{ "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt", "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rost-stock-analysis/", "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/rost-stock-analysis/data.json", "title": "Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)", "description": "Ross Stores (ROST) stock analysis: AI forecast, off price retail sales trends, valuation, key support levels and risk. Updated daily.", "headline": "Ross Stores Inc. (ROST)", "published": "2026-09-06T09:34:37+00:00", "modified": "2026-09-09T23:47:43.489+00:00", "generated": "2026-09-11T20:01:29.698Z", "language": "en-US", "publisher": { "name": "CleaRank", "url": "https://clearank.com/" }, "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.", "asset": { "ticker": "ROST", "name": "Ross Stores Inc.", "type": "Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Apparel Retail", "country": "United States", "website": "https://www.rossstores.com" }, "quote": { "price": 225.48, "previousClose": 225.27, "change": 0.21, "changePercent": 0.09, "open": 224.50999, "high": 228.41499, "low": 222.73, "volume": 1349029, "averageVolume": 2033493, "marketCap": 71963202089, "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 257, "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 143.39, "marketOpen": false, "asOf": "2026-09-09T23:47:42.000Z" }, "statistics": { "pe": 27.607746, "eps": 8.26, "dividendYield": 0.007900576901417456, "beta": 0.861, "priceToSales": 2.9719603, "priceToBook": 10.810657, "revenueTtm": 24511797248, "grossMargin": 0.33834151172104326, "returnOnEquity": 0.42628 }, "technicals": { "rsi": 38.44, "macd": -3.26, "sma50": 235.16, "sma200": 213.29, "rsiSignal": "Bearish", "trend": "Bullish", "pricePosition": "Bearish", "macdSignal": "Bearish", "rating": "Bearish" }, "analysis": { "rating": "Buy", "score": 68, "consensus": "Buy", "fairValue": 282.5, "analystTarget": 282.5, "analystCount": 20, "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy", "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T23:47:42.000Z", "priceAtAnalysis": 225.48, "volatility": { "daily": 1.48, "risk": "standard" } }, "tradePlan": { "bias": "Bullish", "conservativeEntry": 220.97, "aggressiveEntry": 225.48, "stopLoss": 212.51, "stopLossPercent": 3.83, "targets": [ 232.02, 243.07, 254.12 ] }, "projections": { "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets", "years": [ { "year": 2027, "downside10th": 165.35, "base": 249.29, "upside90th": 375.85 }, { "year": 2028, "downside10th": 154.23, "base": 275.62, "upside90th": 492.57 }, { "year": 2029, "downside10th": 149.65, "base": 304.73, "upside90th": 620.5 }, { "year": 2030, "downside10th": 148.22, "base": 336.91, "upside90th": 765.81 }, { "year": 2031, "downside10th": 148.74, "base": 372.5, "upside90th": 932.86 }, { "year": 2032, "downside10th": 150.65, "base": 411.84, "upside90th": 1125.83 }, { "year": 2033, "downside10th": 153.67, "base": 455.33, "upside90th": 1349.18 }, { "year": 2034, "downside10th": 157.62, "base": 503.42, "upside90th": 1607.85 }, { "year": 2035, "downside10th": 162.41, "base": 556.59, "upside90th": 1907.39 }, { "year": 2036, "downside10th": 167.99, "base": 615.37, "upside90th": 2254.12 } ] }, "faqCount": 7, "sources": [ "TwelveData", "Wall Street consensus" ], "sections": [ { "id": "price", "title": "ROST Price Analysis" }, { "id": "market-metrics", "title": "Market Metrics", "facts": { "Open": "$224.51", "Day Range": "$222.73 to $228.41", "Prev Close": "$225.27", "Volume": "1.35M", "52-Week Range": "$143.39 to $257.00", "Market Cap": "$71.96B" } }, { "id": "peer-benchmarking", "title": "Peer Benchmarking", "text": [ "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-0.008164% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards." ] }, { "id": "analysis", "title": "ROST Analysis", "text": [ "At $225.27, Ross Stores Inc. exhibits bearish momentum as indicated by its RSI of 38.44. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA of $235.16 and its 20-day EMA of $233.93, suggesting near-term weakness. The MACD at -3.26 also points to downward pressure. Key support is seen around the 200-day SMA at $213.29, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 1.63 million compared to a 2.13 million average, indicating less conviction behind recent price movements.", "Ross Stores Inc. has a strong history of exceeding EPS estimates, most recently by 36.41%, indicating operational efficiency and strong demand for its products.", "The company is projected to achieve 13.00% revenue growth for the current year, signaling continued expansion and market share gains.", "Insiders have sold a total of $23.9 million in stock, indicating a moderate sell signal that warrants investor attention.", "The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting potential near-term weakness and a possible trend reversal.", "The base case scenario for Ross Stores Inc. projects a price of $336.6 by 2030, driven by its consistent earnings performance and positive revenue growth trajectory. The company's ability to repeatedly exceed analyst expectations, coupled with a median analyst target price of $282.5, suggests continued upside potential. However, the outlook is tempered by insider selling activity and current technical indicators showing bearish momentum. A significant downside risk could emerge if competitive pressures intensify or if consumer spending patterns shift unfavorably, potentially pushing the stock towards its downside projection of $148.08 by 2030." ], "lists": { "ProTips": [ "Monitor insider selling closely, as the $23.9 million in recent sales could signal a shift in management's confidence.", "The stock's current position below its 50-day moving average suggests a potential for short-term volatility; consider waiting for a confirmed break above resistance levels before initiating new positions.", "Given the consistent earnings beats, consider dollar-cost averaging into the position to mitigate timing risk and benefit from potential future growth." ] }, "catalysts": [ { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Consistent Earnings Beats", "text": "Ross Stores Inc. has a strong history of exceeding EPS estimates, most recently by 36.41%, indicating operational efficiency and strong demand for its products.", "source": "Earnings Reports" }, { "type": "Bullish", "title": "Positive Revenue Growth Projections", "text": "The company is projected to achieve 13.00% revenue growth for the current year, signaling continued expansion and market share gains.", "source": "Analyst Estimates" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Moderate Insider Selling Signal", "text": "Insiders have sold a total of $23.9 million in stock, indicating a moderate sell signal that warrants investor attention.", "source": "Insider Transactions" }, { "type": "Bearish", "title": "Below 50-Day Moving Average", "text": "The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting potential near-term weakness and a possible trend reversal.", "source": "Technical Analysis" } ] }, { "id": "key-statistics", "title": "Key Statistics", "text": [ "Ross Stores Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 27.61, which aligns with its sector average, suggesting fair valuation relative to peers. The company's revenue growth is projected at 13.00% for the current year, and it has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 36.41%. Profit margins are healthy, and the balance sheet appears stable, supporting the current valuation. The dividend yield stands at approximately 0.78%.", "Ross Stores Inc. has delivered strong earnings performance, most recently beating EPS estimates by 36.41% in the August 2026 quarter with an actual EPS of $2.66 against an estimate of $1.95. This follows a pattern of consistent positive surprises, including a 16.76% beat in May 2026 and a 5.26% beat in March 2026. The company's revenue growth is also trending positively, with current quarter estimates showing an 11.00% year-over-year increase.", "Significant insider selling, with total sales reaching $23.9 million, presents a notable risk, indicating a lack of conviction from management. The stock is also trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling potential near-term headwinds. Competitive pressures within the apparel retail sector could also impact future performance." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "Market Cap", "cells": [ "71.96B" ] }, { "label": "P/E Ratio", "cells": [ "27.61" ] }, { "label": "EPS (TTM)", "cells": [ "8.26" ] }, { "label": "Dividend Yield", "cells": [ "0.7723%" ] }, { "label": "52 Week High", "cells": [ "257.00" ] }, { "label": "52 Week Low", "cells": [ "143.39" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "technical-indicators", "title": "Technical Indicators", "text": [ "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($235.16) above the 200-day SMA ($213.29), price is trading below the 50-day SMA." ], "facts": { "RSI": "Bearish", "SMA Cross": "Bullish", "Price vs SMA": "Bearish", "MACD": "Bearish" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "", "columns": [], "rows": [ { "label": "RSI (14)", "cells": [ "38.44" ] }, { "label": "MACD", "cells": [ "-3.26" ] }, { "label": "SMA 50", "cells": [ "235.16" ] }, { "label": "SMA 200", "cells": [ "213.29" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "correlations", "title": "Market Correlations", "text": [ "How this stock moves relative to other assets", "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods." ], "facts": { "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.41", "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.35", "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.01", "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.03" } }, { "id": "trade-plans", "title": "ROST Trade Plans", "text": [ "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels", "Lower risk, wait for pullback", "Higher risk, immediate entry", "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (38.4) and current market volatility", "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3" ], "facts": { "TARGET 1": "$232.02", "TARGET 2": "$243.07", "TARGET 3": "$254.12", "STOP LOSS": "$212.51" } }, { "id": "risk", "title": "Risk & Volatility", "facts": { "Daily Volatility": "1.48%" }, "lists": { "Risk considerations": [ "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels", "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range", "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure" ] } }, { "id": "growth", "title": "Growth of $10,000", "text": [ "A $10,000 investment in ROST in September 2016 would be worth about $37,728 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark." ] }, { "id": "monte-carlo", "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)", "text": [ "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ROST today could grow to about $27,291 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $99,970 and a bear case around $7,450. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees." ] }, { "id": "price-prediction", "title": "ROST Stock Price Prediction: 2030", "text": [ "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $337 for ROST by 2030 in the base case, from $225 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $148. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ROST's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.", "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ROST's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice." ], "tables": [ { "caption": "ROST simulated price paths by year", "columns": [ "Year", "Downside (10th pct)", "Base case", "Upside (90th pct)" ], "rows": [ { "label": "2027", "cells": [ "$165", "$249", "$376" ] }, { "label": "2028", "cells": [ "$154", "$276", "$493" ] }, { "label": "2029", "cells": [ "$150", "$305", "$621" ] }, { "label": "2030", "cells": [ "$148", "$337", "$766" ] }, { "label": "2031", "cells": [ "$149", "$372", "$933" ] }, { "label": "2032", "cells": [ "$151", "$412", "$1,126" ] }, { "label": "2033", "cells": [ "$154", "$455", "$1,349" ] }, { "label": "2034", "cells": [ "$158", "$503", "$1,608" ] }, { "label": "2035", "cells": [ "$162", "$557", "$1,907" ] }, { "label": "2036", "cells": [ "$168", "$615", "$2,254" ] } ] } ] }, { "id": "people-also-watch", "title": "People Also Watch", "links": [ { "text": "WEN The Wendy's Company NASDAQ $7.62 +2.42%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wen-wendys-company/" }, { "text": "BBWI Bath & Body Works Inc. 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Sponsored NASDAQ $11.83 +1.55%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/li-stock-analysis/" } ] }, { "id": "related-comparisons", "title": "Popular Comparisons", "links": [ { "text": "DIA vs SPY Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dia-vs-spy/" }, { "text": "S vs RBRK Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/s-vs-rbrk/" }, { "text": "VGT vs QQQ Comparison Head-to-head analysis →", "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-qqq/" } ] }, { "id": "insider-trading", "title": "ROST Insider Trading Analysis", "facts": { "Bought": "None", "Sold": "$23.9M", "Insiders": "19", "Avg Transaction": "$1.4M" }, "tables": [ { "caption": "Recent insider transactions in ROST", "columns": [ "Date", "Insider", "Type", "Shares", "Value" ], "rows": [ { "label": "Jun 21, 2018", "cells": [ "FASSIO JAMES S President", "Sell", "175.8K", "$15.2M" ] }, { "label": "Jul 12, 2019", "cells": [ "FASSIO JAMES S President", "Sell", "85.2K", "$8.9M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 5, 2021", "cells": [ "RENTLER BARBARA Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "69.4K", "$7.8M" ] }, { "label": "May 31, 2019", "cells": [ "BALMUTH MICHAEL Officer and Director", "Sell", "81.0K", "$7.5M" ] }, { "label": "Aug 27, 2024", "cells": [ "RENTLER BARBARA Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "48.9K", "$7.5M" ] }, { "label": "May 28, 2021", "cells": [ "BALMUTH MICHAEL Officer", "Sell", "49.4K", "$6.2M" ] }, { "label": "Jun 19, 2019", "cells": [ "FASSIO JAMES S President", "Sell", "60.0K", "$6.2M" ] }, { "label": "Sep 24, 2025", "cells": [ "CONROY JAMES GRANT Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "39.4K", "$5.7M" ] }, { "label": "Mar 15, 2021", "cells": [ "RENTLER BARBARA Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "45.6K", "$5.6M" ] }, { "label": "Aug 28, 2023", "cells": [ "RENTLER BARBARA Chief Executive Officer", "Sell", "43.3K", "$5.2M" ] } ] } ], "links": [ { "text": "SEC Form 4", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Ross+Stores+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany" } ] }, { "id": "faq", "title": "Frequently Asked Questions" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What is Ross Stores Inc.'s consensus rating and score?", "answer": "Ross Stores Inc. currently holds a consensus rating of 'Buy' with a consensus score of 68 out of 100, indicating a generally positive outlook from analysts." }, { "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Ross Stores Inc. stock?", "answer": "The median analyst price target for Ross Stores Inc. is $282.5, suggesting a potential upside of 25.4% from the current price of $225.27." }, { "question": "How has Ross Stores Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?", "answer": "Ross Stores Inc. has consistently beaten earnings expectations, with its latest report showing a 36.41% EPS surprise. This positive trend in earnings performance is a key driver of its current rating." }, { "question": "What are the key technical indicators for Ross Stores Inc.?", "answer": "Technically, Ross Stores Inc. is showing bearish momentum with an RSI at 38.4 and is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, though it remains above its 200-day moving average." }, { "question": "What is the long-term outlook for Ross Stores Inc.?", "answer": "The long-term outlook for Ross Stores Inc. is positive, with a base case projection of $336.6 by 2030, supported by consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth." }, { "question": "Are there any significant insider transactions for Ross Stores Inc.?", "answer": "Yes, insider activity indicates a net seller stance, with total sales amounting to $23.9 million. This moderate sell signal suggests caution among insiders." }, { "question": "How does Ross Stores Inc. compare to its sector averages?", "answer": "Ross Stores Inc.'s P/E ratio of 27.61 is in line with the sector average, and its projected revenue growth of 13.00% for the current year is strong compared to the sector average of 10.00%." } ], "related": { "peopleAlsoWatch": [ { "ticker": "WEN", "name": "The Wendy's Company NASDAQ", "price": "$7.62", "change": "+2.42%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/wen-wendys-company/" }, { "ticker": "BBWI", "name": "Bath & Body Works Inc. NYSE", "price": "$17.45", "change": "-1.47%", "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/bath-body-works-bbwi/" }, { "ticker": "BABA", "name": "Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. 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This positive trend in earnings performance is a key driver of its current rating." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What are the key technical indicators for Ross Stores Inc.?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Technically, Ross Stores Inc. is showing bearish momentum with an RSI of 38.44 and is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, though it remains above its 200-day moving average." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the long-term outlook for Ross Stores Inc.?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The long-term outlook for Ross Stores Inc. is positive, with a base case projection of $336.6 by 2030, supported by consistent earnings beats and projected revenue growth." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Are there any significant insider transactions for Ross Stores Inc.?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Yes, insider activity indicates a net seller stance, with total sales amounting to $23.9 million. This moderate sell signal suggests caution among insiders." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does Ross Stores Inc. compare to its sector averages?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Ross Stores Inc.'s P/E ratio of 27.61 is in line with the sector average, and its projected revenue growth of 13.00% for the current year is strong compared to the sector average of 10.00%." } } ] } ] }