{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pm-stock-analysis/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/pm-stock-analysis/data.json",
 "title": "Philip Morris (PM) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Is Philip Morris International (PM) a Buy or Sell today? Get the AI trade setup, smoke free growth outlook and key price levels. Updated daily.",
 "headline": "Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)",
 "published": "2026-08-31T09:26:53+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-09T23:37:06.696+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T20:40:48.976Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "PM",
  "name": "Philip Morris International Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Defensive",
  "industry": "Tobacco",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.pmi.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 189.77,
  "previousClose": 185.71,
  "change": 4.06,
  "changePercent": 2.19,
  "open": 188.61,
  "high": 192.44501,
  "low": 188.4158,
  "volume": 4601477,
  "averageVolume": 3818008,
  "marketCap": 289450117342,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 207.75999,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 142.11,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-09T23:36:45.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 25.072802,
  "eps": 7.28,
  "dividendYield": 0.031658860363222116,
  "beta": 0.395,
  "priceToSales": 6.686889,
  "priceToBook": -43.49602874256173,
  "revenueTtm": 42545000448,
  "grossMargin": 0.6843280914939243,
  "returnOnEquity": -1.4095665171898355
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 42.94,
  "macd": -0.79,
  "sma50": 188.06,
  "sma200": 174.69,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Neutral"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Buy",
  "score": 73,
  "consensus": "Buy",
  "fairValue": 210,
  "analystTarget": 210,
  "analystCount": 16,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Buy",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-09T23:36:45.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 189.77,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.43,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Bullish",
  "conservativeEntry": 185.97,
  "aggressiveEntry": 189.77,
  "stopLoss": 180,
  "stopLossPercent": 3.21,
  "targets": [
   195.27,
   204.57,
   213.87
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 146.9,
    "base": 202.82,
    "upside90th": 280.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 137.36,
    "base": 216.77,
    "upside90th": 342.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 132.5,
    "base": 231.68,
    "upside90th": 405.09
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 129.89,
    "base": 247.61,
    "upside90th": 472.04
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 128.64,
    "base": 264.64,
    "upside90th": 544.43
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 128.34,
    "base": 282.85,
    "upside90th": 623.34
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 128.75,
    "base": 302.3,
    "upside90th": 709.76
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 129.73,
    "base": 323.09,
    "upside90th": 804.62
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 131.19,
    "base": 345.31,
    "upside90th": 908.9
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 133.06,
    "base": 369.06,
    "upside90th": 1023.62
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "PM Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$188.61",
    "Day Range": "$188.42 to $192.45",
    "Prev Close": "$185.71",
    "Volume": "4.60M",
    "52-Week Range": "$142.11 to $207.76",
    "Market Cap": "$289.45B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.0112% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "PM Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Philip Morris International Inc. is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, at $185.71 versus $188.06 and $187.88 respectively, indicating near-term downward pressure. However, the stock remains above its 200-day moving average of $174.69, suggesting that the longer-term uptrend is still intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42.94, which falls into the neutral momentum category, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is currently at -0.78776, indicating bearish momentum. The nearest support level is the 200-day moving average at $174.69, while resistance can be observed around the 50-day moving average at $188.06. Trading volume on the latest day was 3.87 million shares, slightly above the average volume of 3.81 million shares, suggesting moderate investor interest. The current technical setup suggests a cautious outlook, with potential for a short-term pullback towards support if selling pressure continues, but the longer-term trend remains supported by the 200-day SMA.",
    "Philip Morris International Inc. reported a 200% EPS surprise on August 25, 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations and indicating strong operational performance.",
    "Successful expansion and consumer adoption of Philip Morris International's heated tobacco and e-vapor products could drive future revenue growth and offset declines in traditional cigarette sales.",
    "The tobacco industry faces continuous regulatory pressure globally, including potential new taxes, marketing restrictions, and product bans, which could negatively impact sales and profitability.",
    "Competition from both established tobacco companies and new entrants in the reduced-risk product market poses a threat to Philip Morris International's market share and pricing power.",
    "The base case scenario for Philip Morris International Inc. over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued trading within a range, potentially testing its 200-day moving average support around $174.69 if near-term technical weakness persists, or consolidating around current levels if momentum stabilizes. Analysts project revenue growth of approximately 7.00% for the current year, with a median price target of $210, suggesting that the stock is currently undervalued relative to its future earnings potential and analyst expectations. The company's strategic focus on transitioning to reduced-risk products is expected to be a key driver of sustained revenue and profitability. Potential upside catalysts include stronger-than-expected adoption of its heated tobacco and e-vapor products, favorable regulatory developments in key markets, or successful product innovation that captures greater market share. Conversely, downside risks include stricter government regulations, increased excise taxes, intensified competition, or a slower-than-anticipated consumer shift away from traditional cigarettes. Any significant negative regulatory news or a failure to gain traction with new product categories could pressure the stock and alter its trajectory."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Philip Morris International Inc. pays a dividend yield of approximately 3.17%, offering a steady income stream for investors in addition to potential capital appreciation.",
     "The stock is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($188.06), indicating near-term weakness, but remains above its 200-day moving average, suggesting the longer-term uptrend is intact. Monitor support at $174.69.",
     "Given the mature nature of the tobacco industry and ongoing regulatory scrutiny, investors should maintain a diversified portfolio and consider position sizing carefully to manage sector-specific risks."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong EPS Beat in Latest Earnings Report",
     "text": "Philip Morris International Inc. reported a 200% EPS surprise on August 25, 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations and indicating strong operational performance.",
     "source": "Company Earnings Release"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Continued Growth in Reduced-Risk Products",
     "text": "Successful expansion and consumer adoption of Philip Morris International's heated tobacco and e-vapor products could drive future revenue growth and offset declines in traditional cigarette sales.",
     "source": "Company Strategy"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Ongoing Regulatory Scrutiny",
     "text": "The tobacco industry faces continuous regulatory pressure globally, including potential new taxes, marketing restrictions, and product bans, which could negatively impact sales and profitability.",
     "source": "Industry Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Intensifying Competition",
     "text": "Competition from both established tobacco companies and new entrants in the reduced-risk product market poses a threat to Philip Morris International's market share and pricing power.",
     "source": "Market Research"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Philip Morris International Inc. exhibits a P/E ratio of 25.07, which aligns with the sector average of 25.07, suggesting a fair valuation relative to its peers. The company's revenue growth is projected at 7.00% for the current year, with expectations for continued growth of 6.00% next year. Profitability metrics, such as Net Profit Margin, are not directly provided but the EPS of $7.28 indicates solid earnings power. The dividend yield stands at approximately 3.17%, offering a steady income stream to investors. The balance sheet strength is not detailed with debt-to-equity or cash figures, but the consistent revenue growth and positive EPS suggest operational efficiency. The company's strategy to transition towards reduced-risk products is a key factor in its long-term fundamental outlook, aiming to offset declining traditional cigarette volumes. While valuation appears reasonable, the company operates in a mature and highly regulated industry, which could limit significant upside potential without further innovation or market expansion.",
    "Philip Morris International Inc. demonstrated a remarkable 200% EPS surprise in its most recent earnings report on August 25, 2026, with actual EPS at $0.08 against an estimate of -$0.08, leading to a 0.09% price increase. Prior to this, the company had shown a pattern of modest beats, such as a 7.32% surprise in July 2026 and a 2.94% surprise in May 2026. The earnings trajectory indicates an ability to exceed analyst expectations, particularly in the most recent period, which could signal improving operational performance or successful cost management.",
    "Philip Morris International Inc. faces significant regulatory risks inherent to the tobacco industry, including potential new restrictions on product sales, marketing, and taxation across various global markets. Competition from both traditional tobacco companies and emerging players in the reduced-risk product space remains intense, potentially pressuring market share and margins. Also, evolving consumer preferences and increasing health consciousness could lead to a sustained decline in demand for tobacco products, impacting long-term revenue and profitability."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "289.45B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "25.07"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "7.28"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "3.17%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "207.76"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "142.11"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Neutral RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($188.06) above the 200-day SMA ($174.69), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "42.94"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "188.06"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "174.69"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.02",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "-0.08",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.04",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.06"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "PM Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Lower risk, wait for pullback",
    "Higher risk, immediate entry",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (42.9) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$195.27",
    "TARGET 2": "$204.57",
    "TARGET 3": "$213.87",
    "STOP LOSS": "$180.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.43%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in PM in September 2016 would be worth about $18,939 today, compared with about $35,913 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PM today could grow to about $19,448 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $53,940 and a bear case around $7,012. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "PM Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $248 for PM by 2030 in the base case, from $190 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $130. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "PM simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$147",
        "$203",
        "$280"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$137",
        "$217",
        "$342"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$133",
        "$232",
        "$405"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$130",
        "$248",
        "$472"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$129",
        "$265",
        "$544"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$128",
        "$283",
        "$623"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$129",
        "$302",
        "$710"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$130",
        "$323",
        "$805"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$131",
        "$345",
        "$909"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$133",
        "$369",
        "$1,024"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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    {
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/cop-vs-oxy/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "PM Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$28.8M",
    "Insiders": "16",
    "Avg Transaction": "$4.8M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in PM",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 19, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "OLCZAK JACEK Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "80.0K",
        "$14.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 23, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "101.9K",
        "$13.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 22, 2024",
       "cells": [
        "CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "95.0K",
        "$8.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 17, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "75.0K",
        "$8.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "May 11, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "CAMILLERI LOUIS C Director",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$8.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 17, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "80.0K",
        "$8.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 19, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "BABEAU EMMANUEL Officer",
        "Sell",
        "33.8K",
        "$6.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 20, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE Chairman of the Board",
        "Sell",
        "40.6K",
        "$6.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 20, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "OLCZAK JACEK Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "40.0K",
        "$6.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Apr 24, 2019",
       "cells": [
        "CAMILLERI LOUIS C Director",
        "Sell",
        "70.0K",
        "$5.8M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Philip+Morris+International+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s consensus rating?",
   "answer": "Philip Morris International Inc. currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts. This rating is supported by a consensus score of 73 out of 100, reflecting a generally positive outlook among analysts covering the stock."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Philip Morris International Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Philip Morris International Inc. is $210.00. With the current stock price at $185.71, this target suggests a potential upside of 13.1% for investors."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Philip Morris International Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Philip Morris International Inc. has shown mixed but recently strong earnings performance. The latest report on August 25, 2026, revealed a significant 200% EPS beat, and previous quarters also showed positive surprises, indicating an ability to exceed analyst expectations."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for Philip Morris International Inc.?",
   "answer": "Technically, Philip Morris International Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages but above its 200-day moving average. The RSI is neutral at 42.94, and the MACD indicates bearish momentum, suggesting a cautious near-term outlook."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the long-term outlook for Philip Morris International Inc.?",
   "answer": "The long-term outlook for Philip Morris International Inc. is cautiously optimistic, driven by its strategic shift towards reduced-risk products and consistent revenue growth projections. However, regulatory challenges and evolving consumer habits remain key factors to monitor."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the main risks facing Philip Morris International Inc.?",
   "answer": "The primary risks for Philip Morris International Inc. include stringent regulatory environments in the tobacco industry, intense competition in both traditional and reduced-risk product markets, and potential shifts in consumer preferences away from tobacco consumption."
  },
  {
   "question": "Does Philip Morris International Inc. pay a dividend?",
   "answer": "Yes, Philip Morris International Inc. pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 3.17%. This provides a regular income stream for shareholders."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Philip Morris International Inc. compare to its sector averages?",
   "answer": "Philip Morris International Inc.'s P/E ratio of 25.07 is in line with the sector average of 25.07. Projected revenue growth for the current year is 7.00%, aligning with the sector average of 10.00%."
  }
 ],
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   {
    "ticker": "KMB",
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