{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/scco-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/scco-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) stock: Basic Materials, Copper. $163.9B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)",
 "published": "2026-08-25T06:31:15+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T16:52:03.863+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T19:04:21.695Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "SCCO",
  "name": "Southern Copper Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Basic Materials",
  "industry": "Copper",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.southerncoppercorp.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 194.39,
  "previousClose": 194.14,
  "change": 0.25,
  "changePercent": 0.13,
  "open": 196.59,
  "high": 199.15,
  "low": 193.725,
  "volume": 22461,
  "averageVolume": 1149546,
  "marketCap": 163920883200,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 221.67326,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 90.57471,
  "marketOpen": true,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T16:52:00.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 29.193985,
  "eps": 6.65,
  "dividendYield": 0.022367405730747466,
  "beta": 1.151,
  "priceToSales": 10.382955,
  "priceToBook": 13.217593,
  "revenueTtm": 15787499520,
  "grossMargin": 0.6233387736069014,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.49897
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 33.21,
  "macd": 2.46,
  "sma50": 190.08,
  "sma200": 178.04,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 28,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": 164.03,
  "analystTarget": 164.03,
  "analystCount": 18,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Strong Sell",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:52:00.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 194.39,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.35,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bearish",
  "conservativeEntry": 198.28,
  "aggressiveEntry": 194.39,
  "stopLoss": 208.23,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.02,
  "targets": [
   188.36,
   178.45,
   168.54
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 135.66,
    "base": 221.33,
    "upside90th": 361.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 126.12,
    "base": 252,
    "upside90th": 503.55
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 122.91,
    "base": 286.93,
    "upside90th": 669.84
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 122.74,
    "base": 326.69,
    "upside90th": 869.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 124.5,
    "base": 371.97,
    "upside90th": 1111.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 127.69,
    "base": 423.52,
    "upside90th": 1404.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 132.07,
    "base": 482.21,
    "upside90th": 1760.64
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 137.51,
    "base": 549.04,
    "upside90th": 2192.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 143.96,
    "base": 625.13,
    "upside90th": 2714.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 151.39,
    "base": 711.77,
    "upside90th": 3346.35
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "SCCO Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$196.59",
    "Day Range": "$193.73 to $199.15",
    "Prev Close": "$194.14",
    "Volume": "22.5K",
    "52-Week Range": "$90.57 to $221.67",
    "Market Cap": "$163.92B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0137% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "SCCO Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Volume behavior for Southern Copper Corporation has shifted dramatically, with the latest volume of 22,461 representing a 98% decrease compared to its average volume of 1,149,546. The stock is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $190.08 but below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $201.06. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 33.21, indicating bearish momentum. Key support levels are not explicitly provided, but the current price is above the 200-day SMA of $178.04, suggesting some underlying long-term support. The chart structure indicates a weakening trend, with the RSI in bearish territory. While the price is above the 50-day SMA, the downward pressure from the bearish RSI and the significant drop in volume warrant caution. Investors should monitor the price action around the 50-day SMA for potential shifts in momentum.",
    "Insiders have sold a net of $3.6 million in stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
    "Analysts forecast a 5.00% decrease in revenue for the next fiscal year, which could negatively impact earnings and profitability.",
    "A significant majority of analysts rate Southern Copper Corporation as 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell', with a median price target well below the current stock price.",
    "The company exceeded EPS estimates in its most recent earnings report (July 21, 2026), which temporarily boosted the stock price.",
    "The base case scenario for Southern Copper Corporation over the next 6-12 months points towards continued downward pressure, aligning with the bearish Wall Street consensus and a median price target of $164.03. The projected 5.00% revenue decline next year, coupled with insider net selling, suggests that the company may struggle to maintain its current valuation. The stock's bearish RSI further supports a cautious outlook. Potential catalysts that could alter this trajectory are limited, but a significant improvement in commodity prices or a reversal in analyst sentiment could provide upside. Conversely, persistent insider selling, a deeper-than-expected revenue contraction, or broader market weakness in basic materials could push the stock towards its lower price targets. Investors should closely monitor forward-looking revenue guidance and any shifts in analyst ratings."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the bearish analyst consensus and insider selling, consider limiting exposure or implementing strict stop-loss orders to manage downside risk.",
     "Monitor the 50-day SMA ($190.08) as a key level; a sustained break below this could signal further weakness.",
     "The company pays a dividend yield of approximately 2.01% ($3.90 annually). However, given the bearish outlook and potential for revenue contraction, assess the sustainability of this dividend."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Net Selling Activity",
     "text": "Insiders have sold a net of $3.6 million in stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Decline Next Year",
     "text": "Analysts forecast a 5.00% decrease in revenue for the next fiscal year, which could negatively impact earnings and profitability.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Wall Street Consensus",
     "text": "A significant majority of analysts rate Southern Copper Corporation as 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell', with a median price target well below the current stock price.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analyst Ratings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Recent Earnings Beat",
     "text": "The company exceeded EPS estimates in its most recent earnings report (July 21, 2026), which temporarily boosted the stock price.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Southern Copper Corporation's valuation appears stretched, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.19, which is in line with the sector average P/E of 29.19. However, the forward revenue growth projection for next year shows a decline of 5.00%, which could pressure future earnings. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is estimated at 15.0%, which is a healthy figure, but the projected revenue slowdown raises concerns about sustained profitability. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the current price relative to the median analyst target suggests that the market may be pricing in future challenges that are not fully reflected in current valuation multiples.",
    "Southern Copper Corporation's recent earnings performance shows mixed results. The latest reported quarter (July 21, 2026) showed an EPS of $1.99, beating the estimate of $1.92 by 3.65%, leading to a 3.97% price increase. However, the prior quarter (June 25, 2026) reported a significant miss with an EPS of -$0.16 against an estimate of -$0.14, a 14.29% negative surprise, and the stock declined by 1.99%. This inconsistency in earnings performance, with a recent beat followed by a miss, highlights potential volatility in its financial results.",
    "The primary risk for Southern Copper Corporation is the prevailing bearish sentiment from Wall Street, evidenced by a 'Sell' consensus rating and a median price target that implies a 15.6% downside from the current price. Additionally, insider activity shows a net selling signal, with $3.6 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. The projected 5.00% decline in revenue for next year also poses a significant risk to future earnings and profitability."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "163.92B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "29.19"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "6.65"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "2.01%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "221.67"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "90.57"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($190.08) above the 200-day SMA ($178.04), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "33.21"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "2.46"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "190.08"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "178.04"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.54",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.56",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.26",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.50"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "SCCO Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for rally",
    "Higher risk, chasing the move",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (33.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$188.36",
    "TARGET 2": "$178.45",
    "TARGET 3": "$168.54",
    "STOP LOSS": "$208.23"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.35%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in SCCO in September 2016 would be worth about $79,440 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SCCO today could grow to about $36,615 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $172,146 and a bear case around $7,788. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "SCCO Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $327 for SCCO by 2030 in the base case, from $194 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $123. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SCCO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SCCO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "SCCO simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$136",
        "$221",
        "$361"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$126",
        "$252",
        "$504"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$123",
        "$287",
        "$670"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$123",
        "$327",
        "$870"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$124",
        "$372",
        "$1,111"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$128",
        "$424",
        "$1,405"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$132",
        "$482",
        "$1,761"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$138",
        "$549",
        "$2,192"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$144",
        "$625",
        "$2,715"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$151",
        "$712",
        "$3,346"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "SCCO Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$3.6M",
    "Insiders": "9",
    "Avg Transaction": "$142.4K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in SCCO",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "278.9K",
        "$21.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 19, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "278.9K",
        "$21.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 3, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "504.8K",
        "$19.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 11, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$15.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 17, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "178.0K",
        "$13.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 4, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "176.2K",
        "$10.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 24, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "170.0K",
        "$10.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 17, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "166.5K",
        "$9.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 1, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "235.8K",
        "$9.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 24, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LARREA MOTA-VELASCO GERMAN Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "108.5K",
        "$8.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Southern+Copper+Corporation&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Southern Copper Corporation's consensus rating?",
   "answer": "Southern Copper Corporation currently has a 'Sell' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a consensus score of 28 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Southern Copper Corporation?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Southern Copper Corporation is $164.03, which suggests a potential downside of 15.6% from its current trading price of $194.39."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Southern Copper Corporation stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Based on the current Wall Street consensus of 'Sell' and a price target below the current market price, Southern Copper Corporation is not considered a buy at this time. The stock's bearish momentum, indicated by its RSI, also suggests caution."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing Southern Copper Corporation?",
   "answer": "Key risks include the predominantly bearish analyst sentiment, insider net selling activity totaling $3.6 million, and a projected 5.00% decline in revenue for the upcoming year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Southern Copper Corporation performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Recent earnings have been mixed. The company beat expectations in the July 21, 2026 quarter with a 3.65% EPS surprise, but missed estimates in the June 25, 2026 quarter by 14.29%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Southern Copper Corporation's revenue growth?",
   "answer": "While current year revenue is projected to grow by 27.00% to $17.1 billion, the outlook for next year indicates a contraction, with an estimated revenue decline of 5.00%."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Southern Copper Corporation's technical momentum?",
   "answer": "The stock exhibits bearish momentum, as indicated by its Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 33.21. While trading above its 50-day SMA, it is below its 20-day EMA, suggesting potential near-term weakness."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Southern Copper Corporation's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Southern Copper Corporation's stock price projection for 2030 is a base case of $326.69, with a downside projection of $122.74 and an upside projection of $869.56. These are simulation outcomes, not price targets."
  }
 ],
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