{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/serv-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/serv-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Serve Robotics (SERV) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) stock: Industrials, Integrated Freight & Logistics. $386M market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV)",
 "published": "2026-07-21T09:40:39+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T02:26:05.546+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T14:23:39.704Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SERV",
  "name": "Serve Robotics Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Integrated Freight & Logistics",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.serverobotics.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 4.45,
  "previousClose": 4.51,
  "change": -0.06,
  "changePercent": -1.33,
  "open": 4.505,
  "high": 4.53,
  "low": 4.4,
  "volume": 2006700,
  "averageVolume": 2915220,
  "marketCap": 385848406,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 18.64,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 4.17,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T02:26:05.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -1.72,
  "eps": -2.59,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 2.378,
  "priceToSales": 50.19264,
  "priceToBook": 1.1089256,
  "revenueTtm": 7791000,
  "grossMargin": -2.71124150710315,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.64553
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.88,
  "macd": -0.16,
  "sma50": 4.83,
  "sma200": 8.3,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 21,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 1.53,
  "analystTarget": 10,
  "analystCount": 8,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T02:26:05.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 4.45,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.47,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 4.54,
  "aggressiveEntry": 4.45,
  "stopLoss": 4.78,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.21,
  "targets": [
   4.31,
   4.09,
   3.86
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 2.47,
    "base": 4.7,
    "upside90th": 8.91
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 2,
    "base": 4.96,
    "upside90th": 12.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.72,
    "base": 5.23,
    "upside90th": 15.87
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 1.53,
    "base": 5.52,
    "upside90th": 19.88
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 1.39,
    "base": 5.82,
    "upside90th": 24.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.28,
    "base": 6.15,
    "upside90th": 29.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.19,
    "base": 6.49,
    "upside90th": 35.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 1.12,
    "base": 6.84,
    "upside90th": 41.92
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 1.06,
    "base": 7.22,
    "upside90th": 49.38
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 1,
    "base": 7.62,
    "upside90th": 57.83
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SERV Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$4.51",
    "Day Range": "$4.40 to $4.53",
    "Prev Close": "$4.51",
    "Volume": "2.01M",
    "52-Week Range": "$4.17 to $18.64",
    "Market Cap": "$385.85M"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, SERV trades at 50.19x, far above the sector average of 4.00x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "SERV Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, SERV beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SERV Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At $4.45, Serve Robotics Inc. is trading below its 50-day SMA of $4.83 and its 200-day SMA of $8.30, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.88, signaling bearish momentum and suggesting further downside potential. MACD is also negative at -0.156, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the limited trading history, but the current price action suggests downward pressure. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price movement, but the overall technical picture is unfavorable.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $9.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
    "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30), with a bearish RSI of 33.88, suggesting potential for further price declines.",
    "The median price target from 8 Wall Street analysts is $10.00, representing a potential 124.7% upside from the current price.",
    "Serve Robotics Inc. has reported revenue growth of 404.4%, indicating strong market adoption and expansion potential.",
    "Serve Robotics Inc. faces a challenging outlook, with current price action and insider activity pointing towards continued weakness. The stock is trading well below its key moving averages, and the consistent net selling by insiders suggests a lack of conviction in the near-term prospects. While Wall Street analysts have set a median price target of $10.00, implying significant upside, the company's fundamental struggles, including negative earnings and high valuation multiples relative to sales, present substantial hurdles. The company's exceptional revenue growth is a positive, but it has yet to translate into profitability, making the path to realizing the analyst targets uncertain."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the bearish technicals and insider selling, consider a tighter stop-loss strategy, potentially 1.5x the daily volatility of 5% (i.e., >7.5% away from entry price).",
     "The company's exceptional revenue growth of 404.4% warrants close monitoring of its ability to convert this into sustainable profitability.",
     "Serve Robotics Inc. is in the Industrials sector, which is represented by the XLI ETF. Investors should consider how broader sector trends might impact SERV."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Persistent Insider Selling Exceeds $9.4 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $9.4 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Momentum",
     "text": "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30), with a bearish RSI of 33.88, suggesting potential for further price declines.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Wall Street Median Price Target of $10.00",
     "text": "The median price target from 8 Wall Street analysts is $10.00, representing a potential 124.7% upside from the current price.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Exceptional Revenue Growth Reported",
     "text": "Serve Robotics Inc. has reported revenue growth of 404.4%, indicating strong market adoption and expansion potential.",
     "source": "Company Filings"
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "XLI",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/etf/industrials-xli/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Serve Robotics Inc. exhibits a challenging fundamental profile, with a negative EPS of -2.59 and a profit margin of -580.23%, starkly contrasting with the sector median ROE of 17.80%. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at a high 50.19, significantly above the sector median of 4.00, indicating the stock is richly valued relative to its sales. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage, but this is overshadowed by its substantial losses and negative growth estimates for the next few years. The company's revenue growth of 404.4% is exceptional, but it has not translated into profitability.",
    "Serve Robotics Inc. reported mixed earnings for the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of -0.59 matching estimates and resulting in a -10.48% price change. Prior to this, the company reported an EPS beat of 0.34 vs. an estimate of 0.24 in the quarter to June 2026, leading to a positive price reaction of 3.46%. However, the overall trend shows consistent negative EPS, and forward earnings estimates for the current and next year remain negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.",
    "Serve Robotics Inc. faces significant risks, including persistent insider selling totaling over $9.4 million, which signals a lack of management confidence. The company's valuation appears stretched with a high price-to-sales ratio and negative profitability metrics, making it vulnerable to market downturns. Also, the stock's bearish technical momentum, with prices trading below key moving averages and a bearish RSI, suggests potential for further price declines."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "385.85M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-2.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "18.64"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "4.17"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.830, 200-day: $8.298), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.16"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "4.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "8.30"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.39",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.50",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.06"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SERV Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$4.312",
    "TARGET 2": "$4.085",
    "TARGET 3": "$3.858",
    "STOP LOSS": "$4.775"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Limited data: Based on ~1 year of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-0.70%",
    "Average Feb return": "-5.00%",
    "Average Mar return": "-7.84%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.07%",
    "Average May return": "+13.23%",
    "Average Jun return": "-6.87%",
    "Average Jul return": "+99.96%",
    "Average Aug return": "-6.60%",
    "Average Sep return": "+1.90%",
    "Average Oct return": "+5.00%",
    "Average Nov return": "-3.48%",
    "Average Dec return": "+8.07%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.47%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SERV in April 2024 would be worth about $10,023 today, compared with about $14,891 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SERV today could grow to about $17,128 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $129,946 and a bear case around $2,258. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SERV Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.52 for SERV by 2030 in the base case, from $4.45 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.53. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SERV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SERV's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SERV simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$2.47",
        "$4.70",
        "$8.91"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$2.00",
        "$4.96",
        "$12.27"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.72",
        "$5.23",
        "$15.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$1.53",
        "$5.52",
        "$19.88"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$1.39",
        "$5.82",
        "$24.41"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.28",
        "$6.15",
        "$29.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.19",
        "$6.49",
        "$35.34"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$1.12",
        "$6.84",
        "$41.92"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$1.06",
        "$7.22",
        "$49.38"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$1.00",
        "$7.62",
        "$57.83"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fps-stock-analysis/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-bitcoin/"
    },
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "SERV Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$9.4M",
    "Insiders": "11",
    "Avg Transaction": "$93.5K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in SERV",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Sep 8, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KASHANI ALI Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "164.7K",
        "$1.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 13, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "JORDAN JAMES BUCKLY Director",
        "Sell",
        "144.1K",
        "$1.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 6, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KASHANI ALI PH.D. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "45.0K",
        "$922.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "PARANG TOURAJ President",
        "Sell",
        "51.9K",
        "$669.8K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 18, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "ABRAHAM EUAN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$594.2K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 3, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "JORDAN JAMES BUCKLY Director",
        "Sell",
        "67.2K",
        "$575.7K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 8, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PARANG TOURAJ President",
        "Sell",
        "53.7K",
        "$555.7K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "ARMENTA ANTHONY Officer",
        "Sell",
        "49.1K",
        "$457.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 6, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "JORDAN JAMES BUCKLY Director",
        "Sell",
        "38.6K",
        "$454.6K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "KASHANI ALI PH.D. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "39.9K",
        "$451.0K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Serve+Robotics+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Serve Robotics Inc.'s current stock price and trend?",
   "answer": "Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) is currently trading at $4.45. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30), indicating a bearish trend with bearish momentum according to its RSI."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the Wall Street consensus rating for SERV stock?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Buy' for Serve Robotics Inc. stock, with 7 out of 8 analysts recommending a Buy. The overall Wall Street score is 72 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Serve Robotics Inc.?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Serve Robotics Inc. is $10.00, suggesting a potential upside of 124.7% from its current price of $4.45."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are insiders buying or selling Serve Robotics Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "Insiders have been net sellers of Serve Robotics Inc. stock, with total sales amounting to $9.4 million and no reported purchases. This 'Moderate Sell Signal' suggests caution among management."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Serve Robotics Inc.'s valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Serve Robotics Inc. has a high price-to-sales ratio of 50.19, significantly exceeding the sector median of 4.00. Its profit margins are significantly negative, contrasting with the sector's median ROE of 17.80%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for SERV stock?",
   "answer": "Serve Robotics Inc. shows bearish technical indicators, including a RSI at 33.9 (bearish momentum) and prices trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.83 and $8.30)."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Serve Robotics Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Serve Robotics Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030 shows a base case price of $5.52, a downside projection of $1.53, and an upside projection of $19.88. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
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