{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/rigetti-computing-rgti/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/rigetti-computing-rgti/data.json",
 "title": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Stock Forecast (2026)",
 "description": "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) stock: Technology, Computer Hardware. $5.6B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI)",
 "published": "2026-06-25T09:18:26+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-26T16:16:46.808+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T13:28:01.687Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "RGTI",
  "name": "Rigetti Computing, Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Technology",
  "industry": "Computer Hardware",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.rigetti.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 16.66,
  "previousClose": 16.5,
  "change": 0.16,
  "changePercent": 0.97,
  "open": 16.485,
  "high": 17.295,
  "low": 16.36,
  "volume": 17515200,
  "averageVolume": 17214160,
  "marketCap": 5560587325,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 58.15,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 12.53,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-26T16:16:46.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -23.77142769949777,
  "eps": -0.83,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 2.01,
  "priceToSales": 416.4298,
  "priceToBook": 10.341403,
  "revenueTtm": 13353000,
  "grossMargin": 0.4258466329311016,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.43765
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 63.96,
  "macd": 0,
  "sma50": 16.05,
  "sma200": 18.59,
  "rsiSignal": "Bullish",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Neutral",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 69,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 30,
  "analystTarget": 30,
  "analystCount": 13,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-26T16:16:46.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 16.66,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 4.28,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 16.33,
  "aggressiveEntry": 16.66,
  "stopLoss": 14.93,
  "stopLossPercent": 8.57,
  "targets": [
   17.14,
   17.96,
   18.78
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 9.54,
    "base": 18.1,
    "upside90th": 34.35
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 7.95,
    "base": 19.67,
    "upside90th": 48.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 7.04,
    "base": 21.37,
    "upside90th": 64.83
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 6.44,
    "base": 23.21,
    "upside90th": 83.63
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 6.02,
    "base": 25.22,
    "upside90th": 105.7
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 5.7,
    "base": 27.4,
    "upside90th": 131.67
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 5.46,
    "base": 29.77,
    "upside90th": 162.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 5.28,
    "base": 32.35,
    "upside90th": 198.14
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 5.14,
    "base": 35.14,
    "upside90th": 240.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 5.03,
    "base": 38.18,
    "upside90th": 289.68
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "RGTI Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$16.49",
    "Day Range": "$16.36 to $17.30",
    "Prev Close": "$16.50",
    "Volume": "17.52M",
    "52-Week Range": "$12.53 to $58.15",
    "Market Cap": "$5.56B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RGTI trades at 416.43x, far above the sector average of 7.50x."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "RGTI Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, RGTI beat estimates 1 times. However, the stock fell 1 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "RGTI Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) exhibits bullish momentum with its RSI at 63.96, trading above its 50-day SMA of $16.05 and its 20-day EMA of $16.00. However, the stock is currently trading below its 200-day SMA of $18.59, suggesting a longer-term bearish trend. The MACD is near zero, indicating a neutral short-term momentum. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with 17.5 million shares traded compared to a 20-day average of 17.2 million. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 200-day SMA. The current price action suggests a battle between short-term bullish indicators and a longer-term bearish trend, with significant insider selling adding a layer of caution.",
    "Next year's revenue is estimated to reach $34.9 million, an 89.00% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for quantum computing solutions.",
    "The median analyst price target for RGTI is $30.00, implying an 80.1% upside from the current price, supported by 13 analysts with a consensus 'Buy' rating.",
    "Insiders have sold over $62.5 million worth of Rigetti Computing (RGTI) stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the near-term outlook.",
    "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is currently trading at $16.66, below its 200-day SMA of $18.59, suggesting a bearish longer-term technical trend.",
    "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) is expected to see continued strong revenue growth, with projections for the next year reaching $34.9 million, an 89.00% increase. The median analyst price target of $30.00 suggests significant upside potential from the current price of $16.66, driven by the company's position in the technology sector and its ambitious growth trajectory. The primary upside catalysts include the successful execution of its growth strategy and continued positive analyst sentiment. However, the significant insider selling and the high valuation metrics present considerable downside risks. A failure to meet aggressive revenue growth targets or a worsening of insider selling could lead to a sharp correction, especially given the stock's current position below its 200-day moving average."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Despite a bullish RSI, the significant insider selling of over $62.5 million for Rigetti Computing (RGTI) suggests caution is warranted. Consider waiting for a clearer signal of insider confidence before initiating or increasing a position.",
     "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating a potential bearish trend. Investors should monitor if the stock can reclaim this key technical level to signal a shift in momentum.",
     "Given Rigetti Computing's (RGTI) high price-to-sales ratio of 416.43, position sizing should be conservative, reflecting the elevated valuation and the company's reliance on future growth to justify its current market capitalization."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Revenue Growth Projections",
     "text": "Next year's revenue is estimated to reach $34.9 million, an 89.00% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for quantum computing solutions.",
     "source": "Wall Street Revenue Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Positive Analyst Sentiment",
     "text": "The median analyst price target for RGTI is $30.00, implying an 80.1% upside from the current price, supported by 13 analysts with a consensus 'Buy' rating.",
     "source": "Wall Street Price Target"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $62.5 million worth of Rigetti Computing (RGTI) stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in the near-term outlook.",
     "source": "Insider Summary"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below 200-Day Moving Average",
     "text": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is currently trading at $16.66, below its 200-day SMA of $18.59, suggesting a bearish longer-term technical trend.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a high valuation metric of 416.43 for its price-to-sales ratio, significantly above the sector median of 7.5. This suggests the stock is trading at a substantial premium relative to its current revenue. The company's profit margin is reported at 29.12%, but this is offset by a significantly negative operating margin of -546.17% and a negative return on equity of -43.77%, indicating significant operational inefficiencies and losses. Despite these concerns, the company's balance sheet is strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.01, well below the sector median of 0.01. The projected revenue growth for the next year is a strong 89.00%, which may justify the high price-to-sales ratio if realized. However, the negative EPS of -0.83 and negative growth estimates for the current and next year (-16% and -10.5% respectively) raise questions about the sustainability of its valuation.",
    "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) has shown consistent performance around analyst estimates in its recent earnings reports. For the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS of -0.05, matching the estimate with a 0% surprise and resulting in a positive price change of 8.53%. Prior quarters also showed EPS figures at or very near estimates, with no significant surprises. The company's revenue growth is projected to be strong, with current quarter estimates showing an 89.00% year-over-year increase.",
    "Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) faces significant risks, primarily stemming from heavy insider selling totaling over $62.5 million, which suggests a lack of confidence from management. The company's extremely high price-to-sales ratio of 416.43, far exceeding the sector median, indicates a potentially overvalued stock that is highly sensitive to growth expectations. Also, the stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, signaling a bearish longer-term trend that could persist."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "5.56B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A (Negative EPS)"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "-0.8300"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "58.15"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "12.53"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Bullish SMA Cross Bearish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Neutral Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $16.05, 200-day: $18.59), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bullish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bearish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Neutral"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "63.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "0.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "16.05"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "18.59"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.42",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.14"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "RGTI Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (64.0) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$17.14",
    "TARGET 2": "$17.96",
    "TARGET 3": "$18.78",
    "STOP LOSS": "$14.93"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Limited data: Based on ~1 year of trading history. Patterns may not be statistically significant."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "-3.76%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.67%",
    "Average Mar return": "-15.77%",
    "Average Apr return": "+2.10%",
    "Average May return": "+34.67%",
    "Average Jun return": "-10.15%",
    "Average Jul return": "+19.23%",
    "Average Aug return": "-5.08%",
    "Average Sep return": "+2.58%",
    "Average Oct return": "+24.45%",
    "Average Nov return": "+17.22%",
    "Average Dec return": "+68.59%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "4.28%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in RGTI in April 2021 would be worth about $16,828 today, compared with about $18,710 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RGTI today could grow to about $22,919 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $173,875 and a bear case around $3,021. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "RGTI Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $23.21 for RGTI by 2030 in the base case, from $16.66 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $6.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RGTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RGTI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. RGTI is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RGTI simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$9.54",
        "$18.10",
        "$34.35"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$7.95",
        "$19.67",
        "$48.67"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$7.04",
        "$21.37",
        "$64.83"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$6.44",
        "$23.21",
        "$83.63"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$6.02",
        "$25.22",
        "$106"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$5.70",
        "$27.40",
        "$132"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$5.46",
        "$29.77",
        "$162"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$5.28",
        "$32.35",
        "$198"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$5.14",
        "$35.14",
        "$240"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$5.03",
        "$38.18",
        "$290"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare RGTI",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/ionq-vs-rgti/"
    },
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "RGTI Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$62.5M",
    "Insiders": "8",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.8M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in RGTI",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 29, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "RIVAS DAVID Chief Technology Officer",
        "Sell",
        "499.3K",
        "$12.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 20, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KULKARNI SUBODH K Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "1.0M",
        "$12.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 9, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CLIFTON MICHAEL S. Director",
        "Sell",
        "150.0K",
        "$4.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 11, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS TRUST Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "2.0M",
        "$3.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 11, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS X L.P. Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "2.0M",
        "$3.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 17, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "SANDFORD HELENE GAIL Director",
        "Sell",
        "62.0K",
        "$2.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 11, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "RIVAS DAVID Chief Technology Officer",
        "Sell",
        "351.8K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "BERTELSEN JEFFREY A Chief Financial Officer",
        "Sell",
        "231.3K",
        "$2.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KULKARNI SUBODH K Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "104.2K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 8, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "JOHNSON RAY O Director",
        "Sell",
        "122.2K",
        "$2.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Rigetti+Computing%2C+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Rigetti Computing's stock price prediction for 2030?",
   "answer": "Rigetti Computing's (RGTI) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $23.21, with a downside scenario of $6.44 and an upside scenario of $83.63. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and not guaranteed price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Rigetti Computing (RGTI) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 69 and a median analyst price target of $30.00, suggesting an 80.1% upside. However, significant insider selling and a high price-to-sales ratio warrant careful consideration."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks for Rigetti Computing (RGTI)?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Rigetti Computing (RGTI) include substantial insider selling exceeding $62.5 million, an extremely high price-to-sales ratio of 416.43, and the stock trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential overvaluation and bearish sentiment."
  },
  {
   "question": "How is Rigetti Computing's revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is experiencing strong revenue growth, with current year estimates at $23.3 million, a 228.00% increase year-over-year. Next year's revenue is projected to grow by 89.00% to $34.9 million."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the analyst consensus for Rigetti Computing (RGTI)?",
   "answer": "The Wall Street consensus for Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is predominantly positive, with 1 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings from 13 analysts, resulting in a 'Buy' consensus and a score of 69 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Rigetti Computing's valuation compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) trades at a significant premium compared to its sector peers, with a price-to-sales ratio of 416.43 versus the sector median of 7.5. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 is in line with the sector median."
  },
  {
   "question": "What was Rigetti Computing's most recent earnings performance?",
   "answer": "In the quarter ending June 2026, Rigetti Computing (RGTI) reported an EPS of -0.05, matching estimates with no surprise, and saw a positive stock price reaction of 8.53%."
  }
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      "text": "Rigetti Computing's (RGTI) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $23.21, with a downside scenario of $6.44 and an upside scenario of $83.63. These figures are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation and not guaranteed price targets."
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      "text": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI) trades at a significant premium compared to its sector peers, with a price-to-sales ratio of 416.43 versus the sector median of 7.5. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 is in line with the sector median."
     }
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      "text": "In the quarter ending June 2026, Rigetti Computing (RGTI) reported an EPS of -0.05, matching estimates with no surprise, and saw a positive stock price reaction of 8.53%."
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   ]
  }
 ]
}