{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/redwire-rdw/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/redwire-rdw/data.json",
 "title": "Redwire (RDW) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "RDW stock forecast and price target 2026: is Redwire a buy? Industry: aerospace & defense; listed on the NYSE. Earnings record: 3 beats in 6 reports.",
 "headline": "Redwire Corporation (RDW)",
 "published": "2026-11-09T11:40:44+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-11-10T11:46:30.773+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-11-11T13:24:35.296Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by Ryan Brothwell, Financial Journalist; prices delayed by up to a minute.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "RDW",
  "name": "Redwire Corporation",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Industrials",
  "industry": "Aerospace & Defense",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.rdw.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 8.13,
  "previousClose": 8.15,
  "change": -0.02,
  "changePercent": -0.2454,
  "open": 7.98,
  "high": 8.227,
  "low": 7.85,
  "volume": 12661300,
  "averageVolume": 14683240,
  "marketCap": 2034283039,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 26.64,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 4.87,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-11-11T11:51:37.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": -3.570175589176647,
  "eps": -1.2,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 3.126,
  "priceToSales": 4.7219386,
  "priceToBook": 1.2614146,
  "revenueTtm": 431875008,
  "grossMargin": 0.2779780309889472,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.17117001
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 45.73,
  "macd": -0.6018,
  "sma50": 9.7,
  "sma200": 10.95,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bearish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 37,
  "consensus": "Sell",
  "fairValue": null,
  "analystTarget": 14,
  "analystCount": 11,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-11-11T11:51:37.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 8.13,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 6.53,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 4.31,
    "base": 8.19,
    "upside90th": 15.54
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 3.33,
    "base": 8.24,
    "upside90th": 20.4
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 2.74,
    "base": 8.3,
    "upside90th": 25.19
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 2.32,
    "base": 8.36,
    "upside90th": 30.11
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "atAGlance": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "rating": "Sell",
  "score": 37,
  "evidence": [
   {
    "label": "Trend",
    "text": "Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($9.70 and $10.95)."
   },
   {
    "label": "Earnings",
    "text": "RDW beat estimates in 3 of its last 6 quarters, yet fell in the first session after 1 of those beats."
   },
   {
    "label": "Insiders",
    "text": "Insiders sold $132.6M and bought $441K over the last 18 months."
   }
  ]
 },
 "figures": {
  "asOf": "November 10, 2026",
  "earningsReaction": {
   "quarters": 6,
   "beats": 3,
   "fellFirstSessionAfterBeat": 1,
   "latestReport": "Nov 4, 2026",
   "latestSurprisePercent": 33.33,
   "latestFirstSessionMovePercent": -19.82
  },
  "insiders": {
   "windowMonths": 18,
   "soldValue": 132566158,
   "boughtValue": 441026,
   "sales": 3,
   "purchases": 7,
   "note": "open-market transactions only; grants and option exercises excluded"
  },
  "drawdown": {
   "years": 6,
   "worstFallPercent": -86.23,
   "peak": "October 2021",
   "trough": "December 2022",
   "recoveredBy": "November 2024",
   "recoveryMonths": 23,
   "belowThatPeakNowPercent": null,
   "fromHighNowPercent": -68.61,
   "oneYearHoldsPositivePercent": 52,
   "dividendsReinvested": false
  },
  "seasonality": {
   "years": 6,
   "bestMonth": {
    "month": "May",
    "averagePercent": 31.36,
    "upYearsPercent": 50
   },
   "worstMonth": {
    "month": "Jun",
    "averagePercent": -7.85,
    "upYearsPercent": 50
   }
  },
  "correlations": null,
  "analystTargets": {
   "analysts": 11,
   "low": 8,
   "median": 14,
   "high": 16,
   "mean": 13.39,
   "buy": 6,
   "hold": 4,
   "sell": 1
  },
  "dividend": null,
  "simulation": {
   "year": 2030,
   "base": 8.36,
   "percentile10": 2.32,
   "percentile90": 30.11,
   "note": "Monte Carlo simulation outcomes, not price targets"
  }
 },
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "ch-overview",
   "title": "RDW stock today, November 11, 2026: price, news and analyst targets",
   "text": [
    "As of November 10, 2026, Redwire Corporation (RDW) trades at $8.13. Wall Street's median 12-month price target is $14.00 across 11 analysts, 72.2% above the price. CleaRank rates it Sell with a score of 37/100.",
    "Redwire's stock fell 19.82% in the first session after its November 4, 2026 report, even though adjusted EPS of -$0.06 beat the -$0.09 estimate by 33.33%. The shares closed at $8.13, down 15.14% over the past month and 39.82% over three months, and they sit 15% of the way up their 52-week range. The stock is below its 20-day EMA, 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA, and the MACD line is negative. The reaction shows that the market is focused on the business's losses and cash burn rather than on the quarter beating a low bar.",
    "Redwire reported adjusted EPS of -$0.06 on November 4, 2026, better than the -$0.09 analysts expected, a beat of 33.33%. The shares still fell 19.82% in the first trading session after the report. The same pattern appeared in the earlier reports: of the six most recent reports, three beat the EPS estimate, and only one of those beats was followed by a lower share price in the first session. That record suggests investors are weighing the size of the losses and the trajectory of the business more heavily than a single quarter's result against a low bar.",
    "Net profit margin is -55.4%, operating margin is -23.24%, and return on equity is -17.12%, against a sector median of 17.8%. The GAAP EPS over the last twelve months is -$1.20, so the price-to-earnings ratio is not meaningful. The balance sheet is light, with debt-to-equity of 0.06, and that gives the company room to fund its growth, but the company is still losing money at the operating line.",
    "At a price-to-sales ratio of 4.72, RDW trades 18.0% above the sector median of 4.0 while it is losing money, which leaves little margin for error if growth slows. Insiders sold $132.6M of stock over the last 18 months across three sales, and made open-market purchases of $441K across seven transactions. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so the purchases are the more informative of the two signals.",
    "On November 6, 2026, Canaccord Genuity and B. Riley Securities kept their Buy ratings, and Piper Sandler kept its Neutral rating. Piper Sandler started coverage at Neutral on October 15, 2026, and Guggenheim started coverage at Neutral on September 15, 2026. B of A Securities kept its Underperform rating on August 31, 2026. Of eleven analysts, six rate the stock Buy, four Hold and one Sell, against nine ratings three months earlier when six were Buy.",
    "CleaRank score 37/100 (Sell). 5 of 17 checks pass: trend 0 of 4, momentum 1 of 3, valuation and quality 0 of 3, analysts 2 of 3, track record 2 of 4.",
    "Redwire Corporation is an integrated aerospace and defense company focused on space infrastructure, autonomous systems, and multi-domain operations. Redwire develops and supplies mission-critical hardware, software, and engineering services for government, commercial, and civil customers in the United States, Europe, and other international markets. Its current offerings include spacecraft platforms, deployable structures, solar power systems, sensors, avionics, radio frequency systems, payloads, microgravity research and manufacturing technologies, and digital engineering solutions."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-news",
   "title": "RDW stock news",
   "text": [
    "November 4, 2026·Earnings report",
    "The stock dropped 19.82% in the first session after the November 4, 2026 report despite an EPS beat. The reaction shows that investors are focused on losses and cash burn, and another drop could follow if future results disappoint.",
    "November 6, 2026·Canaccord Genuity",
    "Canaccord Genuity and B. Riley Securities both kept their Buy ratings on November 6, 2026. Continued support from brokers can help sentiment if the stock stabilises.",
    "November 6, 2026·Piper Sandler",
    "Piper Sandler kept its Neutral rating on November 6, 2026, after starting coverage at Neutral on October 15, 2026. The stance signals that one major broker sees limited upside from current levels.",
    "August 31, 2026·B of A Securities",
    "B of A Securities kept its Underperform rating on August 31, 2026, which is the only sell-side view on the stock that is negative. It signals that at least one firm sees the shares lagging their peers."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "Shares fell after the November report November 4, 2026·Earnings report The stock dropped 19.82% in the first session after the November 4, 2026 report despite an EPS beat. The reaction shows that investors are focused on losses and cash burn, and another drop could follow if future results disappoint.",
     "Two Buy ratings reaffirmed November 6, 2026·Canaccord Genuity Canaccord Genuity and B. Riley Securities both kept their Buy ratings on November 6, 2026. Continued support from brokers can help sentiment if the stock stabilises.",
     "Piper Sandler keeps Neutral stance November 6, 2026·Piper Sandler Piper Sandler kept its Neutral rating on November 6, 2026, after starting coverage at Neutral on October 15, 2026. The stance signals that one major broker sees limited upside from current levels.",
     "Underperform rating held August 31, 2026·B of A Securities B of A Securities kept its Underperform rating on August 31, 2026, which is the only sell-side view on the stock that is negative. It signals that at least one firm sees the shares lagging their peers."
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-street",
   "title": "RDW price target 2026",
   "text": [
    "Our base case is that RDW stays under pressure until it shows that losses are narrowing. The analysts' EPS estimates still show losses this year at -$0.43 and next year at -$0.32, and revenue is expected to grow 39.8% this fiscal year to $468.9M, so growth alone has not been enough to lift the shares. Analysts have a median 12-month target of $14.00, with a range of $8.00 to $16.00, and six of eleven rate the stock Buy. The case would improve if revenue growth picks up from the 5.40% recorded in the latest quarter and losses keep narrowing toward the analysts' estimates. It would worsen if the stock fails to hold above its recent lows or if another quarter misses estimates, as the February 25, 2026 and November 5, 2025 reports did."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent analyst rating actions on RDW",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Firm",
      "Action",
      "Rating"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Canaccord Genuity",
        "Maintains",
        "Buy"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "B. Riley Securities",
        "Maintains",
        "Buy"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 6, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Piper Sandler",
        "Maintains",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 15, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Piper Sandler",
        "Initiates",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 15, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Guggenheim",
        "Initiates",
        "Neutral"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 31, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "B of A Securities",
        "Maintains",
        "Underperform"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-levels",
   "title": "RDW support and resistance levels",
   "text": [
    "Support: the 52-week low of $4.87 is the nearest level below the price and the level a fall would meet first, and it marks the bottom of the stock's one-year range. Resistance: the 20-day EMA at $8.36 is the nearest level above the price, followed by the 50-day SMA at $9.70, which is the level the stock must reclaim to repair its medium-term trend. The 200-day SMA at $10.95 is the next hurdle above, and the 52-week high of $26.64 is the far ceiling."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RDW support and resistance levels",
     "columns": [
      "Level",
      "What it is",
      "Price",
      "From the price"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Resistance 4",
       "cells": [
        "52-week high",
        "$26.64",
        "+227.7%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 3",
       "cells": [
        "200-day moving average",
        "$10.95",
        "+34.7%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 2",
       "cells": [
        "50-day moving average",
        "$9.70",
        "+19.3%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Resistance 1",
       "cells": [
        "20-day exponential average",
        "$8.36",
        "+2.8%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Price",
       "cells": [
        "November 10, 2026",
        "$8.13",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Support 1",
       "cells": [
        "52-week low",
        "$4.87",
        "-40.1%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "lists": {
    "items": [
     "RSI Neutral",
     "SMA cross Bearish",
     "Price vs SMA Bearish",
     "MACD Bearish"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-price",
   "title": "RDW stock price and trading"
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-fundamentals",
   "title": "RDW fundamentals and valuation",
   "text": [
    "Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RDW trades at 4.72x, +18% versus the sector median of 4.00x.",
    "Return vs XLI: Since May 30, 2025, RDW has lost 43.2% against a gain of 18.1% for XLI.",
    "Revenue growth: Revenue grew 10.3% in FY2025 to $335M, from $304M a year earlier.",
    "Profit margin: The net margin was -67.6% in FY2025, down from -37.6% the year before.",
    "Loss-making: RDW lost $227M in FY2025.",
    "Earnings record: RDW beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 6 quarters.",
    "Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RDW earnings surprises and the stock's reaction",
     "columns": [
      "Report",
      "Estimate",
      "Actual",
      "Surprise",
      "First sessionDay 1",
      "5 sessionsDay 5"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Nov 4, 2026after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.09",
        "-$0.06",
        "+33.33%",
        "-19.82%",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 5, 2026after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.13",
        "-$0.09",
        "+30.77%",
        "+10.35%",
        "+25.84%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 25, 2026after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.16",
        "-$0.22",
        "-37.50%",
        "+10.79%",
        "+7.66%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 5, 2025after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.13",
        "-$0.19",
        "-46.15%",
        "-18.08%",
        "-18.22%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 12, 2025after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.35",
        "-$0.09",
        "+74.29%",
        "+7.86%",
        "+16.48%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 10, 2025after close",
       "cells": [
        "-$0.08",
        "-$0.24",
        "-200.00%",
        "-8.44%",
        "-2.49%"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-history",
   "title": "RDW price history and drawdowns",
   "text": [
    "Against the market: RDW trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $7,742.86 against $21,514.",
    "A $10,000 investment in RDW in February 2021 would be worth about $7,743 today, compared with about $21,514 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark with its dividends reinvested."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-scenarios",
   "title": "RDW stock price prediction 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $8.36 for RDW by 2030 in the base case, from $8.13 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.32. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RDW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "RDW simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "10th percentile",
      "Base case",
      "90th percentile",
      "range base today"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$4.31",
        "$8.19",
        "$15.54",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$3.33",
        "$8.24",
        "$20.40",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$2.74",
        "$8.30",
        "$25.19",
        ""
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$2.32",
        "$8.36",
        "$30.11",
        ""
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-insiders",
   "title": "RDW insider trading",
   "text": [
    "Net insider selling: Insiders bought $441K on the open market and sold $132.6M."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Insider transactions in RDW",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Jul 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Peter Anthony Cannito Jr Chief Executive Officer",
        "Grant",
        "190.6K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Chris Edmunds Chief Financial Officer",
        "Grant",
        "76.4K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Aaron Michael Futch General Counsel",
        "Grant",
        "45.5K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 14, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Michael N. Gold Officer",
        "Grant",
        "63.6K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jul 10, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Gregory L Heston Director",
        "Grant",
        "14.7K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Louis R Brothers Jr Director",
        "Grant",
        "9.8K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Frank Calvelli Director",
        "Grant",
        "9.8K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Dorothy D. Hayes Director",
        "Grant",
        "9.8K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "Joanne O'Rourke Isham Director",
        "Grant",
        "9.8K",
        "-"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 21, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "James McConville Director",
        "Grant",
        "9.8K",
        "-"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-faq",
   "title": "RDW stock forecast: questions people ask",
   "text": [
    "How these figures are computed, and where the data comes from: CleaRank methodology."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "ch-related",
   "title": "Compare RDW with similar assets",
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 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is the RDW stock forecast?",
   "answer": "The analysts' median 12-month price target is $14.00, which is 72.2% above the price of $8.13, with targets ranging from $8.00 to $16.00 across 11 analysts. The nearest level below the price is the 52-week low at $4.87, and the nearest level above is the 20-day EMA at $8.36. These are analyst forecasts, not guarantees of where the stock will trade."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the RDW price target?",
   "answer": "The median 12-month analyst target is $14.00, with the lowest target at $8.00 and the highest at $16.00. The consensus rating is Buy, with six of eleven analysts rating the stock Buy. The price of $8.13 is well below the median target."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is RDW a buy or sell today?",
   "answer": "Six of eleven analysts rate the stock Buy, four rate it Hold and one rates it Sell, so the consensus is Buy. CleaRank rates the stock Sell with a score of 37 out of 100. The stock is below its 50-day SMA by 16.15%, below its 200-day SMA by 25.78%, and below its 20-day EMA by 2.75%, and the 50-day SMA is 11.49% below the 200-day SMA."
  },
  {
   "question": "Why did RDW stock fall after its latest earnings report?",
   "answer": "The stock fell 19.82% in the first trading session after the November 4, 2026 report, even though adjusted EPS of -$0.06 beat the -$0.09 estimate by 33.33%. The reaction suggests investors are focused on the size of the losses rather than a beat against a low estimate. Net profit margin for the company is -52.36%."
  },
  {
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   "answer": "No. Net profit margin is -55.4%, operating margin is -23.24%, and GAAP EPS over the last twelve months is -$1.20. Analysts expect losses to narrow this fiscal year to -$0.43 per share."
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   "answer": "No dividend is reported for Redwire. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.06, so its balance sheet carries little debt."
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  {
   "question": "How has RDW stock performed over the past year?",
   "answer": "Over the past year the stock is up 31.77%, but over six months it is down 29.67% and over three months it is down 39.82%. The stock is 69.48% below its 52-week high of $26.64 and 66.94% above its 52-week low of $4.87."
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     "headline": "Redwire (RDW) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
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      "text": "The analysts' median 12-month price target is $14.00, which is 72.2% above the price of $8.13, with targets ranging from $8.00 to $16.00 across 11 analysts. The nearest level below the price is the 52-week low at $4.87, and the nearest level above is the 20-day EMA at $8.36. These are analyst forecasts, not guarantees of where the stock will trade."
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      "text": "The stock fell 19.82% in the first trading session after the November 4, 2026 report, even though adjusted EPS of -$0.06 beat the -$0.09 estimate by 33.33%. The reaction suggests investors are focused on the size of the losses rather than a beat against a low estimate. Net profit margin for the company is -52.36%."
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      "text": "No. Net profit margin is -55.4%, operating margin is -23.24%, and GAAP EPS over the last twelve months is -$1.20. Analysts expect losses to narrow this fiscal year to -$0.43 per share."
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      "text": "Over the past year the stock is up 31.77%, but over six months it is down 29.67% and over three months it is down 39.82%. The stock is 69.48% below its 52-week high of $26.64 and 66.94% above its 52-week low of $4.87."
     }
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  }
 ]
}