{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rivian-rivn/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/rivian-rivn/data.json",
 "title": "Rivian (RIVN) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Auto Manufacturers. $22.4B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)",
 "published": "2026-06-10T09:11:49+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T20:35:55.629+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:31:31.839Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "RIVN",
  "name": "Rivian Automotive Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Auto Manufacturers",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.rivian.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 15.47,
  "previousClose": 15.29,
  "change": 0.18,
  "changePercent": 1.18,
  "open": 15.45,
  "high": 15.65,
  "low": 15.18,
  "volume": 16669900,
  "averageVolume": 23435920,
  "marketCap": 22398403946,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 22.69,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 12.39,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T20:35:55.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -5.039088034862805,
  "eps": -2.59,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 1.618,
  "priceToSales": 3.80731,
  "priceToBook": 4.126434,
  "revenueTtm": 5882999808,
  "grossMargin": 0.10796139927623644,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.57523
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 45.78,
  "macd": -0.23,
  "sma50": 15.97,
  "sma200": 16.24,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 15.47,
  "analystTarget": 18.5,
  "analystCount": 25,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T20:35:55.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 15.47,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 2.52,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 15.32,
  "aggressiveEntry": 15.47,
  "stopLoss": 14.6,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.64,
  "targets": [
   15.77,
   16.08,
   16.54
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 7.1,
    "base": 13.48,
    "upside90th": 25.58
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 4.74,
    "base": 11.74,
    "upside90th": 29.06
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 3.37,
    "base": 10.23,
    "upside90th": 31.03
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 2.47,
    "base": 8.91,
    "upside90th": 32.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 1.85,
    "base": 7.76,
    "upside90th": 32.52
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 1.41,
    "base": 6.76,
    "upside90th": 32.49
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 1.08,
    "base": 5.89,
    "upside90th": 32.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.84,
    "base": 5.13,
    "upside90th": 31.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.65,
    "base": 4.47,
    "upside90th": 30.56
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.51,
    "base": 3.89,
    "upside90th": 29.54
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "RIVN Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$15.45",
    "Day Range": "$15.18 to $15.65",
    "Prev Close": "$15.29",
    "Volume": "16.67M",
    "52-Week Range": "$12.39 to $22.69",
    "Market Cap": "$22.40B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RIVN trades at 3.81x, +100% versus the sector average of 1.90x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "RIVN Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, RIVN beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "RIVN Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($15.97 and $16.24), suggesting a bearish trend over the medium to long term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.78, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly negative, reinforcing the current lack of strong directional conviction. Volume has been below average recently, with a 28.9% decrease compared to the average, suggesting cautious market participation. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the recent price action, but the current price of $15.47 is approaching the 52-week low, while resistance is seen around the $15.97 (50-day SMA) and $16.24 (200-day SMA) levels.",
    "Volkswagen AG has invested nearly $1 billion in Rivian, representing extreme insider accumulation and a strong signal of conviction in the company's future prospects.",
    "Rivian's reported revenue growth of 27.2% significantly surpasses the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 7.2%, indicating strong demand and market penetration.",
    "Rivian continues to report significant negative profit and operating margins, raising concerns about its path to profitability and long-term financial sustainability.",
    "While the overall consensus is 'Hold', the distribution of ratings shows a significant number of 'Buy' and 'Strong Buy' recommendations alongside 'Sell' ratings, indicating divided analyst sentiment.",
    "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) faces a challenging outlook as it navigates a path to profitability amidst strong revenue growth. The median analyst price target of $18.50 suggests an upside of 19.6% from the current price of $15.47, reflecting cautious optimism from Wall Street. The company's ability to execute on its production targets and achieve positive margins will be paramount. Significant insider buying, particularly from Volkswagen AG, provides a strong signal of underlying confidence, which could support the stock price. However, the current technical setup, with the price below key moving averages, indicates potential for near-term weakness."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "The extreme insider accumulation, led by Volkswagen AG's near $1 billion investment, suggests strong conviction in Rivian's long-term prospects, potentially acting as a floor for the stock price.",
     "Rivian's current price is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($15.97 and $16.24), indicating bearish momentum; consider waiting for a confirmed break above these levels before initiating new long positions.",
     "Given Rivian's current unprofitability, investors should closely monitor cash burn rates and future capital raises, as sustained losses could pressure the stock price despite strong revenue growth."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Extreme Insider Accumulation by Volkswagen AG",
     "text": "Volkswagen AG has invested nearly $1 billion in Rivian, representing extreme insider accumulation and a strong signal of conviction in the company's future prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Filings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Exceeding Sector Average",
     "text": "Rivian's reported revenue growth of 27.2% significantly surpasses the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 7.2%, indicating strong demand and market penetration.",
     "source": "Company Financials"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Persistent Operational Losses",
     "text": "Rivian continues to report significant negative profit and operating margins, raising concerns about its path to profitability and long-term financial sustainability.",
     "source": "Company Financials"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Wall Street Analyst Ratings",
     "text": "While the overall consensus is 'Hold', the distribution of ratings shows a significant number of 'Buy' and 'Strong Buy' recommendations alongside 'Sell' ratings, indicating divided analyst sentiment.",
     "source": "Analyst Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a price-to-sales ratio of 3.81 that is above the sector median of 1.9, indicating a premium valuation relative to its revenue. The company's revenue growth of 27.2% significantly exceeds the sector average of 7.2%, showcasing strong top-line expansion. However, profitability remains a significant concern, with a negative EPS of -2.59, a net profit margin of -54.96%, and an operating margin of -50.42%. The return on equity stands at a concerning -57.52%, well below the sector average of 12.4%. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04 is in line with the sector average, but the persistent losses raise questions about long-term financial sustainability.",
    "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) recently reported a narrower-than-expected loss for the quarter ending June 2026, with an EPS of -0.63 against an estimate of -0.78, a positive surprise of 19.23%. Despite this beat, the stock experienced a 9.57% decline, suggesting market concerns extend beyond immediate earnings. The prior quarter also saw a beat, but the stock reacted negatively, indicating a pattern where earnings beats are not translating into sustained positive price action. Revenue for the June 2026 quarter grew by 26.00% year-over-year, reaching $1.96 billion, with expectations for continued strong revenue growth in the coming quarters.",
    "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) faces significant risks including its persistent unprofitability, with substantial negative margins and EPS, which could strain its financial resources. The company's valuation, trading at a premium price-to-sales ratio compared to the sector, is vulnerable to any slowdown in its ambitious growth targets. Also, the stock's current trading price below key moving averages suggests potential for further downside pressure if market sentiment shifts or operational challenges re-emerge."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "22.40B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-2.59"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "22.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "12.39"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $15.97, 200-day: $16.24), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "45.78"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "15.97"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "16.24"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.38",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.25",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.17"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "RIVN Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (45.8) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$15.77",
    "TARGET 2": "$16.08",
    "TARGET 3": "$16.54",
    "STOP LOSS": "$14.60"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-16.16%",
    "Average Feb return": "-6.08%",
    "Average Mar return": "-3.14%",
    "Average Apr return": "-11.56%",
    "Average May return": "+9.61%",
    "Average Jun return": "+3.38%",
    "Average Jul return": "+15.36%",
    "Average Aug return": "-3.60%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.42%",
    "Average Oct return": "-8.04%",
    "Average Nov return": "+13.29%",
    "Average Dec return": "+1.04%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "2.52%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in RIVN in November 2021 would be worth about $1,536 today, compared with about $16,638 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RIVN today could grow to about $2,517 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $19,095 and a bear case around $332. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "RIVN Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.91 for RIVN by 2030 in the base case, from $15.47 today (0.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.47. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RIVN's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RIVN's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RIVN simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$7.10",
        "$13.48",
        "$25.58"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$4.74",
        "$11.74",
        "$29.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$3.37",
        "$10.23",
        "$31.03"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$2.47",
        "$8.91",
        "$32.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$1.85",
        "$7.76",
        "$32.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$1.41",
        "$6.76",
        "$32.49"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$1.08",
        "$5.89",
        "$32.09"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.8376",
        "$5.13",
        "$31.43"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.6537",
        "$4.47",
        "$30.56"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5132",
        "$3.89",
        "$29.54"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/booking-holdings-bkng/"
    },
    {
     "text": "CPNG Coupang, Inc. NYSE $13.88 +0.00%",
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    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/alibaba-baba/"
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/phm-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare RIVN",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "RIVN vs LCID Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/rivn-vs-lcid/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/dia-vs-spy/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "RIVN Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.0B",
    "Sold": "$12.6M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$28.9M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in RIVN",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 9, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "FORD MOTOR CO. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "8.0M",
        "$214.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 13, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "FORD MOTOR CO. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "7.0M",
        "$188.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$3.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 19, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "178.6K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "71.4K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 6, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "71.4K",
        "$1.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "83.3K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 8, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "71.4K",
        "$1.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 23, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "71.4K",
        "$991.3K"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 12, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "SCARINGE ROBERT J Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "71.4K",
        "$975.2K"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Rivian+Automotive+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Rivian's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Rivian's long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $8.91, with a downside scenario at $2.47 and an upside scenario at $32.09. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and do not represent guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Rivian Automotive Inc. a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a consensus score of 59. While extreme insider buying signals strong conviction, the stock's current price is below key moving averages, and ongoing losses present significant risks."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks for Rivian Automotive Inc.?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Rivian include its persistent unprofitability, a valuation that appears stretched relative to sector peers based on price-to-sales, and the potential for further price declines given its current technical positioning below key moving averages."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Rivian's revenue growth compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Rivian's revenue growth of 27.2% significantly outpaces the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 7.2%, indicating strong expansion in its top line."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the sentiment from Wall Street analysts regarding Rivian?",
   "answer": "Wall Street analysts maintain a mixed 'Hold' consensus for Rivian, with 25 analysts providing ratings. While there are more 'Buy' and 'Strong Buy' ratings combined (12) than 'Sell' and 'Strong Sell' (5), the 'Hold' category is the largest with 8 ratings."
  },
  {
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   "answer": "The insider activity in Rivian shows extreme accumulation, with Volkswagen AG leading purchases totaling nearly $1 billion. This represents a rare conviction signal from insiders, potentially providing significant downside support for the stock."
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}