) reported EPS of $3.70 on July 28, 2026, surpassing estimates by 5.11%, indicating operational resilience.",
    "Insiders have sold $11.7 million worth of SHW stock with no reported purchases, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential caution.",
    "Projected current year revenue growth of 7.00% is comparable to sector averages, suggesting stable market positioning.",
    "SHW is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), with an oversold RSI, indicating potential for further price declines.",
    "The base case outlook for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) over the next 6-12 months suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $395.50, driven by a return to more favorable market conditions and potential stabilization of its technical indicators. The company's projected revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year provides a foundation for this recovery, assuming it can maintain its market position in specialty chemicals. However, the current oversold RSI and bearish momentum indicate that a near-term rebound is not guaranteed and could face resistance. Factors that could alter this thesis include a significant improvement in broader economic sentiment, which would likely boost demand for coatings and paints, and a reversal of the current insider selling trend. Conversely, persistent inflation, increased competition, or unforeseen supply chain disruptions could pressure earnings and push the stock towards its downside projection of $233.41, especially if the current technical weakness continues and the oversold conditions do not lead to a sustained bounce."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the current oversold RSI and bearish technicals, consider waiting for a confirmed technical reversal or a more significant price discount before initiating new positions in Sherwin-Williams (SHW).",
     "The moderate insider selling trend warrants close monitoring; a shift to net buying activity would be a strong signal of renewed management confidence.",
     "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) pays a dividend yield of approximately 1.01%. Ensure this aligns with your income investment strategy, especially given the current stock price weakness."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Recent EPS Beat Exceeds Expectations",
     "text": "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) reported EPS of $3.70 on July 28, 2026, surpassing estimates by 5.11%, indicating operational resilience.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Continues",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $11.7 million worth of SHW stock with no reported purchases, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential caution.",
     "source": "Insider Transaction Filings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Revenue Growth Aligns with Sector",
     "text": "Projected current year revenue growth of 7.00% is comparable to sector averages, suggesting stable market positioning.",
     "source": "Analyst Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Trend",
     "text": "SHW is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), with an oversold RSI, indicating potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis Data"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) trades at a P/E ratio of 29.61, which is in line with the sector average of 29.61, suggesting fair valuation relative to peers. However, its current price action below key moving averages indicates that the market may be pricing in slower future growth or increased risks. The company's revenue growth is projected at 7.00% for the current year, aligning with the sector average of 10.00%. While the company's profitability and balance sheet strength are generally solid, the current valuation does not offer a significant discount, especially given the bearish technicals and insider selling.",
    "In its most recent earnings report on July 28, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) reported an EPS of $3.70, exceeding the analyst estimate of $3.52 by 5.11%, though the stock saw a 2.93% decline. Prior to this, the company reported a slight EPS miss in the first quarter of 2026. While the company has demonstrated an ability to meet or slightly beat earnings expectations, the stock's reaction has been mixed, suggesting that market sentiment is currently more influenced by broader economic factors and technical trends than by individual earnings beats.",
    "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) faces near-term risks from its bearish technical positioning, trading below key moving averages with an oversold RSI. Moderate insider selling, with $11.7 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicates a degree of caution among management. Also, the company's stock price reaction to recent earnings, despite an EPS beat, highlights sensitivity to broader market sentiment and potential headwinds in the specialty chemicals sector."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "77.06B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "29.61"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "10.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.01%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "377.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "289.86"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($341.64) above the 200-day SMA ($334.07), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 17.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "17.04"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-6.13"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "341.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "334.07"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.47",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.35",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.07",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.12"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SHW Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (17.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$323.69",
    "TARGET 2": "$329.98",
    "TARGET 3": "$339.41",
    "STOP LOSS": "$303.89"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.61%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SHW in September 2016 would be worth about $34,091 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SHW today could grow to about $26,054 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $77,632 and a bear case around $8,744. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SHW Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $466 for SHW by 2030 in the base case, from $317 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $233. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SHW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SHW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SHW simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$247",
        "$349",
        "$493"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$236",
        "$384",
        "$626"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$233",
        "$423",
        "$769"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$233",
        "$466",
        "$929"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$237",
        "$512",
        "$1,109"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$242",
        "$564",
        "$1,314"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$249",
        "$621",
        "$1,547"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$257",
        "$683",
        "$1,813"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$267",
        "$752",
        "$2,117"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$278",
        "$827",
        "$2,464"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "SHW Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$11.7M",
    "Insiders": "19",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.7M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in SHW",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 29, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "155.5K",
        "$44.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 30, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "116.0K",
        "$42.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 28, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "22.3K",
        "$15.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEWELL DAVID B. President",
        "Sell",
        "21.7K",
        "$15.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 31, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "22.3K",
        "$15.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 26, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "22.3K",
        "$14.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 12, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "14.7K",
        "$8.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 10, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "MORIKIS JOHN G Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "14.7K",
        "$8.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 26, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "GARCEAU MARY L Officer",
        "Sell",
        "23.5K",
        "$7.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 5, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SEWELL DAVID B. President",
        "Sell",
        "10.2K",
        "$6.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=The+Sherwin-Williams+Company&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Sherwin-Williams' (SHW) current stock price and rating?",
   "answer": "As of September 11, 2026, Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is trading at $317.44. The consensus rating from Wall Street analysts is 'Hold' with a consensus score of 67."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is $395.50, implying an upside of 24.6% from the current price of $317.44."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?",
   "answer": "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($341.64 and $334.07), with an oversold RSI at 17.0 and bearish MACD momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the insider trading activity for Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?",
   "answer": "Insider activity for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) indicates a 'NET SELLER' stance, with $11.7 million in total sales versus no reported purchases, resulting in a 'Moderate Sell Signal'."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Sherwin-Williams (SHW) performing relative to its sector?",
   "answer": "Sherwin-Williams (SHW) has a P/E ratio of 29.61, which is in line with the sector average of 29.61. Its projected revenue growth of 7.00% for the current year is slightly below the sector average of 10.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Sherwin-Williams (SHW)?",
   "answer": "Key risks for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) include its bearish technical trend, moderate insider selling, and the stock's sensitivity to broader market sentiment despite meeting earnings expectations."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-term projection for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) stock?",
   "answer": "The long-range projection for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) in 2030 shows a base case price of $465.60, with a downside projection of $233.41 and an upside projection of $928.76 based on Monte Carlo simulations."
  }
 ],
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