{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/run-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/run-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Sunrun Inc (RUN) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock: Technology, Solar. $2.1B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Sunrun Inc. (RUN)",
 "published": "2026-07-09T09:38:41+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T14:38:56.88+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:40:46.277Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "RUN",
  "name": "Sunrun Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Solar",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.sunrun.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 8.69,
  "previousClose": 8.63,
  "change": 0.06,
  "changePercent": 0.7,
  "open": 8.79,
  "high": 8.95,
  "low": 8.66,
  "volume": 49506,
  "averageVolume": 6333921,
  "marketCap": 2058680346,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 22.44,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 8.22,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T14:38:55.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 6.023809,
  "eps": 1.47,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 2.364,
  "priceToSales": 0.6077651,
  "priceToBook": 0.609261,
  "revenueTtm": 3475609088,
  "grossMargin": 0.3772741692988869,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.19856001
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 42.09,
  "macd": -0.43,
  "sma50": 10.24,
  "sma200": 14.3,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 10.64,
  "analystTarget": 15,
  "analystCount": 21,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T14:38:55.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 8.69,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.32,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 8.6,
  "aggressiveEntry": 8.69,
  "stopLoss": 8,
  "stopLossPercent": 7,
  "targets": [
   8.86,
   9.03,
   9.29
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 4.82,
    "base": 9.14,
    "upside90th": 17.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 3.89,
    "base": 9.62,
    "upside90th": 23.8
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 3.33,
    "base": 10.12,
    "upside90th": 30.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 2.95,
    "base": 10.64,
    "upside90th": 38.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 2.67,
    "base": 11.2,
    "upside90th": 46.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 2.45,
    "base": 11.78,
    "upside90th": 56.6
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 2.27,
    "base": 12.39,
    "upside90th": 67.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 2.13,
    "base": 13.04,
    "upside90th": 79.86
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 2.01,
    "base": 13.72,
    "upside90th": 93.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 1.9,
    "base": 14.43,
    "upside90th": 109.47
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "RUN Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$8.79",
    "Day Range": "$8.66 to $8.95",
    "Prev Close": "$8.63",
    "Volume": "49.5K",
    "52-Week Range": "$8.22 to $22.44",
    "Market Cap": "$2.06B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-82%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "RUN Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, RUN beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "RUN Analysis",
   "text": [
    "At $8.69, Sunrun Inc. (RUN) exhibits bearish technical momentum, trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42.09, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is negative at -0.43, suggesting downward pressure. The limited trading volume, significantly below its average, further points to a lack of conviction in the current price action. Key resistance levels are observed at the 50-day SMA of $10.24 and the 200-day SMA of $14.30, with the current price acting as immediate support.",
    "Insiders have sold $29.4 million worth of Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock against only $692.5 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in current valuation.",
    "The median analyst price target for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is $15, suggesting a potential upside of 72.6% from the current price of $8.69, indicating Wall Street's belief in future appreciation.",
    "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) reported an EPS of $0.42 in its most recent quarter, beating the estimate of $0.25 by 68%, demonstrating operational efficiency in meeting or exceeding earnings targets.",
    "Forward-looking revenue estimates for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) indicate a slowdown, with current year growth projected at 7.00% and next year at 2.00%, which could impact future valuation multiples.",
    "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) faces a challenging outlook over the next 6-12 months, with its current trading price below key technical indicators suggesting downward pressure. The median analyst price target of $15 implies significant upside potential, but this is counterbalanced by substantial insider selling and a projected slowdown in revenue growth to 7.00% for the current year and 2.00% for the next. The company's ability to overcome these headwinds will depend on its execution and broader market sentiment towards the renewable energy sector."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Investors should closely monitor insider transaction activity for Sunrun Inc. (RUN), as the current moderate sell signal from insiders warrants caution.",
     "Given Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($10.24 and $14.30), consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout above resistance levels before initiating new positions.",
     "The projected deceleration in revenue growth for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) highlights the importance of monitoring forward guidance and actual sales figures closely in upcoming earnings reports."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Significant Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $29.4 million worth of Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock against only $692.5 thousand in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in current valuation.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Median Analyst Price Target",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is $15, suggesting a potential upside of 72.6% from the current price of $8.69, indicating Wall Street's belief in future appreciation.",
     "source": "Wall Street Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Recent EPS Beat Exceeds Expectations",
     "text": "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) reported an EPS of $0.42 in its most recent quarter, beating the estimate of $0.25 by 68%, demonstrating operational efficiency in meeting or exceeding earnings targets.",
     "source": "Earnings Report"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Growth Slowdown",
     "text": "Forward-looking revenue estimates for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) indicate a slowdown, with current year growth projected at 7.00% and next year at 2.00%, which could impact future valuation multiples.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.02, which is considerably lower than the sector median of 34, suggesting potential undervaluation from a P/E perspective. However, the company's revenue growth, while strong at 52.8% year-over-year, is projected to decelerate significantly in the coming year. The current earnings per share (EPS) of $1.47 is positive, but the substantial insider selling activity raises concerns about management's near-term confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects. The market capitalization stands at $2.06 billion.",
    "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) recently reported an EPS of $0.42 for the August 2026 quarter, significantly beating the estimate of $0.25 by 68%, yet the stock reacted negatively with a 10.58% decline. This follows a pattern of mixed earnings reactions, with a previous beat in May 2026 also resulting in a price drop. While the company has demonstrated an ability to exceed earnings expectations, the market's response suggests that these beats are not translating into sustained positive price momentum, potentially due to broader concerns about the company's outlook or valuation.",
    "The most significant risk for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is the substantial insider selling, with over $29 million in sales against minimal purchases, signaling a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the projected deceleration in revenue growth for the upcoming year, coupled with a bearish technical setup below key moving averages, presents headwinds. The stock's recent negative reaction to a strong earnings beat further highlights potential investor skepticism or broader market concerns impacting the renewable energy sector."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "2.06B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "6.02"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "1.47"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "22.44"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "8.22"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $10.24, 200-day: $14.30), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "42.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.43"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "10.24"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "14.30"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.24",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.24",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.04",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.11"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "RUN Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (42.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$8.861",
    "TARGET 2": "$9.033",
    "TARGET 3": "$9.291",
    "STOP LOSS": "$8.001"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-1.20%",
    "Average Feb return": "-4.26%",
    "Average Mar return": "-4.23%",
    "Average Apr return": "-0.95%",
    "Average May return": "+13.38%",
    "Average Jun return": "+7.37%",
    "Average Jul return": "+16.83%",
    "Average Aug return": "+4.91%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.64%",
    "Average Oct return": "-6.09%",
    "Average Nov return": "+6.50%",
    "Average Dec return": "-2.67%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "4.32%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in RUN in September 2016 would be worth about $14,148 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RUN today could grow to about $16,605 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $125,976 and a bear case around $2,189. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "RUN Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $10.64 for RUN by 2030 in the base case, from $8.69 today (1.2x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.95. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RUN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RUN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RUN simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$4.82",
        "$9.14",
        "$17.35"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$3.89",
        "$9.62",
        "$23.80"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$3.33",
        "$10.12",
        "$30.70"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$2.95",
        "$10.64",
        "$38.34"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$2.67",
        "$11.20",
        "$46.93"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$2.45",
        "$11.78",
        "$56.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$2.27",
        "$12.39",
        "$67.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$2.13",
        "$13.04",
        "$79.86"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$2.01",
        "$13.72",
        "$93.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$1.90",
        "$14.43",
        "$109"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "FTNT Fortinet, Inc. NASDAQ $155.95 -1.83%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/fortinet-ftnt/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AVGO Broadcom Inc. NASDAQ $360.83 -0.9743%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/avgo-broadcom-inc/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. NASDAQ $286.47 +0.5334%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/cadence-cdns/"
    },
    {
     "text": "GLW Corning Incorporated NYSE $166.33 +1.97%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/glw-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "BB BlackBerry Limited NYSE $7.63 +1.19%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/blackberry-bb/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SNDK Sandisk Corp. NASDAQ $1,692.59 -4.06%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/sndk-sandisk-corp/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. NASDAQ $165.86 -2.16%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/palantir-technologies-pltr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "MU Micron Technology Inc. NASDAQ $977.41 -4.90%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/mu-micron-technology/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SNPS vs CDNS Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/snps-vs-cdns/"
    },
    {
     "text": "UBER vs LYFT Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/uber-vs-lyft/"
    },
    {
     "text": "NEM vs AEM Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/nem-vs-aem/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "RUN Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$692.5K",
    "Sold": "$29.4M",
    "Insiders": "13",
    "Avg Transaction": "$354.6K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in RUN",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Oct 12, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BLACKSTONE HOLDINGS III, L.P. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "8.0M",
        "$482.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 5, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "5.0M",
        "$395.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 16, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "2.5M",
        "$154.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 13, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.6M",
        "$107.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 7, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT L L C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.3M",
        "$99.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 12, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BYWATER DAVID H Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "476.4K",
        "$27.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 23, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BYWATER DAVID H Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "263.3K",
        "$18.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 18, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "BYWATER DAVID H Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "263.3K",
        "$16.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 16, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "DAWSON, CHRISTOPHER MACKIE Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "158.6K",
        "$9.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 21, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "FENSTER EDWARD HARRIS Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "139.0K",
        "$8.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Sunrun+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $15, suggesting potential upside. However, significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators warrant caution, making it a speculative buy at best."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) stock in the next 6-12 months?",
   "answer": "The outlook for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is mixed. While the median analyst price target suggests upside, insider selling and decelerating revenue growth estimates present considerable risks that could temper performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing Sunrun Inc. (RUN)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Sunrun Inc. (RUN) include substantial insider selling, a bearish technical trend indicated by its position below key moving averages, and a projected slowdown in revenue growth for the upcoming year."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Sunrun Inc. (RUN) compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) exhibits a P/E ratio of 6.02, significantly lower than the sector median of 34, and its revenue growth of 52.8% outpaces the sector median of 24.1%. However, its Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.4% is slightly above the sector median of 13.4%, indicating competitive performance in profitability."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Sunrun Inc. (RUN)'s projected stock price for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Sunrun Inc. (RUN)'s projected stock price for 2030 is $10.64 as a base case, with a downside projection of $2.95 and an upside projection of $38.34. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Has Sunrun Inc. (RUN) shown consistent earnings growth?",
   "answer": "Sunrun Inc. (RUN) has shown inconsistent earnings performance, with recent quarters showing significant EPS beats but also negative stock reactions. The company has experienced both positive and negative EPS figures in recent reporting periods."
  },
  {
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