{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/penske-automotive-pag/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/penske-automotive-pag/data.json",
 "title": "Penske Automotive (PAG) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Auto & Truck Dealerships. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG)",
 "published": "2026-07-25T09:30:33+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-10T16:04:11.744+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:03:00.151Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "PAG",
  "name": "Penske Automotive Group Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NYSE",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Auto & Truck Dealerships",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.penskeautomotive.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 216.61,
  "previousClose": 218.31,
  "change": -1.7,
  "changePercent": -0.78,
  "open": 218.2,
  "high": 218.2,
  "low": 216.089996,
  "volume": 325874,
  "averageVolume": 284177,
  "marketCap": null,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 227,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 140.12,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-10T16:03:10.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": null,
  "eps": null,
  "dividendYield": null,
  "beta": null,
  "priceToSales": null,
  "priceToBook": null,
  "revenueTtm": null,
  "grossMargin": null,
  "returnOnEquity": null
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 50.3,
  "macd": 1.87,
  "sma50": 210.31,
  "sma200": 174.91,
  "rsiSignal": "Neutral",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bullish",
  "macdSignal": "Bullish",
  "rating": "Bullish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 58,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 210,
  "analystTarget": 210,
  "analystCount": 10,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-10T16:03:10.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 216.61,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 0.7,
   "risk": "standard"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 214.44,
  "aggressiveEntry": 216.61,
  "stopLoss": 208.01,
  "stopLossPercent": 3,
  "targets": [
   220.88,
   225.17,
   231.6
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 152.74,
    "base": 241.37,
    "upside90th": 381.45
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 140.81,
    "base": 268.97,
    "upside90th": 513.78
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 135.67,
    "base": 299.72,
    "upside90th": 662.15
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 133.73,
    "base": 333.98,
    "upside90th": 834.1
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 133.76,
    "base": 372.16,
    "upside90th": 1035.5
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 135.18,
    "base": 414.71,
    "upside90th": 1272.27
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 137.69,
    "base": 462.12,
    "upside90th": 1550.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 141.13,
    "base": 514.95,
    "upside90th": 1878.94
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 145.39,
    "base": 573.82,
    "upside90th": 2264.77
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 150.42,
    "base": 639.43,
    "upside90th": 2718.24
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 7,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "PAG Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$218.20",
    "Day Range": "$216.09 to $218.20",
    "Prev Close": "$218.31",
    "Volume": "325.9K",
    "52-Week Range": "$140.12 to $227.00"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis"
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "PAG Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, PAG beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often \"priced in\" or investors are selling the news."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "PAG Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Penske Automotive Group Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($210.31 and $174.91), indicating a generally positive longer-term trend. However, the price is below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average, suggesting some near-term weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.3, which is in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which could imply a lack of conviction behind current price movements. Key support levels are indicated by the 50-day SMA around $210.31 and the 200-day SMA around $174.91. Resistance may be found near recent highs. The mixed signals from moving averages and neutral RSI suggest a period of consolidation or indecision.",
    "Insiders have sold approximately $20.9 million worth of PAG stock, with no significant purchases reported, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential caution from management.",
    "Several recent analyst rating changes show a trend towards downgrades, with firms moving to 'Equal-Weight' or 'Neutral' from higher ratings, suggesting a reassessment of the stock's upside potential.",
    "PAG has demonstrated mixed earnings results, with a recent EPS beat on July 29, 2026, followed by a price decline, and a significant EPS miss on July 9, 2026. This inconsistency may lead to increased stock volatility.",
    "Penske Automotive Group Inc. is projected to achieve revenue growth of approximately 7.00% for the current year, which is above the sector average of 5.00%, indicating potential for top-line expansion.",
    "The base case scenario for Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) over the next 6-12 months suggests a neutral to slightly cautious outlook, given the current trading price is above the median analyst target price and the prevailing 'Hold' consensus. While the stock is trading above key long-term moving averages, the below-average volume and recent analyst downgrades point to a lack of strong upward momentum. Potential catalysts for upside could include stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings or positive developments in the automotive retail sector. Conversely, a significant economic downturn impacting vehicle sales, increased competition, or continued insider selling could pressure the stock lower, potentially testing the support around the 50-day SMA of $210.31."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions, investors should closely monitor any further selling activity and consider the implications for management's confidence in future performance.",
     "The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($210.31 and $174.91), suggesting a generally positive long-term trend, but the price is below its 20-day EMA, indicating potential short-term headwinds.",
     "With a predominantly 'Hold' rating from Wall Street and a median price target below the current stock price, consider waiting for a more compelling entry point or clearer positive catalysts before initiating a new position."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Insider Selling Exceeds $20 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold approximately $20.9 million worth of PAG stock, with no significant purchases reported, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potential caution from management.",
     "source": "Insider Transactions"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Analyst Downgrades Trend",
     "text": "Several recent analyst rating changes show a trend towards downgrades, with firms moving to 'Equal-Weight' or 'Neutral' from higher ratings, suggesting a reassessment of the stock's upside potential.",
     "source": "Wall Street Analyst Ratings"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Earnings Performance",
     "text": "PAG has demonstrated mixed earnings results, with a recent EPS beat on July 29, 2026, followed by a price decline, and a significant EPS miss on July 9, 2026. This inconsistency may lead to increased stock volatility.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Projected Revenue Growth Above Sector Average",
     "text": "Penske Automotive Group Inc. is projected to achieve revenue growth of approximately 7.00% for the current year, which is above the sector average of 5.00%, indicating potential for top-line expansion.",
     "source": "Revenue Estimates"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "(PAG), making a direct comparison to sector averages difficult. However, projected revenue growth for the current year stands at 7.00%, which is slightly above the sector average of 5.00%. This indicates a moderate expansion in the company's top line. Given the lack of detailed financial health data, a comprehensive assessment of profit margins and balance sheet strength is not possible. The 'N/A' for key valuation metrics suggests that investors should exercise caution and seek further information regarding the company's profitability and financial stability before making investment decisions. The analyst revenue estimates for next year show a significant deceleration to 2.00% growth, which warrants close monitoring.",
    "Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) has shown mixed earnings performance in recent quarters. The latest reported quarter on July 29, 2026, showed an EPS of $3.62, beating the estimate of $3.39 by 6.78%, though the stock price declined by 1.27%. Prior to that, an EPS miss of 150% was recorded on July 9, 2026, with an actual EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, accompanied by a 1.45% price increase. The company has a history of both beating and missing estimates, indicating some volatility in its earnings trajectory.",
    "A primary risk for Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) is the current analyst sentiment, which leans heavily towards 'Hold' with recent downgrades from several firms, suggesting a lack of strong conviction in near-term upside. Also, insider activity indicates a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with significant sales by insiders totaling $20.9 million against no reported purchases, signaling potential caution from management. The projected slowdown in revenue growth to 2.00% for next year also poses a risk to future expansion."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "N/A"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "N/A"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "N/A"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "N/A"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "227.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "140.12"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bullish RSI Neutral SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bullish MACD Bullish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($210.31) above the 200-day SMA ($174.91), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Neutral",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bullish",
    "MACD": "Bullish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "50.30"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "1.87"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "210.31"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "174.91"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.43",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.33",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.08",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.04"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "PAG Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (50.3) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$220.88",
    "TARGET 2": "$225.17",
    "TARGET 3": "$231.60",
    "STOP LOSS": "$208.01"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+3.63%",
    "Average Feb return": "-0.90%",
    "Average Mar return": "-5.11%",
    "Average Apr return": "+8.40%",
    "Average May return": "-0.47%",
    "Average Jun return": "+1.89%",
    "Average Jul return": "+7.14%",
    "Average Aug return": "+1.55%",
    "Average Sep return": "+0.53%",
    "Average Oct return": "-1.83%",
    "Average Nov return": "+3.15%",
    "Average Dec return": "-1.42%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "0.7005%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in PAG in September 2016 would be worth about $45,171 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PAG today could grow to about $29,520 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $125,490 and a bear case around $6,944. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "PAG Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $334 for PAG by 2030 in the base case, from $217 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $134. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PAG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PAG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "PAG simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$153",
        "$241",
        "$381"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$141",
        "$269",
        "$514"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$136",
        "$300",
        "$662"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$134",
        "$334",
        "$834"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$134",
        "$372",
        "$1,035"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$135",
        "$415",
        "$1,272"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$138",
        "$462",
        "$1,551"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$141",
        "$515",
        "$1,879"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$145",
        "$574",
        "$2,265"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$150",
        "$639",
        "$2,718"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/qqq-vs-qqqm/"
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  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "PAG Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$20.9M",
    "Insiders": "12",
    "Avg Transaction": "$1.6M"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in PAG",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Mar 27, 2018",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUI & CO LTD Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.1M",
        "$50.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Oct 20, 2017",
       "cells": [
        "MITSUI & CO LTD Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security",
        "Sell",
        "1.1M",
        "$50.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 3, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "PENSKE ROGER S Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "97.5K",
        "$15.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2022",
       "cells": [
        "PENSKE ROGER S JR. Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "49.0K",
        "$5.7M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 1, 2015",
       "cells": [
        "PENSKE ROGER S Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "71.9K",
        "$3.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Aug 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PENSKE ROGER S Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "25.0K",
        "$2.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Sep 1, 2023",
       "cells": [
        "KURNICK ROBERT H JR President",
        "Sell",
        "11.0K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 2, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "KURNICK ROBERT H JR President",
        "Sell",
        "11.4K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 3, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "PENSKE ROGER S Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "20.8K",
        "$1.8M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 14, 2025",
       "cells": [
        "DENKER CLAUDE H III Officer",
        "Sell",
        "8.7K",
        "$1.5M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Penske+Automotive+Group+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Penske Automotive Group Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?",
   "answer": "Penske Automotive Group Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $334.04, with a downside price of $133.75 and an upside price of $834.26. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Penske Automotive Group Inc. a buy right now?",
   "answer": "Penske Automotive Group Inc. is currently trading at $216.65, which is above its median analyst target price of $210. With a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street and insider selling activity, it is not currently recommended as a strong buy."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the current analyst consensus for PAG stock?",
   "answer": "The current Wall Street consensus for Penske Automotive Group Inc. (PAG) is predominantly 'Hold', with 8 out of 10 analysts rating it as such. There is one 'Strong Buy' and one 'Buy' rating, with no 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell' ratings."
  },
  {
   "question": "How does PAG's revenue growth compare to its sector?",
   "answer": "Penske Automotive Group Inc. is projected to achieve revenue growth of approximately 7.00% for the current year, which is above the sector average of 5.00%. However, growth is expected to decelerate significantly to 2.00% for next year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key risks facing Penske Automotive Group Inc.?",
   "answer": "Key risks include the predominantly 'Hold' analyst consensus with recent downgrades, significant insider buying totaling $20.9 million, and a projected slowdown in revenue growth to 2.00% for the upcoming year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the RSI status for Penske Automotive Group Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Penske Automotive Group Inc. is currently 50.3, which is considered neutral, indicating neither an overbought nor oversold condition."
  },
  {
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