{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/qsr-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/qsr-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Restaurant Brands (QSR) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Restaurants. $32.9B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR)",
 "published": "2026-07-06T09:25:02+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-23T01:40:54.154+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-23T08:07:34.230Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "QSR",
  "name": "Restaurant Brands International Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Restaurants",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.rbi.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 71.91,
  "previousClose": 72.56,
  "change": -0.65,
  "changePercent": -0.9,
  "open": 73.3,
  "high": 74,
  "low": 71.78,
  "volume": 3558587,
  "averageVolume": 4270869,
  "marketCap": 32942761003,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 81.96,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 61.44,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-23T01:40:54.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 18.231155,
  "eps": 3.98,
  "dividendYield": 0.036141227575265236,
  "beta": 0.534,
  "priceToSales": 3.427212,
  "priceToBook": 6.581406,
  "revenueTtm": 9699000320,
  "grossMargin": 0.34484126984126984,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.34792998
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 29.23,
  "macd": -1.04,
  "sma50": 75.95,
  "sma200": 73.66,
  "rsiSignal": "Oversold",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 55,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 71.91,
  "analystTarget": 85,
  "analystCount": 28,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-23T01:40:54.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 71.91,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.68,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 71.19,
  "aggressiveEntry": 71.91,
  "stopLoss": 67.56,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.1,
  "targets": [
   73.33,
   74.75,
   76.89
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 53.31,
    "base": 76.06,
    "upside90th": 108.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 48.67,
    "base": 80.45,
    "upside90th": 132.96
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 45.98,
    "base": 85.09,
    "upside90th": 157.44
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 44.22,
    "base": 89.99,
    "upside90th": 183.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 43.01,
    "base": 95.18,
    "upside90th": 210.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 42.17,
    "base": 100.67,
    "upside90th": 240.37
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 41.59,
    "base": 106.48,
    "upside90th": 272.59
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 41.23,
    "base": 112.62,
    "upside90th": 307.65
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 41.03,
    "base": 119.12,
    "upside90th": 345.85
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 40.96,
    "base": 125.99,
    "upside90th": 387.51
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "QSR Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$73.30",
    "Day Range": "$71.78 to $74.00",
    "Prev Close": "$72.56",
    "Volume": "3.56M",
    "52-Week Range": "$61.44 to $81.96",
    "Market Cap": "$32.94B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "QSR Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, QSR beat estimates 5 times. The stock rose 5 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "QSR Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.95 and $73.66), indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.23, signaling an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. The current price of $71.91 is below recent moving averages. Volume has been below average recently, suggesting a lack of conviction from buyers. The MACD is negative at -1.04, further reinforcing the bearish momentum in the short term.",
    "Insiders have sold over $60.6 million worth of QSR stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a strong net selling signal from management.",
    "QSR is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.95 and $73.66), suggesting continued bearish momentum in the near term.",
    "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.23, indicating the stock is in oversold territory and may be due for a technical bounce.",
    "Restaurant Brands International has a history of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently with a 2.88% surprise for the quarter ending June 2026.",
    "The base case for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) anticipates a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $85.00 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its oversold technical condition and consistent earnings beats. The company's strong profit margins and return on equity provide a solid foundation for this outlook. However, the significant insider selling and a premium valuation relative to sector peers pose considerable headwinds. A catalyst for upside could be a clear strategy to address the valuation gap or a significant improvement in revenue growth, while a failure to reverse the insider selling trend or further competitive pressures could lead to a downside scenario towards the lower end of analyst targets."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the significant insider selling totaling over $60.6 million, investors should monitor future transactions closely for any signs of a change in management sentiment.",
     "The stock is currently oversold according to the RSI, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. However, it remains below key moving averages, indicating the longer-term trend is still bearish.",
     "With a price-to-sales ratio of 3.43, considerably higher than the sector median of 1.9, consider the potential for valuation compression if growth does not accelerate."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold over $60.6 million worth of QSR stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a strong net selling signal from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Trading Below Key Moving Averages",
     "text": "QSR is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.95 and $73.66), suggesting continued bearish momentum in the near term.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Oversold RSI Condition",
     "text": "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.23, indicating the stock is in oversold territory and may be due for a technical bounce.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Consistent EPS Beats",
     "text": "Restaurant Brands International has a history of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently with a 2.88% surprise for the quarter ending June 2026.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) exhibits a strong profit margin of 13.13% and an impressive return on equity of 34.79%, significantly outperforming sector averages. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 is considerably higher than the sector median of 1.9, suggesting the stock may be overvalued on a sales basis. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.90 is also higher than the sector median of 2.90, indicating a substantial reliance on debt. While profitability metrics are strong, the premium valuation relative to sales and the higher debt levels warrant caution.",
    "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) has a consistent track record of beating EPS estimates, most recently reporting $1.07 actual EPS versus an estimate of $1.04 for the quarter ending June 2026, a 2.88% surprise. This follows a pattern of positive surprises in prior quarters, including a significant beat in the quarter ending March 2026 (-0.14 actual vs -0.16 estimate). Revenue growth has been modest, with the current quarter expected to see a 3.00% year-over-year increase.",
    "Significant insider selling, with over $60.6 million in dispositions in the latest reporting period, presents a key risk, signaling a lack of confidence from management. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 is notably higher than the sector average of 1.9, indicating a potential valuation overhang. Also, the stock is trading below its key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting ongoing bearish momentum."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "32.94B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "18.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "3.98"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.57%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "81.96"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "61.44"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Oversold SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($75.95) above the 200-day SMA ($73.66), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 29.2 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Oversold",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "29.23"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-1.04"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "75.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "73.66"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.24",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.15",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.31",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.05"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "QSR Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (29.2) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$73.33",
    "TARGET 2": "$74.75",
    "TARGET 3": "$76.89",
    "STOP LOSS": "$67.56"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+0.55%",
    "Average Feb return": "+1.37%",
    "Average Mar return": "-0.48%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.82%",
    "Average May return": "+2.38%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.83%",
    "Average Jul return": "+2.06%",
    "Average Aug return": "-0.81%",
    "Average Sep return": "-1.45%",
    "Average Oct return": "-2.38%",
    "Average Nov return": "+4.59%",
    "Average Dec return": "-0.07%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.68%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in QSR in September 2016 would be worth about $15,599 today, compared with about $35,806 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in QSR today could grow to about $17,521 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,888 and a bear case around $5,697. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "QSR Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $89.99 for QSR by 2030 in the base case, from $71.91 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $44.22. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on QSR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using QSR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "QSR simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$53.31",
        "$76.06",
        "$109"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$48.67",
        "$80.45",
        "$133"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$45.98",
        "$85.09",
        "$157"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$44.22",
        "$89.99",
        "$183"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$43.01",
        "$95.18",
        "$211"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$42.17",
        "$101",
        "$240"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$41.59",
        "$106",
        "$273"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$41.23",
        "$113",
        "$308"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$41.03",
        "$119",
        "$346"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$40.96",
        "$126",
        "$388"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare QSR",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "YUM vs QSR Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/yum-vs-qsr/"
    },
    {
     "text": "Gold vs Silver Analysis and Targets Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/gold-vs-silver/"
    },
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/vgt-vs-qqqm/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "QSR Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$60.6M",
    "Insiders": "20",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.5M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in QSR",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "May 17, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "SCHWARTZ DANIEL S Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "1.0M",
        "$70.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 7, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "SCHWARTZ DANIEL S Director",
        "Sell",
        "600.2K",
        "$41.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 27, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "FRIBOURG PAUL J Director",
        "Sell",
        "488.0K",
        "$37.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 6, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "KOBZA JOSHUA Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "246.2K",
        "$18.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 23, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "CIL JOSE E Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "264.5K",
        "$17.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 26, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "KOBZA JOSHUA Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "203.2K",
        "$15.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 18, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "KOBZA JOSHUA Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "200.0K",
        "$15.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "KOBZA JOSHUA Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "161.4K",
        "$12.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Nov 22, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "SHEAR DAVID CHAN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "169.5K",
        "$11.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 30, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "MACEDO ALEXANDRE Officer",
        "Sell",
        "166.8K",
        "$10.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Restaurant+Brands+International+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s (QSR) stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s (QSR) stock price is projected to be $89.99 in 2030 under a base-case scenario. The downside projection is $44.22, while the upside projection reaches $183.15. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not definitive price targets."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is QSR stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is currently rated a Hold. While the stock is oversold technically and analysts have a median price target of $85.00 suggesting 18.2% upside, significant insider selling and a premium valuation relative to sector peers temper the bullish outlook."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the biggest risks facing QSR stock?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for QSR include substantial insider selling totaling over $60.6 million, a high price-to-sales ratio of 3.43 compared to the sector median of 1.9, and the stock trading below its key moving averages, indicating bearish momentum."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does QSR's valuation compare to its sector peers?",
   "answer": "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 3.43, which is significantly higher than the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 1.9. While its profit margin and ROE are strong, the sales multiple suggests a premium valuation relative to the industry."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the consensus analyst rating for QSR stock?",
   "answer": "The consensus analyst rating for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is 'Buy', with a median price target of $85.00 from 28 analysts. The overall Wall Street score is 67 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is QSR's recent earnings performance?",
   "answer": "QSR has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently reporting $1.07 for the quarter ending June 2026 against an estimate of $1.04. This positive earnings surprise trend has been observed in prior quarters as well."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for QSR's revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) is projected to achieve 4.00% revenue growth for the current year and 0.00% for the next year. Current quarter revenue growth is estimated at +3.00% year-over-year."
  }
 ],
 "related": {
  "peopleAlsoWatch": [
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    "name": "DR Horton Inc NYSE",
    "price": "$139.25",
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