{
 "@context": "https://clearank.com/llms.txt",
 "@type": "clearank:AssetAnalysis",
 "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/peloton-pton/",
 "dataUrl": "https://clearank.com/stock/peloton-pton/data.json",
 "title": "Peloton (PTON) Stock Forecast & Price Target (2026)",
 "description": "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) stock: Consumer Cyclical, Leisure. $2.2B market cap. AI rating, technicals, 2030 forecast and trade plans.",
 "headline": "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)",
 "published": "2026-07-25T10:07:22+00:00",
 "modified": "2026-09-11T01:22:31.397+00:00",
 "generated": "2026-09-11T21:01:07.334Z",
 "language": "en-US",
 "publisher": {
  "name": "CleaRank",
  "url": "https://clearank.com/"
 },
 "disclaimer": "Educational and informational only; not financial advice. AI-generated analysis reviewed by the CleaRank editorial team; prices delayed up to 15 minutes.",
 "asset": {
  "ticker": "PTON",
  "name": "Peloton Interactive Inc.",
  "type": "Common Stock",
  "exchange": "NASDAQ",
  "currency": "USD",
  "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
  "industry": "Leisure",
  "country": "United States",
  "website": "https://www.onepeloton.com"
 },
 "quote": {
  "price": 4.92,
  "previousClose": 5.06,
  "change": -0.14,
  "changePercent": -2.77,
  "open": 5.04,
  "high": 5.06,
  "low": 4.905,
  "volume": 13029062,
  "averageVolume": 9678006,
  "marketCap": 2159249260,
  "fiftyTwoWeekHigh": 9.2,
  "fiftyTwoWeekLow": 3.65,
  "marketOpen": false,
  "asOf": "2026-09-11T01:22:29.000Z"
 },
 "statistics": {
  "pe": 36,
  "eps": 0.14,
  "dividendYield": 0,
  "beta": 2.528,
  "priceToSales": 0.90429837,
  "priceToBook": -15.321075007268226,
  "revenueTtm": 2446000128,
  "grossMargin": 0.5667270034556524,
  "returnOnEquity": -0.4523979957050823
 },
 "technicals": {
  "rsi": 30.12,
  "macd": -0.2,
  "sma50": 5.79,
  "sma200": 5.47,
  "rsiSignal": "Bearish",
  "trend": "Bullish",
  "pricePosition": "Bearish",
  "macdSignal": "Bearish",
  "rating": "Bearish"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "rating": "Hold",
  "score": 56,
  "consensus": "Hold",
  "fairValue": 7,
  "analystTarget": 7,
  "analystCount": 20,
  "wallStreetConsensus": "Hold",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T01:22:29.000Z",
  "priceAtAnalysis": 4.92,
  "volatility": {
   "daily": 3.92,
   "risk": "volatile"
  }
 },
 "tradePlan": {
  "bias": "Neutral",
  "conservativeEntry": 4.87,
  "aggressiveEntry": 4.92,
  "stopLoss": 4.58,
  "stopLossPercent": 5.88,
  "targets": [
   5.02,
   5.11,
   5.26
  ]
 },
 "projections": {
  "basis": "Monte Carlo simulation on historical return distribution, re-run daily; not price targets",
  "years": [
   {
    "year": 2027,
    "downside10th": 2.36,
    "base": 4.48,
    "upside90th": 8.51
   },
   {
    "year": 2028,
    "downside10th": 1.65,
    "base": 4.09,
    "upside90th": 10.11
   },
   {
    "year": 2029,
    "downside10th": 1.23,
    "base": 3.72,
    "upside90th": 11.29
   },
   {
    "year": 2030,
    "downside10th": 0.94,
    "base": 3.39,
    "upside90th": 12.22
   },
   {
    "year": 2031,
    "downside10th": 0.74,
    "base": 3.09,
    "upside90th": 12.95
   },
   {
    "year": 2032,
    "downside10th": 0.59,
    "base": 2.82,
    "upside90th": 13.53
   },
   {
    "year": 2033,
    "downside10th": 0.47,
    "base": 2.57,
    "upside90th": 13.99
   },
   {
    "year": 2034,
    "downside10th": 0.38,
    "base": 2.34,
    "upside90th": 14.33
   },
   {
    "year": 2035,
    "downside10th": 0.31,
    "base": 2.13,
    "upside90th": 14.57
   },
   {
    "year": 2036,
    "downside10th": 0.26,
    "base": 1.94,
    "upside90th": 14.73
   }
  ]
 },
 "faqCount": 8,
 "sources": [
  "TwelveData",
  "Wall Street consensus"
 ],
 "sections": [
  {
   "id": "price",
   "title": "PTON Price Analysis"
  },
  {
   "id": "market-metrics",
   "title": "Market Metrics",
   "facts": {
    "Open": "$5.04",
    "Day Range": "$4.91 to $5.06",
    "Prev Close": "$5.06",
    "Volume": "13.03M",
    "52-Week Range": "$3.65 to $9.20",
    "Market Cap": "$2.16B"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "peer-benchmarking",
   "title": "Peer Benchmarking",
   "text": [
    "Sector Position Analysis Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+41%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "financials",
   "title": "PTON Financial Performance",
   "text": [
    "Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, PTON beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "analysis",
   "title": "PTON Analysis",
   "text": [
    "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA of $5.79 and the 200-day SMA of $5.47, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 30.12 is in the 'BEARISH' territory, suggesting downward momentum. The MACD is also below its signal line, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased trading activity around the current price levels. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the bearish trend, but the current price of $4.92 is a critical level to watch. The lack of clear upward momentum and the positioning below moving averages suggest further downside risk in the near term.",
    "Insiders have sold $37.9 million worth of PTON stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling further downside pressure.",
    "PTON is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47), with a bearish RSI and MACD, suggesting continued downward momentum in the stock price.",
    "While the latest quarter beat expectations, previous quarters showed misses, indicating inconsistent earnings performance that may limit upside potential.",
    "The median analyst price target of $7.00 implies a potential upside of 42.28% from the current price, offering a potential target for investors if sentiment shifts.",
    "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) faces a challenging outlook, with its current stock price below key moving averages and bearish technical indicators suggesting further downside. The median analyst price target of $7.00 offers a potential upside, but this is tempered by a 'Hold' consensus rating and significant insider selling. The company's revenue is projected to stagnate and then decline, which, coupled with a high P/E ratio, presents a difficult path forward. Any positive catalysts would need to overcome these fundamental and technical headwinds, such as a significant turnaround in subscriber growth or a successful cost-cutting initiative that demonstrably improves profitability."
   ],
   "lists": {
    "ProTips": [
     "Given the bearish technicals and insider selling, consider risk-off strategies or waiting for a clearer bullish signal before initiating new positions in PTON.",
     "The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47), indicating a downtrend. Monitor for a sustained break above these levels as a potential sign of trend reversal.",
     "With insider selling totaling $37.9 million and no reported purchases, it is prudent to exercise caution and closely watch for any shifts in management sentiment."
    ]
   },
   "catalysts": [
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Consistent Insider Selling Exceeds $37 Million",
     "text": "Insiders have sold $37.9 million worth of PTON stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence and potentially signaling further downside pressure.",
     "source": "Insider Trading Data"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bearish",
     "title": "Bearish Technical Indicators Persist",
     "text": "PTON is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47), with a bearish RSI and MACD, suggesting continued downward momentum in the stock price.",
     "source": "Technical Analysis"
    },
    {
     "type": "Neutral",
     "title": "Mixed Recent Earnings Performance",
     "text": "While the latest quarter beat expectations, previous quarters showed misses, indicating inconsistent earnings performance that may limit upside potential.",
     "source": "Earnings Reports"
    },
    {
     "type": "Bullish",
     "title": "Median Analyst Price Target Suggests Upside",
     "text": "The median analyst price target of $7.00 implies a potential upside of 42.28% from the current price, offering a potential target for investors if sentiment shifts.",
     "source": "Wall Street Consensus"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "key-statistics",
   "title": "Key Statistics",
   "text": [
    "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) exhibits a P/E ratio of 36, which is significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings. The company's revenue growth has been flat at 0.00% for the current quarter, with projections indicating a decline in the coming year. This stagnant revenue growth, coupled with a higher-than-average P/E, raises concerns about the company's fundamental valuation. While the company has a positive EPS of $0.14, this is not sufficient to justify the current valuation given the lack of growth. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the revenue stagnation and high P/E ratio suggest potential challenges in achieving sustainable profitability and growth.",
    "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) most recently reported an EPS of $0.13, beating the estimated $0.12 by 8.33% and resulting in a 3.18% price increase. However, this follows a prior quarter where the company missed estimates by 25% and saw minimal price reaction. The company has demonstrated an ability to occasionally beat earnings expectations, as seen in the Q2 2026 results, but the overall pattern suggests inconsistency.",
    "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) faces significant risks including its elevated valuation relative to stagnant revenue growth and a bearish technical outlook. Consistent insider selling, with $37.9 million in sales and no reported purchases, signals a lack of confidence from management. Also, the company's revenue is projected to decline in the coming year, posing a challenge to its long-term growth prospects."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Market Cap",
       "cells": [
        "2.16B"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "P/E Ratio",
       "cells": [
        "36.00"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "EPS (TTM)",
       "cells": [
        "0.1400"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dividend Yield",
       "cells": [
        "0.00%"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week High",
       "cells": [
        "9.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "52 Week Low",
       "cells": [
        "3.65"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "technical-indicators",
   "title": "Technical Indicators",
   "text": [
    "Technical Rating Bearish RSI Bearish SMA Cross Bullish Price vs SMA Bearish MACD Bearish Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($5.786) above the 200-day SMA ($5.473), price is trading below the 50-day SMA."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "RSI": "Bearish",
    "SMA Cross": "Bullish",
    "Price vs SMA": "Bearish",
    "MACD": "Bearish"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "",
     "columns": [],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "RSI (14)",
       "cells": [
        "30.12"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "MACD",
       "cells": [
        "-0.20"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 50",
       "cells": [
        "5.79"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "SMA 200",
       "cells": [
        "5.47"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "correlations",
   "title": "Market Correlations",
   "text": [
    "How this stock moves relative to other assets",
    "Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods."
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Correlation with S&P 500 (SPY)": "+0.40",
    "Correlation with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)": "+0.37",
    "Correlation with Bitcoin (BTC)": "+0.30",
    "Correlation with Gold (XAU)": "+0.02"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "trade-plans",
   "title": "PTON Trade Plans",
   "text": [
    "Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels",
    "Enter now if confident",
    "Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss Calculated based on RSI (30.1) and current market volatility",
    "Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "TARGET 1": "$5.017",
    "TARGET 2": "$5.114",
    "TARGET 3": "$5.260",
    "STOP LOSS": "$4.584"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "seasonality",
   "title": "Seasonal Patterns",
   "text": [
    "Historical monthly performance trends",
    "Based on 3 years of historical monthly returns"
   ],
   "facts": {
    "Average Jan return": "+2.92%",
    "Average Feb return": "-10.75%",
    "Average Mar return": "-5.12%",
    "Average Apr return": "-6.69%",
    "Average May return": "+5.38%",
    "Average Jun return": "-0.10%",
    "Average Jul return": "+8.34%",
    "Average Aug return": "+0.05%",
    "Average Sep return": "-3.68%",
    "Average Oct return": "+13.80%",
    "Average Nov return": "+10.27%",
    "Average Dec return": "-7.70%"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "risk",
   "title": "Risk & Volatility",
   "facts": {
    "Daily Volatility": "3.92%"
   },
   "lists": {
    "Risk considerations": [
     "Monitor position sizing based on current volatility levels",
     "Consider stop-loss placement beyond recent price range",
     "Diversification helps mitigate single-stock risk exposure"
    ]
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "growth",
   "title": "Growth of $10,000",
   "text": [
    "A $10,000 investment in PTON in September 2019 would be worth about $1,910 today, compared with about $25,516 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "monte-carlo",
   "title": "Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PTON today could grow to about $3,947 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $29,948 and a bear case around $520. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "price-prediction",
   "title": "PTON Stock Price Prediction: 2030",
   "text": [
    "CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.39 for PTON by 2030 in the base case, from $4.92 today (0.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.9417. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PTON's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.",
    "Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PTON's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice."
   ],
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "PTON simulated price paths by year",
     "columns": [
      "Year",
      "Downside (10th pct)",
      "Base case",
      "Upside (90th pct)"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "2027",
       "cells": [
        "$2.36",
        "$4.48",
        "$8.51"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2028",
       "cells": [
        "$1.65",
        "$4.09",
        "$10.11"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2029",
       "cells": [
        "$1.23",
        "$3.72",
        "$11.29"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2030",
       "cells": [
        "$0.9417",
        "$3.39",
        "$12.22"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2031",
       "cells": [
        "$0.7376",
        "$3.09",
        "$12.95"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2032",
       "cells": [
        "$0.5862",
        "$2.82",
        "$13.53"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2033",
       "cells": [
        "$0.4711",
        "$2.57",
        "$13.99"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2034",
       "cells": [
        "$0.3818",
        "$2.34",
        "$14.33"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2035",
       "cells": [
        "$0.3117",
        "$2.13",
        "$14.57"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "2036",
       "cells": [
        "$0.256",
        "$1.94",
        "$14.73"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "people-also-watch",
   "title": "People Also Watch",
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/tjx-companies-tjx/"
    },
    {
     "text": "DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. NYSE $134.79 +1.24%",
     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/dks-stock-analysis/"
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    {
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    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/stock/ulta-beauty-ulta/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "related-comparisons",
   "title": "Popular Comparisons",
   "links": [
    {
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     "url": "https://clearank.com/compare/xlf-vs-xlk/"
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   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "insider-trading",
   "title": "PTON Insider Trading Analysis",
   "facts": {
    "Bought": "None",
    "Sold": "$37.9M",
    "Insiders": "14",
    "Avg Transaction": "$474.3K"
   },
   "tables": [
    {
     "caption": "Recent insider transactions in PTON",
     "columns": [
      "Date",
      "Insider",
      "Type",
      "Shares",
      "Value"
     ],
     "rows": [
      {
       "label": "Feb 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LYNCH WILLIAM J JR. President",
        "Sell",
        "500.0K",
        "$72.5M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 22, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "CORTESE THOMAS Officer",
        "Sell",
        "150.0K",
        "$23.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 8, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "KUSHI HISAO T Officer",
        "Sell",
        "160.0K",
        "$23.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 14, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "LYNCH WILLIAM J JR. President",
        "Sell",
        "163.5K",
        "$20.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jun 28, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "CORTESE THOMAS Chief Operating Officer",
        "Sell",
        "154.4K",
        "$19.2M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "LYNCH WILLIAM J JR. President",
        "Sell",
        "116.7K",
        "$17.4M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Jan 15, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "FOLEY JOHN PAUL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$16.0M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 16, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "FOLEY JOHN PAUL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$14.9M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Feb 12, 2021",
       "cells": [
        "BOONE KAREN Director",
        "Sell",
        "83.5K",
        "$12.6M"
       ]
      },
      {
       "label": "Dec 15, 2020",
       "cells": [
        "FOLEY JOHN PAUL Chief Executive Officer",
        "Sell",
        "100.0K",
        "$12.6M"
       ]
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "links": [
    {
     "text": "SEC Form 4",
     "url": "https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=Peloton+Interactive+Inc.&type=4&dateb=&owner=include&count=40&search_text=&action=getcompany"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "faq",
   "title": "Frequently Asked Questions"
  }
 ],
 "faq": [
  {
   "question": "What is Peloton Interactive Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?",
   "answer": "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is currently trading at $4.92 per share. The consensus rating among analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 56 out of 100."
  },
  {
   "question": "What are the key technical indicators for Peloton Interactive Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is exhibiting bearish technical signals, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($5.79 and $5.47). The RSI is at 30.12, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD is also below its signal line."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the outlook for Peloton Interactive Inc.'s revenue growth?",
   "answer": "Peloton Interactive Inc.'s (PTON) revenue growth is projected to be flat at 0.00% for the current quarter, with estimates indicating a decline of 3.00% for the next quarter and 1.00% for the next fiscal year."
  },
  {
   "question": "What does insider trading activity suggest about Peloton Interactive Inc.?",
   "answer": "Insider activity for Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) shows a net seller position, with $37.9 million in total sales and no reported purchases. This indicates a lack of confidence from management regarding the stock's future performance."
  },
  {
   "question": "What is the median analyst price target for Peloton Interactive Inc. stock?",
   "answer": "The median analyst price target for Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) is $7.00, suggesting a potential upside of 42.28% from its current price of $4.92."
  },
  {
   "question": "How has Peloton Interactive Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?",
   "answer": "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) recently beat earnings estimates by 8.33% in its latest report, leading to a positive price reaction. However, prior quarters showed a mixed performance with a significant miss in Q2 2026."
  },
  {
   "question": "Is Peloton Interactive Inc. stock considered overvalued based on its valuation metrics?",
   "answer": "Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) has a P/E ratio of 36, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5. Combined with stagnant revenue growth, this suggests the stock may be overvalued."
  },
  {
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