{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/phillips-66-psx/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/phillips-66-psx/data.json",
 "title": "Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Phillips 66 (PSX) stock: Energy, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. $102.5B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Phillips 66 (PSX)",
 "published": "2026-06-20T09:07:54+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-27T07:21:03.616+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-27T15:06:01.634Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "PSX",
  "name": "Phillips 66",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Energy",
  "industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.phillips66.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 255.75,
  "previousClose": 255.87,
  "change": -0.12,
  "changePercent": -0.05,
  "open": 252.67999,
  "high": 257.31,
  "low": 250.089996,
  "volume": 3318400,
  "averageVolume": 4080940,
  "marketCap": 102539131365,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 277.12,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 126.74,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-27T07:21:03.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 14.597602,
  "eps": 17.52,
  "dividendYield": 0.019867031914858703,
  "beta": 0.704,
  "priceToSales": 0.6738591,
  "priceToBook": 3.2390637,
  "revenueTtm": 152167006208,
  "grossMargin": 0.13244059289467494,
  "returnOnEquity": 0.23452999
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 50.69,
  "macd": 6.82,
  "sma50": 235.77,
  "sma200": 181.12,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 59,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 249,
  "analystTarget": 249,
  "analystCount": 20,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-27T07:21:03.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 255.75,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 1.67,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 253.19,
  "aggressiveEntry": 255.75,
  "stopLoss": 242.23,
  "stopLossPercent": 4.33,
  "targets": [
   260.79,
   265.85,
   273.45
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 177.84,
    "base": 280.71,
    "upside90th": 443.07
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 161.57,
    "base": 308.1,
    "upside90th": 587.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 153.39,
    "base": 338.16,
    "upside90th": 745.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 148.98,
    "base": 371.16,
    "upside90th": 924.71
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 146.81,
    "base": 407.38,
    "upside90th": 1130.41
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 146.18,
    "base": 447.13,
    "upside90th": 1367.66
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 146.7,
    "base": 490.77,
    "upside90th": 1641.79
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 148.14,
    "base": 538.66,
    "upside90th": 1958.68
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 150.34,
    "base": 591.22,
    "upside90th": 2324.93
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 153.23,
    "base": 648.91,
    "upside90th": 2747.98
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "PSX Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$252.68",
    "Day Range": "$250.09 to $257.31",
    "Prev Close": "$255.87",
    "Volume": "3.32M",
    "52-Week Range": "$126.74 to $277.12",
    "Market Cap": "$102.54B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-21%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "PSX Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, PSX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "PSX Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($235.77 and $181.12), indicating a generally positive trend, with its price of $255.75 sitting above the 50-day SMA of $235.77 and the 200-day SMA of $181.12. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.69, signaling neutral momentum, while the MACD at 6.82 suggests a lack of strong directional conviction. The stock's price is also above its 20-day EMA, which is currently at $255.57. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA at $235.77 and the 200-day SMA at $181.12. Resistance may be found near recent highs. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 3.32 million compared to the average of 4.08 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction behind current price movements. The overall chart structure suggests a period of consolidation or a potential shift in momentum.",
    "Insiders have sold $67.1 million worth of stock versus only $1.3 million purchased, indicating a strong bearish signal from management regarding near-term prospects.",
    "Analysts project a -10.00% revenue growth for next year, suggesting potential challenges in market demand or competitive positioning.",
    "Phillips 66 (PSX) has consistently beaten EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 25.47% surprise, indicating operational strength.",
    "The median Wall Street price target of $249 is very close to the current stock price of $255.75, suggesting limited immediate upside or downside.",
    "Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with a median analyst price target of $249 suggesting limited upside from its current price of $255.75. The company's strong operational performance, evidenced by recent earnings beats and a solid return on equity, provides a stable foundation. However, the forward revenue growth estimate of -10.00% for next year signals potential challenges ahead. Key factors that could alter this outlook include a shift in commodity prices, changes in refining margins, or a reversal in insider selling trends. Conversely, a significant increase in insider buying or a more optimistic forward revenue outlook from analysts could provide upward catalysts. The company's substantial revenue growth in the past year, though, may not be sustainable given the projected slowdown."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the current heavy selling pressure from management could indicate future headwinds.",
     "Given the neutral technical momentum and price trading near the median analyst target, consider waiting for a clearer directional signal or a more attractive entry point.",
     "Phillips 66 (PSX) offers a dividend yield of approximately 2.0%, which may appeal to income-focused investors, but the significant insider selling warrants caution."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Heavy Insider Selling Pressure",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $67.1 million worth of stock versus only $1.3 million purchased, indicating a strong bearish signal from management regarding near-term prospects.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Negative Forward Revenue Growth Estimates",
     "text": "Analysts project a -10.00% revenue growth for next year, suggesting potential challenges in market demand or competitive positioning.",
     "source": "Wall Street Estimates"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Strong Recent Earnings Performance",
     "text": "Phillips 66 (PSX) has consistently beaten EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 25.47% surprise, indicating operational strength.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Median Analyst Target Near Current Price",
     "text": "The median Wall Street price target of $249 is very close to the current stock price of $255.75, suggesting limited immediate upside or downside.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Phillips 66 (PSX) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 14.6, which is below the sector median of 18.4, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.67, significantly lower than the sector average of 2.5. The company's return on equity stands at a strong 23.5%, well above the sector's 14.2%, and its profit margin is 4.7%, indicating solid profitability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 is slightly higher than the sector median of 0.63, though still manageable. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and a favorable valuation relative to its peers, the significant insider selling activity raises concerns about management's near-term outlook. The company's revenue growth of 53.1% is exceptional, far exceeding the sector average of 32.8%, but forward revenue growth estimates for next year are negative at -10.00%, suggesting potential headwinds.",
    "Phillips 66 (PSX) has demonstrated strong earnings performance, most recently reporting EPS of $9.41 for the quarter to June 2026, a significant beat of 25.47% against an estimate of $7.50, leading to a 1.47% price increase. This follows a pattern of positive earnings surprises, including a substantial beat of 225.64% in the quarter to March 2026. The company's earnings trajectory suggests strong operational execution in recent quarters.",
    "The primary risk for Phillips 66 (PSX) stems from heavy insider selling, with $67.1 million in dispositions versus only $1.3 million in purchases, signaling a potential lack of confidence from management. Additionally, forward revenue growth estimates for next year are projected to decline by 10.00%, indicating potential future business challenges. The stock's current price is also trading very close to its median Wall Street price target of $249, suggesting limited upside potential."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "102.54B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "14.60"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "17.52"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "1.96%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "277.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "126.74"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($235.77) above the 200-day SMA ($181.12), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "50.69"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "6.82"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "235.77"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "181.12"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.34",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.24",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "-0.06",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "-0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "PSX Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (50.7) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$260.79",
    "TARGET 2": "$265.85",
    "TARGET 3": "$273.45",
    "STOP LOSS": "$242.23"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+1.30%",
    "Average Feb return": "+1.33%",
    "Average Mar return": "-0.38%",
    "Average Apr return": "+3.36%",
    "Average May return": "+2.31%",
    "Average Jun return": "-1.21%",
    "Average Jul return": "+4.21%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.64%",
    "Average Sep return": "-0.65%",
    "Average Oct return": "+1.27%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.51%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.03%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "1.67%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in PSX in September 2016 would be worth about $32,206 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PSX today could grow to about $25,373 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $107,448 and a bear case around $5,992. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "PSX Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $371 for PSX by 2030 in the base case, from $256 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $149. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PSX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PSX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "PSX simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$178",
        "$281",
        "$443"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$162",
        "$308",
        "$588"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$153",
        "$338",
        "$746"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$149",
        "$371",
        "$925"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$147",
        "$407",
        "$1,130"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$146",
        "$447",
        "$1,368"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$147",
        "$491",
        "$1,642"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$148",
        "$539",
        "$1,959"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$150",
        "$591",
        "$2,325"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$153",
        "$649",
        "$2,748"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
   "links": [
    {
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    },
    {
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/eix-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "AEP American Electric Power Co Inc NASDAQ $118.35 +0.66%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/aep-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DUK Duke Energy Corporation NYSE $113.35 +0.11%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/duk-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "PCG PG&E Corporation NYSE $12.34 +0.16%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/pcg-stock-analysis/"
    },
    {
     "text": "TLN Talen Energy Corporation NASDAQ $304.42 +1.47%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/talen-energy-tln/"
    },
    {
     "text": "EXC Exelon Corp. NASDAQ $40.34 +0.35%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/exc-stock-analysis/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Compare PSX",
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "MPC vs PSX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/mpc-vs-psx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "SMH vs SOXX Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/smh-vs-soxx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "XRP/USD vs ADA/USD Comparison Head-to-head analysis →",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/xrp-vs-ada/"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "PSX Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "$1.3M",
    "Sold": "$67.1M",
    "Insiders": "22",
    "Avg Transaction": "$2.4M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in PSX",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Aug 7, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "GARLAND GREGORY C. Officer and Director",
        "Sell",
        "169.4K",
        "$18.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 9, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "GARLAND GREGORY C. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "146.7K",
        "$16.1M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 11, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "ROBERTS TIMOTHY D Officer",
        "Sell",
        "127.6K",
        "$14.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 11, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "GARLAND GREGORY C Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "158.5K",
        "$14.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "HARBISON RICHARD G Officer",
        "Sell",
        "52.1K",
        "$11.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 7, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "GARLAND GREGORY C Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "126.3K",
        "$11.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 2, 2016",
       "cells": [
        "ZIEMBA LAWRENCE MICHAEL Officer",
        "Sell",
        "101.9K",
        "$8.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Mar 12, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MANDELL BRIAN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "42.8K",
        "$7.3M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 11, 2026",
       "cells": [
        "MANDELL BRIAN Officer",
        "Sell",
        "33.3K",
        "$7.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 8, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "ROBERTS TIMOTHY D Officer",
        "Sell",
        "59.1K",
        "$6.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Phillips+66&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "Is Phillips 66 (PSX) stock a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 59. The stock is trading near its median price target of $249, and significant insider selling presents a notable risk, making it not an immediate buy."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is Phillips 66's (PSX) stock price forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Phillips 66 (PSX) has a base case stock price projection of $371.16 for 2030, with a downside scenario of $148.98 and an upside scenario of $924.71, based on Monte Carlo simulations."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Phillips 66 (PSX) performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Phillips 66 (PSX) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS surprise of 25.47% for the quarter to June 2026, which resulted in a 1.47% stock price increase."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for Phillips 66 (PSX)?",
   "answer": "Phillips 66 (PSX) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($235.77 and $181.12), with a neutral RSI at 50.7, indicating a lack of strong momentum. Volume has been below average recently."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the analyst consensus for Phillips 66 (PSX)?",
   "answer": "The current Wall Street consensus for Phillips 66 (PSX) is 'Hold', with 20 analysts providing ratings. The consensus score is 59, with a median price target of $249."
  },
  {
   "question": "Are there any significant insider transactions for Phillips 66 (PSX)?",
   "answer": "Yes, Phillips 66 (PSX) insiders have been net sellers, with $240.3M in total sales versus $154.1M in total purchases in recent filings, indicating heavy selling pressure."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does Phillips 66 (PSX) compare to its sector averages?",
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      "text": "Yes, Phillips 66 (PSX) insiders have been net sellers, with $67.1 million in total sales versus $1.3 million in total purchases across 78 transactions, indicating heavy selling pressure."
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      "text": "Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at a lower P/E (14.6 vs 18.4) and price-to-sales (0.67 vs 2.5) than the sector median, but has a higher ROE (23.5% vs 14.2%) and revenue growth (53.1% vs 32.8%)."
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}